Imperial Brands Dividends - IMB

Imperial Brands Dividends - IMB

Stock Name Stock Symbol Market Stock Type
Imperial Brands Plc IMB London Ordinary Share
  Price Change Price Change % Stock Price Last Trade
10.00 0.49% 2,044.00 16:35:02
Open Price Low Price High Price Close Price Previous Close
2,031.00 2,024.00 2,058.00 2,044.00 2,034.00
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Industry Sector

Imperial Brands IMB Dividends History

Announcement Date Type Currency Dividend Amount Period Start Period End Ex Date Record Date Payment Date Total Dividend Amount

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Top Posts
Posted at 01/2/2023 09:07 by kiwi2007
All about BAT but worth a read - even better if you read the full FT article.

Snippets from todays LEX column

......cigarette sales are declining in the US. This is BAT’s largest market, contributing about half of sales and operating profits. Moreover, BAT is ceding market share to rivals there. Analysts forecast BAT’s US cigarette revenue will grow at an average compound rate of just 2.3 per cent through 2030, probably less than inflation........

Cigarettes should nevertheless continue financing a steep 7 per cent dividend yield, at least for the next few years. Lex values future payments on the conservative assumptions including long-term growth rates of just 1 per cent and long bond yields of about 3.3 per cent. We think BAT is worth about £33 per share today. That is 6 per cent higher than the market price. (when written).......

3.Lex charts showing:

1 The cigarette maker has lost market share in the US for its most important product.

2The US and cigarettes still generate the bulk of cash flows which more than cover the dividend.

.3 Over the last two years, BAT’s share price has trailed those of its rivals.

This assumes non-combustibles will not make a serious contribution to cash flow until the latter part of this decade.

In time, BAT may be able to split off its cigarettes business. The longer it takes, the nearer complete runoff will be and the lower the value of the business. Comin needs to ready combustibles for an independent future.

Posted at 23/11/2022 23:16 by fenners66

Perhaps investors have differing views of what they would like from a share , because of investing style or because of the price of entry points.

You want your break even point to be achieved and despite acknowledging you have not really lost your invested funds thanks to dividends , I guess it feels like a loss because of the other opportunities lost. Also the reduction in dividend since you first bought in ?

But then you want out?

Others have bought in much lower down arguably investing for income. So whilst the shares are rising in value, the now rising again dividend is more important if they are hoping to keep the shares for the long term.

Whenever I buy a share for the yield , its nice to see the share rise (always feels better to be on the right side) but its not the gains I specifically target its the yield.

Although a much higher price means the shares could be sold and recycled into something else, when shares are rising it often means the yields are dropping elsewhere and finding the right alternative is harder.

Buying a yield that you think is sustainable is the aim.

So buy a share at a good yield and if it works out hold it.
If the share rises it means lower yield on dividend reinvestment.

If these get to 2400 where else would the funds go?

I don't know where you get the idea that people were expecting large dividend increases this year - the company made it clear that was never going to happen.
Next year after a 5% buyback should be different 6.5% or better should be where it is.

However the buyback does not guarantee that.

£1 bn off the highest costing debt would be enough to deliver more than 2.4 times the flagged increase in dividends through post tax finance cost savings instead.

How much lower would the overall future debt renewals be at lower leverage?

Also less debt adds value to the shares , as the enterprise value shifts from debt to share capital.

So our aims are different - you want a higher price so you can get out.
I want a higher dividend which pays me to stay....

Posted at 23/11/2022 20:14 by wunderbar
It’s almost 18 months since I posted on this bb. Thankfully there’s been a marked improvement in both sector sentiment and share price performance during this time. IMB’s share price increased 5% in 2021 having previously suffered five consecutive years of decline. YTD 2022, share price is up 33%, currently 2185p. I have to give credit where it’s due - Stefan Bomhard has [so far] executed his plan to perfection. He’s done what he set out to do in the first two years of his five year turnaround plan - reduce debt, increase market share of key brands, rein in NGP spending, and initiate £1bn share buyback [5% of company]. What’s so refreshing about this is the fact it’s been done in the proposed time frame. Of course IMB’s [unforeseen] forced exit from Russia was a big setback, resulting in a whopping £463m hit. Nonetheless, this didn’t stop the business becoming a lean mean cash machine.

