Gulf Keystone Petroleum Share Discussion Threads

[nestoframpers] 12/2/2019 20:20

And it's would have, not would of.Full of it , Lol

[habshan] 12/2/2019 20:12

"If the imbeciles had bothered to read my posts they would of read that the company were looking at other assets OUTSIDE Kurdistan last year."

Can you put up the post numbers Oilman so we can have another look at them.

And it's would have, not would of.

[mcfly02] 12/2/2019 19:47

If the imbeciles had bothered to read my posts they would of read that the company were looking at other assets OUTSIDE Kurdistan last year.

I wonder if that was the reason Kim was taken on ???

It's amazing what Bob doesn't know !!!

[gkp_banggone] 12/2/2019 18:29

XxxxZXTrevanian on iii . . .I must correct you Mikey.The current WI is absolutely 80%.Reference slide 19 of the June corporate presentation where GKP confirmed that the talks had evolved form the original agreement from the March H of T agreement(58% et cetera)====From IR 16th January 2019:-"GKP now has an 80% working interest in Shaikan, as per the Shaikan PSC executed in 2007. Discussions which could lead to a PSC amendment continue and GKP will inform the market in due course. As previously communicated, if the PSC is amended, it is expected to be at least neutral to the company."=====+The 58% is therefore not valid , and the company clearly communicated this change, and have said 80% in the most recent presentation, and if there was to be any PSC change it would be value neutral to them at worst..So a FDP signature would take 80% of current 2C into 2P , meaning at worst case reserves are 800m 2P.Peel Hunt continue to use the invalid 58% figure in generating a core NAV, and I understand the BOD have been clearly advised that this continued misrepresentation needs immediate correction.We will see either a major JV or a sale, as it is simply not credible that almost 3 years have elapsed in negotiations an evolved PSC.I found the presentation very disappointing, as it did not address any key commercial matters of interest.Perhaps this is understandable however. Jon Ferrier was clearly discomforted when the issue of Chinese analysis was raised. Perhaps that was understandable too!

[gkp_banggone] 12/2/2019 18:29

XxxxxxðŸ¤-🌞SALE BY SCHEME OF ARRANGEMENT ANNOUNCED BY 8:00 AM FEB 19ðŸ'ŒYOU CAN TAKE THAT TO THE BANK 😊 AND YOU ARE VERY WELCOME😊ðŸ'ŸðŸ–¤ðŸ–¤ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'œThe more their proxy Citigroup /Pareto have bought in the higher holders profits at t/o:ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'ŸðŸ'ŸPeel Hunt issued a recent note on the company.#Valuation and recommendation. Following the above tweaks to the production profile and capex, we revise our core NAV to 392p from 387p. We continue to conservatively include no value in our target price for the 239MMbbl gross 2C in Shaikan, worth 34-136p/sh risked-unrisked.Gulf Keystone Petroleum continues to stand out as one of our top sector picks and we reiterate Buy.#They are being super CONSERVATIVE 🌋ðŸ'‹!They use 58% WI when we now know it remains 80%.So their core valuation must be revised by this, 38% higher.The do not place any value on 2C, actually 330m at 80% WI, and even at a very modest $ 2.3 boe this adds further £2 plus.They are only using $3.4 boe for 2P when MOL report $8 and Shamaran higher.So low base-case in my assessment is 470m 2p, 330m 2C (which would in my be treated as effectively 2P when new FDP approved)Working on 800m 2P without adding any value for the MOL recently reported upside and using a stil very modest $10 boe provides $ 8bn asset resource value.This is still very modest in that a land based resource of this size would be strongly fought over by IOC.With 229 million shares, using dollar exchange of 1.29, £ 27 per share would be the minimum I would expect the company’s major owners to accept.It would not be a surprise to me if this number doubled.🎈xx

[broadford bay] 12/2/2019 18:12

You're the one who must be crackers - read it again...

[pensioner2] 12/2/2019 18:01

Broadford Bay. If you think a high-flier like Kimberley Wood would put her career on hold just to create some window-dressing for any company, let alone a mid-division player such as GKP, you must be crackers.

