Zenith Energy Share Discussion Threads

[1choip] 03/1/2025 18:19

Today's TR1 has said it all.

[bad gateway] 03/1/2025 14:12

Think I'd prefer a scenario 7.
Tunisia having already lost the first case settle the upcoming larger disputes for $300M.
ZEN graciously accept giving their holders a special dividend before taking their next plunge into the oil/gas sector cashed up and ready to move on from this tunisian debacle.

[trader465] 03/1/2025 13:59

Scenario 3:
Arbitration Loss – No Payout
Zenith loses the ICSID arbitration entirely, with the tribunal deciding that Tunisia’s actions were justified or that Zenith’s claims lacked merit.
The company could face financial ruin with no payout or compensation, and the stock price could plummet.
The investor could lose their entire £14,200 investment, as the share price might collapse, leaving them with nothing.

Scenario 4:
Partial Award – Limited Funds, Prolonged Legal Battles
Zenith wins a smaller portion of the claim, say $50 million instead of the full amount. Legal costs and delays stretch out the timeline, and the expected payout doesn't materialize in time for the investor to see a significant return.
The stock price remains depressed or stagnant due to the long wait, and the investor may end up with just a fraction of their original investment.

Scenario 5:
Regulatory Setbacks and Continued Legal Issues
Zenith faces ongoing regulatory challenges or delays in enforcing any arbitration award, and the company struggles to stay afloat.
The stock price continues to decline as the company deals with its financial and legal battles, leading to further devaluation of shares.
The investor could face 70%-80% loss of their investment, with the stock price potentially falling below 5p per share.

Scenario 6:
Bankruptcy or Forced Asset Sale
Zenith’s legal battles and financial strain force the company to declare bankruptcy or sell off key assets at a significant loss.
The investor could lose 100% of their holding, as the stock becomes worthless or extremely diluted in the aftermath.

[trader465] 03/1/2025 13:55

Did you forget scenario 3, 4, 5 and 6?

[haggismchaggis] 03/1/2025 12:12

"Progress in respect of our international legal arbitrations against the Republic of Tunisia, with claims totalling approximately US$639.5 million, continues without pause.".US$639.5m = £515.35m (plus interest added until the date the claim is paid)...Scenario 1:£100m in Special Dividends£415.35m cash in ZEN accounts..Scenario 2:£200m in Special Dividends£315.35m cash in ZEN accounts..My holding: 250,000Shares in issue 366.5m..Under Scenario 1:£100m / 366.5m shares = 27.28p per share x 250,000 = £68,200 divi£415.35m Market Cap / 366.5m shares = 113p per share x 250,000 = £282,500 holdingTotal £350,700..Under Scenario 2:£200m / 366.5m shares = 54.56p per share x 250,000 = £136,400 divi£315.35m Market Cap / 366.5m shares = 86p per share x 250,000 = £215,000 holdingTotal £351,400..Pretty much the same..The slight difference is because of rounding down the division to the nearest penny..250,000 to buy right now would cost £14,200 (at 5.68p)..£350k total is 24.65x the current cost.

[1choip] 03/1/2025 11:09

TR1 notification. It has to be Big!

[haggismchaggis] 03/1/2025 09:39

When ZEN gets the cash from claim 1 and declares a Special Dividend it will come with an EX-DIVIDEND DATE of the previous day, therefore if you are not holding the stock the day prior to that RNS you won't get that Special Dividend..hTTps://www.investopedia.com/terms/e/ex-dividend.asp.I'm just making sure that you are all aware so there's no moaning from anyone that they missed out, as you now have all the information you need to not miss out..What the CEO said in his recent interview:."Nevertheless, we wish to create confidence among shareholders that the journey to winning all the 3 Arbitrations is realistic and in this journey they will be remunerated for their loyalty."."The exact amounts are yet to be determined, as Zenith shall as well be well capitalised for future development. With the amount of funds remained in the Company, we will continue our operations as before, while adjusting our model to align with the energy business environment of 2026."

[rexmartel] 02/1/2025 11:58

Do not forget the prospect of an extraordinary dividend if the arbitration proceedings are successful. (RNS 20/3/24).

[1choip] 31/12/2024 08:10

next stop 30p

[bad gateway] 30/12/2024 16:03

Andrea gave an interview today..


Quite interesting and whilst talking about the recent $9.7M win stated that Tunis has always paid arbitration decisions before and that should they not in the future ZEN is happy to grab any assets they've got be it real estate, planes cargo etc.
Think he plans to go all lawyer on them if they mess him about.

[jammytass] 27/12/2024 10:15

i would take what you can get upfront never trust tunisia

[jammytass] 27/12/2024 09:53

buy the company 10p then sell any assets 3p massive savings

[sharewatching] 27/12/2024 09:41

You May as well buy out the company. It would be a lot cheaper

[jammytass] 27/12/2024 09:31

The Tunisia Government could try and cut their losses early pay out?#
or just buy the lot for 10p per share

[jammytass] 27/12/2024 09:28

if its worth 20p why dont major investors load up x 4 bagger

[madmonkflin] 27/12/2024 08:15

What are you talking about?