Share Name Share Symbol Market Type Share ISIN Share Description
Persimmon LSE:PSN London Ordinary Share GB0006825383 ORD 10P
  Price Change % Change Share Price Bid Price Offer Price High Price Low Price Open Price Shares Traded Last Trade
  +27.00p +1.03% 2,651.00p 2,645.00p 2,647.00p 2,668.00p 2,592.00p 2,610.00p 1,384,624 16:35:14
Industry Sector Turnover (m) Profit (m) EPS - Basic PE Ratio Market Cap (m)
Household Goods & Home Construction 3,136.8 774.8 203.0 13.1 8,185.21

Persimmon Share Discussion Threads

Showing 3076 to 3100 of 3100 messages
Chat Pages: 124  123  122  121  120  119  118  117  116  115  114  113  Older
DateSubjectAuthorDiscuss
09/11/2017
15:25
Cheers IOMhere - I'm not a Doc, middle name Russell. :-) I see from HY results 30/6/17 hTTps://www.persimmonhomes.com/corporate/media/326696/half-year-results-2017.pdf The Group acquired a total of 9,319 new plots of land across 47 sites during the period, including 3,308 plots in 16 locations converted from our strategic land bank. The Group’s land spend was £369 million in the first half of the year (2016: £305 million). ----------------------------- 9319/2 = 4660 plots in a quarter, so 5526 is 18.5% more for less spend (£147m versus 369/2 = £184.50). Alarms bells rang for me on odd phrasing of land bank health, but with above sum, and bearing in mind development phasing etc will distort, I wouldn't say I am clear now, but no longer alarmed. IMO DYOR :-) Dave.
dr_smith
09/11/2017
13:37
Dr Smith I concur with your view in that its strategic land bank is land without planning permission. When councils approve any 'strategic' land for building PSN can claim it as an asset.
iomhere
08/11/2017
13:32
Thank-you bigbertie. Yes agree re no direct correlation between £ and plot numbers. Wasn't so much after cost per plot, but it seems odd to me that figures are given inclusive of internal costings but the net external landbank cost and change is skipped over.
dr_smith
08/11/2017
12:45
It sounds to me as if the £147m is the cash outflow on land in the period - ie not directly related to the 5526 plots. Some of the £147m relates to land they already own but have not yet paid for (the deferred land creditors). likewise some land bought in the period will not have been paid for yet. So you can't calculate cost per plot from those numbers IMHO. There could even be a deferred amount payable on strategic land if / when it gets planning permission, but I don't know if they do that - it could have more details in the annual report but I haven't looked (I sold the shares recently).
bigbertie
08/11/2017
10:17
Q3 trading statement extract: ------------ Management has continued to pursue new land opportunities on a selective basis. The Group acquired a total of 5,526 new plots and spent £147 million, including payment of deferred land creditors, during the period. Of the new plots acquired, 48% have been converted from our strategic land portfolio. We anticipate that the Group will achieve strong strategic land conversion over the next couple of years as local authorities complete their plans to identify sufficient land to meet the assessed housing need in their local communities. Management will marshal the Group's cash resources to ensure these reinvestment requirements are adequately supported. ----------- Re: "48% have been converted from our strategic land portfolio." Anyone know what this means? Perhaps land without planning permission held in one PSN group parent/subsiduary is transferred to a group subsiduary following planning permission - or completion of a speculative option purchase? Has land bank increased or perhaps depleted following an internal book transfer of "land" into planned plots. Are the new plots, real new plots or plots/land they had before but without planning permission? 5526 plots for £147m = £26,601 per plot average.