[gkp_banggone] 12/2/2019 17:50

XxxzzzzzzzzðŸ¤-🌞SALE BY SCHEME OF ARRANGEMENT ANNOUNCED BY 8:00 AM FEB 19ðŸ'ŒYOU CAN TAKE THAT TO THE BANK 😊 AND YOU ARE VERY WELCOME😊ðŸ'ŸðŸ–¤ðŸ–¤ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'œThe more their proxy Citigroup /Pareto have bought in the higher holders profits at t/o:ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'ŸðŸ'ŸPeel Hunt issued a recent note on the company.#Valuation and recommendation. Following the above tweaks to the production profile and capex, we revise our core NAV to 392p from 387p. We continue to conservatively include no value in our target price for the 239MMbbl gross 2C in Shaikan, worth 34-136p/sh risked-unrisked.Gulf Keystone Petroleum continues to stand out as one of our top sector picks and we reiterate Buy.#They are being super CONSERVATIVE 🌋ðŸ'‹!They use 58% WI when we now know it remains 80%.So their core valuation must be revised by this, 38% higher.The do not place any value on 2C, actually 330m at 80% WI, and even at a very modest $ 2.3 boe this adds further £2 plus.They are only using $3.4 boe for 2P when MOL report $8 and Shamaran higher.So low base-case in my assessment is 470m 2p, 330m 2C (which would in my be treated as effectively 2P when new FDP approved)Working on 800m 2P without adding any value for the MOL recently reported upside and using a stil very modest $10 boe provides $ 8bn asset resource value.This is still very modest in that a land based resource of this size would be strongly fought over by IOC.With 229 million shares, using dollar exchange of 1.29, £ 27 per share would be the minimum I would expect the company’s major owners to accept.It would not be a surprise to me if this number doubled.🎈xx

[gkp_banggone] 12/2/2019 17:50

ZXTrevanian on iii . . .I must correct you Mikey.The current WI is absolutely 80%.Reference slide 19 of the June corporate presentation where GKP confirmed that the talks had evolved form the original agreement from the March H of T agreement(58% et cetera)====From IR 16th January 2019:-"GKP now has an 80% working interest in Shaikan, as per the Shaikan PSC executed in 2007. Discussions which could lead to a PSC amendment continue and GKP will inform the market in due course. As previously communicated, if the PSC is amended, it is expected to be at least neutral to the company."=====+The 58% is therefore not valid , and the company clearly communicated this change, and have said 80% in the most recent presentation, and if there was to be any PSC change it would be value neutral to them at worst..So a FDP signature would take 80% of current 2C into 2P , meaning at worst case reserves are 800m 2P.Peel Hunt continue to use the invalid 58% figure in generating a core NAV, and I understand the BOD have been clearly advised that this continued misrepresentation needs immediate correction.We will see either a major JV or a sale, as it is simply not credible that almost 3 years have elapsed in negotiations an evolved PSC.I found the presentation very disappointing, as it did not address any key commercial matters of interest.Perhaps this is understandable however. Jon Ferrier was clearly discomforted when the issue of Chinese analysis was raised. Perhaps that was understandable too!

[broadford bay] 12/2/2019 17:48

Any (meaningful) increase in the contract terms, such as a hike in the WI% must be transmitted officially to the market as it is extremely market sensitive information.

Any other use of the "we have 80% WI" term, whether by MOL or by GKP, is at the very least sloppy use language which has no place on the LSE.

At the other extreme it is EXTREMELY misleading and, in view of the fact that we now have a "world class legal mind" working for us, stitching up deals (not my words, but those of others proclaiming her bona fides - I personally consider it just a corporate gender equality appointment), difficult to believe those charged with ensuring compliance would agree to it.

Ghosts everywhere...

[gkp_banggone] 12/2/2019 17:40

XxxxxxTrevanian on iii . . .I must correct you Mikey.The current WI is absolutely 80%.Reference slide 19 of the June corporate presentation where GKP confirmed that the talks had evolved form the original agreement from the March H of T agreement(58% et cetera)====From IR 16th January 2019:-"GKP now has an 80% working interest in Shaikan, as per the Shaikan PSC executed in 2007. Discussions which could lead to a PSC amendment continue and GKP will inform the market in due course. As previously communicated, if the PSC is amended, it is expected to be at least neutral to the company."=====+The 58% is therefore not valid , and the company clearly communicated this change, and have said 80% in the most recent presentation, and if there was to be any PSC change it would be value neutral to them at worst..So a FDP signature would take 80% of current 2C into 2P , meaning at worst case reserves are 800m 2P.Peel Hunt continue to use the invalid 58% figure in generating a core NAV, and I understand the BOD have been clearly advised that this continued misrepresentation needs immediate correction.We will see either a major JV or a sale, as it is simply not credible that almost 3 years have elapsed in negotiations an evolved PSC.I found the presentation very disappointing, as it did not address any key commercial matters of interest.Perhaps this is understandable however. Jon Ferrier was clearly discomforted when the issue of Chinese analysis was raised. Perhaps that was understandable too!

