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Afren Share Price - AFR

Share Name Share Symbol Market Type Share ISIN Share Description
Afren Plc LSE:AFR London Ordinary Share GB00B0672758 ORD 1P
  Price Change Price Change % Share Price Bid Price Offer Price High Price Low Price Open Price Shares Traded Last Trade
  +0.00 +0.00% 1.79 0.00 0.00 - - - 0 05:00:10
Industry Sector Turnover (m) Profit (m) EPS - Basic PE Ratio Market Cap (m) RN NRN
Oil & Gas Producers 607.1 -1,255.0 -94.5 - 19.77

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jumbone: Afren (AFR) Shares Could Climb to 18p But Longer-Term Outlook Remains Weak Details Written by Lou Charlton Category: Finance Published: 23 February 2015 Afren share price outlook Above: Afren employees on the Ebok field. Technical studies of Afren Plc (LON:AFR) confirm a mild upside bias remains preferred for those adopting a short-term posture (2 to 6 week timeframe). Active technical events in this timeframe favour gains with 4 bullish indicators being relevant compared to one negative event being present. Support is seen at 8p – the consolidation above here seen since the start of 2015 will continue to encourage tentative buying interest in the stock as this provides a decent exit point for traders looking to manage risk. Speculative players could use the current consolidation to bet that an improvement in oil prices could foreshadow a stronger recovery in AFR. However, it must be noted though that a longer-term analysis of AFR confirms a stock that is caught in overwhelmingly negative momentum. As such any long approach to the share price should be considered within strictly short-term timeframes at present. Weekly charts confirm momentum is negative with the M(12) reading at -36. Furthermore, the Afren share price is trading below its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages located at 45, 96 and 120p at the current time. We look for breaches of at least the 20 and 50 day MA’s before making a longer-term buy on the stock. ............. hxxp://www.thecsuite.co.uk/CEO/index.php/finance/198-afren-plc-share-price-long-and-short-term-outlook-5454
ldlv: Open letter from Wild Wolf to the General and wife:Dear Sir/ MadamWe are respectfully writing to you regarding a matter of mutual interest and mutual benefit.We represent hundreds of disgruntled small private investors in Afren PLC.It is our genuine belief that we just are the tip of the iceberg and there are tens of thousands of other affected investors who are of the same belief that shareholders are being cheated currently out of their investments and we want to make a stand against this.We also are contacting the required regulatory authorities to assist us in stopping these crimes from being completed.A continued and ever increasing media campaign will ensure that this will continue to be publicised until investigated and the truth of the mysterious behaviour of the Afren executive and their colluding friends to crash the share value of the company, will become public knowledge and any criminality will be made accountable. As you are no doubt aware, Afren suffered from previous over exposure to CAPEX investment, some irregular activities of the historic Boards of Directors and the temporary slump in oil prices.It is our opinion that these problems were exaggerated and a campaign of misinformation and manipulation and accounting falsifications have provided an excuse for a premeditated raid attempt by certain bondholders and financial institutions working in concert, to enable an attempt to steal the company using a host of dubious methods and puppet directors and to then sell the asset base on, cutting shareholders out of the equation and cheating them from the proceeds of their investments.Already this attack on the company (perhaps on behalf of a yet unnamed ultimate beneficiary) have resulted in the loss of 95% of the shareholder value of the company already and further losses of another 90% with the threat of the company's demise.We intend to fight this theft of shareholder value and bring those responsible to account.Just because they chose a company with a massive small investor base (mainly pensioners and average working class people) who they felt would be easiest to defraud, does not mean we have to accept their theft. We wont and we intend to fight to get a better offer for existing shareholders regardless of their threats.We have sufficient and an ever growing amount of evidence of a catalogue of crimes and breaches of duty and multiple examples of share price and information manipulation compiled so as to deceive shareholders.It is our intention to resiliently use specific regulators and judiciaries to attempt to stop this theft, rescue the company from being deliberately destroyed and undermined and then to patiently pursue those responsible and to then gain full recourse and to ensure that this kind of corrupt behaviour is removed from public company's which seek shareholder investment.What started as an investment, has become a personal battle of principle for many. There is an anger stirring that will not dissipate or respond to threats or corruption.Our major obstacle is that we suspect that those behind this