Burford Capital Share Price (BUR)

Share Name	Share Symbol	Market	Type	Share ISIN	Share Description
Burford Capital Limited	LSE:BUR	London	Ordinary Share	GG00B4L84979	ORD NPV

	Price Change	% Change	Share Price	Shares Traded	Last Trade
	-18.00p	-1.24%	1,432.00p	75,962	08:38:53
Bid Price		Offer Price	High Price	Low Price	Open Price
1,430.00p		1,438.00p	1,452.00p	1,432.00p	1,450.00p

Industry Sector	Turnover (m)	Profit (m)	EPS - Basic	PE Ratio	Market Cap (m)
Equity Investment Instruments	253.7	184.5	88.6	16.7	3,053.39

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Burford Capital (BUR) Latest News

Burford Capital News

Date	Time	Source	Headline
23/4/2018	13:09	UKREG	Burford Capital TR1 Notification of major holdings
20/4/2018	17:14	ALNC	REPEAT: Invesco Sells 2.5 Million Burford Shares, Now Holds 18% (ALLISS)
20/4/2018	14:50	ALNCF	Alliance News Flash Headline
20/4/2018	14:48	UKREG	Burford Capital Statement on Invesco Shareholding
23/3/2018	12:28	BW	Burford Congratulates its Chairman Sir Peter Middleton GCB on Lifetime..
23/3/2018	11:35	UKREG	Burford Capital Director/PDMR Notification
21/3/2018	09:45	ALNC	Burford Capital Senior Team Complete Sale Of 4.2% Stake (ALLISS)
21/3/2018	07:01	UKREG	Burford Capital Result of Placing / PDMR Notification
20/3/2018	17:29	ALNC	Burford Capital Senior Executives To Sell Part Stake (ALLISS)
20/3/2018	16:31	UKREG	Burford Capital Proposed Placing

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Date	Time	Title	Posts
25/4/2018	20:10	BUR Charts	292
24/4/2018	08:53	BURFORD CAPITAL :::::::::::::::::::::::::: Litigation Funding	2,216
15/8/2014	13:33	BUY and HOLD in Burford Capital (BUR)	-
16/11/2011	09:29	Burford Capital	12
08/12/2010	21:16	Forecast eps of 96p in 2007 so PE is 8	8

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Burford Capital (BUR) Most Recent Trades

Trade Time	Trade Price	Trade Size	Trade Value	Trade Type
07:38:53	1,432.00	147	2,105.04	AT
07:38:53	1,432.00	376	5,384.32	AT
07:38:03	1,432.00	184	2,634.88	AT
07:38:03	1,432.00	73	1,045.36	AT
07:37:53	1,434.00	167	2,394.78	AT

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Burford Capital (BUR) Top Chat Posts