dr_smith
03/11/2017
07:07
From Shares Lead article 02 November: ARE HOUSEBUILDERS BUILT ON SOFT FOUNDATIONS? A rally in the housebuilding sector on expectations of further state support in the Budget on 22 November is coming to a juddering halt amid sceptical analyst comment, a slowdown in mortgage approvals and data which reveals the perilous state of Government fi nances. Investors have to decide if the housebuilders can continue to grow earnings and cash flow regardless, supported by an ongoing imbalance between supply and demand of housing stock. If so, investors might start weighing these companies based on earnings per share and dividend yield rather than the tradi onal measure of price to net asset value (NAV). The housebuilders are a case in point of why it can be a mistake to focus just on one valua on metric when considering an investment. On a price-to-earnings basis, and despite a strong run, they con nue to trade at a discount to the wider market at an average of just over 10 mes (FTSE All-Share around 15 mes) but based on price to NAV these shares are, for the most part, as expensive as they have been at any point since the fi nancial crisis. WHAT ARE THE MAIN CONCERNS? In a report published on 30 October, Barclays Capital expressed concerns about the sector’s valua on, highligh ng a risk that Government schemes to encourage home buying might disappoint, as well as outlining worries about skilled labour shortages. ‘One of Britain’s biggest ever post-elec on surveys revealed support for the Government at its lowest among the young. Ahead of the Autumn Budget, we believe one key tenet (“inter-genera onal fairness”) will be front and centre,’ it says. ‘Although measures could be impac ul, history suggests that they can lack teeth (solving our “broken” housing market is not easy) and we believe expecta ons may have run ahead of themselves. ‘This, together with strong share price performance – our housebuilder index is up 46% year-to-date (versus the FTSE 250 up 10%) – leads us to downgrade Persimmon (PSN) and Berkeley (BKG) (from equal weight to underweight) and Redrow (RDW), Bellway (BWY) and Taylor Wimpey (TW.) (from overweight to equal weight).’ KEY CONCERNS Investors owning housebuilders’ shares should think about what Brexit may eventually mean for demand, plus consider if house prices are ge ng too high (and therefore out of reach) for many poten al buyers, even when factoring in help from various Government schemes. An expected rst increase in interest rates in more than 10 years at today’s Bank of England mee ng (2 Nov) is another factor to consider, as the increased cost of mortgages could poten ally reduce demand for new build proper es. A VOLATILE SECTOR Shareholders in this sector have endured considerable vola lity in the last 10 years as the nancial crisis and the Brexit vote wiped billions o market valuations. Housebuilders’ balance sheets are in much be er shape to survive a downturn this me round. However, earnings and cash now remain sensitive to fluctuati ons in the wider property market and the ability to sustain profitability at current levels could be constrained by increasing labour and raw material costs. History suggests it would be a mistake to expect the current favourable condi ons in the sector to con nue inde nitely. (TS)
sogoesit
01/11/2017
13:31
Classic "it happened before so it will happen again" chartist nonsense. The problem with that kind of assumption is that it takes no account of how things move on, situations like the regular special dividend handing cash back, and outside influences such as government policy or how the housing market is performing. The company has shed loads of cash, a decent yield, continues to grow and is committed to returning further capital to shareholders. My average in my ISA is £16.17, I really don't care what this does in the next couple of weeks or months, as long as they keep making money and paying me dividends.
davius
01/11/2017
13:22
does he not understand 'help to buy'?
mr woodentop
30/10/2017
17:47
anyone cares to comment on this fool suggesting psn as a sell please! Why I’d dump Persimmon plc and buy this ‘expensiveR17; stock instead-Persimmon a ‘sell’.G A Chester | Monday, 30th October, 2017 | More on: LOK PSN Housebuilders have been one of the great investment plays since the 2008/09 recession, delivering huge rises in share prices and masses of dividends. However, housebuilding is a highly cyclical boom-and-bust industry and current valuations suggest to me that it’s time to be fearful when others are greedy. The table below shows some data at annual results dates for FTSE 100 housebuilder Persimmon (LSE: PSN) going back to the years before the last crash.   Market cap (£bn) Book value (£bn) Net profit (£m) P/B P/E Operating margin (%) Share price (p) 27/2/2017 6.26 2.74 625 2.3 10.0 25 2,030 23/2/2016 6.24 2.46 522 2.5 12.0 22 2,029 24/2/2015 5.06 2.19 372 2.3 13.6 18 1,650 25/2/2014 4.46 2.05 257 2.2 17.4 16 1,463 25/2/2013 2.72 1.99 170 1.4 16.0 13 898 28/2/2012 2.13 1.84 109 1.2 19.5 10 705 01/3/2011 1.36 1.74 115 0.8 11.8 8 452 02/3/2010 1.28 1.62 74 0.8 17.3 4 424 03/3/2009 1.13 1.56 (625) 0.7 n/a 11 375 26/2/2008 2.28 2.35 414 1.0 5.5 22 760 26/2/2007 4.41 1.84 396 2.4 11.1 21 1,473 27/2/2006 4.17 1.69 345 2.5 12.1 23 1,416 As you can see, before the last housing crash, Persimmon was posting record profits, operating margins were in the cyclically high 20s and P/Es were temptingly ‘undemanding’. But the share price had almost halved, even as it was reporting a record net profit of £414m in February 2008. And halved again by the time it reported a £625m loss a year later. As you can also see, the ideal time in the cycle to buy is when operating margins and profits are depressed, P/Es are high (or off the scale, as at the time of the £625m loss) and P/Bs are below one, indicating a discount to net assets. However, we’re now back to top-of-the-cycle operating margins in the 20s, record profits, undemanding P/Es but high P/Bs. In fact, at today’s share price of 2,800p and incorporating H1 numbers, the operating margin is 28% and the P/B is 3.2 — unprecedented highs. I don’t believe “it’s different this time.” And with UK personal borrowing at its highest level in history, interest rates set to rise, and house prices already falling in London, I see substantial downside risk. As such, I think the time has come to switch to rating Persimmon a ‘sell’.