theft of shareholder value infiltrated the executive of the company with a new generation of Directors who are not loyal to its shareholders and who are using the most underhand tactics ever experienced since the U.S. Bear Sterns scandal.The current executives of the company are basically attempting to blackmail and threaten existing shareholders into agreeing to their corrupt recapitalisation plan.We feel this recapitalisation is not only based on falsely presented misinformation, it is also a terrible strategy for the company as it simply leaves a once wonderful and promising company in one of the worlds most exciting new economy regions, with an unnecessary legacy of debt and being beholden to the kind of organisation who would not hesitate in repeating this theft continually until there is no shareholder value left whatsoever.In order to succeed in attracting the required investors for the litigation which must follow, we need to first stop this recapitalisation and attract as many other major shareholders to join us in voting No.In our opinion voting Yes is a certain slow death. Vote No and it is a case of who is willing to fight the hardest and we doubt that the bondholders will readily go to the line however much their puppet directors assist them in their quest.We understand that as a major investor you may have lost considerable sums from these dubious events of the past year in Afren and we may be fighting for the same cause and pursuit of justice.We therefore write to you to request that you join us in voting No at the EGM in July and to also inform you that the company has been sending out some very misleading documents to its shareholders with the aim of tricking them into agreeing to the recapitalisation. An act so underhand by the new CEO, it has brought hundreds of new angry investors to the cause.As we are just a very large and growing group of extremely angry small private investors, we also thought it would be polite and very useful for us in our future direction strategy to seek advice from you as a major private investor to request your preferences for the future and to seek input from you as to how you would like us to proceed or how you see the future of the company.Man institutional investors in this share seem to be party to information that private investors have been prevented from so it is the views of private investors which are in our opinion the only voices we can currently trust.You may or may wish to reply or assist us which we fully respect but we thought it good manners to seek your input and of course ask you to consider the merits of not supporting the company from diluting its existing shareholders any further.It is not a strategy without risk as the large financial organisations we will be challenging as part of this resistance to what we feel is a massive conspiracy to defraud, will have legal teams and very crafty accountants and have already shown their willingness to use every dirty trick possible to deter us.However, they have been breaking multiple laws and we believe that it is going to be possible to prove that there is a concert party behind this theft and they are basically trying to steal the company rather than paying the £1+ share price they should have paid when they effectively took control of the company on a false premise.The people behind and fronting this theft, are threatening to destroy the company if they do not get their way or if shareholders resist.If shareholders lose their value, bondholders would lose greater amounts if we are swift in our actions and after having incurred such losses already, the consensus amongst shareholders is that it would be better to lose and hurt those bondholders even more, than simply being belittled and stolen from any further.If we can secure a No Vote at the forthcoming EGM, it will in our opinion result in a changed attitude by those behind this alleged scam.A major investor publishing they will vote No would terrify the bondholders into seeking a new negotiation we believe, as they have more to lose now as the losses to date are all with shareholders and the proposed recapitalisation is disproportionately beneficial to bondholders, which is wrong on so many levels.Were it to be possible to convince them prior to the vote (as we successfully did with a warning at the recent AGM) that they will not succeed with this theft, we hope that bondholder pressure will then enable a a fairer deal to be offered to shareholders in the coming weeks.Currently it looks most likely the Board of Directors will fail in their vote and the No vote will win.Our objective is to ensure this is realised at the earliest opportunity and prior to the EGM if possible and your support will be of great influence regarding this and could help bring this crime to an early stop.We are not looking to take up any employment or executive positions in the company (but will seek a shareholder guardian director as the investor relations personnel have let us down so badly to date) or be involved in its future running, our desire is to simply to stop those who are trying to steal from us and hope that in due course a well intentioned new executive will take control who are working for the