Uk Oil & Gas Share Price (UKOG)

Share Name	Share Symbol	Market	Type	Share ISIN	Share Description
Uk Oil & Gas Plc	LSE:UKOG	London	Ordinary Share	GB00B9MRZS43	ORD 0.01P

	Price Change	% Change	Share Price	Shares Traded	Last Trade
	-0.075p	-6.82%	1.025p	51,528,982	15:25:51

Bid Price		Offer Price	High Price	Low Price	Open Price
1.00p		1.05p	1.125p	1.025p	1.125p

Industry Sector	Turnover (m)	Profit (m)	EPS - Basic	PE Ratio	Market Cap (m)
Oil & Gas Producers	0.21	-2.27	-0.08		62.0

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Uk Oil & Gas (UKOG) Latest News (5)

Uk Oil & Gas News

Date	Time	Source	Headline
17/5/2019	11:25	ALNC	Alba Mineral And UK Oil & Gas Say Portland Testing Beat Expectations
17/5/2019	07:00	UKREG	UK Oil & Gas PLC Horse Hill-1 Production Test Update
16/4/2019	12:48	ALNC	UK Oil & Gas Builds Majority Interest In PEDL143 Oil Licence (ALLISS)
16/4/2019	07:00	UKREG	UK Oil & Gas PLC Acquisition of Further Interest in PEDL143
11/4/2019	14:46	UKREG	UK Oil & Gas PLC Result of Annual General Meeting
11/4/2019	11:28	ALNC	UK Oil & Gas Pleased With Performance Of Portland Oil Reservoir
11/4/2019	07:00	UKREG	UK Oil & Gas PLC Oil Production Test Update
27/3/2019	11:17	ALNC	UK Oil & Gas Raises GBP3.5 Million To Assess New Opportunities (ALLISS)
27/3/2019	07:01	UKREG	UK Oil & Gas PLC Successful Placing to Raise £3.5 Million
19/3/2019	12:26	UKREG	UK Oil & Gas PLC Posting of Annual Report and Accounts & AGM Notice

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Date	Time	Title	Posts
19/5/2019	21:48	UKOG strikes oil 2016	128,525
18/5/2019	20:40	UK OIL & GAS 2018 - "The Gatwick Gusher"	9,150
17/5/2019	17:27	I wonder why?	547
02/5/2019	23:50	Grotto 4 - The Birth of the Franchise	753
01/5/2019	08:23	UKOG - Another 'oil' stock for mug punters	504

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19/5/2019 09:20	Uk Oil & Gas Daily Update: Uk Oil & Gas Plc is listed in the Oil & Gas Producers sector of the London Stock Exchange with ticker UKOG. The last closing price for Uk Oil & Gas was 1.10p. Uk Oil & Gas Plc has a 4 week average price of 1p and a 12 week average price of 1p. The 1 year high share price is 2.93p while the 1 year low share price is currently 0.93p. There are currently 6,047,606,516 shares in issue and the average daily traded volume is 30,776,307 shares. The market capitalisation of Uk Oil & Gas Plc is £61,987,966.79. Read Full Thread Reply
04/5/2019 20:57	atino: UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) share price: hit and hope? 🤷‍♂;️🤦&zwj;♂️ By all metrics, UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) is an extraordinary stock. A mixture of patriotism, hyperactivity on internet bulletin boards and high trading volumes have led to wild swings in the share price. Launched by serial entrepreneur, David Lenigas, as a cash shell in late December 2013, UKOG is an oil and gas exploration company with several assets in the Weald Basin of the South of England. In March 2016 it attracted national news coverage with the discovery of the ‘Gatwick Gusher’, an onshore oil field at Horse Hill in Surrey, and claims of up to 100 billion barrels of oil, which has sparked ongoing investor interest ever since. The company is AIM-listed, one of many junior exploration and production businesses that have listed on the market. As of April 2019, there were 93 companies in the AIM Energy classification, of which just 15 reported profits. To finance the firm’s activity to date, UKOG has regularly tapped the markets for more cash to expand operations, with a further placing raising £3.5 million in March 2019. This has caused significant dilution for shareholders, doubling the number of share outstanding over the past two years, to a fraction over 6 billion, a ten fold increase since December 2013. The result of this is that while the share price has gone nowhere over five years, the market cap has increased from a very low base. UKOG – the speculator’s favourite Now sporting a market cap of just over £70 million, but never having got close to generating meaningful revenues. Data on Google searches reveals astonishing search volumes for such a small business, with around 400,000 monthly searches for terms such as ‘UKOG’ or ‘UKOG share price’. In comparison, similar search terms for HSBC’s share price are around ten times lower. This is reflected in the number of posts on the popular bulletin board, ADVFN; 137,000 posts for the former and just 8000 posts on the latter. Unusually for a high profile share, it is not covered by any sell side analysts and has a shareholder list that is almost uniformly made up of non-professional investors. For many people that would be a genuine red flag: in the absence of institutional investors, have the necessary levels of due diligence been performed by the shareholders? UKOG’s management have been awarded share options as part of their compensation, but appear not to own many shares (if any) in the business. Possibly uniquely, the ten largest registered owners are all retail investor platforms, with Hargreaves Lansdown and Interactive Investor alone accounting for 40% of the holders. IG’s clients are also active in this stock, and at the turn of the year nearly 3% of clients had a position in it. Table: UKOG shareholder list Owner Holding % Hargreaves Lansdown 26.0 Interactive Investor 14.0 Halifax Share Dealing 12.8 Barclays (client accounts) 7.5 HSBC Holdings 4.6 Share Centre 3.2 AJ Bell 2.4 Equiniti Shareview 2.4 IG Markets 1.9 Jarvis Investment Management 1.9 Total 76.7 Source: Bloomberg, April 2019 Oil exploration is costly Finding and the extracting oil is a costly business, particularly in the crowded South East of England, and UKOG is not alone in having its share of disappointments. 2018 saw write-offs totaling £11.56 million, with the announcement in February of ‘formation damage’ at the Broadford Bridge oil well knocking more than £50 million off the market cap in one day. This is the crux of the problem. Finding oil is relatively simple compared to the challenges of extracting it, and it simply may not be viable to pump commercial quantities of oil to the surface. Revenues of just £0.2 million a year reflect this difficulty. UKOG clearly outlines its project plans in the latest investor presentation, prospecting in a number of areas, but the reality is that this is very much an exploration company which could be many years from making large revenues. If indeed it ever gets there. The extract from the presentation below illustrates this point quite neatly. The question investors will inevitably be asking, is why a loss-making business has continued to use precious cash on acquiring further assets from Europa Oil & Gas and Union Jack Oil, if the existing asset at Horse Hill is expected to be so productive? Another concern for investors would be that company’s share price is determined by speculators, rather than investors, many of whom are waiting for the next big price spike. If, or when, the share price does rally, it’s inevitable that not everyone will be able to sell at once. Conclusion – UKOG just another ‘lottery stock’? UKOG has similar characteristics to Sirius Minerals, a North Yorkshire potash miner, only on a scale many times smaller. It’s easy to dismiss these types of loss-making thematic stocks as ones to avoid, and certainly the share price volatility of both these businesses have a casino-like element which offers a high probability of making capital losses – yet by their very nature some of them will pay off. The academics Bjorn Eraker and Mark Ready, in a 2014 paper, ran an analysis of US-listed penny stocks, finding that a substantial majority of these investments underperformed the wider market when costs were taken into account. However, the dataset exhibited strong positive skew, meaning that there were very large outsized gains to be made in a smaller subset of names. UKOG may not be a lottery ticket, in the truest sense, but investors should take more care than usual before allocating large amounts of their capital to it. https://www.ig.com/uk/investments/news/share-dealing/2019/04/29/uk-oil---gas--ukog--share-price--hit-and-hope- Read Full Thread Follow Reply
01/5/2019 09:32	datait2: gizmo are cycling to Italy?? is it a tandem bike, are you at the rear pretending to pedal, or is Gimso at the back?? yuo could go via the Alps, to remind you of the UKOG share price chart! it will save you money, so you can top up at these "fabulous cheap" prices in UKOG Read Full Thread Follow Reply
23/4/2019 08:19	25wbh: Yes Gismo , only wish UKOG Share price would follow upwards as well ,lol Read Full Thread Follow Reply
