General Mills Offers Gloomy Outlook -- WSJ

Food giant struggles to win back customers as its sales fall short of expectations

By Annie Gasparro 

General Mills Inc. projected a grim outlook for the year, as it struggles to win back customers who have dropped traditional, processed foods like its Yoplait yogurt for more natural alternatives.

Faltering sales of yogurt, Progresso soup and Pillsbury dough in the U.S. pushed the food giant's second-quarter profit down 9%, it said on Tuesday. It expects comparable sales for the year ending in May to decline 3% to 4%, down from an earlier estimate of no more than a 2% drop. Shares fell 3.4% in recent trading.

Chief Executive Ken Powell said General Mills' advertising wasn't adequate, and it didn't come out with enough new products, causing its sales to fall short of expectations.

Executives at the Minneapolis-based company said the industry remains challenging, as U.S. food and beverage sales growth has steadily eroded over the past five quarters. Industry analysts say that suggests people are eating out at restaurants more.

Lower food costs and savings from consolidating factories and corporate restructurings have helped General Mills and its peers deliver impressive earnings despite softening sales for a while, but now "sales declines are simply too much for cost savings" to offset, according to RBC Capital Markets analyst David Palmer.

In the most recent period, General Mills' comparable U.S. retail sales fell 6%, a steeper drop than the 0.6% seen industrywide.

Chief Operating Officer Jeff Harmening, whom insiders see as Mr. Powell's likely successor as soon as next year, is tasked with reviving sales.

Mr. Harmening has been focusing on yogurt, hoping that combining Greek yogurt with "dippable" pretzels and oat bites, and making more organic yogurt will turn around the business. U.S. retail sales in the yogurt segment plunged 18% in the most recent quarter.

General Mills' last major project involved removing synthetic dyes and artificial flavors from cereals such as Trix and Cheerios, but U.S. retail sales of cereal fell 3% during the quarter. It also continues to focus on improving its profitability through several cost-cutting efforts that have resulted in announced layoffs of more than 5,500 employees, or roughly 10% of its workforce, since mid-2014.

General Mills could benefit in the short term through corporate tax changes if President-elect Donald Trump lowers the tax rate, but that is still uncertain, Mr. Powell said.

"That would be a positive for us...we just have to see how it unfolds," Mr. Powell said in an interview. From infrastructure investments to reduced regulation, "it's really impossible to predict how or whether they would have an impact on the consumer food business," he added.

For the quarter ended Nov. 27, General Mills reported a profit of $481.8 million, or 80 cents a share, down from $529.5 million, or 87 cents a share, a year earlier.

Adjusted to exclude the divestiture of its Green Giant business and other items, General Mills earned 85 cents a share in the most-recent quarter.

Revenue dropped 7.1% to $4.11 billion.

--Imani Moise contributed to this article.

Write to Annie Gasparro at [e-mail]

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

December 21, 2016 02:48 ET (07:48 GMT)

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