Good afternoon Arja it was a strange trading day yesterday. |
surprised at the quite big pullback for OCDO yesterday but must have been some reason for it . nice weekend all . |
7 yes approx since Kr partnership announced, time for Ocado to show its shareholders the return. |
Looking for the RNS on or around the 16/01/25 ?? |
 Why Ocado is a Buy: A Deeply Undervalued Gem on the UK Stock Market
The UK stock market remains in a state of relative stagnation, with valuations for many companies at multi-decade lows. This has fueled a narrative of pessimism among investors and analysts alike. Yet, this broad malaise has also created unique opportunities for those willing to look past the short-term gloom. One such opportunity is Ocado Group Plc, a stock that not only remains undervalued but also holds the potential for a dramatic rebound.
Lingotto's Investment Speaks Volumes
In a market where institutional backing is often seen as a strong signal, Lingotto Investment Management’s recent doubling of its stake in Ocado is a game-changer. Lingotto, a respected name in global finance, has displayed conviction in Ocado’s long-term prospects, signaling to the broader market that this is a company with immense untapped potential. This confidence from a major institutional investor should not be overlooked, particularly in a stock that has been heavily shorted in recent months.
A Depressed Market—But Not a Depressed Opportunity
It’s no secret that the UK stock market has underperformed relative to global peers. Muted growth forecasts, and investor hesitancy to allocate capital to UK-listed equities have all contributed to the malaise. Yet, this environment has little to do with Ocado’s fundamentals or its long-term value proposition. Instead, it represents a mispricing opportunity for savvy investors to take advantage of the broader pessimism.
Indeed, Ocado’s world-leading proprietary technology, partnerships with major global retailers, and position at the forefront of automation and e-commerce logistics make it an outlier in an otherwise subdued market. This isn’t a business bogged down by lack of growth; it’s a disruptor poised to capitalize on major global trends.
Analyst Optimism: A Trebling of Share Price?
Some analysts have gone as far as to suggest a trebling of Ocado’s share price is within reach, and while this may sound ambitious to some, it isn’t far-fetched when you examine the fundamentals. Ocado’s long-term contracts, innovative technology, and first-mover advantage in online grocery logistics could yield exponential returns. The company's ability to roll out its proprietary Smart Platform globally makes it a scalable operation with significant margin expansion opportunities as more retailers integrate its technology.
The Short Squeeze Potential
One of the most compelling catalysts for a rapid recovery in Ocado’s share price lies in the shorts that have piled into the stock. Heavy short interest often creates a powder keg for price movements. Once buying pressure begins to build—whether driven by institutional activity like Lingotto’s or a shift in sentiment—short sellers will be forced to cover their positions. This creates a self-reinforcing cycle where buying accelerates as shorts scramble to exit.
We’ve seen this dynamic play out in other heavily shorted stocks, and Ocado is particularly well-positioned for such a squeeze given its fundamentally sound business model and strong institutional backing. This phenomenon could accelerate any rebound far beyond what normal buying pressure alone would achieve.
Conclusion
While the UK stock market may currently be in a depressed state, Ocado offers investors a golden opportunity to capitalize on a fundamentally strong company that remains misunderstood and undervalued. Lingotto’s doubling of its stake is a clear vote of confidence, and the prospect of a short squeeze adds an additional layer of upside potential. For those with the patience to ride out short-term volatility, Ocado could prove to be one of the most compelling buys in the UK market today.
Investors should focus not on the broader market’s malaise but on the company’s unique strengths, global opportunities, and a potential price rebound that could come faster and sharper than many anticipate. |
2025 should mean either Ocado can deliver or it splits itself up, becoming a retailer and IT logistics with shareholders given shares in each entity. In splitting the business it may encourage more partnerships with big retailers and logistics firms? |
Why Ocado is a Buy: A Deeply Undervalued Gem on the UK Stock Market
The UK stock market remains in a state of relative stagnation, with valuations for many companies at multi-decade lows. This has fueled a narrative of pessimism among investors and analysts alike. Yet, this broad malaise has also created unique opportunities for those willing to look past the short-term gloom. One such opportunity is Ocado Group Plc, a stock that not only remains undervalued but also holds the potential for a dramatic rebound.
Lingotto's Investment Speaks Volumes
In a market where institutional backing is often seen as a strong signal, Lingotto Investment Management’s recent doubling of its stake in Ocado is a game-changer. Lingotto, a respected name in global finance, has displayed conviction in Ocado’s long-term prospects, signaling to the broader market that this is a company with immense untapped potential. This confidence from a major institutional investor should not be overlooked, particularly in a stock that has been heavily shorted in recent months.
A Depressed Market—But Not a Depressed Opportunity
It’s no secret that the UK stock market has underperformed relative to global peers. Muted growth forecasts, and investor hesitancy to allocate capital to UK-listed equities have all contributed to the malaise. Yet, this environment has little to do with Ocado’s fundamentals or its long-term value proposition. Instead, it represents a mispricing opportunity for savvy investors to take advantage of the broader pessimism.
