Provident Financial (PFG) Share Price

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Stock Name	Stock Symbol	Market	Stock Type	Stock ISIN	Stock Description
Provident Financial Plc	PFG	London	Ordinary Share	GB00B1Z4ST84	ORD 20 8/11P

	Price Change	Price Change %	Stock Price	High Price	Low Price	Open Price	Close Price	Last Trade
	19.50	4.47%	456.00	456.40	434.30	434.30	436.50	16:35:25

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Industry Sector
NONEQUITY INVESTMENT INSTRUMENTS

Provident Financial PFG Dividends History

Announcement Date	Type	Currency	Dividend Amount	Period Start	Period End	Ex Date	Record Date	Payment Date	Total Dividend Amount
30/07/2019	Interim	GBX	9	30/12/2018	30/06/2019	15/08/2019	16/08/2019	26/09/2019	0
13/03/2019	Final	GBX	10	31/12/2017	31/12/2018	23/05/2019	24/05/2019	21/06/2019	10
28/02/2017	Final	GBX	91.4	31/12/2015	31/12/2016	18/05/2017	19/05/2017	23/06/2017	134.6
26/07/2016	Interim	GBX	43.2	31/12/2015	31/12/2016	27/10/2016	28/10/2016	25/11/2016	0
23/02/2016	Final	GBX	80.9	31/12/2014	31/12/2015	19/05/2016	20/05/2016	24/06/2016	120.1
28/07/2015	Interim	GBX	39.2	31/12/2014	31/12/2015	29/10/2015	30/10/2015	27/11/2015	0
24/02/2015	Final	GBX	63.9	31/12/2013	31/12/2014	21/05/2015	22/05/2015	19/06/2015	98
23/07/2014	Interim	GBX	34.1	31/12/2013	31/12/2014	29/10/2014	31/10/2014	28/11/2014	0
25/02/2014	Final	GBX	54	31/12/2012	31/12/2013	21/05/2014	23/05/2014	20/06/2014	85
23/07/2013	Interim	GBX	31	31/12/2012	31/12/2013	30/10/2013	01/11/2013	29/11/2013	0
26/02/2013	Final	GBX	48.4	31/12/2011	31/12/2012	22/05/2013	24/05/2013	21/06/2013	77.2
24/07/2012	Interim	GBX	28.8	31/12/2011	31/12/2012	31/10/2012	02/11/2012	30/11/2012	0
28/02/2012	Final	GBX	42.3	31/12/2010	31/12/2011	16/05/2012	18/05/2012	21/06/2012	69
27/07/2011	Interim	GBX	26.7	31/12/2010	31/12/2011	02/11/2011	04/11/2011	30/11/2011	0
01/03/2011	Final	GBX	38.1	31/12/2009	31/12/2010	11/05/2011	13/05/2011	21/06/2011	63.5
27/07/2010	Interim	GBX	25.4	31/12/2009	31/12/2010	03/11/2010	05/11/2010	30/11/2010	0
02/03/2010	Final	GBX	38.1	31/12/2008	31/12/2009	03/05/2010	05/05/2010	21/06/2010	63.5
