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Investor discussions surrounding Social Housing REIT Plc (SOHO) have been marked by a mix of concern and cautious optimism. The central issue has arisen from the company's involvement with MySpace, a key tenant that has struggled to meet rent obligations, reportedly not paying since June 2024. While some investors believe this situation is largely accounted for in the current stock price, as noted by williamcooper104, concerns linger over the extent of MySpace's financial issues and the potential impact on SOHO's profitability moving forward. The sentiment has been cautious, especially with the share price hovering below 60p, with investors like cruelladeville expressing disappointment under the newly established management.
Financially, while SOHO's balance sheet remains regarded as strong, and the dividend is said to be well-covered, the stock's substantial discount—over 50% to NAV—has led to speculation about market mispricing or deeper issues that might not be fully recognized in current projections. Investor sentiment fluctuates between identifying potential buying opportunities and considering short positions due to the uncertainties tied to MySpace's management and the structural risks associated with government-backed income. Quotes from the discussions, like "the balance sheet is sound, the divi covered and high," reflect a cautious belief in SOHO’s fundamentals, but the overall narrative is underscored by significant apprehension regarding tenant reliability and long-term growth potential.
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Social Housing REIT plc has reported significant developments regarding its tenant, My Space Housing Solutions, which has recently filed for a company voluntary arrangement (CVA). The REIT owns 34 properties leased to My Space, which has not made any rent payments since June 2024. As a result, the company has fully provisioned for the rent arrears through the Expected Credit Loss, reflecting a proactive approach to managing its financial exposure.
The investment management team at Atrato Partners Limited is actively engaging with My Space and its advisors to navigate the current situation and evaluate the proposals intended for recovery. This engagement underscores the REIT's commitment to working collaboratively to address the financial difficulties faced by its tenant, which could impact future rental income and overall portfolio performance. Further updates are anticipated as the situation unfolds and the proposals are assessed.
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I've been stashing these away for a little while at average 9% yield, so any capital growth is just icing on the cake. Love a quarterly dividend too. |
When the wind is fair, it is not just narrowing the discount to the NAV. But also narrowing to a growing NAV. A nice double whammy plus possibly a growing dividend. |
With decent management, sorting out the remaining tenant issues (even if that means taking a bit of a hit on near term rental income) there's no reason why we shouldn't get to NAV; particularly if rates fall and the wealth managers all start panicking about getting a proper yield |
In the normal scheme of things I would be poised on the reduce button. But the discount gave me pause for thought. I checked out the historic 10y discount sp/NAV. Apart from recently (and COVID blip) the biggest discount is 28.1%. If that is matched in the next 10 years then the share price would need to rise by at least 3.9%pa. When added to the current dividend yield of 8.6% my expected return is >12.5%. Better than I can find elsewhere, so staying put and riding the surge. |
IndeedHopefully we get good news on our friends at Triple PointNew manger and bit of asset management and this should trade up towards NAV Like SUPR, this is one I'd like to own for the long term; rather than get taken out by an opportunistic PE bid - a la CSH - even if that's hardly a disaster from an immediate return perspective |
This has been firming nicely recently |
Maybe of help |
Very good summary. |
Did anyone else think this was an obfuscated message that rents from the problem managers will have to come down a fair bit to attract new managers? |
To be honest I would prefer if they stopped all sales and just ran the assets for income thats why I am back in SOHO now Triple point will at least have to match costs of any competitor . |
This news is also due to drop anytime now :-) |
V good news Validates the theory that this is fixable and isn't HOME reit Just need to ditch Tripple Point, sort out MySpace and we are away to the races (I hope ) |
Excellent news, removes some uncertainty and fully covers the dividend. Still has My Space to resolve. I have added to my holding this morning. |
Decent news...I hope :-) |
I presume you work at TPIM Woodhawk. |
Fieldreporter, |
Triple Point Investment Management is loathed by all and has one of the worst performance records in the city if not the world. Their performance across their entire portfolio is appalling. |
Whereas if you change control and keep the debt then you've just gained an asset worth about £40m (delta between cost of debt v what new debt would cost discounted back at the new cost of debt over the average life of 9 years) That's about 10p per share Of course we won't get paid out that But if we get any takeover below EPRA NAV it's worth remembering that the true NAV is considerably higher than EPRA |
The debt is interesting WACD c9 years fixed at 2.74%, secured/non-recourse |
One of the reasons I've gone so heavily into SOHO ( I think it's the cheapest of all the REITs out there) is down to the time that has passed since HOME was unveiled as a fraud.Auditors will have been crawling all over SOHO and related REITs, and any dirt would have been uncovered by now.Triple Point have been useless, but I don't believe they have been fraudulent. |
It's a bit of that, it's that they need to restructure some leases and it's Tripple Point The contamination from HOME should be gone but I suspect still lingers - it's clearly not HOME |
As far as I'm concerned, almost all of my portfolio is trading at extremely low valuations! Great for dividend hunters - I'm still stashing away great yields at these sort of levels all across the market. I suspect that in due course this will - in retrospect (of course) - be seen as a great time for investors. |
What are peoples thoughts on why this trades so far below nav, is it purely home reit pollution? |
"We need to get rid of Tripple Point" |
Ebox is a cleaner portfolio We need a good bit of asset management here else leaving it on the table for whoever bids for the REIT Even if a sale is the best way forward (I'd rather hold) far better it's after cleaning up the problem tenants/re-cutting leases |
Type | Ordinary Share |
Share ISIN | GB00BF0P7H59 |
Sector | Real Estate Investment Trust |
Bid Price | 58.70 |
Offer Price | 60.00 |
Open | 59.10 |
Shares Traded | 90,581 |
Last Trade | 13:15:53 |
Low - High | 58.90 - 59.10 |
Turnover | 39.84M |
Profit | 34.99M |
EPS - Basic | 0.0889 |
PE Ratio | 6.63 |
Market Cap | 230.57M |
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