[gkp_banggone] 12/2/2019 17:40

ðŸ¤-🌞SALE BY SCHEME OF ARRANGEMENT ANNOUNCED BY 8:00 AM FEB 19ðŸ'ŒYOU CAN TAKE THAT TO THE BANK 😊 AND YOU ARE VERY WELCOME😊ðŸ'ŸðŸ–¤ðŸ–¤ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'œThe more their proxy Citigroup /Pareto have bought in the higher holders profits at t/o:ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'ŸðŸ'ŸPeel Hunt issued a recent note on the company.#Valuation and recommendation. Following the above tweaks to the production profile and capex, we revise our core NAV to 392p from 387p. We continue to conservatively include no value in our target price for the 239MMbbl gross 2C in Shaikan, worth 34-136p/sh risked-unrisked.Gulf Keystone Petroleum continues to stand out as one of our top sector picks and we reiterate Buy.#They are being super CONSERVATIVE 🌋ðŸ'‹!They use 58% WI when we now know it remains 80%.So their core valuation must be revised by this, 38% higher.The do not place any value on 2C, actually 330m at 80% WI, and even at a very modest $ 2.3 boe this adds further £2 plus.They are only using $3.4 boe for 2P when MOL report $8 and Shamaran higher.So low base-case in my assessment is 470m 2p, 330m 2C (which would in my be treated as effectively 2P when new FDP approved)Working on 800m 2P without adding any value for the MOL recently reported upside and using a stil very modest $10 boe provides $ 8bn asset resource value.This is still very modest in that a land based resource of this size would be strongly fought over by IOC.With 229 million shares, using dollar exchange of 1.29, £ 27 per share would be the minimum I would expect the company’s major owners to accept.It would not be a surprise to me if this number doubled.🎈xx

[bigdog5] 12/2/2019 17:34

You do not have 80% of anything, you have 58%. You carry the MNR in the 80% WI. However, if you are desperate enough to believe you have 80% of the asset you're only fooling yourselves. In the most unlikely event that someone was crazy enough to be interested in GKP's percentage the figure is 58%. Also, to be adding in anything other than P2 numbers is absurd as the rest are old numbers that can no longer be relied on because they haven't drilled there for absolute years and there's no way of knowing if they are commercial or will flow.

You're welcome.

[0ili0] 12/2/2019 17:33

300p soon enough

[gkp_banggone] 12/2/2019 17:09

ðŸ¤-🌞SALE BY SCHEME OF ARRANGEMENT ANNOUNCED BY 8:00 AM FEB 19ðŸ'ŒYOU CAN TAKE THAT TO THE BANK 😊 AND YOU ARE VERY WELCOME😊ðŸ'ŸðŸ–¤ðŸ–¤ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'œThe more their proxy Citigroup /Pareto have bought in the higher holders profits at t/o:ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'ŸðŸ'ŸPeel Hunt issued a recent note on the company.#Valuation and recommendation. Following the above tweaks to the production profile and capex, we revise our core NAV to 392p from 387p. We continue to conservatively include no value in our target price for the 239MMbbl gross 2C in Shaikan, worth 34-136p/sh risked-unrisked.Gulf Keystone Petroleum continues to stand out as one of our top sector picks and we reiterate Buy.#They are being super CONSERVATIVE 🌋ðŸ'‹!They use 58% WI when we now know it remains 80%.So their core valuation must be revised by this, 38% higher.The do not place any value on 2C, actually 330m at 80% WI, and even at a very modest $ 2.3 boe this adds further £2 plus.They are only using $3.4 boe for 2P when MOL report $8 and Shamaran higher.So low base-case in my assessment is 470m 2p, 330m 2C (which would in my be treated as effectively 2P when new FDP approved)Working on 800m 2P without adding any value for the MOL recently reported upside and using a stil very modest $10 boe provides $ 8bn asset resource value.This is still very modest in that a land based resource of this size would be strongly fought over by IOC.With 229 million shares, using dollar exchange of 1.29, £ 27 per share would be the minimum I would expect the company’s major owners to accept.It would not be a surprise to me if this number doubled.🎈

[nestoframpers] 12/2/2019 17:07

Watching this is more interesting than reading the same post