Share Name Share Symbol Market Type Share ISIN Share Description
Hostelworld Group Plc LSE:HSW London Ordinary Share GB00BYYN4225 ORD EUR0.01
  Price Change % Change Share Price Shares Traded Last Trade
  0.60 0.82% 74.00 21,559 10:52:42
Bid Price Offer Price High Price Low Price Open Price
74.00 74.40 74.40 73.00 74.40
Industry Sector Turnover (m) Profit (m) EPS - Basic PE Ratio Market Cap (m)
Travel & Leisure 68.27 2.55 7.43 9.4 71
Last Trade Time Trade Type Trade Size Trade Price Currency
10:52:42 AT 1,500 74.00 GBX

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Date Time Title Posts
27/5/202008:20Hostelworld online booking762
31/5/201818:57SP drop2

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Hostelworld Daily Update: Hostelworld Group Plc is listed in the Travel & Leisure sector of the London Stock Exchange with ticker HSW. The last closing price for Hostelworld was 73.40p.
Hostelworld Group Plc has a 4 week average price of 58p and a 12 week average price of 35.75p.
The 1 year high share price is 214.50p while the 1 year low share price is currently 35.75p.
There are currently 95,570,778 shares in issue and the average daily traded volume is 459,458 shares. The market capitalisation of Hostelworld Group Plc is £70,722,375.72.
investorschampion: The current valuation looks modest for a business which should realistically be able to generate at least €9m of free cash flow per annum once normality resumes, with the acceleration potentially rapid. If the share price remains at such a distressed level, it will surely be snapped up by a rival. Read more in our rolling update of announcements here: hxxps://
thomshrike: Thanks john09. And I agree: after a brief spike down, the stock is back to the share price before the announcement. It was already priced in. I expect a similar reaction for HSW on Tuesday (but on this case we will also get an update on the strategic plan, which could be a positive trigger).
thomshrike: edreamsodigeo, a HSW peer, posted Q numbers today. Their geographical split is very similar to HSW's. They provide an interesting table showing the yoy bookings drop on the period Feb22-Feb25: -12%. If Hostelworld shows a similar pattern, and if the epidemic wears out at some point later in the year, and taking into account my previous calculations of the ST impact in earnings, I would expect HSW's share price to recover very significantly by then.
masurenguy: Peel Hunt: Hostelworld weakness a potential opportunity Citywire: 26 February 2020 Weakness in Hostelworld (HSW) shares caused by the coronavirus could be a buying opportunity if the travel platform can convince markets its strategic actions are working, says Peel Hunt. Analyst Ivor Jones retained his ‘add’ recommendation and target price of 165p on the shares, which fell 6.4% to 111.8p yesterday. "The share price decline implies that next week’s results will refer to coronavirus undermining current trading. However, the group has a solid balance sheet and, if management can demonstrate that its strategic actions have addressed the competitive weakness of the group, then the current share price weakness will be seen as a buying opportunity." said Jones
thomshrike: Hostelworld is the poster child of this market dichotomy between momentum and value. Even if you (reasonably) assume a very material impact of the coronavirus situation on the company's bookings over some quarters, the impact on the market cap should be much lower than what the recent share price drop already priced in. As per my previous post, for any incremental -5% one-off global reduction of bookings on a given year, market cap should be impacted by c. 3.1m. Since the beginning of the coronavirus situation, the market cap already declined by 35m. This would imply -50% bookings this year or -25% bookings over 2 years. That does not sound reasonable to me.
bookbroker: Think the share price reflecting that currently, more important for this company is its Roadmap for Growth strategy, sure China plays a part, but let’s not forget that the world does not revolve around China for travellers, there’s the Americas, Southern Hemisphere, South East Asia, etc. Excluded Africa, as having flown there with nowhere to stay, it is the place you follow your nose, not really backpacking territory in the normal sense!
thomshrike: We continue to see a streak of companies disclosing a significant negative impact from the coronavirus and the share price rises anyway. E.g. Adidas today reporting a 85% drop on China activity and the share price is up. Hopefully when Hostelworld reports...
thomshrike: Market is assuming that the impact to the travel business will be significant but temporary, similar to other epidemics in the past. If that is the case, the impact on the valuation of travel companies would generally be small (see my comment on sensitivity analysis for HSW above). The overnight performance of the EXPE share price shows that people will not necessarily stay put until the situation is fully clarified, instead they will take action much earlier than that.
thomshrike: Some sensitivity analysis. Let's assume that: - the virus results in a 5% decline on HSW global bookings during FY 2020 (I think we can all agree this sounds very extreme), with no impact on 2021 and onwards, as the pandemic ends. - the bookings decline flows directly to the bottom line, with no cost offsets except for lower taxes. Then the value loss for HSW would be c. 3m GBP. That amounts, even at today's reduced share price to c. 2.5% of the market cap of the company. Whereas since the beginning of the virus story the stock has already declined more than 10%.
thomshrike: There are many reasons why Capital Group may have sold: (i) because they do not believe in the turnaround story and expect the business to continue to deteriorate; (ii) because they have internal rules for executing a stop-loss and key levels were triggered; (iii) because that position was managed by the fund manager who was recently fired after his wrongdoings were uncovered by BBC and his firing triggered automatic liquidation of his holdings. My feeling is that reality is a mix of all those 3. Obviously there is a buyer for every seller and you have funds like Miton, LHC or Fidelity significantly increasing their positions at these levels. The steep share price decline was a function of several factors: (i) business deterioration related with under-investment in the underlying core IT platform under previous ownership; (ii) liquidation of a 22% holding by Woodford; (iii) (in case you are looking at un-adjusted share prices) high dividend payments.
Hostelworld share price data is direct from the London Stock Exchange
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