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Guardian Stockbrokers Key Economic News Friday 27 May 2016

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The key points from today’s economic news, brought to you by Guardian Stockbrokers.

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UK total business investment slid in 1Q 2016

The preliminary total business investment dropped 0.50% on a quarterly basis, in 1Q 2016, in the UK. Total business investment had recorded a drop of 2.00% in the previous quarter.

UK gross fixed capital formation rose less than expected in 1Q 2016

In 1Q 2016, the flash gross fixed capital formation in the UK advanced 0.50% on a QoQ basis, compared to a revised drop of 1.10% in the prior quarter. Market expectation was for gross fixed capital formation to climb 0.90%.

UK consumer confidence recorded an unexpected rise in May

The consumer confidence registered an unexpected rise to a level of -1.00 in the UK, in May, compared to market expectations of a fall to a level of -4.00. The consumer confidence had registered a reading of -3.00 in the prior month.

UK imports advanced less than expected in 1Q 2016

On a QoQ basis, the flash imports advanced 0.80% in the UK, in 1Q 2016, less than market expectations for a rise of 1.00%. In the previous quarter, imports had climbed by a revised 0.90%.

UK exports unexpectedly declined in 1Q 2016

In 1Q 2016, the flash exports in the UK, unexpectedly dropped 0.30% on a QoQ basis, less than market expectations for a rise of 0.10%. Exports had climbed by a revised 0.10% in the prior quarter.

UK index of services rose as expected in March

The index of services advanced 0.60% on a monthly basis in the UK, in March, in line with market expectations. In the December-February 2016 period, the index of services had climbed by a revised 0.80%.

UK GDP rose less than expected in 1Q 2016

In 1Q 2016, on a YoY basis, the second estimate of gross domestic product (GDP) advanced 2.00% in the UK, less than market expectations for a rise of 2.10%. In the previous quarter, GDP had advanced 2.10%. The preliminary figures had recorded an advance of 2.10%.

UK private consumption rose more than expected in 1Q 2016

The flash private consumption in the UK registered a rise of 0.70% in 1Q 2016 on a QoQ basis, compared to a revised advance of 0.60% in the previous quarter. Markets were expecting private consumption to climb 0.50%.

UK total business investment registered a drop in 1Q 2016

The preliminary total business investment dropped 0.40% on an annual basis in the UK, in 1Q 2016. In the previous quarter, total business investment had advanced 3.00%.

UK BBA mortgage approvals fell unexpectedly in April

BBA mortgage approvals recorded an unexpected drop to 40.10 K in the UK, in April, compared to market expectations of an advance to a level of 44.70 K. In the previous month, BBA mortgage approvals had recorded a revised reading of 43.85 K.

UK index of services surprisingly eased in March

The index of services registered an unexpected drop of 0.10% on a MoM basis in the UK, in March, compared to a rise of 0.10% in the previous month. Markets were expecting the index of services to rise 0.20%.

UK government spending rose as expected in 1Q 2016

In 1Q 2016, the flash government spending recorded a rise of 0.40% on a QoQ basis in the UK, compared to a revised advance of 0.30% in the prior quarter. Markets were expecting government spending to advance 0.40%.

UK GDP rose as expected in 1Q 2016

On a quarterly basis, the second estimate of GDP advanced 0.40% in 1Q 2016, in the UK, compared to an advance of 0.60% in the prior quarter. Markets were anticipating GDP to advance 0.40%. The preliminary figures had also recorded a rise of 0.40%.

Italian wage inflation remained unchanged in April

The wage inflation in Italy remained steady at 0.00% in April.

Italian retail sales registered a rise in March

On an annual basis, the non-seasonally adjusted retail sales in Italy rose 2.20% in March. In the previous month, retail sales had risen 2.70%.

Italian annual wage inflation registered a drop in April

In April, the annual wage inflation in Italy eased to 0.60%, compared to a level of 0.80% in the previous month.

Italian retail sales dropped in March

The seasonally adjusted retail sales fell 0.60% on a MoM basis, in March, in Italy. Retail sales had registered a rise of 0.30% in the prior month.

Spanish GDP rose as expected in 1Q 2016

The final GDP advanced 3.40% on a YoY basis in 1Q 2016, in Spain, at par with market expectations. The preliminary figures had also recorded an advance of 3.40%. In the prior quarter, GDP had recorded a rise of 3.50%.

Spanish GDP advanced as expected in 1Q 2016

The final GDP in Spain rose 0.80% in 1Q 2016 on a QoQ basis, meeting market expectations. GDP had registered a similar rise in the previous quarter. The preliminary figures had also indicated a rise of 0.80%.