Whilst I don’t post on here too often I do read posts regularly and feel compelled to agree with Marktime1231’s recent comments about persons on here moaning about the £1bn buyback and negligible dividend increase. On the subject of buybacks I have to say I’m not a fan [unless done on grand scale at knock down price], they seldom reward shareholders directly, more often than not deemed to be a waste of money in the eyes of most ordinary investors, many of whom would rather have the cash. Saying that though, the market wanted a buyback and got exactly that, the sheer size of it had a positive impact on the share price. So, imagine my dismay on the day of the announcement [6 Oct - share price closed up 2.5%, was up 4.5% at one stage], rather than see a tide of joyous comments celebrating the soaring share price I was shocked to read many posters on here instead honing in on the buyback news with a barrage of negative comments and completely ignoring the rise altogether. Unbelievable I thought. The way I saw it, the market’s happy therefore shareholders should be. Fact is, since the buyback announcement, the share price has risen 13% [acknowledging full year results also contributed]. At the end of the day I for one don’t care what propels the share price as long it’s going in the right direction.

In the weeks running up to full year results I was surprised to see a few investors on here expecting a large dividend increase of perhaps 5-10%. My initial thought was what planet are these people on. As it transpires the dividend was increased by 1.5%, and again this attracted some negative comments. Came as no surprise to me though. After all, with a current yield of c.6.5% it’s already one of the highest in the FTSE100. And noting it was the reckless dividend policy of previous management that was partly responsible for IMB’s share price decline in recent years. Increasing the dividend c.10% year on year was simply not sustainable as far as the market was concerned, doing so while profits were being squeezed and debt rising was illogical, and so the market eventually got what it wanted in May 2020, seven months after CEO Alison Cooper’s departure, with the interim management team announcing the company would be cutting the dividend by 33% as it sought to prioritise debt repayments [no doubt as instructed by Bomhard prior to his arrival]. Imperial have since implemented a more progress dividend policy, as demonstrated by recent 1.5% increase. Next year I'd expect low to mid single digit growth.

Having made my initial purchase in IMB five years ago [Nov 2017, terrible timing], my investment finally swung into profit for the first time ever when we climbed above 2000p last month [albeit on a technicality if I include dividends]. My biggest mistake was averaging down too many times between 2200p & 2800p during 2018/2019, completely reckless behaviour, all in the false belief this supposed safe-haven FTSE100 stalwart surely couldn’t go any lower. Needless to say it did, big time! Bottomed out c.1200p in 2020. Having made some astute top up’s c.1400-1500p in 2021 my average is now 2400p. As I say, technically speaking my investment is now in profit. However, my ISA says different, currently showing a double digit loss [obviously not recognising divi payouts]. Being a stubborn SOB I’m determined to bail out at 2400p and claw back my entire investment stake [call it a matter of principle]. Given my exit point is only 215 points away it’s not inconceivable we won’t see this target within 3-6 months given current momentum, although tomorrow is ex-div [49.31p] so will be interesting to see how well this holds up. I might even try and trade the last couple hundred points. For the first time in a very long time I’ve started to believe I can exit this stock financially unscathed [not so sure about emotionally unscathed]. I wonder how many other regulars on here contemplating bailing out on higher price. Spud? Marktime?

I sincerely hope the next time I post on this bb is to announce the euphoric moment of finally exiting this stock. Until then.

Posted at 15/11/2022 07:51 by jrphoenixw2
' Dividend payments

The Group paid two interim dividends of 21.27 pence per share in June and September 2022.

The Board has approved a further interim dividend of 49.31 pence per share and will propose a final dividend of 49.32 pence per share bringing the total dividend for the year to 141.17 pence. This represents a 1.5% increase to the amount of 139.08 pence per share paid in the prior year and is in line with the Group's progressive dividend policy.

The annual dividend represents a payout ratio of 53.2% with respect to basic earnings per share.

The third interim dividend will be paid on 30 December 2022 to shareholders registered on 25 November 2022. Subject to AGM approval, the proposed final dividend will be paid on 31 March 2023 to shareholders registered on 17 February 2023.