28/07/2009	Interim	GBX	25.4	30/12/2008	30/06/2009	04/11/2009	06/11/2009	30/11/2009	0
03/03/2009	Final	GBX	38.1	31/12/2007	31/12/2008	13/05/2009	15/05/2009	19/06/2009	63.5
30/07/2008	Interim	GBX	25.4	30/12/2007	30/06/2008	30/10/2008	02/11/2008	28/11/2008	0
07/03/2008	Final	GBX	38.1	31/12/2006	31/12/2007	14/05/2008	16/05/2008	20/06/2008	63.5
11/09/2007	Interim	GBX	14.48	30/12/2006	30/06/2007	30/10/2007	02/11/2007	28/11/2007	0
07/03/2007	Final	GBX	22.02	31/12/2005	31/12/2006	04/04/2007	10/04/2007	25/05/2007	36.5
13/09/2006	Interim	GBX	14.48	30/12/2005	30/06/2006	20/09/2006	22/09/2006	20/10/2006	0
08/03/2006	Final	GBX	21.37	31/12/2004	31/12/2005	05/04/2006	07/04/2006	26/05/2006	35.43
13/09/2005	Interim	GBX	14.06	30/12/2004	30/06/2005	21/09/2005	23/09/2005	14/10/2005	0
16/03/2005	Final	GBX	20.75	31/12/2003	31/12/2004	13/04/2005	15/04/2005	03/06/2005	34.4
27/07/2004	Interim	GBX	13.65	30/12/2003	30/06/2004	15/09/2004	17/09/2004	15/10/2004	0
26/02/2004	Final	GBX	19.9	31/12/2002	31/12/2003	07/04/2004	13/04/2004	14/05/2004	33
23/07/2003	Interim	GBX	13.1	30/12/2002	30/06/2003	17/09/2003	19/09/2003	17/10/2003	0
26/02/2003	Final	GBX	18.44	31/12/2001	31/12/2002	09/04/2003	11/04/2003	09/05/2003	30.9
24/07/2002	Interim	GBX	12.46	30/12/2001	30/06/2002	18/09/2002	20/09/2002	18/10/2002	0
27/02/2002	Final	GBX	17.6	31/12/2000	31/12/2001	17/04/2002	19/04/2002	10/05/2002	29.35
23/07/2001	Interim	GBX	11.75	30/12/2000	30/06/2001	19/09/2001	21/09/2001	19/10/2001	0
22/02/2001	Final	GBX	16.4	31/12/1999	31/12/2000	11/04/2001	17/04/2001	09/05/2001	27.3
27/07/2000	Interim	GBX	10.9	30/12/1999	30/06/2000	18/09/2000	22/09/2000	20/10/2000	0
24/02/2000	Final	GBX	14.9	31/12/1998	31/12/1999	03/04/2000	07/04/2000	05/05/2000	24.8
29/07/1999	Interim	GBX	9.9	30/12/1998	30/06/1999	20/09/1999	24/09/1999	20/10/1999	0
25/02/1999	Final	GBX	13.6	31/12/1997	31/12/1998	29/03/1999	06/04/1999	07/05/1999	22.5
02/04/1998	Special	GBX	35	31/12/1997	31/12/1998	27/04/1998	24/04/1998	01/05/1998	0
30/07/1998	Interim	GBX	8.9	30/12/1997	30/06/1998	21/09/1998	25/09/1998	21/10/1998	0
19/02/1998	Final	GBX	11.75	31/12/1996	31/12/1997	09/03/1998	13/03/1998	29/04/1998	19.5

Date	Subject
29/8/2019 08:30	robinnicolson: That doesn't explain the 7.9% share price rise on Tuesday...at one stage up more than 10%. Maybe there was a broker upgrade. Read Full Thread Follow Reply
24/6/2019 09:21	bookbroker: Would have been better had PFG not made a counter offer against NSF, the weakness in NSF share price has now had a detrimental effect on PFG, Woodford once again to blame, I see him in the dock down the line over his gross mismanagement of assets, the bloke still refuses to admit to his misguided hubris! The belief that he is infallible when it comes to investing capital! As soon as the restrictions in place on redemptions are lifted, you will witness a rush for the exit! Read Full Thread Follow Reply
14/6/2019 09:07	porsche1945: If Cannacord move to sell its a defo buy, Cannacord probably the worst broker, and thats saying something, at share ratings, truly abysmal and always wrong. A Canadian company whos own share price is in the dirt, that maybe is better sticking to Canada. That idiotd Woodford still having to unload these, when it stops and hopefully he is out for good, share price will recover. Read Full Thread Follow Reply
14/6/2019 09:01	bookbroker: Problem here is the holding of Woodford and Invesco having too much influence over the share price trajectory, volatility is due to this more than the actual business performance and capital position. Read Full Thread Follow Reply
03/6/2019 20:11	dual: Woodford in trouble... this is probably why PFG share price has fallen for the past week.. Woodford will need to sell.I think this is the beginning of the end of Woodford Investment and with it NSF. Read Full Thread Follow Reply
25/5/2019 13:32	dual: That Wally Woodford is behind the fall of the share price. Before the takeover started NSF and PFG were trading higher. Read Full Thread Follow Reply
15/5/2019 18:14	jas0701: What price are NSF offering per PFG share for takeover. It's very confusing. Not sure whether to sell up with a loss or stay in until dust settles. Any thoughts will be most appreciated. Read Full Thread Follow Reply
22/2/2019 13:01	dexdringle: This is most odd..... Firstly NSF announce a 'firm' offer but no immediate response RNS from PFG who take three and a half hours to announce that they haven't yet got a response. So, presumably, they had no idea this was coming. NSF state that they have the agreement in principle from more than 50% of PFG shareholders meaning that, before the announcement, they must have discussed the proposed plan with some shareholders and not others. The PFG share price is now nearly 10% above the offer price based on the current 62p NSF share price x 8.88. Read Full Thread Follow Reply
15/2/2019 14:39	theborn: I’m going to repost what I’ve said in another group: Per 2018 interims: Shareholder equity £678m. Taking this over the 253m shares in issue = £2.70 of asset value per share on B/S at that time. Assuming a statutory PAT for H2 2018 of c.£50m = £0.20p of further asset value per share on B/S. So on a current share price of £4.95....nearly £3.00 of that is current value. Meaning future return prospects are priced in at only £2.00?!? I know PFG have had their issues but I struggle to accept there isn't a huge market overreaction here, regardless of the 'profit warning' which wasn't a profit warning in the traditional sense. PFG stating adj. profit 4% lower than the mid range (but still within the full range) has knocked 25% off the share price. Madness. With the bulk of the regulatory and home credit issues put to bed, plus even factoring in tightened underwriting and borrowers being cut some slack on payment arrangements, there is no reason PFG won't be forecasting (and hitting) adjust profit target of >£200m for 2019 (on basis of Vanquis / Moneybarn zero growth and Home Credit not adding anything to P&L)....this is 80p per share. Any way I look at it, going long at any price close the current £5 represents significant RV opportunity and risk adjusted upside. No doubt the PFG Board will make me eat my words by announcing 2018 figures below the £151m bottom end on adjusted P&L, but regardless of that, the future value here is still very appealing. Viewing on a medium term time horizon there is a very real chance the share price will double, if not treble, on today's value if they continue to work with the regulator and focus on sensible underwriting. Factoring in a dividend policy of paying out c. 70% of PAT I can't see many other income and capital cash cows available at this type of value. I’ve been loading up. Read Full Thread Follow Reply
23/8/2017 17:36	spob: Paul Scott Small Cap Value Report from yesterday Tuesday, Aug 22 2017 Good Evening, it's Paul here. Sorry my report is late today. Provident Financial (LON:PFG) Share price: 589.5p (down 66.2% today) No. shares: 148.2m Market cap: £873.6m Trading statement - this is such an interesting announcement that I feel obliged to mention it. This company is a UK sub-prime consumer lender. Its divisions include Vanquis Bank, the Consumer Credit Division (comprising Provident and Satsuma), and Moneybarn. Looking back to its 2016 results, the group made an adjusted profit of £334.1m, and paid 134.6p in dividends to shareholders. The share price was riding high, at about 3000p in late 2016. Compare that with today, at just 589.5p - that's a share price fall of about 80% this year. Its interesting how, when a share really collapses, there are often clear warning signs in previous announcements. That seems the case here. The most recent interim results were poor. They also contained