Share Name Share Symbol Market Type Share ISIN Share Description
Thomas Cook LSE:TCG London Ordinary Share GB00B1VYCH82 ORD EUR0.01
  Price Change % Change Share Price Bid Price Offer Price High Price Low Price Open Price Shares Traded Last Trade
  -0.10p -0.11% 89.60p 89.65p 89.75p 90.35p 89.10p 89.95p 3,324,437 16:35:15
Industry Sector Turnover (m) Profit (m) EPS - Basic PE Ratio Market Cap (m)
Travel & Leisure 7,812.0 42.0 0.8 112.0 1,310.59

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Trade Time Trade Price Trade Size Trade Value Trade Type
16:05:0589.821,5981,435.36NT
16:04:2989.821,5351,378.77NT
16:01:2989.583,9003,493.70NT
15:56:2189.7415,91414,281.19NT
15:50:3189.817,6396,860.73NT
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Thomas Cook (TCG) Top Chat Posts

DateSubject
23/6/2017
09:20
Thomas Cook Daily Update: Thomas Cook is listed in the Travel & Leisure sector of the London Stock Exchange with ticker TCG. The last closing price for Thomas Cook was 89.70p.
Thomas Cook has a 4 week average price of 88.10p and a 12 week average price of 83.25p.
The 1 year high share price is 97p while the 1 year low share price is currently 52.60p.
There are currently 1,462,715,539 shares in issue and the average daily traded volume is 4,442,793 shares. The market capitalisation of Thomas Cook is £1,310,593,122.94.
18/5/2017
12:26
jonesey3: The Thomas Cook Group plc (LON:TCG) (TCG.L) share price is flat today after the release of its H1 results. Revenue has risen 3% to £2994 million, which reflects strong Winter demand to Spain and long-haul destinations. Gross margin is 40 basis points lower, mostly due to weaker trading at Condor. Thomas Cook’s seasonal underlying EBIT loss improved by £2 million to £177 million. The company’s seasonal loss for the period (loss after tax) improved by £27 million to £272 million. The strong bookings for 2017 also helped to reduce net debt by £34 million. It is now £794 million. The company’s strategy is a key reason for its relatively good performance in H1 in my view. The changes it has made to its offering has helped increase its Net Promoter Score by 8 points. Measures such as a 24-hour hotel promise being rolled out to cover 80% of customers in core sun & beach holidays, as well as a growing digital presence mean customers may become more satisfied in my opinion. Progress has also been made in the company’s own-brand hotels and resorts, while improved trading means Condor is expected to move back into profitability for the full year. In the last 6 months, the Thomas Cook share price has risen 31%. This is a better performance than other travel & leisure companies such as International Consolidated Airlns Grp SA (LON:IAG) (IAG.L), Carnival plc (LON:CCL) (CCL.L) and Tui AG (LON:TUI) (TUI.L). For example, the IAG Share price is 30% up, Carnival has moved 14% higher and Tui is up 8%. In my opinion, the Thomas Cook share price could continue to perform relatively well. I believe it has a good strategy to deliver improving customer satisfaction and financial performance in the long run. Therefore, I’m optimistic about its future prospects.
08/2/2017
11:29
neilrich: When you look at the 24 month chart for TCG, also consider the FTSE250 at an all time high...it is not going to take too much to push TCG back above 100p. The share price came down as a result of the Tunisia & Turkish attacks and the impact that it had upon the business, however the company appears to have been managed well moving much of that capacity to Spain. They've continued to work on their long haul, improved customer service and new destinations. Recent upgrades to their credit rating and some refinancing shall also be contributing to the bottom line. Personally I really like the brand, could the Chinese tie up with Fosun be the start of something really big, we know how much the Chinese love a good brand. TCG remains a takeover target, market cap at just £1.3billion and yet £8billion turnover!
