Savannah Resources Share Discussion Threads

[busraker1] 29/8/2019 17:53

The Lithium price is weak for a temporary period. Alita Resources suspended trading, the big Aussie mines are scaling back production and investment plans and are stockpiling material. Pilbara has called a Trading Halt two days ago and can't find investors to take a big chunk in their lithium mine at reasonable prices.

There are some high cost Aussie mines, starting with Bald Hill by Alita Resources, which will not be profitable at spodumene prices around $550 - $600/t. It's not a bad thing that higher cost ones go bust as it speeds up the time when the lithium price turns because of less supply on the market. When Glencore put their huge cobalt mine in the DRC on care and maintenance recently the Cobalt price immediately moved up. There's not been a lot of investment in new lithium mines in 2019 either which means the supply may not ramp up as quick as the demand for EVs rises, creating the next lithium bubble.

You don't actually want spodumene above $900/t it seems because it puts the prices of the batteries up and that dampens demand in the EV car market, so there's a sweet spot to be had.

Does the lithium price turn in Q4 this year or not til Q2 or Q3 next year or beyond? It will certainly determine how the share prices move and has a sizeable impact on the NPV8 of the mine and on the attractiveness of the economics to the financiers. It's always best to be able to sit on your shares for the long term and not be too exposed. These are top up opportunities if anyone has money spare....but only on the assumption things actually go to plan with the mine! :-)

Although SAV has been targeting starting its mine in the sweet spot of a demand surge in EVs in 2021 and beyond, it also means they are currently trying to obtain financing in a very quiet period of low lithium prices, which is tough. I do think SAV is fairly attractive though relative to other lithium mines with lower grades, smaller resources, higher impurities or less conventional than hard rock spodumene.

IMHO

[jotoha2] 29/8/2019 16:48

Only by name , looks like major holders are keeping loyal , so our friend Archer is being supported for the time being , one could assume that the recent drop in share price has been played to grab some weak shares , this same game happened at both at BCN and SAVP , if so then a 50% upturn will follow soon.

[ged5] 29/8/2019 16:29

You know Al Marjan?

[jotoha2] 29/8/2019 16:27

Nice hammer head formation today , seller gone and all waiting for bingo.

[fqr714bhp] 29/8/2019 16:23

It is about the people you know with 100's of million shares, lol.

[broncowarrior] 29/8/2019 16:18

My average is 4p. Have held since this company was AME and about 3 months' old.Have made paper profit of about 25k twice. Have never cashed that in, foolish but hey ho.

[broncowarrior] 29/8/2019 16:16

How will you do that with your 12 shares?

[ged5] 29/8/2019 14:01

Trade at 3.35p.

On the move?

[fqr714bhp] 29/8/2019 13:54

If the share price is not 10p by the next AGM, i will make damn sure DA does not get re-elected.

[jotoha2] 29/8/2019 13:50

All major vehicle makers are gearing up for a massive change to EV technology , consensus is that Lithium / Copper will grow to a level which present production cannot supply , so projects like SAV will make it , how quickly will depend on the abilities of its top men , are they up to it is the only question here , Archer needs to start performing or exit .

[ged5] 29/8/2019 13:42

If it wasn't for that last UT trade at 3.2p we'd actually be up today!

Bearish outlook you have there on the macro climate, Jim.

I think we all share your frustrations about Oman.

[seagullsslimjim] 29/8/2019 13:06

jotoha2 - there is also the saying 'a fool and his money are soon parted'.

Definite stormm clouds on the Worlds economic horizon and any market crash will indeed restrict bank lending and as we slide back down the snake to square one in the commodity cycle.

Oman was the biggy for me and where finance didn't seem to be an issue.

For me, the gravy train alarm bells started to ring when warrants started to be attached to the inner circles placing share issues.

[paleje] 29/8/2019 10:47

HG, your post 2152 would be hard to argue with.

I think we've all lost money here, at least on paper, how long to recover is the question and whilst some of the past mis-judgements are down to DA, the current macro is out of his hands. I think the only kind of news that will help the share price is robust 3rd party tie-ups where money is involved but nobody's in any rush.

It all looked different a couple of years ago, I think it will do again but it's an unpleasant wait.

[jotoha2] 29/8/2019 10:40

Looks like the buying has started at these bargain prices.

[jotoha2] 29/8/2019 10:38

Buy when the rest are in fear , now who said , do remind me , oh yes good old Warren , and guess where he has recently invested in , of course Copper and Lithium , the man is a genius ! Some of you just got in a bit early , but you will recover all plus.

[fqr714bhp] 29/8/2019 10:27

Cash call at 9p
Issue of 163 million shares at 5p

Looking good at 2.9p

Next stop " RIP "

[fqr714bhp] 29/8/2019 10:25

Like i said before: 60% of Lithium co's will go bust within the next 3 years.

[jotoha2] 29/8/2019 10:21

Lithium and of course copper will grow in demand by something approaching 300% over the next 10 years just to cover EV technology according to latest survey by Mckinsey .

[ukgeorge] 29/8/2019 10:21

30% upturn wont even get us back to last months price.

This is a train crash. The only news that I have seen is the local protest the normal Nimby's

I'm a little surprised that the company have not issued an RNS.

[fqr714bhp] 29/8/2019 10:20

Ged5

My guess is at least 1 million dumped will show up later.

[fqr714bhp] 29/8/2019 10:18

Copper prices all manipulated by commodity brokers, nothing to do with demand???? the demand for copper has been the same for the last 10 years.

[ged5] 29/8/2019 10:18

Speechless! I just never thought we'd see these levels but what can one expect with so many delays?

Not a good sign when buys greater than sells and the share price is down. Dark forces at work?

[jotoha2] 29/8/2019 10:16

Come on Mr Archer , you know you want to spill the beans .

[jotoha2] 29/8/2019 10:14

Looks like this little beauty is ready to turn , nice 30% upturn most likely .

[highly geared] 29/8/2019 10:04

Re: Oman licences, the last RNS was around “intention to grant licenses” , so assume they’re not officially granted yet? It brings value to that asset when granted. If it had happened 18 months ago , project finance was possible but unlikely in the current climate with copper down again.