Tullow Oil Share Discussion Threads

[turvart] 01/2/2020 22:00

With my research SR looking at pension fund data most pension funds that invest in the US market seem to have around a 6-7% holding into Microsoft and because of Brexit in my opinion a lot of UK people have invested their pension into US funds and I might be wrong but I think Microsoft has come up so strong because of UK pension fund money.

[sentimentrules] 01/2/2020 21:54

30th Jan was some warning in many ways. Not just price

[sentimentrules] 01/2/2020 21:53

I'd say 154.138 or 122 . Be up to market but in medium term I'd understand price going back to one of those and consolidate

[turvart] 01/2/2020 21:50

Microsoft is now 170, last year it was 121 at some point, I don't believe that Microsoft is worth 170 I would personally put a sensible figure of Microsoft at around 147.

[turvart] 01/2/2020 21:45

Finally for once I will agree with you SR, LOL!

[sentimentrules] 01/2/2020 21:45

I'm convinced the market is going to discount the rise from commencement of QE at some stage

[sentimentrules] 01/2/2020 21:42

Been saying it months turvart. The spike up only confirms it in my book

[turvart] 01/2/2020 21:41

You mark my words SR, the dow is going to get taken down and it will be by Trump.

[sentimentrules] 01/2/2020 21:38

Whole city is into it Turvart

Over a year now

They won't back this paper bull with commitment ever again

[sentimentrules] 01/2/2020 21:37

Biut if you mean no money on them short, yes

You could buy bonds and such looking at them

[turvart] 01/2/2020 21:36

President Trump thinks like me because he his a lunatic and I'm saying that will happen because Trump has money in bonds and gold.

[sentimentrules] 01/2/2020 21:35

They had serous gap ups and falling. Microsoft following but just too big to put money on. A retrace after a decent fall is shortable

[turvart] 01/2/2020 21:29

If Microsoft can fall then the Dow Jones gets corrected in a big way, bonds then come up bigtime! boom!

[turvart] 01/2/2020 21:23

Well I think Microsoft is a short personally.

[sentimentrules] 01/2/2020 21:21

No I wouldnt. Nor apple . Tesla was/is a tempting short but not that either

Just because I short doesn't mean I'm insane lool

I only short after something is under attack. And then look for short value during that

[turvart] 01/2/2020 21:19

Let me ask you an honest question SR, I think Microsoft is over priced at the moment but would you short it?

[sentimentrules] 01/2/2020 21:11

Tulvart that's what risk management and stops are for.

I agree that shorting is lethal without guarenteed stops . Especially outside of the ftse 350

Got taken to the cleaners myself years ago although it was a buy. The things we learn at the beginning lol. But serves well in the future

[turvart] 01/2/2020 21:08

SR, I once and only once shorted a stock back in I think it was 2003 area and I shorted Hewlett Packard and I got taken to the cleaners, because it would not come down LOL!

[sentimentrules] 01/2/2020 19:06

Another simple yet always forgotten point by silverstone

was chat on a different stock but he put good perspective on it

So: circa 100p buyers

you had a 50% drop on holdings but now needc price to increase by 100% to breakeven

.............

shows the importance of risk management. Each drop , you need the stock to work twice as hard for you as initially thought from execution day.

cant beat stop losses

[sentimentrules] 01/2/2020 16:42

Best of luck to anyone valuing that one. Be harder than valuing a bank