Wt Cocoa Discussion Threads

[cocorico2009] 10/1/2014 14:54

fwiw


indicators on the chart still reflect a strong bearish outlook


interestingly news on the outcome of the meeting for the water license may come at a time when the share price is on a critical path on the ichimoku chart


the 2 most significant things to note are the gap and the kumo cloud




depending where the price is in relation to the kumo cloud on the release of news will have a significant effect on the sp, and of course whether the news is indeed good or bad!


point A would clearly be the strongest and most favourable, prior news on #IO4 could get it there, with the gap filled and the share price above the kumo


point B would have seen the gap filled but natural resistance from the kumo cloud would need a combination of good news and a significant push on high volume to clear the cloud, but in doing so may create a new gap


point C is the current situation with an unfilled gap

on good news, again resistance of the kumo would need a significant push on high volume to clear and in doing so may not only create a new gap up but also leave the existing gap down unfilled, creating double weakness for any subsequent gains


however without predicting what the outcome of the water license meeting will be,
the absence of any news on IO#4 coupled with any subsequent negative water license news being released when the share price is at point B or C could create the perfect storm and could see the share price plummet to circa 50p

[cocorico2009] 15/12/2011 11:32

25/06/24 BUY 250k @ 1.4
Target 1.8







25/06/24 BUY 1M @ .345
25/06/24 buy 750k @ .36
1.75M @ Ave .352

Target .5






24/06 BUY 10K @ 48.92 (49) 4924.41

owes me £395 from 2024 loss

Sell 10k @ 52.759 ( ) 5267.95 (343.54)

2024 loss £50







20/06 1k @ 568.769 (569)






21/06 5k @ 69.75
24/06 4k @ 67.80
Avg 9k @ 69







BUY 500/350 14/04/24 - 676
250 14/05 - 714
5200/750 = 693 Avg

SELL 750 28/05/24 @ 813.5
04/06/24 SELL 350 @ 775






BUY 500 14/04/24 - 538
14/05 250 - 542
5412/1000 = 541 avg

28/05/24 SELL 1000 @ 571
















29/05/24 Buy 50000 @ 4.79






14/04/24 buy 2500 @126









25/03/24 100k @ 3.377
5/04 100k @3.5
4/06 87.5k @3.455

287.5k @ Ave3.45

CT 04/06/24 BUY 62.5k @ 3.47



































7/1/22
100k @ 5.7
100k @ 5.4
75k @ 5.77

275k@5.62 A

2022 CT account
250k @5.35
195k @3.2
445k @4.4 A

RT 2022
150k @ 2.962
205k @ 2.961
200k @ 2.925


Total
1M @ 3.6 A











































29/04/21 2k @ 265p

21/12/21 Fok 5k @ 100



























04/22
5k @164.5


















13800 @ 1.45
13100 @ 1.15

26900 @ 1.30 AVE
29/04/21 HT Results :
sold 11900 @ 1.30

Reduced holding
15000 @1.30

P 4&5/05
9k@ 112 ave

holding
24k @ 1.2325

reduced
15.75k @ 1.34

09/21
21.75k

15/09 1250 @ 160


13.1k @115
9.9k @ 161
23k @ 135A

Reduced

15k 135A

13,1k 135A
















































21/12//21 FoK 50k @ 12.5













20/04/21 100k @ 2p






























^^^^

STX
GAP @ 90 - 93 (filled 22/04)
KUMO cloud breakout @ 112 (23/04) reducing sidewards
KUMO cloud breakout @ 107 (30/04)
KUMO cloud breakout @ 100 (08/05)

Buy 5K @ breakout *

*5k @ 111 (30/04)

GAP @ 127.5 - 134 (FILLED 30/04)
GAP @ 157 - 158

vvvv







_______________________________________________________________________




^^^^^
SBTX
KUMO @ 11.4 (23/04/20)
Buy 25k @ 12.5 ( 12.912 & 13.35) 23/04 ave 13.25

sell 25k @ 20 (19.6 28/04/20)

vvvv









^^^^^^^


Gap @1434

vvvvvvvvvvv



----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------





^^^^
TLY

Inverted H&S
No Gaps
KUMO @ 12.5 then blue sky to (BREAKOUT 22/04/20)
Historic Resistance/Support @15
Small Cup to 22
Large cup to 28
Then BLUE SKY