Posted at 15/11/2022 07:26 by fenners66

"If approved, the total dividend paid in respect of 2022 will be GBP1,338 million (2021: GBP1,314 million). The dividend paid during 2022 is GBP1,320 million (2021: GBP1,305 million)."

So the best part of sweet FA increase.
Dividends are the "shareholder return" that really matters

not this BS

"This has enabled us to enhance shareholder returns through an ongoing share buyback programme alongside a progressive dividend."

Posted at 26/10/2022 11:09 by marktime1231
IMB dividends will (only) progress in line with earnings-per-share. Since revenues are flat to +1-2% pa while pricing just beats volume decline, meaningful improvement in dividends paid will come from cost savings or share consolidation. Guess we have seen most of the cost benefit from structural efficiencies and debt reduction, so dividend progress depends on the buyback.

Setting off at roughly 5.5% consolidation pa, we shouldn't expect the dividend advance (next year) to fully keep up with 10% inflation. We might get +6-7%; this year no better than +1% eg two big dividends of c. 49.3p each. As a purely inflation busting strategy that is a little disappointing. The good news is the starting dividend when the buyback was announced was a chart-topping 7.5%+. The better news is the share price has kicked on around 10%. The best news is that the prospect of an ongoing buyback will continue to progress dividends even when inflation subsides. And it is all sustainable while IMB delivers revenues which are flattish to marginal growth.

My uprating of IMB to £25 is based on a 6% yield progressing at 6% pa looking very attractive this time next year. It assumes there will be further buybacks of this magnitude.

Posted at 11/10/2022 09:02 by jrphoenixw2

'Ethical investors may ignore it but this tobacco firm offers a 7pc yield
Questor share tip: this stock still looks cheap at a price‑to‑;earnings ratio of barely nine
By Russ Mould 11 October 2022 • 6:00am

Smoking is not everyone’s idea of a good way to relax, but the globe seems no nearer to kicking its nicotine habit than it does its reliance on oil and gas. Whether we like it or not, this provides opportunity for those investors who are prepared to be pragmatic and trade in the markets (and the world) they have, rather than the one they want.

To put none too fine a point on it, Imperial Brands still looks cheap as if offers a yield north of 7pc and comes at a price‑to‑;earnings ratio of barely nine.

Ethical investors will just walk on by regardless of such numbers, but harder‑nosed portfolio builders may well be intrigued by the upbeat tone of last week’s trading statement from chief executive Stefan Bomhard. Yes, global cigarette volumes will remain under pressure over the long term. But Imperial Brands believes it is taking market share and, most powerfully from an investment perspective, the FTSE 100 company is successfully pushing through price increases.

Imperial Brand key facts

Market value: £19.1bn
Turnover (Sept 2022 estimate): £7.7bn
Pre-tax profits (Sept 2022 est): £3.3bn
Yield (Sept 2022 est): 7.1pc
Most recent year’s dividend: 139.1p
Net debt (March 2022): £9.4bn
Return on capital (Sept 2021): 20pc
Cash conversion ratio (Sept 2021): 72pc
p/e ratio (Sept 2022 est): 9

Such rises are supporting revenues and profits, which in turn are supporting cash flow. That cash flow funds not just the £1.3bn annual dividend payment, but also a newly launched £1bn share buyback programme that will run to the end of September next year.

This column has mixed views on buybacks, as set out here on April 19, but Imperial Brands’ lowly valuation suggests the maths make more sense here than in many cases. Moreover, the ability, and confidence, to return more cash to shareholders represents a huge step-change from the profit warnings and dividend cut of just two years ago.

Readers, alas, may not get the chance to participate in the buyback, but the good news is that their percentage share of the company’s equity – and therefore their percentage claim on its cash flow and dividends – will rise.

The turnaround at Imperial Brands is heating up. Hold.

Questor says: hold
Tickers: IMB
Share prices at close: £20.06

Posted at 11/9/2022 15:31 by fenners66
"This will mean you get higher dividends in future."
So they effectively increased the debt by £1.5 bn but that is rolling into higher interest rates now.