Date	Subject
26/4/2018 09:20	Burford Capital Daily Update: Burford Capital Limited is listed in the Equity Investment Instruments sector of the London Stock Exchange with ticker BUR. The last closing price for Burford Capital was 1,450p. Burford Capital Limited has a 4 week average price of 1,316p and a 12 week average price of 1,000p. The 1 year high share price is 1,538p while the 1 year low share price is currently 700p. There are currently 213,225,455 shares in issue and the average daily traded volume is 1,459,482 shares. The market capitalisation of Burford Capital Limited is £3,091,769,097.50. Read Full Thread Reply
28/3/2018 22:05	galatea99: BUR still owns 75% of their original share of this case. BUR have reported that their share of the case is valued on the secondary market at $660m. There is therefore already an implied underlying value of 75% of $660m, that is about $500m. We do not know how much of this has been taken to profit already but BUR have mentioned that their approach to taking profit is conservative. This seems to be supported by their remarks in the recent RNS concerning the quite separate Teinver case. The valuation of $660m may itself be already conservative since I have seen estimates in the Argentine media that the BUR share of the case is 35% and that the compensation that Argentina might have to settle could be of the order of $3bn to $4bn. Their 35% could therefore come to over $1bn against the $660m value that the secondary market is placing on their share. The US District Judge Preska had ruled in favour of Petersen/Burford. Argentina appealed this judgement to the NY Appeals Court and it is their decision on that appeal hearing that is now awaited. What seems to be the objective of the Argentines is to have the case transferred to the jurisdiction of the Argentine courts. The document posted earlier mentions some of the circustances which may be seen as intimidatory and hostile to local lawyers acting on behalf of Petersen/Burford. One might also question the impartiality and independence of the Argentine judicial system, given quite well-documented events in the past. The handing down of the decision of the NY Appeals Court is taking longer than expected. Comments in the Argentine media on what this might mean are mixed. Some see this as positive for Argentina since it might mean the judges are seeing merit in moving the case to Buenos Aires. I have also seen other comment which seems quite resigned to Argentina losing the appeal and then having to try to have the case passed up to the US Supreme Court, provided the Supreme Court would accept it. In those circumstances, there could of course, be a negotiated settlement for a lesser sum or a sale by BUR of their share of the case (as they decided to do with the Teinver case), also for a lesser sum. Given the sums involved, success for Petersen/Burford would produce a bonanza of profit for BUR. They already have the right to sell a further 10% of their share before the end of 2018 and they might decide to do that in any case; that would be worth, presumably, $66m in itself (or perhaps more) which could be taken to profit in 2018 (less any amounts already taken to profit, if any). That is why the decision in this case is important. ............................................................................ One further point of note is that I believe that the Liberum note issued recently and giving a target price of 1689p does not specifically include anything for the marking to fair value at each Balance Sheet date of cases in the BUR portfolio, I believe because they consider they (Liberum) have insufficient information on which to calculate these. One could therefore consider that target prices such as these are inherently understated. All IMHO. DYOR. Read Full Thread Follow Reply
28/3/2018 19:47	galatea99: Some background on the Petersen case judgement which is the subject of the present appeal by the Argentine Government. The main point of their appeal is to transfer jurisdiction from the US to Argentina. The decision of the NY Appeals Court on this matter ought to be made very soon. Rejection of the Argentine appeal ought to give a boost to the BUR share price. hxxps://www.leagle.com/decision/infdco20161027963 Read Full Thread Follow Reply
16/3/2018 09:19	mad foetus: I think everyone has hit the nail on the head, nobody knows how to value this. I suppose you could treat it as an investment fund and say that we are currently trading at a premium to NAV. (Though if you factor in Petersen that premium would be wiped out). But if you instead look at return on capital you get a very different picture. While £114 may sound ridiculous, it would be achieved if the share price rose by 65% in each of the next four six month periods. Step one would be £23 by the autumn? Not impossible, though I accept it is at the optimistic end.BUT! Worth emphasising that virtually every prediction in respect of BUR so far has been a woeful underestimate. Although £114 in two years may sound daft, what share price were the analysts predicting for BUR 2 years ago? Read Full Thread Follow Reply