20/10/2016
14:53
jonesey3: An intrinsic value calculation for Thomas Cook Group plc (LSE:TCG) shows its 31% undervalued Al Bentley October 20, 2016 I am going to run you through how I calculated the intrinsic value of Thomas Cook Group (LSE:TCG) by taking the expected future cash flows and discounted them to the value today. Discounted Cash Flow or DCF is a direct valuation technique that values a company by projecting its future cash flows and then discounting them to todays money. It sounds complicated, but actually it is quite simple! Anyone interested in learning a bit more about intrinsic value should have a read of the Simply Wall St analysis model. Please also note that this article was written in October 2016 so be sure check out the updated calculation. View our latest analysis for Thomas Cook Group I’m using the 2-stage growth model, which simply means we take in account two stages of company’s growth. In the initial period the company may have a higher growth rate and the second stage is usually assumed to have perpetual stable growth rate. To start off with we need to foresee the next 5 years of cash flows, where possible I use analysts estimates but when these aren’t available I have extrapolated the previous Free Cash Flow (FCF) from the year before. For this growth rate I used the average annual growth rate over the past 5 years, but capped to a reasonable level. We then discount this to its value today and sum up the total to get the present value of these cash flows. LSE-TCG-intrinsic-value-Thu-Oct-20-2016 Detailed calculation Please note that the numbers here are in millions apart from the per share values. 5-year cash flow forecast 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Levered FCF (GBP, Millions) £112.00 £180.33 £225.33 £213.62 £202.51 Source Analyst x2 Analyst x3 Analyst x3 Extrapolated @ (-5.2%) Extrapolated @ (-5.2%) Present Value Discounted @ 13.37% £98.79 £140.29 £154.62 £129.29 £108.11 Present value of next 5 years cash flows: £631 The 2nd stage is also known as Terminal Value, this is the cash flows to the business after the 1st stage. The Perpetuity Method (Gordon Formula) is used to calculate Terminal Value at an annual growth rate equal to the 10 year government bond rate of (0.9%). Terminal Value Terminal Value = FCF2020 × (1 + g) ÷ (Discount Rate – g) Terminal Value = £203 × (1 + 0.9%) ÷ (13.4% – 0.9%) Terminal value based on the Perpetuity Method where growth (g) = 0.9%: £1,634 Present value of terminal value: £872 The total value or equity value is then the sum of of the present value of the cash flows. Equity Value Equity Value (Total value) = Present value of next 5 years cash flows + terminal value = £631 + £1,634 = £1,503 To get the intrinsic value we divide this by the total number of shares outstanding, or the equivalent number if this is a depositary receipt or ADR to get the intrinsic value per share. Value = Total value / Shares Outstanding (£1,503.15 / 1,542.20) Value per share: £0.97 To finish off with if we compare the intrinsic value of £0.97 to the current share price of £0.676 we find Thomas Cook Group (LSE:TCG) is quite undervalued at a 31% discount to what it is available for right now.
20/7/2016
09:09
bakunin: http://www.bloomberg.com/gadfly/articles/2016-07-20/thomas-cook-and-tui-face-a-bleak-summer The above analysis is about 6 months behind events; everything it mentions has got baked into the share price in the last 6 months. Does she realise that the UK accounts for less than 30% of TCG turnover and that proportion is falling as Guo gives TCG tie-ups with China? That is why the company is run by people with funny accents and German-sounding names. The key to where the share price will now go will be what management say about the next 6 months. Apparently, everything is either fully-booked or too expensive via TCG. Aiming at being a premium operator is one possible way out. Just heard of the local headmaster booking a £5k holiday to Turkey. Is he mad? I asked. Apparently, it's a 5-star hotel/deluxe holiday. With that segment of the UK population (headmasters, deputy/assistant headteachers, GPs, council management, NHS management, Oxbridge graduates flocking to the public sector ...) all earning well in excess of £100k and looking for "ways to spend it" (quoted from the above-mentioned headmaster), the game might not yet be completely up for the TCG strategy.
21/5/2015
17:19
shaws67: Late April 2015 i plotted where i believe TCG share price will be in June. Exact centre of the circle is Friday 19th June 2015. But as with anything in shares, nothing is totally accurate, so give or take a few days either side. Will be interesting to see how it pans out. Chart one shows where i think it will go. Chart 2 show progress to date.