20/4/2019 21:15	datait2: Enjoy, I do trust you have read UKOG's propectus before you invested here !! RISKS RELATING TO THE COMPANY AND ITS BUSINESS STRATEGY Internal systems and controls The Company faces risks frequently encountered by developing companies such as undercapitalisation, cash shortages and limited resources. In particular, its future growth and prospects will depend on its ability to manage growth and to continue to maintain, expand and improve operational, financial and management information systems on a timely basis, whilst at the same time maintaining effective cost controls. Any damage to, failure of or inability to maintain, expand and upgrade effective operational, financial and management information systems and internal controls in line with the Company’s growth could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s business, financial condition and results of operations. Attraction and retention of key employees and personnel The Company’s success will depend on its current and future executive management team. If any key person resigns, there is a risk that no suitable replacement with the requisite skills, contacts and experience will be found to replace such person. The senior executive personnel currently have equity or share option interests in the Company. Notwithstanding this, if key personnel were to leave the Company, it could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s business, financial condition and operating results. Retention of key business relationships The Company will rely significantly on strategic relationships with other entities on good relationships with regulatory and governmental departments and upon third parties to provide essential contracting services. There can be no assurance that its existing relationships will continue to be maintained or that new ones will be successfully formed and the Company could be adversely affected by changes to such relationships or difficulties in forming new ones. Any circumstance which causes the early termination or non-renewal of one or more of these key business alliances or contracts or the failure successfully to form new ones, could adversely impact the Company, its business, operating results and prospects. Political conditions and government regulations Although political conditions in the UK are generally stable, changes may occur in its political, fiscal and legal systems, which might adversely affect the ownership or operation of the Company’s interests including, inter alia, changes in exchange rates, exchange control regulations, expropriation 30 of oil and gas rights, changes in government and in legislative, fiscal and regulatory regimes. The Company’s strategy has been formulated in the light of the current regulatory environment and likely future changes. Although the Directors believe that the Company’s activities are currently carried out in accordance with all applicable rules and regulations, no assurance can be given that new rules, laws and regulations will not be enacted or that existing or future rules and regulations will not be applied in a manner which could serve to limit or curtail exploration production or development of the Company’s business or have an otherwise negative impact on its activities. Amendments to existing rules, laws and regulations governing the Company’s operations and activities, or increases in or more stringent enforcement, implementation or interpretation thereof, could have a material adverse impact on the Company’s business, results of operations and financial condition and its industry in general in terms of additional compliance costs. Project development risks There can be no assurance that the Company will be able to manage effectively the expansion of its operations or that the Company’s current personnel, systems, procedures and controls will be adequate to support the Company’s operations. This includes among other things, the Company managing the acquisition of required land tenure, infrastructure development and other related issues. Any failure of the Board to manage effectively the Company’s growth and development could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s business, financial condition and results of operations. There is no certainty that all, or indeed, any of the elements of the Company’s current strategy will develop as anticipated and that the Company will be profitable. Environmental, health and safety and other regulatory standards The projects in which the Company invests and its existing and potential production and exploration activities are subject to various laws and regulations relating to the protection of the environment (including regular environmental impact assessments and the obtaining of appropriate permits or approvals by relevant environmental authorities) and are also required to comply with applicable health and safety and other regulatory standards. Environmental legislation in particular can comprise numerous regulations which might conflict with one another and which cannot be consistently interpreted. Such regulations typically cover a wide variety of matters including without limitation prevention of waste pollution and protection of the environment, labour regulations and worker safety. The Company may also be subject under such regulations to clean-up costs and liability for toxic or hazardous substances which may exist on or under any of its properties or which may be produced as a result of its operations. As a result, although the Company intends to operate in accordance with the highest standards of environmental practice and comply in all material respects, full compliance with applicable environmental laws and regulations may not always be ensured. The current and anticipated operations of the Company, including further exploration, appraisal, development, production and ultimately decommissioning activities require permits from various national and local governmental authorities. Such operations are subject to a substantial body of laws and regulations governing land use, the protection of the environment, production, taxes, labour standards, occupational health, waste disposal, toxic substances, mine safety and other matters. Any changes to, and increases in, current regulation or legal requirements, with the enforcement thereof, may have a material adverse effect upon the Company in terms of additional compliance costs. Unfavourable amendments to current laws, regulations and permits governing operations and activities of development and/or production companies, or more stringent implementation thereof, could have a materially adverse impact on the Company and cause increases in capital expenditures which could result in a cessation of operations by the Company. Any failure to comply with relevant environmental, health and safety and other regulatory standards may subject the Company to extensive liability, fines and/or penalties and have an adverse effect on the business and operations financial results or financial position of the Company. Furthermore, the future introduction or enactment of new laws, guidelines and regulations could serve to limit or curtail the growth and development of the Company’s business or have an otherwise negative impact on its operations. Failure to comply with applicable laws, regulations and permitting requirements may result in enforcement actions thereunder, including orders issued by regulatory or judicial authorities 31 causing operations to cease or be curtailed, and may include corrective measures requiring capital expenditures, installation or additional equipment or remedial actions. Currency risks The Company receives revenue from the sale of oil from its Projects; oil is priced in US dollars whilst the bulk of the Company’s costs are in GBP and therefore the Company’s financial position and performance will be affected by fluctuations in the US dollar, sterling exchange rate along with fluctuations in the oil price. In addition the Company may make investments in currencies other than Sterling and the Company does not currently intend to hedge against exchange rate fluctuations. Accordingly, the value of such investments may be adversely affected by changes in currency exchange rates notwithstanding the performance of the investments themselves, which may have a material adverse effect on the business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects of the Company. Insurance coverage and uninsured risks The Company insures its operations in accordance with industry practice and plans to insure the risks it considers appropriate for the Company’s needs and circumstances. However, the Company may elect not to have insurance for certain risks, due to the high premium costs associated with insuring those risks or for various other reasons, including an assessment that the risks are remote. No assurance can be given that the Company will be able to obtain insurance coverage at reasonable rates (or at all), or that any coverage it obtains will be adequate and available to cover any claims arising. The Company may become subject to liability for pollution or other hazards against which it has not insured or cannot insure, including those in respect of past activities for which it was not responsible. In the event that insurance coverage is not available or the Company’s insurance is insufficient to fully cover any losses, claims and/or liabilities incurred, the Company’s business and operations, financial results or financial position may be disrupted and adversely affected. The payment by the Company’s insurers of any insurance claims may result in increases in the premiums payable by the Company for its insurance cover and adversely affect the Company’s financial performance. In the future, some or all of the Company’s insurance coverage may become unavailable or prohibitively expensive. Fluctuations of revenues, expenses and operating results Future revenues, expenses and operating results of the Company could vary significantly from period to period as a result of a variety of factors, some of which are outside its control. These factors include general economic conditions, adverse movements in interest rates, conditions specific to the oil and gas market, seasonal trends in revenues, capital expenditure and other costs and the introduction of new products or services to the market. In response to a changing competitive environment, the Company may elect from time to time to make certain pricing, service or marketing decisions or investments that could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s revenues, results of operations and financial conditions and prospects. Third-Party Credit Risk The Company is and may in the future be exposed to third-party credit risk through its contractual arrangements with its current or future joint venture partners, marketers of its petroleum and production and other parties. Significant changes in the oil and natural gas industry, including fluctuations in commodity prices and economic conditions, environmental regulations, government policy and other geopolitical factors, could adversely affect the Company’s ability to realise the full value of its accounts receivable. Typically, oil and gas operations are funded pro rata to the participants’ interests in the licences or concessions, accordingly to budgets and work programmes drawn up by the operator and approved by the requisite majority of the participants, subject to variations as agreed between the participants. Any failure of a participant to pay its share of operational costs in whole or in part may increase the costs for the other participants and/or lead to delays or changes to proposed operations, which may have a material and adverse effect on the Company’s business, financial condition, results of operations or prospects. 32 Decommissioning and abandonment As a party to certain Licences, the Company (together with the other participants) has undertaken obligations to restore production areas to standards acceptable to the OGA and the environmental regulator at the end of the production fields’ commercial lives. The Company will be liable for its share of any decommission work. Any obligation to decommission a production facility may involve a substantial expenditure. These decommissioning costs are necessarily incurred at a time when the related production facilities are no longer generating revenue and no provisioning has been made in the Company’s accounts for such future decommissioning costs. It is intended that the decommissioning costs, when they arise, will be borne by the Company out of production revenue. There can, however, be no assurance that the production revenue will be sufficient to meet these decommissioning costs as and when they arise, and if the Company has to apply other or additional financial resources to meet these costs instead, it could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s business, financial condition, cash flows, results of operations and prospects. Upon cessation of any operations on a licence area, the Company is likely to be responsible for costs associated with abandoning infrastructure and restoring the operational sites by taking reasonable and necessary steps in accordance with generally accepted environmental practices in the international petroleum industry. The Company’s environmental permits may specify commitments to the relevant government authority for specific rehabilitation activities on a site. Licensing, planning permission and other consents The development of the Company’s current and future assets may be dependent on the receipt of planning permission from the appropriate local authorities as well as other necessary consents such as environmental permits, leases and regulatory consents. Obtaining the necessary consents and approvals may be costly, and they may not be granted or may be withdrawn or made subject to limitations. The failure to gain such permissions, or gain such permissions on terms or at a cost acceptable to the Company, may limit the Company in its ability to develop and extract value from its assets and could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s business, results of operations, financial conditions and prospects. Onshore oil and gas operations in the UK have recently been subject to extensive planning and environmental approval procedures, the outcome of which has been uncertain. Unforeseen circumstances or circumstances beyond the control of the Company may lead to commitments given to licencing authorities not being discharged on time. In particular, the Company’s activities are dependent upon the grant and maintenance of appropriate permissions from, amongst others, the OGA. As operator of certain of the Licences, the Company is responsible for adhering to the work programme in the form approved by the OGA. Failure to do so may result in the rescinding of permission by the OGA, which could result in the Company suffering significant damage through loss of the opportunity to identify and extract hydrocarbons. The expiry dates of the Licences in which the Company is interested are set out in Part V of this Document. The Licences are not automatically renewed. Although the Company believes that the Licences will be renewed or extended following expiry, provided oil and gas operations are continuing at the licence areas and operations have complied with all applicable regulatory requirements, there can be no assurance that such Licences will be renewed or extended. Production The delivery of the Company’s plans depends on the successful continuation of existing field production operations and the development of key projects. Both of these involve risks normally incidental to such activities including blowouts, oil spills, explosions, fires, equipment damage or failure, natural disasters, geological uncertainties, unusual or unexpected rock formations, abnormal pressures, seismic events, availability of technology and engineering capacity, availability of skilled resources, maintaining project schedules and managing costs, as well as technical, fiscal, regulatory, political and other conditions. Such potential obstacles may impair the Company’s continuation of existing field production and delivery of key projects and, in turn, the Company’s operational performance and financial position (including the financial impact from failure to fulfil contractual commitments related to project delivery). The Company may face interruptions or delays in the availability of infrastructure, including pipelines and storage tanks, on which exploration and production activities are dependent. The production performance of the reservoirs and wells may also be different to that forecast due to normal geological or mechanical uncertainties. Such interruptions, delays or performance differences could result in disruptions or changes to the 33 Company’s existing production and projects, lower production and increased costs, and may have an adverse effect on the Company’s profitability. Social Media The Company is aware that it has a large following of stakeholders and is often covered and mentioned in the media, including social media. It is important to note that UKOG has no direct influence on articles published by third parties however such publications hold the potential to effect its share price. This was evident during June 2015, when UKOG was forced to provide clarifications on its earlier RNS statements following media reports of the Company’s announcements and associated interviews with the Company’s management. Consequently, the Board has implemented a Social Media Policy across its operations which applies to all employees, officers, consultants, contractors, interns, casual workers and agency workers. Although this policy will ensure that the Company does not publish any un-authorised media itself, it is important to note that other media providers and individuals may publish their own information without consultation with the company and such articles may therefore may have an unqualified effect on UKOG’s share price and should not be relied upon. Undated documents The Group does not have in its possession certain dated contractual documents relating to the acquisition and disposal of interests in, and the operations of, its oil and gas assets (including the Licences), the terms of which are referred to in Part V of this document. The descriptions of the contracts contained in this document accurately reflect the documentation held by the Company and which the Company believes represents the final form of the definitive executed agreements between the respective counterparties. The operations of the Group’s assets and dealings with the counterparties to the respective agreements have been conducted in accordance with the terms of such documentation held by the Group, which follow standard industry terms and provide for usual pro rata costs of and entitlements in the Licences for the participants therein, and terms of appointment of the operator. The interests of the Group in the Licences referred to in this document, as shown on the OGA’s website, are also in accordance with the contractual documentation held by the Group. Therefore, whilst the Directors are confident that the position and terms of the interests