02/3/2018 15:09	jonwig: Hardman have a brief note in their March monthly summary: Burford has announced another successful fundraise through a retail bond issue. The justification for this was given in the January statement, which revealed record commitments during 2017. The second half, in particular, saw Burford make new commitments of $855m, almost twice the rate in the first half. No indication was given on the cash position, or inflows from maturing investments. However, for previous bond issues, Burford has aimed to avoid the drag that excessive uninvested cash brings. From this, we can infer that the new investments had reduced cash significantly, to the point where a bond issue was justified. ► Issue details: Although the issue was scheduled to close on 6th February, it did so a week early. The issue is denominated in US Dollars – a first for ORB – with a coupon of 6.125% and maturity on 12th August 2025. The offer was oversubscribed and raised $180m. ► Risk management: Given Burford’s business exposures, a US Dollar issue makes sense from both a risk and diversification perspective. The spread over the corresponding US Treasury is lower than last year’s sterling issue was relative to gilts, although, due to interest rate moves, the coupon is higher. ► Risks: The investment portfolio is still diversified, with exposure to over 500 claims, but it retains some very large investments, which means revenue may be volatile. As the company matures, we would expect that to decrease, but not to disappear. The Teinver case shows that this volatility is not simply a negative. ► Investment summary: Burford has already demonstrated an impressive ability to deliver good returns in a growing market, while investing its capital base. As the invested capital continues to grow, the litigation investment business will continue to produce strong earnings growth., Their 2017 forecast eps stays at underlying eps of 104c (ie. 75.5p) so a PER of 13.3x. Expensive, cheap? ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ I noticed something from the 10 Jan RNS, then forgot about it: As previously noted, Burford's board of directors determines the fair values of investments following the close of each financial reporting period after taking into account the views of management, the operation of the audit process and input from external experts (as it considers appropriate). Generally, that process does not conclude finally until shortly before the release of Burford's financial results for the relevant period and as a result Burford is unable to comment or provide guidance on its 2017 financial results in advance of their release. So, really, they'll never comment on profit numbers, positively or negatively and maybe no outsider can form a view, either! What they do comment on is "... made $1.3 billion in new commitments, more than triple its 2016 level." So future business won't lack volume. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Share price weakness? Redemptions from funds, maybe. But I've seen before instances of order book manipulation where DMS gives operators the chance to persuade holders that selling is happening in volume, when it's really series of AT trades of under 100 shares. It can be unnerving for long-term holders sitting on a decent profit. Short interest appears to be zero. Read Full Thread Follow Reply
22/1/2018 13:34	lomax99: IC comment: Burford Capital (BUR:1,205p), a global finance provider focused on investing in litigation cases, is now one of the largest companies listed on Aim, with a market capitalisation of £2.5bn, a reflection of the 725 per cent rise in its share price since the summer of 2015 when I initiated coverage ('Legal eagles', 8 Jun 2015). I last advised top-slicing your holdings when the shares hit a record high of 895p ('Top-slicing and running profits', 26 Jun 2017). It paid to maintain a financial interest as the share price is up another third since then, and within touching distance of last autumn’s all-time high of 1,258p. Ahead of full-year results on Wednesday 14 March, this looks an opportune time to reassess the investment case. In a pre-close trading update, the directors revealed that new commitments made to litigation funding cases more than trebled to $1.34bn (£970m) last year. This implies Burford made $855m (£620m) of new commitments in the second half of 2017, up from $488m in the first half, and $488m for the whole of 2016. As analysts at investment bank Berenberg Capital rightly point out, this suggests the company, which is the leading litigation funding player in a litigation market worth $800bn in annual revenue, has had no problem finding sufficient opportunities to deploy its capital. It also augurs well for future profits. That’s because new cases typically take two years to complete, so, given the high returns on capital Burford makes, its high success rates and portfolio diversification which mitigate risk, it can realistically expect a hefty financial return on these new commitments. It also makes sense for the company to consider tapping the debt market again to recycle low-cost capital into funding potentially high return litigation cases. Having raised a total of $519m through three London Stock Exchange retail bond issues since 2014, all of which are trading above par, the company is currently holding meetings with fixed income investors. Importantly, results for the 2017 financial year are going to be eye-wateringly good. Analysts at Numis Securities predict a near doubling of pre-tax profit to $218m on revenue of $313m, up from $163m in 2016, to produce EPS of 96.6¢, or 75p based on the average sterling dollar exchange rate last year. Part of the profit booked reflects the gain Burford realised by selling off 25 per cent of its economic interest in the multibillion-dollar Petersen legal case relating