worrying comments about several FCA reviews affecting the company. Also, disruption was reported from a change in the business model at the CCD - moving from self-employed, to employed operational staff. This was supposed to be a compelling change in business model. EDIT - a couple of brokers have flagged up that competitors are saying that large numbers of the best sales agents are jumping ship from PFG, to join competitors such as Morses, and NSF. This sounds ominous to me, and could mean that profits may not necessarily recover at PFG. Today's announcement has to be one of the worst profit warnings I've seen. The wheels seem to have completely come off at the CCD. This bit from today's announcement sounds awful; The rate of progress being made is too weak and the business is now falling a long way short of achieving these objectives. Collections performance and sales are both showing substantial underperformance against the comparable period in 2016. The routing and scheduling software deployed to direct the daily activities of CEMs has presented some early issues, primarily relating to the integrity of data, and the prescriptive nature of the new operating model has not allowed sufficient local autonomy to prioritise resource allocation during this period of recovery. Things don't get a lot worse than that. It sounds as if the new business model has been an unmitigated disaster. Unsurprisingly, the CEO has now gone. As a result of these problems, debtor collections have fallen a long way short; Collections performance is currently running at 57% versus 90% in 2016 and sales at some £9m per week lower than the comparative weeks in 2016. The extent of this underperformance and the elongated period of time required to return the performance of the business to acceptable levels invalidates previous guidance. The pre-exceptional loss of the business is now likely to be in a range of between £80m and £120m. It looks as if the customers are possibly taking advantage of the lender being in a shambles, to decline to repay their borrowings? This raises a big question mark over whether bad debt provisions are adequate? That's the inherent weakness with sub-prime lenders. They can report big profits for a while, then often it becomes clear that many debts have gone bad, and won't ever be collected. So a huge write-off then has to be done. That's the main reason why I would never invest in any sub-prime lender. Divisional profits - to get my head round the numbers, I've looked back at the 2016 results, and this shows the group's profitability as follows; Vanquis Bank £204.5m CCD £115.2m Moneybarn £31.1m Central costs -£16.7m As you can see, Vanquis was the biggest profit earner within the group. Interestingly, today's statement says that Vanquis is still trading alright; The trading performance of Vanquis Bank, Moneybarn and Satsuma remain in line with internal plans. Therefore I'm wondering if the problems are confined to the CCD part of the business, there could possibly be a value opportunity here? FCA investigation into ROP - this is the product from Vanquis Bank called Repayment Option Plan. New sales of this were suspended in Apr 2016. However, Vanquis is currently generating £70m in revenues from this product, which seems to have been sold between 1 April 2014 to 19 April 2016. EDIT - one broker suggests that the ROP product generates 20-25% of Vanquis's profits, this issue is of considerable significance. It's not clear what the outcome of this investigation will be. However, it sounds like there could be a risk of some kind of customer compensation liabilities, if the FCA decides that the product was flawed. Dividends - are off the table for the time being; In view of the substantial deterioration in the trading performance of the home credit business, together with the uncertainty created by the FCA's investigation at Vanquis Bank, the Board has determined that the group must protect its capital base and financial flexibility by withdrawing the interim dividend declared on 25 July 2017 and indicate that a full-year dividend is unlikely. Sounds sensible, in the circumstances. Will it go bust? That's the key question. I've looked back to the latest balance sheet, and it's actually not bad. You would expect this type of business to be groaning with bank debt. Its business model is to borrow cheaply, on a large scale, then lend very expensively, on a small scale, to people who are desperate, hence can be ripped off. The high customer default rate should in theory be more than covered by the huge profits made from customers who do repay their borrowings. In an economic downturn, customers often default en masse, and this type of business therefore often goes bust in a recession. We're not actually in a recession, although there's little doubt that household incomes are feeling the pinch somewhat right now. Interestingly, PFG had (relative to its receivables book) fairly low bank debt - a £450m syndicated bank facility. It seems to be mainly financed through taking retail deposits into Vanquis Bank - which was a larger figure of £941.2m at end Dec 2016. So Vanquis Bank looks a fairly ordinary savings & loans type of bank. Therefore, to my mind, the main risk to this group is if depositors are scared off, and withdraw their deposits. As we saw with Northern Rock, once such a bank run starts, it can't usually be stopped without a Government bailout. PFG looks much too small for a bailout (if needed), so who knows? EDIT - this risk may not be as bad as I feared. Apparently Vanquis takes term deposits (e.g. 1 -5 years). So that should limit the damage from depositors withdrawing funds. I think the key question is whether depositors can withdraw funds before the term has expired. Often that is possible, but carries an interest penalty. Therefore I think the ability of depositors to withdraw funds is an absolutely key question mark here. My opinion - this is one I'll be watching from now on. What interests me, is that the key value in the share seems to be Vanquis Bank. That doesn't seem to be affected by the problems in the CCD part of the business. Although if the FCA review goes badly, then more, potentially serious bad news could be on the way. I loathe this type of business. The way I see it, they prey on financially weak people, by offering loans to people who really shouldn't be borrowing at all - because they are poor. I have friends who have (stupidly) borrowed from Vanquis, and I ended up bailing them out, because the high interest charges compounded so rapidly, that my friends soon ended up being overwhelmed by what was initially only a small debt. So personally I have zero sympathy for shareholders here. As far as I am concerned, the losses that PFG shareholders have suffered here are a well-deserved punishment for trying to enrich themselves at the expense of the poorest people in society. I know some readers disagree with me on this, as we've discussed it here in previous reports. There are some good lessons from this situation; 1) Selling on the first profit warning is usually the best course of action, when it looks as if something serious, and structural is going wrong. Looking back, there were clear signs in Jun 2017 that something was going badly wrong at PFG, with the reorganisation of the CCD. 2) Management were clearly foolish to tamper with a previously highly profitable business model. So I'll certainly be wary in future, of any company where a big change in business model is being implemented. Do management have the skills to control, and change a business? Clearly in this case, no they didn't. 3) Regulatory risks - the FCA seem to be looking much more closely at businesses like this, which essentially rip-off the poorest consumers. So to my mind, sensible investors really should avoid any business which is over-charging the poorest part of society. The regulatory risks could blow up at any time. Who knows where & when the next mis-selling scandal will blow up? 4) Big dividend yields are often a signal from the market that something is going wrong - and those big divis may not be sustainable. So I would look very carefully indeed at any share where the divi yield is above say 6% - that seems to be roughly the cut-off point where we have to tread much more carefully. Stockopedia is showing an 8.16% forecast dividend yield as of last night, just before the profit warning. Such a figure is well into danger territory. Overall though, I think this share is probably too risky to have a punt on now, without doing a lot more research. Although I think the value in Vanquis could now be more than the entire group market cap, maybe? That depends on how much profit is derived from the ROP product, which is not disclosed in today's announcement. Also, would I really want to hold shares in an exploitative business like this? No. I see that Woodford funds own 19.9% of PFG. Another disaster for them. I do wonder how much real due diligence they're doing? If it's just a scatter-gun approach, with little original research, then investors can do that themselves, without needing a fund manager. 599c7b84d613aPFG_chart.PNG EDIT - my thanks to Clouds, who kindly flagged up Neil Woodford's blog, with his response to the PFG profit warning. He reckons it's ridiculously cheap now, and should recover. Hmmm... we all say that, don't we. Interesting to see that a top fund manager is suffering from the same behavioural biases that novice private investors are often criticised for - averaging down on losing positions. The trouble is, big funds with big positions, often can't sell, even if they want to. Plus, the moment an RNS comes out, showing a big fund manager selling, then confidence in the share slips further. It will be interesting to see whether Woodford recoups his client funds on this one, or not. It will also be interesting to see how long his blog will continue to allow comments, given how critical a lot of them are (understandably)! Read Full Thread Follow Reply

Date

Subject

29/8/2019
08:30

robinnicolson: That doesn't explain the 7.9% share price rise on Tuesday...at one stage up more than 10%. Maybe there was a broker upgrade.

Read Full Thread

24/6/2019
09:21

bookbroker: Would have been better had PFG not made a counter offer against NSF, the weakness in NSF share price has now had a detrimental effect on PFG, Woodford once again to blame, I see him in the dock down the line over his gross mismanagement of assets, the bloke still refuses to admit to his misguided hubris! The belief that he is infallible when it comes to investing capital! As soon as the restrictions in place on redemptions are lifted, you will witness a rush for the exit!

Read Full Thread

14/6/2019
09:07

porsche1945: If Cannacord move to sell its a defo buy, Cannacord probably the worst broker, and thats saying something, at share ratings, truly abysmal and always wrong. A Canadian company whos own share price is in the dirt, that maybe is better sticking to Canada. That idiotd Woodford still having to unload these, when it stops and hopefully he is out for good, share price will recover.

Read Full Thread

14/6/2019
09:01