shareholders and not for other parties as appears to be the case currently.Shareholders do not have an ideological plan for the company just a desire for fairness.It would be excellent to have your No vote to support us and any feedback or direction advice to assist us in our battle against this currently occurring theft.Naturally, all of this is just our opinion only and we are voting based on that opinion.Of course we would advise you to seek legal and financial advice from trusted sources before making any decision but if at the very least we inform you of our intent and objectives, it may give you information to consider and hopefully will assist you in your own decision-making and choices regarding the matter and he future of existing Afren shares.Many thanks for taking the time to read this letter and we send our respects and best wishes to you.Kind regards     ?Send any screenshot to your friends in seconds...Works in all emails, instant messengers, blogs, forums and social networks.Try IM ToolPack at www.imtoolpack.com for FREE
4627192: hxxp://www.smallcapnetwork.com/Afren-share-price-spikes-amid-city-whispers-speculations/s/via/49021/article/view/p/mid/1/id/1/ Afren share price spikes amid city whispers & speculations that Nigeria richest man could be bidding for Afren Nigerian operations at 12p per share. Afren share price spikes amid city whispers & speculations Afren share price spikes amid city whispers & speculations By Mega_X 23 Jun 2015 17:40:42 | 710 View(s) Nigeria richest person, joined the list of Africa’s 50 Richest. Mr Dangote has been betting on Oil refinery since 2013 and AFR will fit well in his mix of business empire. Mr Dangote quotes, He said, "Let me tell you this and I want to really emphasize it...nothing is going to help Nigeria like Nigerians bringing back their money. If you give me $5 billion today, I will invest everything here in Nigeria. Let us put our heads together and work." Please DO NOT buy any stock recommended in this post basely solely on what you hear. The opinions in this comment are just that, opinions. Please do your own research before investing.
arbez: Afren Shares Still Waiting for that Break-Out Details Written by Rob Shelton Category: Finance Last Updated: 23 April 2015 Afren breakout The Afren plc share price (LON:AFR) remains confined to an extremely tight trading range and the patience of investors continues to be tested. Strategically the placement of a stop-loss at 0p appears to be an attractive proposition for traders: Should AFR recover to the 2015 opening share price at 47p then a very attractive risk-reward ratio becomes apparent. However, such a move remains elusive as even an improvement in crude oil prices has failed to prompt any buying interest of significance. Of course further declines should by no means be discounted. Technical analysts at Trading Central suggest that should a breakout below the pivot level at 2.5p be achieved then a run lower to 1.7p and 1.3p could occur. It is noted that the only momentum discernible at the present time on the Afren share price is sideways in nature with signals being mixed and advocating for neither substantial gains nor losses. The waiting game continues, but as we said, the risk-reward on AFR that would come on a successful bet on an upside breakout remains extremely attractive.
zac_mo: From LSE and he best piece I have read for a while. Why You’d Be Mad To Buy Afren Plc Now MOTLEY FOOL ( 4 hours ago ). Afren updated us this morning with a review of its capital structure ER READ THE RNS IT SAYS ITS CONTINUING POSITIVELY The company was famously dogged by corrupt management LAST YEARS NEWS -ALL REPLACED Although the price has picked up since its January lows, oil at around $60 a barrel doesn’t help any producers. EXCEPT ONES LIKE AFREN THAT CAN PRODUCE AT 14$ A BBL. And it’s especially painful for small explorers like Afren NICE JIBE…..WE ARE A PRODUCER WITH 32,000 BOPD> , and the firm’s earnings are expected to crash to almost nothing this year. NO, CURRENTLY ON COURSE FOR $300m GROSS PROFIT…..PLUS CAPEX SLOWED> Price crash The share price has, unsurprisingly, plummeted, TAKE A LOOK MATE ITS UP 20% TODAY/ and at around the 10p mark it’s down 95% over the past 12 months. But after this morning’s news, it’s back up 17.5%. Why? I'M SURE YOU HAVE A THEORY Afren is technically in default on its debts NO ITS NOT….NEVER DEFAULTED…THIS WAS AN AGREED EXTENSION , but its lenders have not pulled the rug from under it yet. OR THREATENED TO<<br /> Afren was also due to pay $15m in bond interest on 1 February, but it is further extending a grace period on that payment while it continues its review of its capital structure and funding requirements. You might all see this as merely delaying the inevitable WHY….. It would be easy enough for Afren’s creditors to force it into bankruptcy NONSENSE >>>ADMINISTRATION COMES FIRST. and try to salvage as much as they can from its assets, SALVAGE>>>&gt;PROSPER MORE LIKE> but these recent moves suggest they’re still reluctant to do that and are prepared to hold out and see if there’s any kind of rescue package that can be put together. ITS A RESCHEDULING NOT A RESCUE LOL> The reason seems obvious — if you were given Afren to strip, would you relish your chances of getting much money from selling off oil assets that are barely profitable at a time when everyone else is struggling to do the same? IF IT IS MAKING 300m A YEAR I MIGHT JUST KEEP IT A hope of survival It looks like the lenders are hoping for a better outcome by helping with a refinance package that would at least keep Afren ticking along until oil prices recover a little and its balance sheet is looking a bit healthier. HMMMM…. Afren said today that it is “having discussions with its other stakeholders and new third party investors regarding recapitalising the company“, and that’s likely to come as a mix of debt and equity MAYBE — lenders will hopefully offer more, while at the same time a new stock issue would raise new capital. But equity would have to be at a discount, OR A PREMIUM and how much would be left for existing shareholders is anybody’s guess. ASK THE C A how much would be left for existing shareholders is anybody’s guess. ALLOW ME HELP YOU ALAN……$500 MILLION FROM THE CHINESE BILLIONAIRE. If you’re a recovery expert and you understand how to make money buying shares of a technically insolvent company YOU USE THAT WORD 'TECHNICALLY' ALL THE TIME WHEN SOMETHING IS NOT WHAT YOU SAY IT IS…I AM TECHNICALLY A FOOTBALL PLAYER ……BUT.. that’s desperately looking for the money to survive, THAT IS NOT THE CASE…. then I applaud you if you have a go with Afren. But I still think you’re mad. ITS FORMER CEO AND FOUNDER IS AT THE DOOR WITH $500 M IN CASH……HE MUST BE MAD TOO. THE CHINESE BILLIONAIRE KNOWN AS CHINA'S WARREN BUFFET MUST ALSO BE MAD. ALL I CAN ADD ….IS PUT ME IN WITH THE MAD LADS……AND NOT THE FOOLS
jumbone: An in depth view into the world of AIM. Wednesday, March 4, 2015 Happy Halloween Afren Holders. I wasn’t going to say much about Afren, but it was a really interesting set of events this morning from a market psychological point of view. Let’s get things straight, Afren had a silly leak. It happened outside of working hours. It happens and lots of different companies fall for it. Indeed you can download software which will search a website for any files that do not have permissions and simply haven’t been linked to yet. It is not illegal to go to a publically accessible website and look at a file which isn’t linked to yet is accessible to the public. So a bit of a mistake but nothing too bad. Now on to the actual news event..The RNS! "In light of the Company's current liquidity position and in order to preserve cash while the review of the Company's capital structure and funding alternatives is completed, the Board has decided, at the expiration of the 30 day grace period, not to pay US$15m of interest which was due on 1 February 2015 under its 2016 Notes. While such non-payment will result in a default under the 2016 Notes, this will not result in an immediate obligation to repay such 2016 Notes or any cross-default under its 2019 Notes or 2020 Notes or its other debt facilities." This makes two important points. The board has decided to default on its bond. This is not good news. However this could be for several reasons. It could be that the RCF deferral was dependent on stopping bond payments. It could be the company has simply decided to call the bluff of the bondholders and are saying, so what if I default. IMHO this reduces the pressure of the bond holders as it shows their scare stories of administration and calling in collateral are simply not going to happen at least in the short term. For me the last sentence is the most important…A default in the 2016 bonds, does not trigger any kind of automatic default or consequences elsewhere in the business or its debt profile. This leaves the 2016 bond holders rather toothless. "The Company has received assurances from the ad hoc committee (which members hold in aggregate approximately 55% of the principal face amount of the 2016 Notes and 44% of the total principal face amount of the 2016 Notes, 2019 Notes and 2020 Notes) that the committee has no current intention to take enforcement action with respect to the 2016 Notes held by its members as a result of the failure to make payment of interest due under the 2016 Notes, in the hope and expectation that agreement can shortly be reached with the Company and its key stakeholders on the terms of a consensual restructuring that would preserve the Group and its business as a going concern for the benefit of all stakeholders." The bond committee is not made up of the majority of 2019 and 2020 note holders….this is important. Any deal will pay off the 2016 bond holders and the RCF. Even then the adhoc committee is barely 50% of all the holders. This again weakens the hand of the bondholders. Again of most importance is the last part of the sentence where the bondholders have no intention of enforcement actions because it hopes a deal can be made for the benefit of ALL stakeholders. This indicates that there will be a benefit to Share Holders as they are a major stakeholder. This is NOT what the bondholders have been saying up to this point. It now becomes very very unlikely that shareholders will be “wiped out” to quote a certain news article. "The Company is continuing constructive discussions