The advocates of buybacks don't often mention Enterprise Value (EV)

That is the value of the business amounts to the value of the equity + debt

Some I have read on advfn - wrongly think that because its a maths equation - adding debt adds to the value of the company - it does not.

Think of enterprise value as a set of scales
On the one side you have the business, sum of future cash flows or future profits discounted
Debt and equity.

So if you replace shares (equity ) by debt it reduces the enterprise value devoted to equity, increase the amount devoted to debt but the balance is similar, except for ....

Meanwhile the added interest cost reduces future profits and cash flows and so can reduce the EV.

Back to the higher dividends in the future comment

What the F is wrong with paying the £1.5 bn in higher dividends in the present ?
Why should share holders have today's jam to be spent on making non-shareholders in the hope of
jam by the next blue moon ?

At £35 a share the existing shareholders could have had 30p a year for 5 years instead

I have done many calculations on companies with buybacks and the "justification" of higher future dividends is
It amounts to a few % rise in EPS , which when DPS is always less than the increase in EPS - means the actual potential gain to each future dividend is sweet FA

I have calculated in lots of cases this miniscule increase would take around 20 years to reflect the cash spent on buybacks instead of dividends now.

What does that mean to a load of us ?
We'll be dead before we ever see it.

Posted at 09/9/2022 12:18 by marktime1231
The worth of a buyback is when shares are trading at a considerable discount to par value (not necessarily rock bottom), albeit you have to use judgement to decide what par value is.

If you are still holding here confidently in anticipation of a rising share price you must think there is still a fair discount. What is your target? Remembering a scathing post #7175 here at the start of the year was sure we would see £14 again before £20.

I wonder how much of the recent share price progress is down to cable, has the value of IMB in USD moved much?

Another way to judge the merit of a buyback over debt reduction is to compare the cost of the dividend (now c. 7.2%) with the average cost of existing debt (approx 3.5%) or the cost of debt facility renewal (the last was US Treasury + 3.2% which is worryingly expensive despite IMBs debt reduction efforts to enhance credit worthiness). The gap is narrowing, and the cost of new debt was so surprising to me that I have now decided debt reduction or a buyback or a mixture is fine whichever. I do not expect Bomhard to throw surplus cash at enhancing the dividend which will only rise according to improving revenue per share.

A factor when considering buybacks is that institutional holders want one, presumably to allow those with an ESG agenda or those with super long investment horizons who see IMB becoming a stranded asset, to offload without clobbering the price. For example Scottish Widows (see #7440). Requests for buybacks were at the top of the agenda at the last AGM Q&A. Bomhard said he was open to the idea, well he kind of has to, but has since continued to prioritise debt reduction.

My feeling is that for now the banks have stronger voice than the big shareholders, so Bomhard will keep directing surplus cash flow in to debt reduction pro tem. And if the share price recovers towards £25 the opportunity for obviously cheap buybacks will have diminished. And debt will fall to such a low level IMB might be consumed for its gearing potential.

Posted at 11/2/2022 12:07 by marktime1231
BAT putting surplus proceeds into a buyback, something we expect from IMB in due course, will please the institutional investors if not Spud. £2B through Dec 2022 is about 2-2.5% of market cap. IMB could spend less than half that amount of cash and return twice as much to investors pro-rata, underpinning much better dividend growth than BATs measly +1%. Does IMB have the surplus cash flow available yet, well maybe not through the big dividend cycle we are enjoying right now, but by the time of the Interims in May I would say yes. That sort of announcement increasingly likely.

In comparison I would say IMBs recent results were better. BAT has declining revenues from conventional products whereas IMB was able to report revenue growth through pricing up. BATs slow growth in next gen is still making losses. Nevertheless BATs net margin 30-35% towers over IMBs 7-10%. BAT saying benefit from pricing up will be weighted to second quarter means it is not enjoying much benefit at the moment.

I wonder if Bomhard's plan of making the most from IMBs core markets, trying to get more margin from weaker brands, is a short term winner albeit in the longer term BAT will be a winner from the next gen market.

Very rewarding to have IMB nudge through £18 this morning, no doubt triggering lots of stop-gains, now we need to watch to see if it will hit resistance or step on up.

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