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YCA Yellow Cake Plc

524.00
-11.00 (-2.06%)
13 Sep 2024 - Closed
Delayed by 15 minutes
Share Name Share Symbol Market Type Share ISIN Share Description
Yellow Cake Plc LSE:YCA London Ordinary Share JE00BF50RG45 ORD GBP0.01
  Price Change % Change Share Price Shares Traded Last Trade
  -11.00 -2.06% 524.00 770,717 16:35:05
Bid Price Offer Price High Price Low Price Open Price
525.00 525.50 537.50 522.50 530.00
Industry Sector Turnover Profit EPS - Basic PE Ratio Market Cap
Uranium-radium-vanadium Ores USD USD 727.01M USD 3.3525 1.57 1.16B
Last Trade Time Trade Type Trade Size Trade Price Currency
16:39:11 AT 4,700 524.00 GBX

Yellow Cake (YCA) Latest News

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Date Time Title Posts
11/9/202415:56Yellow Cake2,298

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Posted at 14/9/2024 09:20 by Yellow Cake Daily Update
Yellow Cake Plc is listed in the Uranium-radium-vanadium Ores sector of the London Stock Exchange with ticker YCA. The last closing price for Yellow Cake was 535p.
Yellow Cake currently has 216,856,447 shares in issue. The market capitalisation of Yellow Cake is £1,139,580,629.
Yellow Cake has a price to earnings ratio (PE ratio) of 1.57.
This morning YCA shares opened at 530p
Posted at 06/9/2024 10:40 by sea7
Nice overview of sector..



The COP28 UN climate conference in December 2023 provided more evidence of nuclear power’s integral role in the decarbonisation of energy, where a monumental international agreement was reached to triple nuclear generating capacity by 2050.

For this to be achieved, trillion of dollars of investment will be needed to fund a vast number of new projects. Long-term demand for uranium would almost certainly surge. Due to a lack of sensitivity to the uranium price on the cost of nuclear energy generation – at $80/lb the uranium cost is estimated to make up around 6% of the overall cost in the production of electricity meaning that material increases in the spot price are manageable for utilities – GCL’s managers have confidence that the price of uranium will continue to rise.
Posted at 22/8/2024 20:22 by sea7
Dated 16th July 2024 from a report of the 12th July...


Yellow Cake Plc

According to its last quarterly operating update, the company has uranium holdings of 20.16 Mlb of U3O8 as of March 31, 2024. This increased to 21.68 Mlb on delivery of 1.53 Mlb by Kazatomprom in June 2024.

Analyst Mike Kozak of Cantor Fitzgerald maintained his recommendation of the stock in an updated research note on June 5.

"We are maintaining our Buy rating and GBP£9.75 target price on Yellow Cake based on 1.0x NAVPS, a GBP/USD FX rate of 1.25, and an unchanged long-term uranium price forecast of US$120/lb U3O8" Kozak wrote.
Posted at 13/8/2024 09:38 by aishah
@quakes99

Plenisfer Investments SGR SpA of Milan, Italy, are buying up shares of Physical #Uranium Fund Yellow Cake PLC $YCA in London🇬463; at $63/lb #U3O8 ⚛️ϡ5;️🛒 acquiring over 6.7 Million shares to become a new 3.1% major holder of $YCA shares.
Posted at 29/7/2024 07:20 by bountyhunter
The grant date is 26 July 2024. The options may be exercised from 3 years time if/when the target price of 648p is met. 648p will be "the estimated Net Asset Value per share at grant" as the higher of the two possibilities in the sentence you quoted.

So my understanding is that if the share price has at least caught up with the NAV (on 26 July 2024 of 648p) in 3-10 years time then the options may be exercised at that time.
Posted at 29/7/2024 07:15 by aishah
Grant of share options. Can't work out how the exercise price is 648p. What is the grant date?

The exercise price of 648 pence per share represents the higher of the average of the mid-market closing price of the ordinary shares of the Company on AIM over the five consecutive dealing days immediately preceding the grant date and the estimated Net Asset Value per share at grant.
Posted at 17/7/2024 21:49 by allstar_07
U308 spot price stable but YCA down 5%. Any news that people have seen?
Posted at 19/3/2024 20:03 by sea7
Weekly Reports | Mar 19 2024

The spot uranium price fell sharply last week as sellers became more agitated.

-Uranium spot price falls -US$7/lb

-Kazatomprom warns of lack of inventory

-Still no news on Russian uranium sanctions

The recent price fall is attributed to two main factors, TradeTech notes, and they are both related to the psychological impact of triple digits.

When the spot price crossed the US$100/lb mark, utilities, who are not major spot market participants at the best of times, declined to buy at such prices. Speculative entities, now holding vast amounts of physical material, saw triple digits as a good place to take profits, having spent years amassing their inventories.

But even as prices fell back into the nineties, and speculative volumes were cleared, utilities showed little interest, and sellers, mostly intermediaries, became frustrated and started lowering prices. Five transactions were reported last week at prices between US$90 and US$84/lb.

and...

Term Markets

Utilities may be unwilling to pay triple-digit prices in the spot market but when it comes to securing medium term supply, from sources other than Russia, they are indeed willing.

Ongoing uncertainty over Russian imports only steels their resolve.

TradeTech’s term price indicators remain at US$100/lb (mid-term) and US$75/lb (long).
Posted at 20/1/2024 10:40 by 7kiwi
MrN.

Kazatomprom is already under significant influence from Russia and China.

According to this press report, China has contracts for 60% of Kaz production and Russia 26%, leaving just 14% for the west. Iirc, even Cameco did a deal to sell some of its share of Inkai production to China.

The option with KAP was and is valuable, but even if the option is somehow terminated early, I don't really see how that negatively impacts YCA's share price. It would underline the scarcity of western material and push up the per pound price, pushing up YCA's NAV per share. It's NAV per share matters far more than total NAV of the company.

As I said before, my own view is that at some point YCA will be taken out by a consortium of producers and/or utilities. There's a 30-50m lb p.a. structural deficit in the market for the next few years. YCA's 21m lbs will help mitigate the deficit in one of those years. It would have to at least be at NAV though for shareholders to approve such a deal.
Posted at 22/12/2023 23:38 by 7kiwi
Rimau,

You would be right if they could still buy Uranium at 48. But they can't.

If they can buy Uranium at less than the equivalent price reflected in the share price (~$76.70 today), then they should possibly hold on to the cash, or buy the Uranium. I suspect they can't, so a buyback would be more accretive.

Probably better in the medium term to buy back, get the share price close to NAV and activate the $100m 2024 option with KAP and take another 1m lbs or so off the market. NAV will then rise again as the market tightens further.
Posted at 28/9/2023 20:42 by bountyhunter
There's a big US dependency on Russian Uranium imports to break based on what I have read ...but maybe things are moving on there now?



The current situation appears to be more than a little concerning generally speaking, although will probably help the YCA share price going forwards?

"Western governments have avoided sanctioning Rosatom for obvious reasons. But their over reliance on Russian uranium comes with a huge risk because most utilities only keep about 18 months of fuel inventory, meaning their nuclear sectors would face a meltdown if Putin suddenly decided to stop doing business with them."
Yellow Cake share price data is direct from the London Stock Exchange

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