Share Name Share Symbol Market Type Share ISIN Share Description
Persimmon Plc LSE:PSN London Ordinary Share GB0006825383 ORD 10P
  Price Change % Change Share Price Shares Traded Last Trade
  -6.00 -0.25% 2,411.00 935,214 16:35:21
Bid Price Offer Price High Price Low Price Open Price
2,414.00 2,416.00 2,442.00 2,365.00 2,430.00
Industry Sector Turnover (m) Profit (m) EPS - Basic PE Ratio Market Cap (m)
Household Goods & Home Construction 3,649.40 1,040.80 266.80 9.0 7,690
Last Trade Time Trade Type Trade Size Trade Price Currency
17:48:30 O 282 2,415.626 GBX

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Date Time Title Posts
21/9/202019:23PERSIMMON PLC - THE CHARTS2,323
03/1/201021:52Persimmon - down 5% in a day! What's all that about?2
01/10/200915:27current market-
06/4/200909:00Persimmon - rise in summer?-

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Persimmon Daily Update: Persimmon Plc is listed in the Household Goods & Home Construction sector of the London Stock Exchange with ticker PSN. The last closing price for Persimmon was 2,417p.
Persimmon Plc has a 4 week average price of 2,260p and a 12 week average price of 2,245p.
The 1 year high share price is 3,328p while the 1 year low share price is currently 1,367.50p.
There are currently 318,946,448 shares in issue and the average daily traded volume is 1,275,848 shares. The market capitalisation of Persimmon Plc is £7,689,798,861.28.
garycook: Shares in two of the UK’s largest housebuilding groups, Persimmon (LSE: PSN) and Taylor Wimpey (LSE: TW), look deeply undervalued. According to my calculations, they have the potential to produce a total return for investors of more than 30% next year. Income and growth My forecast is based on a combination of their income and capital growth. At the time of writing, City analysts expect Persimmon to distribute a dividend equivalent to 9.5% of its current share price next year. Meanwhile, Taylor Wimpey is scheduled to throw off a dividend yield of around 10.5%. I have no reason to doubt these forecasts based on the information currently available. Both are generating a tremendous amount of cash from their operations, and have cash-rich balance sheets with no debt. On top of this, the demand for new houses in the UK is only increasing. Both political parties are promising to increase home building across the UK if they’re elected into power next week. So, as long as there’s no dramatic change in the political environment over the next 12-months (or Labour decides to nationalise the homebuilding industry) I see no reason why these companies cannot meet the City’s income targets. These dividend yields could be enough to help Taylor and Persimmon outperform the market in 2020 because, over the past decade, the FTSE 100 has produced an average annual total return of approximately 7%. However, I believe investors will also benefit from capital growth next year as well. Undervalued Political uncertainty has weighed on the share prices of home builders for the past few years. But as this uncertainty has started to lift, shares in both businesses have rallied. Since the beginning of September, when Boris Johnson set out to finish the UK’s divorce from the EU, shares in Persimmon and Taylor have increased by 32% and 17% respectively, excluding dividends. This suggests to me that if the Tories are elected back into power with a significant majority, these homebuilders could rally further. It’s difficult to tell what sort of market response this scenario would lead to but, according to my research, before the referendum in 2016, both were dealing at a mid-teens P/E multiple. With their shares dealing at forward earnings multiples of 9.5 and 8.6 respectively, this suggests there could be a potential upside on offer for investors of more than 30% from the current levels. When you add in the dividend income investors are set to receive over the next 12 months, it quickly becomes apparent these two companies have the potential to produce a return of around 40% for investors in 2020. These are only back-of-an-envelope calculations, but I believe they clearly show how undervalued these companies are. That upside that could be on offer for investors as some degree of certainty eventually returns to the UK political scene.
plumbertrade: How is the share price not taking a battering? First the news release and then the flat statement.
andyadvfn1: Any opinions, views on what we can expect tomorrow and the share price going forward?Around 20% of the year highs and not far away from the year low.
grahamg8: If revenues are up and margins expected to increase then we should see the EPS increase. As 235p was covered in the 2017 results there seems to be no reason to suspect that it won't be this year also. So we have 9.48% yield without consuming capital. If that continues for three years then there seems to be no reason to expect the share price to be any lower than at present. Remember Persimmon is cash rich unlike GFRD which has just had a rights issue = implies cash poor, although partly corrected. Also worth checking out the average property sale price against other builders which shows differences in target market and geographic spread. Topped up yesterday and happy to hold for income or trade for gains as sentiment rises and falls.
davius: With the regular hefty dividends and special dividends I had expected the share price to tread water, not be pushing close to an all time high. Persimmon is now second in my all time most profitable "proper" investment (as opposed to small short term punts), not far behind Centamin in overall gain. Very happy to continue to hold here.