to the 2012 expropriation by Argentina of a majority interest in YPF, the New York Stock Exchange-listed energy company formerly owned by Repsol, the Spanish energy major. The $106m realised equates to six times its original investment, and analysts believe its retained economic entitlement could be worth $1.25bn (£905m) in the event of a successful outcome in the courts. In addition, Burford had a favourable decision in an arbitration relating to the claim by Teinver S.A. and others against Argentina in connection with the country’s expropriation of two airlines. The arbitration tribunal ruled against Argentina, requiring it to pay $324m in damages, of which Burford’s entitlement is estimated to be $140m, or 10 times higher than its original investment of $13m in the case. Burford’s entitlement represents over 4.5 times the $30m carrying value of its investment in the company’s half-year accounts to the end June 2017. Rated on 16 times likely earnings, I would run your bumper profits. Read Full Thread Follow Reply
11/1/2018 13:01	czeck: Motley fool just posted this: Fund manager Neil Woodford has made some great stock picks over the years, but few have been more successful than litigation financing group Burford Capital (LSE: BUR). Mr Woodford is a long-time investor in this firm, whose shares have risen by an astonishing 1,000% since 2013. There’s no doubt it’s been a good buy, but my concern is that the risks facing ordinary shareholders may be rising rapidly. Unsustainable growth? Burford has paid a dividend each year since 2011, but it’s not the kind of income stock which attracts me. The reason for this is that while profits rose from $31.5m to $115.1m between 2012 and 2016, this firm doesn’t really generate any surplus cash. All the cash generated by litigation wins — plus much more — is reinvested into new claims, fuelling further growth. This has been a successful strategy so far. Annual profits have risen by an average of 47% per year since 2011, and are expected to have climbed 80% to $207m in 2017. Why I’m worried Payouts from successful cases can take years to receive, so Jersey-based Burford appears to be using increasing levels of debt and private funding to fuel its expansion, rather than accept slower growth. Although this is a valid strategy, I think it’s worth noting that repaying these funders is likely to take priority over shareholder returns if cash ever becomes tight. My second concern is that this complex business is pretty much a black box for most investors. In its 2016 annual report, Burford said that its (then) 64 ongoing ‘investments’ involved “hundreds of separate claims”. In my opinion, there’s no way any of us can really understand the quality or type of cases being undertaken by the firm. So any shifts in future earnings could catch the market by surprise. Turning point? Analysts’ consensus forecasts suggest that after a bumper 2017, Burford profits could fall by 26% this year. I’d expect profits to be lumpy over time, but I’m not sure the current share price reflects this. I don’t see any reason to invest at current levels. https://www.fool.co.uk/investing/2018/01/11/one-neil-woodford-mid-cap-growth-stock-id-ditch-today/ Read Full Thread Follow Reply
10/1/2018 19:26	bestace: winsome - not sure about Burford's share price having zero correlation with the markets. I think it would be more accurate to say their financial performance (as opposed to their share price) has low (but not zero) correlation with the wider economy, but if the market has a mass sell-off I doubt Burford's share price would be immune from that. Read Full Thread Follow Reply
21/12/2017 08:03	lomax99: Shares magazine comment 21/12/17. Litigation finance provider Burford Capital (BUR:AIM) is up nearly 60% since we flagged its attractions in the spring and its market value has increased more than eight-fold since the beginning of 2016. We still rate Burford as an excellent business, but a few issues prompt us to lock in our gains. A recent setback, including the departure of key figures from the acquired Gerchen Keller Capital (GKC) business, together with a lofty valuation mean we now see a risk the shares will drift lower in the short-term. Notably house broker Liberum has downgraded the stock from ‘buy’ to ‘hold’. House brokers will almost never put out a ‘sell’ recommendation on their corporate clients so going to ‘hold’ should be seen as a negative. Analyst Justin Bates says: ‘We continue to believe in the longer term growth story for Burford, as the leader in the burgeoning litigation finance market. ‘However, based on the combination of 1) downgrades to 2017/18 forecasts, largely due to the timing of performance fees, 2) disappointing news that the GKC principals will be leaving the business, and 3) recognising the incredibly strong share price run year-to-date, up 110%, we believe the shares are now trading around fair value.’ Shares says: In the long-term Burford still looks an attractive proposition but we feel now is a good time to lock in a tasty profit in anticipation of a period of share price weakness. share price at 1160. Read Full Thread Follow Reply