in its oil and gas are as described in Part V of this document and that there would be a very small chance of legal challenge, should any counterparty dispute the terms of the agreements and assert that different terms and conditions had been agreed with the Group, the Group may require legal process to be followed to establish that the documentation it holds is definitive in governing the contractual relationship. Any finding that terms are materially different from the terms of the material contracts as described in this document may have a material adverse effect on the Group’s business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects. RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH THE OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY Payment obligations Under the Licences and certain other contractual agreements to which the Company is or may in the future become a party, the Company is or may become subject to payment and other obligations. In particular, the Licence holders are required to expend the funds necessary to meet the minimum work commitments attaching to permits and licences. Failure to meet these work commitments will render the Licence liable to be cancelled. Further, if any contractual obligations are not complied with when due, in addition to any other remedies which may be available to other parties, this could result in dilution or forfeiture of interests held by the Company. Litigation The operating hazards inherent in the Company’s business expose the Company to litigation, including personal injury litigation, environmental litigation, contractual litigation with clients, intellectual property litigation, tax or other litigation. As the date of this Document the Company is involved in legal proceedings, further details of which are set out in paragraph 17 of Part V. There is no assurance that the outcome of these proceedings will be favourable to the Company. The Company cannot predict with certainty the outcome or effect of these proceedings or any other litigation matter that it may be involved in the future. The current 34 proceedings and any future litigation may have an adverse effect on the Company’s business, financial position, results of operations and the Company’s ability to pay dividends, because of potential negative outcomes, the costs associated with prosecuting or defending such lawsuits, and the diversion of management’s attention to these matters. The petroleum industry, as with all industries, may be subject to legal claims including personal injury claims, both with and without merit, from time to time. The Directors cannot preclude that such litigation may be brought against the Company in the future. Defence and settlement costs can be substantial, even with respect to claims that have no merit. Due to the inherent uncertainty of the litigation process, there can be no assurance that the resolution of any particular legal proceeding will not have a material adverse effect on the Company’s financial position, results or operations. The Company’s business may be materially adversely affected if the Company and/or its employees or agents are found not to have met the appropriate standard of care or not exercised their discretion or authority in a prudent or appropriate manner in accordance with accepted standards. Ability to exploit successful discoveries It may not always be possible for the Company to participate in the exploitation of all successful discoveries made in areas in which the Company has an interest. Such exploitation may involve the need to obtain licences or consents from the relevant authorities, which may require conditions to be satisfied and/or the exercise of discretion by such authorities. It may, or may not, be possible for such conditions to be satisfied. Furthermore, the decision to proceed to further exploitation may require the participation of other companies whose interest and objectives may not be the same as those of the Company. Such further work may also require the Company to meet, or commit to, financing obligations, which it may not have anticipated or may not be able to commit to, due to lack of funds, or inability to raise funds. Market risk The continued marketing of the oil that the Company produces will be dependent on market fluctuations and the availability of processing and refining facilities and transportation infrastructure, including access to roads, train lines and any other relevant options at economic tariff rates, over which the Company may have limited or no control. Transport links (including roads and pipelines) may be inadequately maintained and subject to capacity constraints and economic tariff rates may be increased with little or no notice and without taking into account producer concerns. Producers of oil negotiate sales contracts directly with oil purchasers, with the result that the market determines the price of oil. The price depends in part on oil quality, prices of competing fuels, distance to market, the value of refined products and the supply/demand balance. The marketability and prices of oil that may be discovered or acquired by the Company will be affected by numerous factors beyond its control. Technological developments The Company may not be able to keep pace with technological developments in its industry. The oil industry is characterised by rapid and significant technological advancements and introductions of new products and services using new technologies. As others use or develop new technologies, the Company may be placed at a competitive disadvantage, and competitive pressures may force the Company to implement those new technologies at substantial cost. In addition, other oil companies may have greater financial, technical and personnel resources that allow them to enjoy technological advantages and may in the future allow them to implement new technologies before the Company can. The Company may not be able to respond to these competitive pressures and implement new technologies on a timely basis or at an acceptable cost. If one or more of the technologies the Company uses now or in the future were to become obsolete or if the Company is unable to use the most advanced commercially available technology, the Company’s business, financial condition and results of operations could be materially and adversely affected. Competition The Company operates in a very challenging business environment and competition for access to explorations acreage, oil services and rigs, technology and processes, and human resources is intense. Competitors include companies with, in many cases, greater financial resources, local contacts, staff and facilities than those of the Company for exploration and production licences as well as other regional investment or acquisition opportunities may increase in the future. This may 35 lead to increased costs in the carrying on the Company’s activities and reduced available growth opportunities. Any failure by the Company to compete effectively could adversely affect the Company’s operating results and financial condition. Increase in drilling and production costs and the availability of drilling equipment The oil industry historically has experienced periods of rapid cost increases. Increases in the cost of exploration, production and development would affect the Company’s ability to invest in prospects and to purchase or hire equipment, supplies and services. In addition, the availability of drilling rigs and other equipment and services is affected by the level and location of drilling activity around the world. The reduced availability of equipment and services may delay its ability to exploit reserves and adversely affect the Company’s operations and profitability. Such pressures are likely to increase the actual cost of services, extend the time to secure such services and add costs for damages due to any accidents sustained from the overuse of equipment and inexperienced personnel. Delays in drilling and other exploration activities, the possibility of poor services coupled with potential damage to downhole reservoirs and personnel injuries may also result in increased costs. Other factors affecting the production and sale of oil and natural gas that could result in decreases in profitability or otherwise adversely affect the Company’s operations include: (i) expiration or termination of leases, concession right, consents, permits or licences, or sales price redeterminations or suspension of deliveries; (ii) future litigation; (iii) the timing and amount of insurance recoveries; (iv) work stoppages or other labour difficulties; (v) worker vacation schedules and related maintenance activities; and (vi) limitations on access to transport capacity. There can be no assurance that these or similar issues may not cause disruptions to the Company’s ability to produce or sell oil in the future. Delays in production and transportation Various production, marketing and transportation conditions may cause delays in oil production and adversely affect the Company’s business. The inability to complete wells in a timely manner would result in production delays and could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s financial position and future results of operations. Restrictions on the Company’s ability to access necessary infrastructure services may adversely affect the Company’s operations Inadequate supply of the critical infrastructure elements for drilling activity could result in reduced production or sales volumes, which could have a negative effect on the Company’s financial performance. Disruptions in the supply of essential utility services, such as water and electricity, can halt the Company’s production for the duration of the disruption and, when unexpected, may cause loss of life or damage to its drilling equipment or facilities, which may in turn affect its ability to recommence operations on a timely basis. The Company may be dependent on third party providers of utility and transportation services. As such, third party provision of services, maintenance of networks and expansion and contingency plans will be outside of the Company’s control. Volatility of prices for oil and gas The demand for, and price of, oil and gas is highly dependent on a variety of factors beyond the Company’s control, including international supply and demand, weather conditions, the price and availability of alternative fuels, actions taken by governments and international cartels, supply and demand of capital, employment trends, international economic trends, currency exchange rate fluctuations, the level of interest rates and the rate of inflation, the cost of freight, global or regional political events and international events, as well as a range of other market forces. The aggregate effect of these factors is impossible to predict. International oil and gas prices have fluctuated widely in recent years and may continue to fluctuate significantly in the future. Sustained downward movements in oil and gas prices could render less economic, or wholly uneconomic, some or all of the exploration and the existing, and potential future, oil production related activities to be undertaken by the Company. Any material decline in oil and gas prices could result in a reduction of the Company’s net production revenue and overall value. The economics of producing from some wells may change as a result of lower prices, which could result in a reduction in the volumes of the Company’s reserves. The Company might also elect not to produce from certain wells at lower prices. All of these factors could result in a material decrease in the Company’s net production revenue causing a reduction in its acquisition and development 36 activities. A substantial material decline in prices from historical average prices could reduce the Company’s ability to borrow funds. The Company’s operations and development projects could be adversely affected by shortages of, as well as lead times to deliver, certain key inputs The inability to obtain, in a timely manner, strategic consumables, raw materials, drilling and processing equipment could have an adverse impact on any results of operations and financial condition. Periods of high demand for such supplies can result in periods when availability of supplies are limited and cause costs to increase above normal inflation rates. Any interruption to supplies or increase in costs could adversely affect the operating results and cash flows of the Company. Over-run of drilling programme and costs over-run It may not be possible for the Company, as the operator of certain Licences, to adhere to agreed drilling schedules. This may impact all participants in the Licences, and their future plans. The project partners’ final determination of whether to drill any scheduled or budgeted wells will depend on a number of factors including: l results of the exploration efforts and the acquisition, review and analysis of seismic data, if any; l availability of sufficient capital resources and any other participants for the drilling of the prospects; l approval of the prospects by other participants after additional data has been compiled; l economic and industry conditions at the time of drilling, including prevailing and anticipated process for oil and natural gas and the availability and prices of drilling rigs and crews; and l availability of leases, licence options, farm-outs, other rights to explore and permits on reasonable terms for the prospects Although the Company, as the operator of certain Licences, will at the time identify or budget for drilling prospects, it will require the approval of all or a requisite majority of the participants of those Licences. It may not be possible to drill those prospects within the expected timeframe, or at all, and the drilling schedule, once agreed, may vary from its expectations because of future uncertainties and rig availability and access to drilling locations. In addition, there is a risk that no commercially productive oil or gas reservoirs will be discovered. Dependence on third party services The Company may rely on products and services provided by independent third parties, such as undertaking due diligence and technical reviews, carrying out drilling activities and delivering oil products, and providing general financial and strategic advice. If there is any interruption to the products or services provided, or failure to perform those services with due care and skill, by such third parties, the Company’s business could be adversely affected and the Company may be unable to find adequate replacement services on a timely basis, if at all, and/or on acceptable commercial terms. This may have a material adverse effect on the business, financial conditions, results of operations and prospects of the Company. Exploration, development and production activities are capital intensive and inherently uncertain in their outcome. As a result, the Company may not generate a return on its investments or recover its costs and it may not be able to generate cash flows or secure adequate financing for its discretionary capital expenditure plans Exploration, development and production activities are capital intensive and inherently uncertain in their outcome. The Company’s projects may involve unprofitable efforts, either from dry wells or from wells that are productive but do not produce sufficient net revenues to return a profit after development, operating and other costs. Furthermore, completion of a well does not guarantee a profit on the investment or recovery of the costs associated with that well. In addition, drilling hazards or environmental damage could significantly affect operating costs, and production from successful wells may be adversely affected by conditions including delays in obtaining governmental approvals or consents, shut-ins of connected wells resulting from extreme weather conditions, insufficient storage or transportation capacity or adverse geological conditions. Production delays and declines, whether or not as a result of the foregoing conditions, may result in lower revenue or cash flows from 37 operating activities until such time, if at all, that the delay or decline is cured or arrested. In the event that such cash flows are reduced in the future, the Company may be forced to scale back or delay discretionary capital expenditure resulting in delays to, or the postponement of, the Company’s planned production and development activities which could have a material adverse effect on its business, results of operations, financial condition or prospects. Operational risks Drilling, appraisal, exploration, construction, development and production activities may involve significant risks and operational hazards and environmental, technical and logistical difficulties, as usually associated with oil and gas operations. These include, inter alia, the possibility of uncontrolled hydrocarbon emissions, fires, earthquake activity, extreme weather conditions, coastal erosion, explosions, blowouts, cratering, over-pressurised formations, unusual or unexpected geological conditions, unpredictable drilling-related problems, equipment failure, labour disputes and the absence of economically viable reserves. These hazards may result in delays or interruption to production, cost over-runs, the failure to produce oil in commercial quantities, substantial losses and/or exposure to substantial environmental and other liabilities, including potential litigation and clean-up or other remedial costs. Damages claimed in connection with any consequent litigation and the costs to the Company in defending itself against such litigation are difficult to predict and may be material. In addition, the Company could experience adverse publicity as a result of any such litigation. Any loss of production or adverse legal consequences stemming from production hazards could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s business, results of operations, financial condition or prospects. Non achievement of anticipated timetables Drilling rigs or other equipment may not be available at the time envisaged (due to, for example, delays in making appropriate modifications, adverse weather conditions, insolvency of the owners or total loss) or may fail to perform in accordance with the Directors’ expectations in regard to the timetable. There is no guarantee that replacement equipment will be available on reasonable commercial terms or at all. Failure to meet the expected timetables may result in the Company being unable to generate cash from those assets. This would have a material adverse effect on the Company’s business, prospects, financial condition and operations. The Company’s anticipated timetables for all of its current and expected operations are estimates of the Directors based on a number of variables not all of which are under the Company’s direct control. If the timetable estimates prove to be wrong or the operators or any of the participants in the Licences do not take the actions in relation to maintaining or developing the assets then it may lead to delays or further problems which may have a material adverse effect on the Company’s business, prospects, financial conditions and operations. Existing and proposed legislation and regulation affecting greenhouse gas emissions may adversely affect certain of the Company’s operations Many participants in the oil and gas sector are subject to current and planned legislation in relation to the emission of carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide and other so called ‘greenhouse gases’. Failure to comply with existing legislation or any future legislation could adversely affect the Company’s profitability. Future legislative initiatives designed to reduce the consumption of hydrocarbons could also have an impact on the ability of the Company to market its commodities and/or the prices which it is able to obtain. These factors could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s business, results of operations, financial condition or prospects. Failure to discover new reserves, enhance existing reserves or adequately develop new projects could adversely affect the Company’s business Exploration and development are costly, speculative and often unproductive, but are necessary for the Company’s business. This is particularly the case in the oil and gas industry, where there may be many reasons why the Company may not be able to find oil reserves or develop them for commercially viable production. For instance, factors such as adverse weather conditions, natural disasters, equipment or services shortages, procurement delays or difficulties arising from the environmental and other conditions in the areas where the reserves are located or through which production is transported may increase costs and make it uneconomical to develop potential 38 reserves. Failure to discover new reserves, to enhance existing reserves or to extract resources from such reserves in sufficient amounts and in a timely manner could materially and adversely affect the Company’s results of operations, cash flows, financial condition and prospects. In addition, the Company may not be able to recover the funds used in any exploration programme to identify new opportunities. Increasingly stringent requirements relating to regulatory, environmental and social approvals can result in significant delays in construction of additional facilities and may adversely affect new drilling projects, the expansion of existing operations and, consequently, the Company’s results of operations, cash flows and financial condition, and such effects could be material. Reserve and resource estimates No assurance can be given that hydrocarbon reserves and resources reported by the Company in the future are present as estimated, will be recovered at the rates estimated or that they can be brought into profitable production. Hydrocarbon reserve and resource estimates may require revisions and/or changes (either up or down) based on actual production experience and in light of the prevailing market price of oil and gas. A decline in the market price for oil and gas could render reserves uneconomic to recover and may ultimately result in a reclassification of reserves as resources. Unless stated otherwise, the hydrocarbon resources data contained in this Document are taken from the Competent Person’s Report. The reserves and resources data contained in this Document have been certified by Xodus unless stated otherwise. There are uncertainties inherent in estimating the quantity of reserves and resources and in projecting future rates of production, including factors beyond the Company’s control. Estimating the amount of hydrocarbon reserves and resources is an interpretive process and, in addition, results of drilling, testing and production subsequent to the date of an estimate may result in material revisions to original estimates. The hydrocarbon resources data contained in this Document and in the Competent Person’s Report are estimates only and should not be construed as representing exact quantities. The nature of reserve quantification studies means that there can be no guarantee that estimates of quantities and quality of the resources disclosed will be available for extraction. Therefore, actual production, revenues, cash flows and development and operating expenditures may vary from these estimates. Such variances may be material. Reserves estimates contained in this Document are based on production data, prices, costs, ownership, geophysical, geological and engineering data, and other information assembled by the Company (which it may not necessarily have produced). The estimates may prove to be incorrect and potential investors should not place reliance on the forward looking statements contained in this Document (including data included in the Competent Person’s Report or taken from the Competent Person’s Report and whether expressed to have been certified by the Competent Person or otherwise) concerning the Company’s reserves and resources or production levels. Hydrocarbon reserves and resources estimates are expressions of judgment based on knowledge, experience and industry practice. They are therefore imprecise and depend to some extent on interpretations, which may prove to be inaccurate. Estimates that were reasonable when made may change significantly when new information from additional analysis and drilling becomes available. This may result in alterations to development and production plans which may, in turn, adversely affect operations. If the assumptions upon which the estimates of the Company’s hydrocarbon resources have been based prove to be incorrect, the Company (or the operator of an asset in which the Company has an interest) may be unable to recover and produce the estimated levels or quality of hydrocarbons set out in this Document and the Company’s business, prospects, financial condition or results of operations could be materially and adversely affected. Failure to manage relationships with local communities, government and non-government organisations could adversely affect future growth potential of the Company Natural resources businesses often face increasing public scrutiny of their activities. Operations located in or near communities that may regard oil and gas activities as detrimental to their environmental, economic or social circumstances. Negative community reaction to such operations could have a material adverse impact on the cost, profitability, ability to finance or even the viability of an operation. Such events could also lead to disputes with national or local governments or with 39 local communities and give rise to material reputational damage. These disputes are not always predictable and may cause disruption to projects or operations. Oil and gas operations can also have an impact on local communities. Failure to manage relationships with local communities, government and non-government organisations may adversely affect the Company’s reputation, as well as its ability to commence production projects, which could in turn affect the Company’s revenues, results of operations and cash flows. The Company, like other companies in the onshore oil and gas industry in the UK, has been subject to various protests from campaigners and activists who oppose the Company’s business activities. Sometimes these protests have taken the form of unlawful activity which seeks to disrupt the Company’s operations by activities such as trespass to land and other obstructive behaviour (including slow walking on the public highway, lorry surfing, intimidation of contractors or unlawful means conspiracy). The Company, as lead claimant, commenced proceedings in the High Court of Justice in London seeking various restraining orders against persons unknown who may fall into certain categories of prohibited behaviour (further details of which are set out in paragraph 17 of Part V of this Document). There is no assurance that the outcome of these proceedings will be favourable to the Company. Regardless of the outcome of these proceedings, the Company may be subject to further protests and related activities (both lawful and unlawful) which are beyond the control of the Company and which could result in damage or destruction of the Company’s equipment, business interruption, monetary losses and possible adverse publicity for the Group. RISKS RELATING TO ORDINARY SHARES Fluctuations in the price of Ordinary Shares The market price of Ordinary Shares may be subject to fluctuations in response to many factors, including variations in the operating results of the Company, divergence in financial results from analysts’ expectations, changes in earnings estimates by stock market analysts and factors outside the Company’s control including but not limited to general economic conditions, the performance of the overall stock market, other Shareholders buying or selling large numbers of Ordinary Shares and changes in legislation or regulations. In addition, stock markets have from time to time experienced extreme price and volume fluctuations, which, as well as general economic and political conditions, could adversely affect the market price for Ordinary Shares. The value of Ordinary Shares may go down as well as up. Investors may therefore realise less than, or lose all of, their original investment. Realisation of investment The market price of the Ordinary Shares may not reflect the underlying value of the Company’s net assets. Potential investors should be aware that the value of Ordinary Shares can rise or fall and that there may not be proper information available for determining the market value of an investment in the Company at all times. Admission should not be taken as implying that there will be a liquid market in the Ordinary Shares. An investment in the Ordinary Shares may thus be difficult to realise. In the event of a winding-up of the Company, the Ordinary Shares will rank behind any liabilities of the Company and therefore any return for Shareholders will depend on the Company’s assets being sufficient to meet prior entitlements of creditors. Liquidity of Ordinary Shares Admission to AIM should not be taken as implying that there will be a liquid market for Ordinary Shares. It may be more difficult for an investor to realise their investment in the Company than in a company whose shares are quoted on the Official List. Financing risks and requirements for further funds Successful exploration for, or the development of, oil and gas on any project will require very significant capital investment. The major source of financing currently available to the Company (other than through the cash raised pursuant to the Placing) is through the issue of additional equity capital or through bringing in partners to fund exploration and development costs, or obtaining debt. The Company’s ability to raise further funds will depend on the success of its strategy and operations. The Company may not be successful in procuring the requisite funds on terms which are acceptable to it (or at all) and, if such funding is unavailable, the Company may be required to 40 reduce the scope of its investments or anticipated expansion, forfeit its interest in some or all of its assets, incur financial penalties, miss certain acquisition opportunities or reduce or terminate its operations. If additional funds are raised through the issue of new equity or equity-linked securities of the Company other than on a pro rata basis to existing Shareholders, the percentage ownership of the existing Shareholders may be reduced. Shareholders may also experience subsequent dilution and/or such securities may have preferred rights, options and pre-emption rights senior to the Ordinary Shares. The Company may also issue Ordinary Shares as consideration for acquisitions or investments that would also dilute Shareholders’ respective shareholdings. Share issues may be priced below the then market price of the Ordinary Shares, or below the price at which previous share issues have been made, and the issue of additional Ordinary Shares by the Company, or the possibility of such an issue, may cause the market price of the Ordinary Shares to decline. Such equity issues may result in a change of control of the Company. Furthermore, any debt financing, if available, may include conditions that would restrict the Company’s freedom to operate its business, such as conditions that: l limit the Company’s ability to pay dividends or require it to seek consent for the payment of dividends; l increase the Company’s vulnerability to general adverse economic and industry conditions; l require the Company to dedicate a portion of any cash flow arising from future operations to payments on its debt, thereby reducing the availability of its cash flow to fund capital expenditures, working capital and other general corporate purposes; and l limit the Company’s flexibility in planning for, or reacting to, changes in its business and its industries, including the potential to take advantage of business opportunities as they arise. There can be no guarantee or assurance that such debt funding or additional equity will be forthcoming when required, or as to the terms and price on which such funds would be available if at all. If the Company is unable to obtain additional financing as needed, or on terms which are acceptable, it may not be able to fulfil its strategy, which could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s business, financial position and prospects. Suitability of Ordinary Shares as an investment Ordinary Shares may not be suitable for all the recipients of this Document. Before making any investment, prospective investors are advised to consult with an organisation or firm authorised or exempted pursuant to the FSMA and in the case of a resident in any other jurisdiction an appropriately authorised or exempted adviser for that jurisdiction, before making any investment decision. As the Directors believe the Company is unlikely to pay dividends in the foreseeable future, if ever, the Ordinary Shares are not suitable for investors requiring income. An investment in the Company is highly speculative, involves a considerable degree of risk and is suitable only for persons or entities which have substantial financial means and who can afford to hold their ownership interests for an indefinite amount of time. Future sales of Ordinary Shares by Shareholders may depress the price of the Ordinary Shares. Future sales or the availability for sale of substantial amounts of the Ordinary Shares in the public market could adversely affect the prevailing market price of the Ordinary Shares and could also impair the Company’s ability to raise capital through future issues of Shares. Dividend payments on the Ordinary Shares are not guaranteed Payment of dividends by the Company to Shareholders will depend on a number of factors, including its financial condition and results of operations, contractual restrictions, and other factors considered relevant by the Board. Under English law, any payment of dividends would be subject to the Act. All final dividends to be distributed by the Company must be recommended by the Board and approved by Shareholders. Moreover, under English law, the Company may pay dividends on its Ordinary Shares only out of profits available for distribution in accordance with the Act and under its Articles. 41 Dilution of Shareholders’ interests as a result of additional equity fundraising The Company may need to raise additional funds in the future to finance, amongst other things, working capital, expansion of the business, new developments relating to existing operations or acquisitions. If additional funds are raised through the issuance of new equity or equity-linked securities of the Company other than on a pre-emptive basis to existing shareholders, the percentage ownership of the existing shareholders may be reduced. Shareholders may also experience subsequent dilution and/or such securities may have preferred rights, options and pre-emption rights senior to the Ordinary Shares. Forward looking statements This Document contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. The Company’s results could differ materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking statements as a result of many factors, including the risks faced by the Company, which are described above and elsewhere in the Document. Additional risks and uncertainties not currently known to the Directors may also have an adverse effect on the Company’s business. Read Full Thread Follow Reply
11/4/2019 19:20	hans christian andersen: Https://www.fool.co.uk/investing/2019/04/11/the-ukog-share-price-whats-next/ For those interested. The UKOG share price: What’s next? Read Full Thread Follow Reply
11/3/2019 08:55	iammrweald: Biggest bore/ balls up in recent times? Ukog share price or Brexit handling. At least you can/ should have exited ukog! Read Full Thread Follow Reply
17/2/2019 11:25	cyan: "what a terrible company UKOG is." UKOG is not a terrible company. It may have a future as a relatively small profitable producer. What's terrible and wrong was and is the promotion and overblown predictions coming from certain very intelligent individuals. Sanderson with his "billions" ; his promising small investors they will retire to the Bahamas on the back of buying the stock,and his recent "many multiples" claims based on an unprecedented conversion of the oil reserves value to a ludicrous share price. And of course we have the philanthropist LENIGAS and his crazy unsubstantiated ramping ;"maybe even Major overseas corporate interest". Note the get out clause "maybe". Well, "maybe" LENIGAS tweet was more about lifting the UKOG share price so his DOR could dump UKOG paper at a better price. If you really believed UKOG was "so undervalued" you would want DOR to hold more UKOG stock, not less. Use reason and common sense. Read Full Thread Follow Reply
08/2/2019 02:07	johncasey: Why I think the UKOG share price has the potential to triple in 2019 Rupert Hargreaves \| Wednesday, 30th January, 2019 \| More on: UKOG Light bulb with jester hat perched on top Image source: Getty Images Whenever I’ve covered UK Oil & Gas (LSE: UKOG) in the past, I’ve always tried to make it clear that this stock isn’t for the faint-hearted. I believe only the most experienced investors should dabble in early-stage oil/mining companies, because there’s so much that can go wrong, and if you don’t know what you’re doing, you could see your hard-earned money evaporate very quality. Indeed, over the past 12 months, the UKOG share price has declined by more than 60%, mainly thanks to a series of disappointing testing updates at its huge Horse Hill asset. However, I’m starting to see some light at the end of the tunnel for the UKOG share price. After years of watching and waiting, it now looks as if the company is firmly on track to report a profit. And when the funds start flowing, the shares could pop. Profit potential For the past few years, I think it is fair to say that UKOG has really struggled to realise its ambitions. The company owns an interest in several potentially high-quality oil prospects, but unlocking the potential of these assets hasn’t been as easy as many investors and management might have liked. Luckily, after many disappointments, last year the company’s subsidiary struck oil — quite literally — during testing at its HH-1 oil well. Since then, the subsidiary has been testing the well, and this extended well test has yielded over 25,000 barrels of “dry oil and solution gas.” UKOG now wants to capitalise on this success. Earlier this week it published its 2019-20 strategy and drilling plans document, which sets out the goal of moving “Horse Hill’s ongoing test-based oil production into permanent production by the end of 2019 via two new horizontal production wells.” Based on an independent analysis, management reckons the first of these horizontal wells could yield 720-1,080 barrels of oil per day (bopd). If successful, UKOG is planning further wells with the goal of boosting “gross production to over 2,000 bopd.“ It’s for real this time We’ve seen forecasts like this from the company before, and so far, UKOG has disappointed. However, this time around, I think the odds are in the firm’s favour. Production is under way, and the enterprise is already selling production, generating at least some cash to reinvest back into operations. That being said, there’s still a lot to be done here and dilution remains a significant threat to investors’ holdings. For example, the firm recently issued a further 18m shares to acquire an additional 30% interest in the PEDL331 onshore Isle of Wight licence from Solo Oil. Still, profit forecasts are starting to emerge. Based on the company’s own production targets, analysts have pencilled in a potential net profit of £13.4m for 2019, a substantial figure for a business that has generated nothing but losses. Based on these estimates, the stock is trading at a forward P/E of just 3. Of course, there is still plenty that could go wrong between now and the end of 2019 when production is expected to be in full swing, but UKOG’s profit potential is starting to get me excited. If it does meet these forecasts, I reckon the stock could be worth three times more than it is today as the rest of the oil sector trades at an average forward P/E of just under 9. You Really Could Make A Million Of course, picking the right shares and the strategy to be successful in the stock market isn't easy. But you can get ahead of the herd by reading the Motley Fool's FREE guide, "10 Steps To Making A Million In The Market". The Motley Fool's experts show how a seven-figure-sum stock portfolio is within the reach of many ordinary investors in this straightforward step-by-step guide. Simply click here for your free copy. Read Full Thread Follow Reply
02/2/2019 11:09	atino: Hey Gismo - “This is what I’d do about the UKOG share price right now” 😤🙇 Since my previous article about UK Oil & Gas in early November, the share price has dropped around 37% 😱📉👎🏻. But will 2019 be the year it shoots up again, perhaps back to the heady heights it achieved during 2017? Cash flow versus expenses However, I’m sceptical that UKOG’s near-50% financial interest in Horse Hill will deliver enough incoming cash flow to offset the development and drilling expenses it will face on all its licences. It takes a lot of money to develop an oil field, and UKOG is a serial fundraiser. It has a history of coming back to the stock market repeatedly for more money to cover trading expenses and to buy into exploration and development licences. Every time it issues more shares, existing shareholders see their interests diluted. Despite the firm’s fledgeling revenue from oil production, my Foolish colleague G A Chester pointed out in December that the current share price could already be over-valuing the company by more than 100%, based on the prices it paid for its oil assets. I reckon the firm has a long way to go and must invest a lot more capital before revenue from oil production will be capable of funding ongoing operational expenses. We could see fast multi-bagging of the share price again if ongoing drilling and operational activity shows up oil reserves or gets the black stuff flowing faster to the surface. But, set against that possibility is the firm’s ongoing need for cash to keep things running, and I believe there’s a lot of pressure to the downside for the share price right now. So, for me, the stock is highly speculative and risky and that’s why I’d avoid the shares and look for growth opportunities elsewhere. https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/amphtml/news/d-ukog-share-price-now-080041506.html?guccounter=1 ...still delusional in thinking your “mornings” have been brilliant ? 🤦‍♂;️👎🏻 So silly and misleading you TRAPPED bulls are 😤 Read Full Thread Follow Reply
30/1/2019 19:10	atino: [Quote] Why I think the UKOG share price has the potential to triple in 2019 👎🏻😤 Whenever I’ve covered UK Oil & Gas (LSE: UKOG) in the past, I’ve always tried to make it clear that this stock isn’t for the faint-hearted. I believe only the most experienced investors 😎should dabble in early-stage oil/mining companies, because there’s so much that can go wrong, and if you don’t know what you’re doing, you could see your hard-earned money evaporate very quality. Indeed, over the past 12 months, the UKOG share price has declined by more than 60%, mainly thanks to a series of disappointing testing updates at its huge Horse Hill asset. However, I’m starting to see some light at the end of the tunnel for the UKOG share price. After years of watching and waiting, it now looks as if the company is firmly on track to report a profit. And when the funds start flowing, the shares could pop. Profit potential For the past few years, I think it is fair to say that UKOG has really struggled to realise its ambitions. The company owns an interest in several potentially high-quality oil prospects, but unlocking the potential of these assets hasn’t been as easy as many investors and management might have liked. Luckily, after many disappointments, last year the company’s subsidiary struck oil — quite literally — during testing at its HH-1 oil well. Since then, the subsidiary has been testing the well, and this extended well test has yielded over 25,000 barrels of “dry oil and solution gas.” UKOG now wants to capitalise on this success. Earlier this week it published its 2019-20 strategy and drilling plans document, which sets out the goal of moving “Horse Hill’s ongoing test-based oil production into permanent production by the end of 2019 via two new horizontal production wells.” Based on an independent analysis, management reckons the first of these horizontal wells could yield 720-1,080 barrels of oil per day (bopd). If successful, UKOG is planning further wells with the goal of boosting “gross production to over 2,000 bopd.“ It’s for real this time 🤦‍♂;️ We’ve seen forecasts like this from the company before, and so far, UKOG has disappointed. However, this time around, I think the odds are in the firm’s favour. Production is under way, and the enterprise is already selling production, generating at least some cash to reinvest back into operations. That being said, there’s still a lot to be done here and dilution remains a significant threat to investors’ holdings. For example, the firm recently issued a further 18m shares to acquire an additional 30% interest in the PEDL331 onshore Isle of Wight licence from Solo Oil. Still, profit forecasts are starting to emerge. Based on the company’s own production targets, analysts have pencilled in a potential net profit of £13.4m for 2019, a substantial figure for a business that has generated nothing but losses. Based on these estimates, the stock is trading at a forward P/E of just 3. Of course, there is still plenty that could go wrong between now and the end of 2019 when production is expected to be in full swing, but UKOG’s profit potential is starting to get me excited. If it does meet these forecasts, I reckon the stock could be worth three times more than it is today as the rest of the oil sector trades at an average forward P/E of just under 9. https://www.fool.co.uk/investing/2019/01/30/why-i-think-the-ukog-share-price-has-the-potential-to-triple-in-2019/ Read Full Thread Follow Reply

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