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OPG Opg Power Ventures Plc

5.75
0.60 (11.65%)
Last Updated: 12:00:48
Delayed by 15 minutes
Share Name Share Symbol Market Type Share ISIN Share Description
Opg Power Ventures Plc LSE:OPG London Ordinary Share IM00B2R3RX72 ORD 0.0147P
  Price Change % Change Share Price Shares Traded Last Trade
  0.60 11.65% 5.75 1,000,907 12:00:48
Bid Price Offer Price High Price Low Price Open Price
5.50 6.00 6.00 5.50 5.50
Industry Sector Turnover Profit EPS - Basic PE Ratio Market Cap
Electric Services 155.69M 4.11M 0.0103 5.58 20.64M
Last Trade Time Trade Type Trade Size Trade Price Currency
14:09:54 O 57,921 5.87 GBX

Opg Power Ventures (OPG) Latest News (6)

Opg Power Ventures (OPG) Discussions and Chat

Opg Power Ventures Forums and Chat

Date Time Title Posts
20/12/202409:42OPG Power1,430
27/10/202201:26OPG Power Beware of self confessed scammer4
26/10/202212:43OPG- INDIAN OPG POWER PLANTS. MASSIVE UP-COMING GROWTH6,123
29/5/201413:39OPG Power - India1,638

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Opg Power Ventures (OPG) Most Recent Trades

Trade Time Trade Price Trade Size Trade Value Trade Type
14:09:555.8757,9213,399.96O
13:57:045.8717,035999.95O
13:32:025.8750,0002,935.00O
13:27:475.8740,0002,348.00O
13:14:295.8930,0001,767.00O

Opg Power Ventures (OPG) Top Chat Posts

Top Posts
Posted at 20/12/2024 09:42 by rivaldo
Very good H1 results, setting up OPG for a massive beat of what now look like very conservative forecasts.

The H1 £4.3m PBT means OPG only need to make £0.8m PBT in H2 merely to meet forecasts of £5.1m PBT and 1.2p EPS.

Cavendish have a 28p target price predicated on their forecasts, so there must be decent further upside on a beat.

The £22.3m net cash is more than the current m/cap! Of course this may or may not be an unusually high balance due to payment schedules etc, but the £4.5m forecast year end cash pile also now looks seriously underpowered.

Particularly as coal prices - OPG's main cost - which rose in late September/October have plummeted in November and December to their lowest levels since March:
Posted at 20/11/2024 23:51 by jeffian
#1410,

I would say (from bitter experience!) it is far more likely that a dominant shareholder is likely to use the trashed share price to take it private for a song.
Posted at 19/11/2024 09:10 by igoe104
Its a interesting situation with opg. The CEO has had lots of assets seized including 700k cash at his own home because of alleged Money laundering issues. In the meantime the shareprice has fallen from 9.5p to 6p. The CEO owns 51% of the company, so if they want to seize his stake in the company surely the company will probably be put up for sale and anyway if found guilty he will lose his directorships.

Opg owns 414 MW and the NAV is currently at 42p. So if this issue is only individual persific and not company persific, it might work out for holders if they are forced to sell up because even at a large discount to the NAV 25p to 30p sale, holders will multi bag especially from this level.

But it certainly doesn't come without risk, as if its company persific, holders could get zero. But at the current price 6p its worth the risk in my eyes.
Posted at 13/11/2024 10:49 by tim000
You say it nearly trades on a P/E of 2, but the interesting question is what is OPG’s most appropriate measure of profits? I’m not sure there’s a single conclusive answer to that. The company highlights EBITDA, but it does pay a lot of interest and tax. I don’t care about depreciation, that’s just an accounting concept not particularly relevant to a long-life power generating asset. It’s certainly a highly cash generating business in a country with rapid growth in power demand. My view is that if/when they decide to return a high proportion of FCF to shareholders, the share price will indeed rocket. But possibly not before then and the next annual results are about ten months away. It’s then that the company will review its capital allocation policy.
Posted at 05/11/2024 11:04 by rivaldo
All OPG need to do imo to get the share price moving is to continue as they are - if they can continue to produce improving EPS/profits and a growing cash pile then the share price will follow.

