Hays Share Discussion Threads

[mitzis] 31/10/2002 08:41

psps..it was Goodfella who started it with his 72p target back in July....and I just followed him really, but I agree they are not one to hold at the mom..

[psps] 31/10/2002 08:38

mitzis,
u folks r right about 70p target. i am glad that i sold these a few weeks back and banked my profit.
thanks for your insight.(mitzis)

[quidzinn] 31/10/2002 08:35

Bouncing back from early lows - beware it will probably fall back to sub 80p during the session as day traders take profits.

Q

[mitzis] 31/10/2002 08:15

what took the new man so long as we all knew it was coming like the arrival of three buses in a row..Goodfella had it right with his 70p prediction and even now we could see 30p if the charts are that bad..

[tony14] 31/10/2002 07:50

Profit warning finally arrived:

[pkvidean] 26/10/2002 00:12

Obviously talking to myself but no apologies as it helps me to crystalise my thoughts.

Fascinating stage now ! US has just come off a 10 day rally from 7177 to circa 8560 on 24/10 (19.3%). UK had what looked like a 6 day rally from 3663 to 4197 culminating on 18/10 (14.6%). The last 5 days have witnessed a slight dip touching 4007 on 23/10 at worst - a 4.5% decline. Too close to call but I'm beginning to suspect that we are still in the same rally that commenced on 10/10 and have adjusted to 56.2% Long accordingly. May raise this to 60% prior to US opening. Using AVZ as the main hedge with short contracts opened @ 317p, 361p and 382.5p partially offset by Longs @ 335p and 355.5p. Will probably cash the 335p if and when AVZ reaches 407.5p in this iteration which would be an extraordinary opening gambit of 70.5% from its 239p base.

Carrying a very small Long on HAS (no short) whilst awaiting some news.

[pkvidean] 22/10/2002 11:29

FTSE100 only reached 4184 this AM (suggesting mini-rally may be petering out). US has outperformed registering 19.0% from 7177 to yesterdays 8538 close as compared to our 14.6% from 3663 (or 16.3% from the 24/09 low of 3609). Looks to me like there is more in the tank, particularly as the general market is looking good today with plenty of solid rises on Techs and Cyclicals and Banks and Oils taking the deserved brunt.

Time to close a few shorts and/or buy a bit more ?

[pkvidean] 21/10/2002 19:14

FTSE100 slightly up on close and US subsequently snipered up - lets hope we crucify the 4197 tomorrow !

[pkvidean] 21/10/2002 13:12

Its acually 4 consecutive losing Mondays !

US pointing down so are we in for a fifth and is the mini-rally about to run out of steam ?

[pkvidean] 20/10/2002 13:19

FTSE100 RALLIES SINCE JULY

~~~~~Dates~~~~~~Duration~~~~~Index Levels~~~% Rise

24/07to31/07~~~~~05 Days~~~~~~~3625to4306~~~~~18.8
06/08to21/08~~~~~11 Days~~~~~~~3900to4466~~~~~14.5
05/09to11/09~~~~~04 Days~~~~~~~3918to4246~~~~~08.4
24/09to27/09~~~~~03 Days~~~~~~~3609to3920~~~~~08.6
30/09to03/10~~~~~03 Days~~~~~~~3669to3961~~~~~08.0
10/10to?????~~~~~?? Days~~~~~~~3663to????~~~~~14.6 (To Date @ 4197)

My 4 day rally prediction was clearly conservative as the intra-day of 4197 on Friday (18/10) has already delivered 6 days (the break on Wednesday 16/10 should be ignored). Percentage wise it is beginning to look similar to the initial rally following the July lows. As for next week - the 4 consecutive losing Mondays must surely come to an end with Tuesday or Wednesday probably signifying the pinnacle of the mini-rally. If late July's initial 18.8% foray were to be replicated then we are looking at approximately 4351 before the pullback which I would expect to be of the order of about 8.5% (lasting aproximately 8 days) and taking the FTSE100 back to about 3981 on or around 02 November. That will be the signal to dump the bulk of the shorts and ride the Longs to about 4558 through to the end of the year.

Personally, I'm currently equal weight (including HAS) having been partially caught with too many shorts. Now hoping for the pullback sooner rather than later and then I will go about 70:30 in favour of Longs. Holding (March) shorts (to cover the Longs) in a rising market is tricky but my favoured few would be a bank (probably HBOS), SN., a retailer (probably NXT), RB. and NGT.

[mitzis] 15/10/2002 14:14

psps.. good luck its about time this has a reversal..

[psps] 15/10/2002 14:03

mitzis,
why is the share price moving higher......up 3.8% ??????????
as i said this one is heading higher and higher.

[psps] 15/10/2002 10:40

mitzis,
its just crossed 100p level.
personaly i do not belive anything in the papers or these analyst.
i make up my own decisions................and in the short term it could hit 105p at best and then beyond

[mitzis] 15/10/2002 10:26

psps.. I read the Telegraph.....the guardian is rubbish..

[psps] 15/10/2002 09:03

mitzis,
previous post u said Guardian and now Telegraph ?

[psps] 15/10/2002 09:00

time will tell who is right .
Hays or Godfella or Mitzis or the papers

[mitzis] 15/10/2002 09:00

psps.. in the paper summary today the paper says it will give a warning...I read the Telegraph myself.

[psps] 15/10/2002 08:56

mitzis,
do u work for Guardian ?
i thought companies must report to Stock Exchange first ??

[mitzis] 15/10/2002 08:48

this one is suffering a downturn on three fronts and acc to the papers will issue a profit warning very soon...would not wish to hold at this moment... wait till it hits 70p....Goodfella was right..

[mitzis] 15/10/2002 08:46

about to give profit warning acc to the Guardian.......

[psps] 14/10/2002 14:38

excellent recovery and lotta buying pushes the shares higher at 97p now

[psps] 14/10/2002 14:06

some decent buying of this stock is now coming through.
11 mln share buy just put and excecuted.
the charts indicate a resistance at 118p...so its time to jump and tuck a few away(IMO)
the shaes go exdiv on 23 Oct and have a 3.1p dividend

sorry anout the spelling it should be HAYS and not HAYES ( i do not know how to amend the title)

[psps] 14/10/2002 13:09

looking at the charts , i feel that a close above 100p will take the shares to 118p.
a bounce in the share price is due before it goes exdiv on the 23 Oct 2002

[psps] 14/10/2002 11:11

the ex div date is 23 oct and the div is about 3p or so.
BUY now for the DIV ????????????
also Scottish Widows have 3% stake in HAYS.............

so is it worth a buy at 95p .........hhhhmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm