German Consumer Sentiment Set to Weaken in July as Income Expectations Drop: GfK
26 June 2019 - 7:29AM
Dow Jones News
By Emese Bartha
FRANKFURT--German consumer sentiment is set to weaken in July,
for the second month in a row, reflecting a significant drop in
income expectations, market research group GfK said in its monthly
survey on Wednesday.
GfK's forward-looking consumer sentiment index is set to fall to
9.8 points in July from 10.1 points in June, it said. Economists in
The Wall Street Journal's survey forecast a print of 10.0
points.
"A key factor behind this [drop] is the noticeable decrease in
the income indicator this month," GfK said. While this indicator
has so far benefited from the strength of the job market, "now the
voices heralding the end of the employment boom are growing," it
added.
Germany's unemployment rate unexpectedly rose in May, in a sign
that a recent slowdown in growth is spreading further through
Europe's largest economy.
GfK uses three sub-indexes--economic expectations, income
expectations and propensity to buy--for the current month to derive
a sentiment figure for the next month.
Income expectations fell to 45.5 points in June, the lowest
level since March 2017, from 57.7 points in May, GfK said.
The downward spiral in economic expectations that began at the
start of 2018 halted in June, at least for now, GfK said, adding
that this sub-index rose to 2.4 points in June from 1.7 points in
May.
The propensity to buy rose to 53.7 points from 50.5 points.
Write to Emese Bartha at emese.bartha@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
June 26, 2019 02:14 ET (06:14 GMT)
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