Scancell Share Discussion Threads

[ruckrover] 26/4/2024 23:35

The probability of getting green is 82% since you have chosen to paint 82% of the sides green. So in future tests you will always get 82% green. Mathematical, we can predict that with 100% certainty (NOT 90%) The chances of getting higher than 82% zero and less than 82% zero. So what does that show? Absolutely nothing. YOU have set the odds at 82% so that's what it will is.Surely even you must get that? Nothing to do with trials, nothing to do with probability it is just a number fixed by you.

[ruckrover] 26/4/2024 23:31

inan,You wrote earlier:>try another way a dice ............it has 11 sides 9 sides are marked Green for efficacy 2 are marked red for failurescancells probabilityNow roll the dice and record the outcome

[2tyke] 26/4/2024 22:58

Wasting your time with inanaco...he will never understand probability...or what moves SP's.
He's totally adrift in the markets.
He spends his time counting pennies in a car park kiosk.
If he had invested in something going up like crypto rather than going down, he wouldn't be in a car park kiosk.
Just to be clear....2 points
1) A 90% confidence level does NOT mean that the desired result is guaranteed.
2) Even if the desired result IS achieved, there is NO guarantee that the share price will rise.
Dear...oh dear.

[rogerbridge] 26/4/2024 21:54

Greedy directors, short term institutions and fund mangers would rather make a quick turn than grow businesses into world beaters.
It's the UK disease.

If a fund manager invests in Moderna and loses money, the other fund managers also lose. Everyone keeps their job.
Invest in growing companies such as Scancell and go out on a limb, your career is at risk.
Get it right and you are a hero.

Scancell are fortunate to have some good institutions backing them.

[inanaco] 26/4/2024 19:41

Try again ........ everyday

a post to Bermuda from

emptyend

Posts: 570

Price: 9.60

Strong Buy

RE: OncliveToday 19:23
They wouldn’t.

I was just making the point that the 90% confidence in reaching 70% is driven by the 85% already having been achieved in one cohort - and noting (without saying as much) that it would be nuts to think they had a 90% chance of beating 85%.

You seem determined to get the wrong end of the stick today……..

[ruckrover] 26/4/2024 19:07

Inan,I'm in the pub having fish and chips looking out at the North Sea.This takes priority over pointing out how ridiculous your assertions are. When I get back home I may enlighten you although that's probably a tall order.

[inanaco] 26/4/2024 19:02

you mean unable to reply ... Ruck

I do love your attempts to be clever ... same as moljen and bermuda

if you cant win Just be Rude and obnoxious and try and twist everything ...

but the best must be Bermuda having to ask Lindy "what does it mean" 🕵️205;♂️

[ruckrover] 26/4/2024 18:56

Moljen,Agree it is pointless. I said yesterday that inan just doesn't get it. His diatribe today just proved what I said. The garbage he had come out has left me speechless.

[inanaco] 26/4/2024 18:07

How many times have i told you that !

Bermudashorts

Posts: 12,627

Price: 9.60

No Opinion

RE: OncliveToday 16:58
Johnny,

Just an update on the 90% probability of success discussion regarding SCIB1.

Lindy has clarified that it is the probability of achieving a 70% response rate, not replicating the current 85%. To be precise it's the probability of achieving a '70% ORR on 43 patients' from the current SCIB1 study.

[inanaco] 26/4/2024 18:04

""It's a pleasure providing research which can be backed up by evidence which even a numpty could understand … and you dismiss it :-)""

pleasure mate as only a numpty would answer a question with the same question unanswered as evidence

this is just like your last effort trying to prove t cells repair viral infected cells

Moljen .... why subject yourself ? trying to be clever like ruck and being clever are not the same chap

[inanaco] 26/4/2024 17:53

you have just posted a question that has not been answered ? Moljen

[moljen] 26/4/2024 17:52

PS weekend time so I'm not going to waste time reading Mr Devor's thesis as I'm pretty sure it's a brilliant piece of work but I'm also pretty sure it will include the proviso that not a "fair dice".
If it ain't a fair dice you can't use it in statistics.
Anyway enjoy your next 20 posts as you'll be arguing with yourself again

[moljen] 26/4/2024 17:48

It's a pleasure providing research which can be backed up by evidence which even a numpty could understand … and you dismiss it :-)

hxxps://mathoverflow.net/questions/452776/why-is-it-impossible-to-create-a-numerically-balanced-die-with-more-than-120-sid

Suggest sticking to your innane ramblings rather than trying to persuade people you're a mathematical and statistical genius.

I trust other posters grasp of maths and finance for good reason, thank you for confirming a wise and astute decision.

You carry on dismissing, have a good weekend.

[inanaco] 26/4/2024 17:47

Moljen

fair point ... only unlike space time's variable Clock which can even stop (event horizon)

scancell reset the Earth clock with the ISCB1 patent

[inanaco] 26/4/2024 17:43

What is the maximum number of sides dice can have?

Jonathan Devor
·
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PhD in Astronomy, Harvard University (Graduated 2008)Updated 5y


Infinity.

If the only requirement is that the die is made up of identical polygons, then there is no upper bound to how large the die can be.

[moljen] 26/4/2024 17:42

It was, quite interesting researching it. Some games like Warhammer have something called a 1000 sided die but it's actually 3 D100 dice rolled.
Bit more interesting than various arguments over probabilities when it's actually fairly binary …. someone comes along and thinks it's magic and pays a shed load of money or they don't in which case it'll follow the usual AIM pattern of next year rodders whilst all the while dilution occurs. Time is a risk which can't be avoided - we can argue till the cows come home as to why time is passing, whether things should / could happen quicker or anyone of a hundred variables but what we can't argue about is that time has passed. The market has measured this risk accordingly hence why 50p to where we are today.
To say this is a no risk share is nonsense which I think is why many have an issue with you

[inanaco] 26/4/2024 17:40

and by the way there is no upper limit of faces ... mathematically

that's more to do with practicality of use, but nothing to stop you having a bigger dice one can easily roll a beach ball sized dice you would need a measuring device to find the winning face


anyway ... so thanks for your research just dismissed it

[inanaco] 26/4/2024 17:14

well thats good to Know .... and thanks for the research

sadly same rules apply

85% colour green 15% colour red

ATB

u can still roll the disdyakis triacontahedron

[inanaco] 26/4/2024 16:33

i was hoping to hear from Ruck on my 1000 sided Dice ...

I guess his coin flip

Flopped

[marcusl2] 26/4/2024 16:18

How attractive will off the shelf platforms of Immmunobody and Moditope be to big pharma?

Roll on Q4 and hopefully excellent data.



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