Indeed, Ocado’s world-leading proprietary technology, partnerships with major global retailers, and position at the forefront of automation and e-commerce logistics make it an outlier in an otherwise subdued market. This isn’t a business bogged down by lack of growth; it’s a disruptor poised to capitalize on major global trends.
Analyst Optimism: A Trebling of Share Price?
Some analysts have gone as far as to suggest a trebling of Ocado’s share price is within reach, and while this may sound ambitious to some, it isn’t far-fetched when you examine the fundamentals. Ocado’s long-term contracts, innovative technology, and first-mover advantage in online grocery logistics could yield exponential returns. The company's ability to roll out its proprietary Smart Platform globally makes it a scalable operation with significant margin expansion opportunities as more retailers integrate its technology.
The Short Squeeze Potential
One of the most compelling catalysts for a rapid recovery in Ocado’s share price lies in the shorts that have piled into the stock. Heavy short interest often creates a powder keg for price movements. Once buying pressure begins to build—whether driven by institutional activity like Lingotto’s or a shift in sentiment—short sellers will be forced to cover their positions. This creates a self-reinforcing cycle where buying accelerates as shorts scramble to exit.
We’ve seen this dynamic play out in other heavily shorted stocks, and Ocado is particularly well-positioned for such a squeeze given its fundamentally sound business model and strong institutional backing. This phenomenon could accelerate any rebound far beyond what normal buying pressure alone would achieve.
Conclusion
While the UK stock market may currently be in a depressed state, Ocado offers investors a golden opportunity to capitalize on a fundamentally strong company that remains misunderstood and undervalued. Lingotto’s doubling of its stake is a clear vote of confidence, and the prospect of a short squeeze adds an additional layer of upside potential. For those with the patience to ride out short-term volatility, Ocado could prove to be one of the most compelling buys in the UK market today.
Investors should focus not on the broader market’s malaise but on the company’s unique strengths, global opportunities, and a potential price rebound that could come faster and sharper than many anticipate. |
Everybody knows that Ocado has debts of £1.2 Billion to service and it will have to reduce that figure with another fund raising (share placing and rights issue).
Its coming. |
From half year results: looking forward to full year results next month!
● Underlying cash outflow*2 of £(197)m: £101m improvement vs. 1H23, driven by higher revenues, increasing EBITDA margins, lower capex and good cost control; continuing a sequential improvement in the Group's cash flow. Liquidity remains strong at £1,047m (1H23: £1,309m)
● Improving mid-term cash trajectory: underlying cash outflows in FY24 now expected to be around £150m lower (improvement) vs. FY23. Clear roadmap for Group to turn cash flow positive during FY26.
● Raising FY24 EBITDA* & cash flow guidance: Underlying cash flow* expected to improve by £150m (previously £100m); Technology Solutions to achieve a mid-teens EBITDA margin (>10% previously) |
Lol nice try - nah - don't think so. |
MARKET BRACED FOR A SIZEABLE FUND RAISING AT OCADO
====================================================
Everything hung on grocery retailer OCADO having a decent Christmas, but a series of calamities including failed deliveries, missing items and robotics failures meant it just didn't happen.
Not even a prime time advertising campaign offering to 'match Tesco prices on some groceries' has done enough to win over new customers and then retain them.
Consequently OCADO is likely to need a substantial fund raising cash injection if things don’t pick up soon. Shareholders are likely to find out by late-January or mid-February.
Worryingly, if the company manages to limp through in the short term, the longer-term prospects for the business look very shaky, at best. |
Today's announcement that Lingotto, backed by the Agnelli family's Exor empire, has more than doubled its stake in Ocado is a resounding vote of confidence from one of the most astute and strategic investment groups in the world.
The Agnelli family, renowned for its long-term, value-driven approach to capital allocation, clearly sees Ocado as a transformative player in the global retail and technology landscape.
Such a significant increase in holding not only underscores the immense growth potential in Ocado’s business model and proprietary technology but also signals to the market that a seasoned, influential investor believes the company is deeply undervalued at current levels.
This move should serve as a wake-up call for sceptics, reaffirming Ocado’s position as a compelling long-term investment with substantial upside.
The Agnelli family, controls:
Stellantis,
CNH Industrial,
Ferrari,
Juventus FC,
Cushman & Wakefield,
The Economist Group.
To name but a few.
Todays increase in holding is IMMENSELY interesting.
Could it be they have their sights set on Ocado? |
Today's announcement that Lingotto, backed by the Agnelli family's Exor empire, has more than doubled its stake in Ocado is a resounding vote of confidence from one of the most astute and strategic investment groups in the world.
The Agnelli family, renowned for its long-term, value-driven approach to capital allocation, clearly sees Ocado as a transformative player in the global retail and technology landscape.
Such a significant increase in holding not only underscores the immense growth potential in Ocado’s business model and proprietary technology but also signals to the market that a seasoned, influential investor believes the company is deeply undervalued at current levels.
This move should serve as a wake-up call for sceptics, reaffirming Ocado’s position as a compelling long-term investment with substantial upside.
The Agnelli family, controls:
Stellantis,
CNH Industrial,
Ferrari,
Juventus FC,
Cushman & Wakefield,
The Economist Group.
To name but a few.
Todays increase in holding is IMMENSELY interesting.
Could it be they have their sights set on Ocado? |
Weakness of GBP makes many good UK institutions attractive to foreign entities. I hope Ocado can resist an opportunistic bid. |
Nice to see that Lingotto are stake building in Ocado (see RNS). Interesting.. |
Well written and factual |
The arrogance and short-sightedness of some market participants never ceases to amaze. Ocado has consistently delivered stellar performance, achieving record-breaking growth for 14 consecutive periods and solidifying its position as the fastest-growing online supermarket retailer. Despite this undeniable success—and the share price reaching over £6 within the last year—market manipulation and fear-driven sentiment have pushed the stock down to just above £3. The media coverage only adds to the absurdity, with stories celebrating a so-called “surge” from £2.76, as if the market itself hadn’t artificially depressed the price in the first place.
Meanwhile, analysts are issuing strong buy recommendations with price targets in the £8–£9 range, and rightly so. The CEO, aligned with long-term shareholder value, stands to earn a significant bonus once the shares reach £29—a level well within reach given Ocado’s robust fundamentals and growth trajectory.
The broader issue here is the structural dysfunction of the UK market, which appears to encourage fear-mongering and manipulation rather than fostering genuine investment confidence. The increasing short positions are a glaring symptom of this problem. By contrast, markets in the US impose stricter regulations against such behavior, making them a far more attractive option for a company like Ocado. A UK delisting in favor of a US listing would not only unlock greater value but also shield the company from the corrosive practices plaguing the UK market.
The recent Ocado update was entirely expected; industry insiders and even trade publications anticipated the positive news. Yet, in the lead-up, sentiment allowed the share price to slide from £4 to below £3, only for the market to feign excitement over a modest rebound to £3.10. The inconsistency is as baffling as it is frustrating.
Ocado remains a compelling investment opportunity. Its potential far exceeds incremental gains to £4, £5, or even £9.20; the company is well-positioned for a long-term climb to £29 and beyond. For those pursuing weekly trading opportunities, Ocado offers volatility and steady 10% swings. However, for investors seeking transformational wealth, the strategy is simple: buy, hold, and let Ocado’s operational excellence and market leadership drive exponential growth.
One can only hope that institutional pressure prompts the board to seriously consider delisting from the UK market in favour of the US, where Ocado’s performance would be appropriately valued and market manipulation deterred. |
The arrogance and short-sightedness of some market participants never ceases to amaze. Ocado has consistently delivered stellar performance, achieving record-breaking growth for 14 consecutive periods and solidifying its position as the fastest-growing online supermarket retailer. Despite this undeniable success—and the share price reaching over £6 within the last year—market manipulation and fear-driven sentiment have pushed the stock down to just above £3. The media coverage only adds to the absurdity, with stories celebrating a so-called “surge” from £2.76, as if the market itself hadn’t artificially depressed the price in the first place.
Meanwhile, analysts are issuing strong buy recommendations with price targets in the £8–£9 range, and rightly so. The CEO, aligned with long-term shareholder value, stands to earn a significant bonus once the shares reach £29—a level well within reach given Ocado’s robust fundamentals and growth trajectory.
The broader issue here is the structural dysfunction of the UK market, which appears to encourage fear-mongering and manipulation rather than fostering genuine investment confidence. The increasing short positions are a glaring symptom of this problem. By contrast, markets in the US impose stricter regulations against such behavior, making them a far more attractive option for a company like Ocado. A UK delisting in favor of a US listing would not only unlock greater value but also shield the company from the corrosive practices plaguing the UK market.
The recent Ocado update was entirely expected; industry insiders and even trade publications anticipated the positive news. Yet, in the lead-up, sentiment allowed the share price to slide from £4 to below £3, only for the market to feign excitement over a modest rebound to £3.10. The inconsistency is as baffling as it is frustrating.
Ocado remains a compelling investment opportunity. Its potential far exceeds incremental gains to £4, £5, or even £9.20; the company is well-positioned for a long-term climb to £29 and beyond. For those pursuing weekly trading opportunities, Ocado offers volatility and steady 10% swings. However, for investors seeking transformational wealth, the strategy is simple: buy, hold, and let Ocado’s operational excellence and market leadership drive exponential growth.
One can only hope that institutional pressure prompts the board to seriously consider delisting from the UK market in favour of the US, where Ocado’s performance would be appropriately valued and market manipulation deterred. |
US indices futures including nasdaq up from UK close yesterday . This augurs for tech stocks and OCDO is in that category I guess . Might well get to the 330 chart resistance today and good luck to all holding stock :) |
920 pence target |
The huge trade is the usual ut |
This was always a ridiculous short at these levels. £4 plus very easily short term |
Huge buy after hours today. Bodes very well indeed - lots more to come |
Were all hoping you were very short on this. Wrong again wishy |
Register for streaming realtime charts, analysis tools, and prices.
Hot Features
Premium