Swiss industrial production rose in 1Q 2016

On an annual basis, industrial production rose 1.00% in Switzerland, in 1Q 2016. In the previous quarter, industrial production had registered a revised drop of 4.30%.

Fed’s Powell stated that rate hike looking appropriate ‘fairly soon’

The Federal Reserve Governor, Jerome Powell, indicated that an interest rate hike may be appropriate “fairly soon” if incoming data confirms that the US economy is continuing to grow and labour markets are still tightening. He further stated that the nation’s economy remains on a solid footing and that he views ongoing job growth and evidence of rising wages as being more important than recent weakness in consumer spending and business investment.

US non-defense capital goods shipments (ex aircraft) advanced more than expected in April

The flash non-defense capital goods shipments (ex aircraft) in the US advanced 0.30% in April on a MoM basis, higher than market expectations for a rise of 0.10%. In the previous month, the non-defense capital goods shipments (ex aircraft) had risen 0.50%.

US initial jobless claims declined in the last week

The seasonally adjusted initial jobless claims recorded a drop to 268.00 K in the US, in the week ended 21 May 2016, compared to market expectations of a drop to a level of 275.00 K. Initial jobless claims had registered a level of 278.00 K in the previous week.

US pending home sales rose more than expected in April

In the US, pending home sales advanced 5.10% on a monthly basis in April, compared to a revised advance of 1.60% in the prior month. Markets were anticipating pending home sales to climb 0.70%.

US pending home sales advanced more than expected in April

On a YoY basis, pending home sales in the US recorded a rise of 2.90% in April, compared to a revised rise of 3.20% in the prior month. Markets were anticipating pending home sales to climb 0.20%.

US durable goods orders (ex transportation) rose more than expected in April

On a MoM basis, the flash durable goods orders (ex transportation) recorded a rise of 0.40% in the US, in April, more than market expectations for an advance of 0.30%. Durable goods orders (ex transportation) had dropped 0.20% in the prior month.

US continuing jobless claims recorded an unexpected rise in the last week

In the week ended 14 May 2016, the seasonally adjusted continuing jobless claims recorded an unexpected rise to a level of 2163.00 K in the US, higher than market expectations of a fall to 2142.00 K. Continuing jobless claims had registered a revised reading of 2153.00 K in the previous week.

US durable goods orders advanced more than expected in April

On a MoM basis, the flash durable goods orders registered a rise of 3.40% in the US, in April, compared to an advance of 0.80% in the prior month. Markets were anticipating durable goods orders to advance 0.50%.

US non-defense capital goods orders (ex aircraft) unexpectedly eased in April

In April, on a MoM basis, the flash non-defense capital goods orders (ex aircraft) in the US unexpectedly eased 0.80%, compared to a rise of 0.10% in the previous month. Market expectation was for the non-defense capital goods orders (ex aircraft) to rise 0.30%.

US Kansas City Fed manufacturing activity index declined surprisingly in May

The Kansas City Fed manufacturing activity index dropped unexpectedly to -5.00 in the US, in May, compared to market expectations of an advance to a level of -3.00. The Kansas City Fed manufacturing activity index had registered a level of -4.00 in the prior month.

Japanese Tokyo CPI declined as expected in May

On an annual basis, Tokyo consumer price index (CPI) eased 0.50% in May, in Japan, compared to a fall of 0.40% in the prior month. Markets were anticipating Tokyo CPI to fall 0.50%.

Japanese national CPI fell less than expected in April

On a YoY basis, the national CPI dropped 0.30% in April, in Japan, compared to a drop of 0.10% in the previous month. Markets were expecting the national CPI to drop 0.40%.

Japanese Tokyo CPI excluding fresh food declined more than expected in May

In May, Tokyo CPI excluding fresh food recorded a drop of 0.50% on a YoY basis in Japan, more than market expectations for a drop of 0.40%. Tokyo CPI excluding fresh food had recorded a drop of 0.30% in the prior month.

Japanese Tokyo CPI excluding food and energy advanced less than expected in May

On a YoY basis, in Japan, Tokyo CPI excluding food and energy rose 0.50% in May, less than market expectations for an advance of 0.60%. In the previous month, Tokyo CPI excluding food and energy had risen 0.60%.

Japanese National CPI ex-fresh food declined less than expected in April

On an annual basis, National CPI ex-fresh food registered a drop of 0.30% in Japan, in April, lower than market expectations for a fall of 0.40%. National CPI ex-fresh food had registered a similar fall in the previous month.

Japanese National CPI ex-food, energy advanced as expected in April

National CPI ex-food, energy climbed 0.70% on an annual basis in April, in Japan, in line with market expectations. In the previous month, National CPI ex-food, energy had registered a similar rise.

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