Currency

A symmetrical triangle could be forming on USD/JPY, unless of course it decides to close the gap follow yields lower with a break to new lows. With the Fed meeting looming tomorrow, could this be the calm before the storm? Matt Simpson takes a technical look. City Index: Spread Betting, CFD and Forex Trading on […]

If the US dollar index (DXY) is to follow its seasonal tendency, headwinds could cap upside potential in March before dragging it lower around April. We can see that, whilst January and February have averaged positive returns, their potency has dwindled over the past 5 years (relative to the 30-years) before average returns have become […]

BTCUSD Medium-term Trend: Ranging   • Resistance levels: $7,000, $7,200, $7,400 • Support levels: $3,800, $3,600, $3,400   On March 25, the price of Bitcoin had been in the bullish trend zone. The crypto’s price was above the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA which indicated that the price was going to rise. The price […]

A summary of the weekly Commitment of Traders Report (COTS) from CFTC to show market positioning among large speculators. USD net-long exposure moves to a 6-week high against G10 currencies. Among the FX majors, it was again JPY futures which saw the largest weekly net change, with net-short exposure increasing by 7.5k contracts. Only minor […]

Price action on CAD/CHF has caught our eye, as it suggests a bearish breakout could be pending. Since Wednesday, the cross has been caught within a 36-pip range. It can’t stay in there for ever, although without top-tier calendar events from Canada or Switzerland today, we may have to rely on external events to provide […]

The CAC displays a strong, bullish trend structure coupled with shallow pullbacks into the 8/21 eMA’s. Having broken to a new multi-month high it appears set to extend its trend. Ideally, we’ll see a retracement towards the original breakout level, although momentum is strong so perhaps one to consider for bullish setups on the intraday […]

Citing its near-4% decline from the highs and exhaustion candles beneath its lower Keltner, we highlighted Gold’s potential to mean revert last week. Having rebounded 2.4% from its low, we suspect a corrective top could be in place. Key points: March tends to be a weak month for gold, looking at its seasonal averages Gold’s […]

XRPUSD Medium-term Trend: Ranging   • Resistance Levels: $0.56, $0.58, $ 0.60 • Support Levels: $0.30, $0.28, $0.26   Yesterday, March 13, the XRP price was in a bullish trend. In the previous day, the bulls and the bears were struggling below the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA at a price of $0.31. Yesterday, […]

WTI has broken above $58 resistance with its most bullish session in two weeks. With two distinct hammer lows improving its trend structure, its recent correction found support around its bed of moving averages, and price action is beginning to look clearer as bears get shaken out of their trade. Adjusted for open interest, net-long exposure […]

With US treasury yields starting to turn lower, just as the S&P500 hesitates at critical highs, we take a look at the bigger picture to see if sentiment could be about to turn for the worst. Since topping out in late November, the decline invalidated the September ’18 trendline and confirmed a primary trend reversal […]