Once the cash has really piled up then OPG could announce the resumption of dividends to further boost sentiment.

I suspect that OPG have learnt their lessons in terms of diversification and will concentrate on what should be a winning strategy in terms of leveraging the continuing and long-term boom in demand for power in India.
Posted at 05/11/2024 10:08 by rivaldo
Last year's H1 results were on 13th December, so not long to go.

With historic 1.02p EPS increasing to 1.2p EPS forecast to March'25, and OPG now having £3.6m net cash (incl. restricted cash), OPG looks in excellent shape with Cavendish forecasting a much lower tax charge this year offsetting higher distribution costs and thus a lower PBT.

We already know that OPG are getting 70% plant load this year, slightly ahead of last year, and they've told us that coal and freight prices continue to normalise.

Cavendish have a 28p target price and note 42.3p per share of NAV.

These forthcoming results should be enough to get things moving nicely if all goes well.
Posted at 23/10/2024 11:02 by rivaldo
Indeed, quite a few interesting comments. Although I found it impossible to understand Ajit, the CFO - he needs to slow down and enunciate more clearly.

A few quick notes:

- "actively considering" future strategy, including returning cash to shareholders via dividends or buybacks, acquisitions etc
- OPG are generating "good profits and good cash"
- in a couple of years the cash generated (I assume annually) will equal the current m/cap!
- 65% of the shareholders, incl.Gupta and the largest other inst. shareholder (who they've spoken to recently), are firm holders, as are the other institutional holders
- OPG will not be delisting and they're "fully committed" to a UK listing
- as regards an Indian dual listing, there's no fungibility between UK and Indian shares, plus they'd have to raise £50m-£60m and do something with the cash, which seems pointless given OPG's fast-rising net cash
- I couldn't understand the CFO's answer about the solar debentures. Anyone else?
Posted at 27/9/2024 09:47 by rivaldo
For those without access, Cavendish's new note has a 28p target price:

"We are basing our valuation on a forward EV/EBITDA multiple for OPG Power, based on FY25E. The peer group average multiple is 11.0x. We apply a small-cap discount for OPG, which we are conservatively setting at 30%, for a target multiple of 7.7x. This give us a target price of 28.0p, which is an increase from our previous target of 27.0p."

Cavendish summarise:

"Recovery confirmed – The cheapest way into India

OPG Power reported FY March 2024 results which were better than our forecasts at the EBITDA and net debt levels and in line or better overall. The period saw normalisation of coal prices following the disruption caused by Covid and saw Plant Load Factor recover to 69.2%.

We expect OPG to continue operating at good levels of plant utilisation, sustaining profitability and cash flow. We are introducing forecasts for FY March 2025E. We expect the net cash position to continue rising over coming years and, with the shares trading on an EV/EBITDA of only 3.0x to March 2025, OPG offers investors a cheap way to gain exposure to the dynamic and fast-growing Indian economy. Our price target of 28p is based on a conservative discount to comparable Indian companies."

"Valuation upside:

We value OPG by comparison with the Indian power utilities sector using EV/EBITDA multiples. The valuation table is included on page 3. OPG compares favourably to this peer group in terms of balance sheet strength and cash generation. We nonetheless base our valuation on a conservative small-cap discount of 30% for OPG, in line with wider market valuation trends, and arrive at a target price of 28.0p. The valuation is also underpinned by a strong asset base, with an NAV of 42.3p per share."
Posted at 10/9/2024 15:24 by tim000
That may even be a retail price, it’s not trustworthy. OPG usually gives info on its coal prices paid in its trading updates. I don’t expect there has been any coal price inflation this year, as I say. A positive for OPG investors is that it’s something of a counter-cyclical stock and hence provides useful portfolio diversification. Indian demand for power is always high, meaning producers always have high capacity utilization of their plants. By contrast, input costs (ie costs of thermal coal) are cyclical and so margins and profits should be counter cyclical.
The company has been opaque in the last couple of years about its true ambitions - does it wish to be a growth company (past forays into renewables and geographical diversification away from Chennai have failed and had to be reversed), or a safe dividend stock? It has mentioned buying coal mining assets if I remember correctly, but fortunately nothing has come to pass on that. They’ll be much better off with a strategy of deleveraging and returning capital to shareholders. As mentioned, that would see a much higher share price.
Posted at 29/8/2024 13:12 by gb904150
To be fair, until OPG show a willingness to distribute profits then the share price is perfectly correct in languishing where it is.

It's not enough to be cheap but hopefully OPG will soon have so much cash it will be embarrassing not to distribute it.

They've made hints at a willingness to do so in previous RNS's but nothing yet.

From the 2023 Annual Report:

Dividend policy
One of the OPG’s paramount objectives is to
maximise stakeholders’ long-term value. Keeping
in mind, the disruptions and uncertainty caused by
the extraordinary volatility in coal prices and related
freight, the management, in consonance with the
Board believes that it is in the best interests of the
Group and its stakeholders to conserve cash. The cash
thus accumulated will be used to maintain a strong
and resilient balance sheet to withstand turbulent
times. Therefore, the Board decided not to declare a
dividend for FY 23. The Board will revisit the Group’s
dividend policy in due course.

Dividends
Due to the disruptions caused by the extraordinary
volatility in coal prices and freight, the Board has made
the decision in the best interests of the Group and its
stakeholders to conserve cash. This cash conservation
will be allocated for debt repayment, funding growth
in ESG-focused projects, and ensuring a strong
and resilient balance sheet capable of withstanding
turbulent times. Consequently, the Board has chosen
not to declare a dividend for FY 23.
The Board plans to review the Company’s dividend
policy at a later date, once coal prices and electricity
tariffs stabilise.

The real question is what does Arvind Gupta want?

When he decides he wants dividends he will get them.

One of the reasons the share price also stays so low is the lack of balance to ownership. A majority stake is never good.

It was healthier when there were lots of ii's holding stakes. But they all sold out following the CSR/ESG/EDI/net zero edicts.
Opg Power Ventures share price data is direct from the London Stock Exchange

Opg Power Ventures Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

What is the current Opg Power Ventures share price?
The current share price of Opg Power Ventures is 5.75p
How many Opg Power Ventures shares are in issue?
Opg Power Ventures has 400,733,511 shares in issue
What is the market cap of Opg Power Ventures?
The market capitalisation of Opg Power Ventures is GBP 20.64M
What is the 1 year trading range for Opg Power Ventures share price?
Opg Power Ventures has traded in the range of 4.15p to 12.75p during the past year
What is the PE ratio of Opg Power Ventures?
The price to earnings ratio of Opg Power Ventures is 5.58
What is the cash to sales ratio of Opg Power Ventures?
The cash to sales ratio of Opg Power Ventures is 0.15
What is the reporting currency for Opg Power Ventures?
Opg Power Ventures reports financial results in GBP
What is the latest annual turnover for Opg Power Ventures?
The latest annual turnover of Opg Power Ventures is GBP 155.69M
What is the latest annual profit for Opg Power Ventures?
The latest annual profit of Opg Power Ventures is GBP 4.11M
What is the registered address of Opg Power Ventures?
The registered address for Opg Power Ventures is 55 ATHOL STREET, DOUGLAS, ISLE OF MAN, IM1 1LA
What is the Opg Power Ventures website address?
The website address for Opg Power Ventures is www.opgpower.com
Which industry sector does Opg Power Ventures operate in?
Opg Power Ventures operates in the ELECTRIC SERVICES sector

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