ali47fish
26/10/2017
07:19
Thanks glanthorpe. I had Galliford on my watchlist but haven’t followed up. Will take a look at Crest. Telford is also a lower house price builder I think. Who are the buyers? 4 million immigrants in last decade, maybe?
sogoesit
25/10/2017
07:43
Hi Sogo. If you are looking for yield from builders I suggest you look at Galliford or Crest Nicholson . The politicians are talking utter rubbish about 250000 new homes a year with skilled labour already very short and completions nowhere near 250000 it would take at least 5 years to get anywhere near. Besides which where are the buyers with the funds to buy all these extra homes? It would have to be BTL or social housing on a big scale Corbyn ?
ganthorpe
24/10/2017
09:28
HSBC today raises TP to 3078 (very precise!) from 3000 - BUY rating.
sogoesit
23/10/2017
09:46
At 2860p the running yield is now 3.85%. I have house builders for income and my threshold is around 6% yield to buy. Is the market expecting increased payouts or is this becoming relatively over-valued? Highest broker view I can find is 2800 “Overweight221; by JP Morgan on 29 September. Any views?
sogoesit
19/10/2017
12:02
You need some ointment. Sellers don't simply up their price because someone admits to being a first time buyer. What nonsense. The reality is that FTBs usually go for smaller properties, which are often sold by those moving on into newer houses. There's a shed load of building going on where I live, 3000+ houses, virtually none are sold to FTBs.
davius
17/10/2017
09:20
Even if FTBs were to pay ZERO stamp duty it would make no difference as sellers would simply increase the selling price for the exact same amount! Happens every time, as history has shown. You cannot solve the housing 'price' problem with this type of flawed policy - it has the exact opposite effect! Just insane!
itchycrack
17/10/2017
08:07
U.K. Housebuilders May Be Active After Report of Stamp Duty Cut By Aleksandra Gjorgievska (Bloomberg) -- U.K. housebuilders and estate agents may move after Evening Standard reported a big cut in stamp duty for first-time buyers is being considered for next month’s budget. “The plan is worth thousands of pounds to hard-working young people struggling to get on the property ladder,” Standard said Prime Minister Theresa May’s conservative party earlier this month announced a 10-billion-pound extension to the “Help to Buy: Equity Loan” program Watch Barratt Developments, Berkeley Group Holdings, Countryside Properties, Foxtons Group Homebuilders may also be active after Bellway reported results; the company forecast volume growth of at least 5% in new financial year, subject to market conditions
nick100
10/10/2017
15:56
Persimmon doing well, single handedly pushing my ISA along very nicely indeed. Plenty of press coverage recently re the green paper I mentioned a couple of weeks ago, and the various party conferences all sounding positive too, with the government coming up with yet another plan to increase house building in the UK. The only negative I can see is that the share price is getting to look a bit "toppy". I'm holding for the time being.
davius
02/10/2017
07:05
House builders seem to be doing well today
andyadvfn1
20/9/2017
00:21
There has been government policy for some time to increase housing but the govt don't build houses so "how we can achieve this goal" missuses the word "we". I am not shooting the messenger Davius, but underlining the weak handle gov't have and can have on the issue and help to buy etc has no effect on the number of homes being built.
dr_smith
19/9/2017
21:27
I have been at the National Housing Federation Exhibition and Conference today. One of the most significant statements, repeated numerous times, is the need for 250000 new homes in the UK each year. A green paper was announced by Sajid Javid, Secretary of State for Communities and Local Government at the conference this morning, which will look at all aspects of housing and how we can achieve this goal. I heard nothing likely to be detrimental to the major house builders in the UK, in fact quite the reverse. I continue to hold Persimmon.
davius
22/8/2017
08:01
No mention of the problem of leasehold sales of houses compared with the previous practice of selling freehold as far as I can see in the results.
haroldthegreat
22/8/2017
07:21
Another spectacular set of results today. There seems to be no stopping Persimmon. I continue to hold in my ISA, it continues to reward.
davius
15/8/2017
09:54
Shortage is a popular myth, many houses stand empty.Does everyone want to live in the SE...can they...answers on back of a postcard please
17902
06/8/2017
16:35
Whether htb comes or goes or is reviewed ot tweaked Whether interest rates go up or down Whether sales are by f/h or l/h (with or without sensible rent)... There is still a housing shortage and with build rates below population increases it will continue to be so for the future.. until past the time we have nails banged into the coffin.. if that is your chosen exit plan. IMO :-)
dr_smith
06/8/2017
10:08
Price will not be helped by end of htb and lease problems.once more people learn about both problems via the popular press there will be further price declines. increase in bank rate will be a further nail in the coffin.
haroldthegreat
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