sogoesit: From Shares Lead article 02 November: ARE HOUSEBUILDERS BUILT ON SOFT FOUNDATIONS? A rally in the housebuilding sector on expectations of further state support in the Budget on 22 November is coming to a juddering halt amid sceptical analyst comment, a slowdown in mortgage approvals and data which reveals the perilous state of Government fi nances. Investors have to decide if the housebuilders can continue to grow earnings and cash flow regardless, supported by an ongoing imbalance between supply and demand of housing stock. If so, investors might start weighing these companies based on earnings per share and dividend yield rather than the tradi onal measure of price to net asset value (NAV). The housebuilders are a case in point of why it can be a mistake to focus just on one valua on metric when considering an investment. On a price-to-earnings basis, and despite a strong run, they con nue to trade at a discount to the wider market at an average of just over 10 mes (FTSE All-Share around 15 mes) but based on price to NAV these shares are, for the most part, as expensive as they have been at any point since the fi nancial crisis. WHAT ARE THE MAIN CONCERNS? In a report published on 30 October, Barclays Capital expressed concerns about the sector’s valua on, highligh ng a risk that Government schemes to encourage home buying might disappoint, as well as outlining worries about skilled labour shortages. ‘One of Britain’s biggest ever post-elec on surveys revealed support for the Government at its lowest among the young. Ahead of the Autumn Budget, we believe one key tenet (“inter-genera onal fairness”) will be front and centre,’ it says. ‘Although measures could be impac ul, history suggests that they can lack teeth (solving our “broken” housing market is not easy) and we believe expecta ons may have run ahead of themselves. ‘This, together with strong share price performance – our housebuilder index is up 46% year-to-date (versus the FTSE 250 up 10%) – leads us to downgrade Persimmon (PSN) and Berkeley (BKG) (from equal weight to underweight) and Redrow (RDW), Bellway (BWY) and Taylor Wimpey (TW.) (from overweight to equal weight).’ KEY CONCERNS Investors owning housebuilders’ shares should think about what Brexit may eventually mean for demand, plus consider if house prices are ge ng too high (and therefore out of reach) for many poten al buyers, even when factoring in help from various Government schemes. An expected rst increase in interest rates in more than 10 years at today’s Bank of England mee ng (2 Nov) is another factor to consider, as the increased cost of mortgages could poten ally reduce demand for new build proper es. A VOLATILE SECTOR Shareholders in this sector have endured considerable vola lity in the last 10 years as the nancial crisis and the Brexit vote wiped billions o market valuations. Housebuilders’ balance sheets are in much be er shape to survive a downturn this me round. However, earnings and cash now remain sensitive to fluctuati ons in the wider property market and the ability to sustain profitability at current levels could be constrained by increasing labour and raw material costs. History suggests it would be a mistake to expect the current favourable condi ons in the sector to con nue inde nitely. (TS)
ali47fish: anyone cares to comment on this fool suggesting psn as a sell please! Why I’d dump Persimmon plc and buy this ‘expensiveR17; stock instead-Persimmon a ‘sell’.G A Chester | Monday, 30th October, 2017 | More on: LOK PSN Housebuilders have been one of the great investment plays since the 2008/09 recession, delivering huge rises in share prices and masses of dividends. However, housebuilding is a highly cyclical boom-and-bust industry and current valuations suggest to me that it’s time to be fearful when others are greedy. The table below shows some data at annual results dates for FTSE 100 housebuilder Persimmon (LSE: PSN) going back to the years before the last crash.   Market cap (£bn) Book value (£bn) Net profit (£m) P/B P/E Operating margin (%) Share price (p) 27/2/2017 6.26 2.74 625 2.3 10.0 25 2,030 23/2/2016 6.24 2.46 522 2.5 12.0 22 2,029 24/2/2015 5.06 2.19 372 2.3 13.6 18 1,650 25/2/2014 4.46 2.05 257 2.2 17.4 16 1,463 25/2/2013 2.72 1.99 170 1.4 16.0 13 898 28/2/2012 2.13 1.84 109 1.2 19.5 10 705 01/3/2011 1.36 1.74 115 0.8 11.8 8 452 02/3/2010 1.28 1.62 74 0.8 17.3 4 424 03/3/2009 1.13 1.56 (625) 0.7 n/a 11 375 26/2/2008 2.28 2.35 414 1.0 5.5 22 760 26/2/2007 4.41 1.84 396 2.4 11.1 21 1,473 27/2/2006 4.17 1.69 345 2.5 12.1 23 1,416 As you can see, before the last housing crash, Persimmon was posting record profits, operating margins were in the cyclically high 20s and P/Es were temptingly ‘undemanding’. But the share price had almost halved, even as it was reporting a record net profit of £414m in February 2008. And halved again by the time it reported a £625m loss a year later. As you can also see, the ideal time in the cycle to buy is when operating margins and profits are depressed, P/Es are high (or off the scale, as at the time of the £625m loss) and P/Bs are below one, indicating a discount to net assets. However, we’re now back to top-of-the-cycle operating margins in the 20s, record profits, undemanding P/Es but high P/Bs. In fact, at today’s share price of 2,800p and incorporating H1 numbers, the operating margin is 28% and the P/B is 3.2 — unprecedented highs. I don’t believe “it’s different this time.” And with UK personal borrowing at its highest level in history, interest rates set to rise, and house prices already falling in London, I see substantial downside risk. As such, I think the time has come to switch to rating Persimmon a ‘sell’.
davius: Persimmon doing well, single handedly pushing my ISA along very nicely indeed. Plenty of press coverage recently re the green paper I mentioned a couple of weeks ago, and the various party conferences all sounding positive too, with the government coming up with yet another plan to increase house building in the UK. The only negative I can see is that the share price is getting to look a bit "toppy". I'm holding for the time being.
isaready: In a nutshell, the price will say it all. The recent falls are not overdone. Remember this, share prices work 12/18 months ahead of the real world. Share Price peaked middle of 2006 and started falling. Share price started falling from that moment up until 2009. In the real word, house prices continued to rise till 2007, at least another 6/9 months or so until credit started drying up and prices reached high multiples. The same will happen here, Price has peaked and the share price will no doubt fall. In the meantime, prices may well rise for a bit longer, this is normal, say end 2016 if you are lucky. But once the peaks settle in, prices will start to fall. Rates cannot be cut anymore and its not feasible to say the housing market is SOUND or OK when you rely on government intervention for funding and the odd rate cut to support it. It's unstable. Simple as that. I won't need to prove anything, the market is telling you already, 9 months ahead. 50% less funding for commercial. Those who sold in London, some making 500K in 4 years on a property for 300K 4 years ago, have sold and gone.
Persimmon share price data is direct from the London Stock Exchange
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