with the advisers to, and members of, the ad hoc committee of its largest bond holders, the coordinating committee of the lenders under its US$300m Ebok debt facility and its other lenders regarding the immediate liquidity and funding needs of the business. It is expected that any agreement with the Company's bond holders and debt providers regarding the provision of interim and longer term funding and a broader consensual restructuring is likely to result in economic terms associated with the new funding and/or the issue of new equity which will substantially dilute the interests of the Company's current shareholders. " So there will be substantial dilution….Yes we have always known that. Nobody invests $300-500m in a company with a Market Cap of less than £100m without there being substantial dilution. The substantial dilution was always the reason why the Share Price fell from 100p to the sub 10p. The question is how much dilution is going to happen? For Afren to maintain its stock market listing 25% of the company must be in public hands. So a realistic assumption is that we will end up with 75% of the company in the hands of the a third party and 25% with the current shareholders…. Given this the real question is what is an Afren, with no debt due before 2019, with 40-50K BOPD output and with a capital injection of $300-500m for 75% of the company actually worth…. Personally I would put a minimum price of 1bn on the above, this would give the current shareholders a share worth approx. 250m or 20p or so a share. Of course the dilution could be lower than this and a firm case could be made for the company being worth considerably more….But this is far above the current trading price. "While the Company is also having discussions with its other stakeholders and third party investors regarding interim funding and recapitalising the Company, the Board believes that an agreement between the Company's creditors presents the most likely solution to the immediate issues facing the business. There can be no certainty that an agreement will be reached." Code for any third party investors need to get their act together and put in a firm bid pronto.! For investors the RNS doesn’t make particularly good reading, particularly for those people who have had their heads in the sand with talk of £1 a share. However in reality it actually reduces the risk of a total wipe out of shareholder value and anybody below 20p is likely to see a profit if they hold over the short term and probably a much better profit longer term. Dilution was always going to happen. For those that believed the vultures and scum who came on the board at 7.00am until 8.00am talking about 2p, sell straight away etc and sold for sub 6p only to see the share price rise above 7p 30 mins later, then I hope you learnt an important lesson. Do your research, stick to your plans unless something material happens and remember share trading is unfortunately dominated by crooks, greedy liars and people you would never listen to if they came knocking at your door, so don’t listen to them they are simply dressed up to scare you! Posted by icebergshares at Wednesday, March 04, 2015 hxxp://icebergshares.blogspot.co.uk/2015/03/happy-halloween-afren-holders.html
soul limbo: http://www.shareprophets.com/views/10943/afren-shareholders-should-look-to-petropavlovsk-for-best-case-scenario Afren Shareholders Should Look to Petropavlovsk For Best Case Scenario By Waseem Shakoor | Thursday 5 March 2015 I've previously said that Petropavlovsk (POG) is a good example of what is likely to happen at Afren (AFR) – see HERE but what does that mean for the share price? Petropavlovsk's senior bondholder debt is trading at 92c, which reflects that only a small part of it is being used to underwrite a 157 for 10 rights issue at 5p - where existing equity is currently valued at about £10 million, an effective wipe-out. Afren's existing equity is currently valued at about £70 million, where it remains grossly overvalued. Shareholders remain completed deluded about the kind of dilution which is headed their way and they are in for a nasty shock. Afren is in much worse shape than POG was when it embarked on its restructuring, and this is reflected in the price of the debt of the two companies. I've said on Twitter (through @WShak1) that I think there is little chance that new shares will be issued as part of a debt/equity swap beyond the 1-3p range. At best, I would expect a 20-1 dilution of the share capital at 3p - and even that would value existing equity at 3 times the value of POG, for which I can see few justifiable reasons. If there is to be an extra 20 billion shares in issue shortly at 3p, anyone owning 100,000 shares today at 6p (a £6,000 investment) would need to by 2 million shares at 3p to maintain their % ownership of the company - a further £60,000 investment. Is that realistic? Petropavlovsk has shown that it is not. The nil paid rights have plunged to be almost worthless and the shares now trade at 5.12p, a fraction above the rights issue price. Anyone investing in Afren today at 6p is going to take a bath, even if the restructuring price for the shares is set at 3p, which would be extremely generous in itself.