Buy 25k @ 12.5 (22/04/20 13.5) (23/04/20 14.15) Ave 13.85 (14)

vvvv





_____________________________________________________________________







30k@333 23/07/20





30k @305 23/07/20















^^^^^
175k @ A 5.32 (5.5)

KUMO @ 6.485 (6.5) 07/05 reducing with sideways movement to (6) 18/05

sell 100k @13.75
ride 75k

vvvvv




_________________________________________________________________________








____________________________________________________




^^^^
SAR
250k @ 0.88
Resistance @ 0.90
Support @ 0.475 (2020)

GAP 0.268-0.275

Buy 500k @ 0.50
vvvv



_______________________________________________________________________________





^^^^
Entered Kumo @ 2.4 (05/05)
Breakout circa 3.32 (07/05) moving sideways
Breakout circa 3 (18/05)
vvvv




____________________________________________________________________________





^^^^
ETX
GAP @ 10.375 - 10.5
GAP@ 7.089 - 7.156

Buy 50k @ 7.25 after gap fill

vvvv



__________________________________________________________________________________






^^^^^

FDBK
200k @1.054 & 1.1 23/04 ave 1.08 (1.1)

vvvv






_______________________________________________________________________________













NSCI
Buy 50k @ 5.0
*DELISTING


















27/04 buy avaial @ 7.9







27/04 buy avail @ 1.3































































































































+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++













8ong Term Charts

[rocket mn] 03/3/2011 19:22

Do I see the bullish cup and handle formation? Excuse the crude representation :)

[lifechanger] 03/3/2011 11:02

I am long Cocoa and was hit by this fall. My stop was hit below the daily limit and subsequently cancelled

More on my Systems Traders Thread if interested

[mart] 03/3/2011 10:50

This is having a good run. Things do not look promising in the Ivory Coast I'm afraid.

Did you see we have had our very own 'flash crash' last tuesday. They'll have to do something about HFT.

Cocoa traders demand circuit breakers

[nabcom] 23/1/2011 21:09

"The price of cocoa is expected to spike on Monday after the Ivory Coast's president-elect, Alassane Ouattara, imposed a one-month ban on cocoa exports in an effort to oust his rival"

"it is thought that the price could jump by as much as 10pc when markets open"

[rocket mn] 22/12/2010 20:48

I'm surprised the situation in Ivory Coast hasn't had more of an impact.

[rocket mn] 15/12/2010 20:14

Previous resistance now support?

[rocket mn] 03/12/2010 20:26

Support and resistance areas still holding:

[rocket mn] 08/11/2010 19:11

Looks like we're in a box formation. Historically significant level at green line signals tough resistance to overcome. A breakout above this level and the race is on. A break below red and 3.4 will be the price to watch.

[mart] 08/11/2010 14:41

Guess he used to think that Lloys and RBos were, well, safe as banks! Still it is a bit more difficult managing a LOT of money, with all the regs and everything.

Still, as far as I'm concerned cocoa has proved to be shark infested custard. Just as well some of the other commodities have been easier to read.

[mart] 08/11/2010 01:43

An interesting snippet on cocoa which I hadn't come across before.



"...
When Anthony Ward of hedge fund Armajaro, spent £650 million on 240,000 tonnes of cocoa beans this summer – after which the price of cocoa plummeted as Ward's fellow hedge fund managers bet against him – it seemed to confirm the belief hedge funds are now playing fast and loose in the commodities world, as they had in the subprime mortgage market years ago. Last month ETF Securities Cocoa fund was sitting at 18% down on its January price. ..."

[mart] 03/11/2010 12:22

Little light relief on the politics of cocoa!


Vice Prez Didn't Influence Lifting Of Ban On Armajaro – John Jinapor