Wt Sp500vix2.25 Discussion Threads

[mister md] 02/2/2023 09:23

I've doubled down, but it's feeling like gambling

VIx at new 52 week lows though

[mister md] 02/2/2023 08:10

Add/Hold/Sell ?!

[cevahirs] 02/2/2023 08:05

i blame you waterloo :) you jinxed it for me complimenting me on my "impeccable" timing, haha! I am joking of course, but I really didn't see it coming from Powell last night, have a sneaking suspicion that his curtailed hawkishness might have some sort of political element in it but not sure what that could be.

[nerja] 01/2/2023 19:48

I think he is saving the white flag

[mister md] 01/2/2023 19:45

Has Powell announced another round of QE or something ?

[cevahirs] 01/2/2023 18:43

hope so waterloo. we'll see in the next few hours i think, fingers crossed.

[waterloo01] 01/2/2023 17:44

cevahirs, impeccable timing?

[mister md] 01/2/2023 17:21

VIX still 'only' at 20

[mister md] 01/2/2023 15:30

Fed expected to increase by 0.25
I suppose it is what they say which will carry more weight.

[cevahirs] 01/2/2023 08:31

i am going in chaps. long VILX, long LQQS....fingers crossed.

[mister md] 31/1/2023 09:05

Could keep moving at least until the FED decision tomorrow?

[zcaprd7] 30/1/2023 10:26

Had a little top up this morning...

[mister md] 30/1/2023 09:40

VIX finally on the move, currently at 20 ...

[mister md] 28/1/2023 18:39

The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX - 0.68 to 18.05) has been in a downtrend so far this year and should it close at its current level of 18.05, would represent a fresh 52-week low. Additionally, the VIX futures term structure has flattened quite a bit over the past two months, ranging (incrementally higher) from 19-23 when you look out to the September expiration. This suggests option traders on the SPX/VIX have become more comfortable in the current environment and do not expect significant volatility in the near-term. Are traders too complacent? Tough to say for sure, but we've seen the VIX reverse course when it gets this low in the past. For reference, a VIX around 18 suggests a ~0.94% daily move (either higher or lower) in the SPX which translates into ~38 points.

[waterloo01] 28/1/2023 18:38

My natural caution but one can't hep but feel things are going to get a lot tougher, esp in Europe as Putin mounts the inevitable counter offensive. Mid-east doesn't inspire much confidence. Meanwhile the soft landing narrative prevails

[mister md] 27/1/2023 16:26

VIX 12 month low 18
VIX 12 month high 36


Now at 18, the 12 month low. No fear in the market currently it seems.

[mister md] 27/1/2023 14:57

Shouldn't have, really ...

[mister md] 27/1/2023 14:02

Added a few at 30.5p - VIX seems low at just under 19 ?

[mister md] 26/1/2023 16:48

Likewise my 33p entry looked good at one point yesterday afternoon - may hold for a little longer whilst Vix is under 20.
3ULS is a better, less risky hedge though.

[waterloo01] 26/1/2023 16:34

Still dabble but much more circumspect these days. I bought a few at 34p yesterday and a reminder not to rely on this as an effective hedge.

[mister md] 26/1/2023 16:27

Anyone else getting involved at these levels - where did waterloo01 go ?

[mister md] 26/1/2023 08:27

VIX ar 19 ...

[zcaprd7] 25/1/2023 15:37

I never learn, probably needs to double now for me to get some money back.I think I signed in with my Google account automatically? It's free to register...