mallorca 9: Afren share price spikes as oil firm pledges to reveal new chief executive "imminently" by Catherine Neilan1 April 2015 2:42pm Afren Afren: Expects to finalise arrangements for completion of the interim funding imminently (Source: Getty) Afren will reveal the name of its future chief executive along with its full-year results "imminently" - as soon as it has ink a deal with its bondholders, the troubled oil explorer said today. The firm is still trying to hammer out a deal with investors for $200m-worth (£135m) of interim funding in the form of the super-senior private placement notes (PPNs). Afren had expected that the deal would have been agreed by now and the notes were due to be issued by the end of March. It said: The company is making good progress on satisfying the relevant conditions precedent to the provision of the interim funding and expects to finalise arrangements for completion of the interim funding imminently. Given the delay in completion of the interim funding, the company now expects to release the Group’s 2014 full year results at the same time as the issue of the PPNs. The company also expects to be able to announce the appointment of a new CEO at the same time. Afren has also pushed back payment of $50m, which was originally due on January 31, until April 30. Afren's share price spiked at 9.7 per cent earlier today, with a second spike this afternoon of 8.4 per cent.
goldilocks1: here's another one for you rabids to hate .... a note from a decent quality broker-analyst values AFR at 3p and that assumes oil at $80 ..... details all below Oriel note today: "Based on our core NAV analysis and given company's large debt position, we estimate there is no equity value in the shares at sub $80/bbl oil price. Therefore we value the shares assuming a debt-for-equity swap in which the current shareholders would receive 5% of the restructured entity. We see two scenarios going forward: 1) In light of the improving oil price, a third party injecting $65m of new equity, temporarily protecting the company from its creditors. We see this as a less likely scenario. 2) The company proceeds with a debt restructuring process. At this stage this appears as a more likely scenario. In either of two scenarios we would expect a downward pressure on the share price. In the first scenario, we believe that it would be reasonable to expect that a potential new capital injection would only be done at a discount to the current share price. In the second scenario, if restructuring is indeed on the table, the shareholders would in that case be at the mercy of the bondholders. The current market cap represents c15% of the bond’s face value. We doubt in a restructuring process the bondholders would be sufficiently generous to give the shareholders much more than this." This is how they calculated it: "Value of assets at $80pb excl debts = $1413m Value of assets at $60pb excl debts = $656m Estimate of restructured Co would be worth (av of above) = $1035m Afren's current shareholder potential share % = 5% Afren's current shareholder potential share $ = $52m F/X rate $/£ = 1.56 Afren's current shareholder potential share £ = £33m Shares outstanding = 1108m Value per share 3p"
gooner6: "Stifel analysts forecast Afren to agree a debt-for-equity swap at around 3p a share, which would leave current shareholders with just 5 per cent of the restructured company" Think about that statement, 5% of the new shares in issue following debt for equity at 3p. That would mean total shares in issue would be approximately 21 billion!!! Would also mean that 20 billion shares were issued at 3p, meaning Afren raised GBP 600m!!! Afren guidence is around GBP 200m, and as i have previously said a combination of oil price increase and debt restructure perhaps GBP 150m could now be sufficient. Also notice how these notes always say what percentage existing shareholders will have following dilution. What they never state is what the resulted share price will be. GBP 150m at 3p share price 17p (existing holders hold 18% of new equity) GBP 200m at 3p share price 13p (existing holders hold 14% of new equity)

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