28/7/2017 18:45	gersemi: well done topvest, enjoy for those still holding, from IC 2 hours ago thanks to the IC crew IC Tip Update: Buy at 1088p Tip style VALUE Risk rating MEDIUM Timescale LONG TERM Our previous tip We said BUY at 415 on 06 Oct 2016 Tip performance to date 162% By Harriet Clarfelt For chief executive Christopher Bogart, Burford Capital’s (BUR) “best ever” half-year results demonstrate the “degree of demand in general for capital solutions in the legal sector”. This optimism resonated with the market: Burford’s share price rose 9 per cent on the back of stellar earnings growth. Mr Bogart also emphasised the volume of new investment commitments made by the global finance litigation firm, equivalent to $488m (£375m). Burford’s enormous pre-tax profit boost was largely driven by the sale of 25 per cent of Burford’s entitlement in the Petersen case. This lawsuit, brought by the Petersen Group against Argentina, has generated more than $100m in cash profits – five times Burford’s investment. Management noted that there were 11 investments in total which propelled Burford’s performance, though each period has seen one significant contributor to profits. In the second half, the Teinver suit (entailing another claim against Argentina) will dominate conversation. Only this week, Burford reported a “favourable investment result” for the case. Burford has also made progress in fund management, literally capitalising on its 2016 acquisition of Gerchen Keller Capital to raise a $500m litigation focused-fund. Analysts at N+1 Singer expect pre-tax profits of $240.5m for FY2017, up 69 per cent from their previous forecast, with corresponding EPS of 110.4¢ in 2016. IC View Burford goes from strength to strength, but we still see potential upside. The group has just opened in Asia and its pipeline of new business is encouraging. At 1,088p, shares are trading on a multiple of 13 times forecast earnings. Given the massive growth trajectory seen by the company already, this doesn’t seem unreasonable. Buy. Last IC view: Buy, 752.5p, 15 Mar Read Full Thread Follow Reply
05/6/2017 18:28	gersemi: From today's IC with many thanks to S-Thompson. A bit naught I know, but if it helps to highlight the value here then we all benefit, even Mr Thompson! -- Burford Capital bond raise Investors have reacted positively to a major fundraise from Aim-traded Burford Capital (BUR:912p), a global finance company focused on investing in litigation cases: it has generated an annual internal rate of return of 27 per cent on all its completed investments. It's not short of new investment opportunities either as Burford increased new commitments by 83 per cent to a record US$378m (£295m) last year, buoyed by a 50 per cent hike in investment recoveries to a record US$216m, and by deploying the £100m of loan capital it raised last April. Interestingly, Burford's chief executive Christopher Bogart points out that "law firms and corporate clients are coming to us with needs which have evolved far beyond the single-case financing model on which this industry is founded - although that remains a core area of our business." So, to exploit this opportunity, the company has just raised £175m through an oversubscribed issue of bonds on the main market of the London Stock Exchange. The bonds pay interest at an annual rate of 5 per cent and mature in December 2026. Burford is also using part of the proceeds to repay early the $43.75m of loan notes which were issued as part of last December's acquisition of Gerchen Keller Capital, the second-largest litigation finance player in the world ('On a roll', 20 December 2016). The key point to note is that the additional long-term capital raised not only solidifies Burford's position as the industry leader - its legal finance business has more than $2 billion invested and available for investment - but it has the lowest cost of capital too. And given the high returns being generated on its litigation investments, the company can easily service the relatively low cost of its borrowings, redeem the loan capital when it matures, and recycle surplus cash flows into new cases and boost dividends for shareholders. This explains why analysts at broking house Numis Securities raised their EPS estimates by 3 per cent, 8 per cent and 11 per cent for the 2017, 2018 and 2019 financial years to 66.6¢, 92.5¢ and 113¢, respectively. They also raised their target price from 880p to 950p. In the circumstances, it's hardly surprising that the shares rallied to another all-time high of 920p after the news of the oversubscribed bond issue was announced, justifying my previous call to run profits at 810p ('On the case', 10 April 2017). Longer-term holders who bought in at 146p when I initiated coverage in the summer of 2015 are doing well too as Burford's share price is up 525 per cent ('Legal eagles', 8 June 2015), and the board has declared total dividends of 12.8p a share. True, the shares are now rated on 17.5 times current year earnings estimates, but if Burford delivers on the bumper growth expected in 2018, then the multiple drops to 12.6 times next year's earnings forecasts. Moreover, I expect investors to react positively to what will undoubtedly be an impressive first-half performance and one that will benefit from substantial investment gains following the post year-end disposal of participation interests in its investment relating to the 2012 expropriation by Argentina of a majority interest in YPF, the New York Stock Exchange-listed energy company formerly owned by Repsol, the Spanish energy major. I am also attracted by the fact that the shares have a beta close to zero, something worth considering if there is an uptick in equity market volatility in the coming months. Run profits. - Read Full Thread Follow Reply

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