21/5/2014
19:44
haircut sir: Mclellan, although I find your treatment of me very poor on my first day on this BB, I will forgive your rash judgement of me and my opinion, and understand that perhaps you dislike traders who borrow stock to sell especially if you have a long position in that stock.But I hope that you are a better detective where companies are concerned as you have made a mistake if you think I am the same person that Maximillian1 is. I have my own views thank you very much and tend to agree with Max at this moment in time about the trend that is developing with TCG.I have been watching TCG since the 50p per share days and took long positions at various points and bought into the rights issue which I regretted soon after as I could have bought in below the Rights issue had I learned how the TCG share price bounces about so often, (problems in Cyprus/Ukraine and Egypt etc) The rise here yesterday and today is a correction of over sold imo, but the city barbers have their clippers ready to shave this further down and maybe to sub 120 but we'll see. Like I said before, I see this selling as a trend for this time of year (sell in May etc) which short sellers will take advantage of, and not as disrespect for TCG investors whom I feel sure will make money in the long run.AIMO.
03/11/2013
11:14
jfacwc: November 2012 saw the start of the big rise in the TCG share price. Final results for that time were not particularly that impressive .. but Harriet Green bought 500,000 shares priced at 23p (!). Hope that she hasn't made so much money to have an affect? Scrabbles post No. 8654 regarding 'common operating & handling procedures' is interesting. Just back from Malaga using Easyjet. On Friday morning - they had just 4 desks open, commonly handling over 10 separate international flights. The 'snake' queue was truly impressive. Luckily we had SB on our 2 boarding passes. Our plane was quite empty until about 5 minutes before departure, when all passengers finally arrived to fill it - suitably harassed and depressed... I truly hope the TCG Share Price does rise, but not at the expense of passenger enjoyment. Having been monitoring for quite a long time the TCG share price movements I personally have no ideas what affects it. However, I do find this TCG BB the best one around - for general comments and observations (& fun) - and hope we have some deserved success before Christmas.
11/6/2013
16:56
bobsidian: 4screws In relatively simple terms the following may explain what has happened. Value of holding immediately prior to TCG going ex-rights 10,000 shares @ £1.42 = £14,200 Value of holding after TCG went ex-rights 10,000 shares @ £1.23 ex-rights price = £12,300 4,000 shares @ (£1.23 ex-rights price - 76p cost of additional shares) = £1,900 New holding of 14,000 shares at ex-rights price minus the cost of acquiring the additional shares is also £14,200. So the loss on your existing holding as TCG went ex-rights (£14,200 - £12,300 = £1,900) is offset by the gain on acquiring the additional new shares at a discount to the ex-rights price. However, the current drift lower in the TCG share price below the ex-rights price is increasing your loss on your original holding and reducing the gain on the new shares. Alternatively you could have sold your rights at around 47p - the intended value of the nil-paid rights at the time the share price went ex-rights - and the proceeds of around £1,900 would also have compensated you for the loss in value of your existing holding as the share price of TCG went ex-rights. As uppompeii states, the purpose of the rights issue is to raise finance for the company. It is not an exercise conducted to enrich the shareholder - rather to ensure the existing shareholders are left in a no loss/no gain position immediately after the share price goes ex-rights.
07/6/2013
14:54
uppompeii: 4screws - the "right" to buy a share at 76p is a tradeable asset. You can sell yours or buy more on the market. I sold mine, luckily at the moment, for 57.9p. I cannot now participate in the offer to buy at 76p as I have sold those "rights". The price you can buy or sell the right to buy a share a 76p fluctuates against the underlying share price of TCG. If the share price were 100, the rights price would be about 24p. That is 76p + 24p = 100p. If the share price were 150p the rights price to buy or sell would be 76p + 74p = 150p. Does that make sense? If you look in your portfolio you should see the TCG rights alongside your TCG shares or spread bet. You will notice the price moving as the TCG share price moves.
21/5/2013
17:39
zero matrix: Here is a little something to think about: 1. Assumption is that you do not alter the size of your position in TCG apart from subscribing in full to the rights issue (RI). 2. The RI will increase the number of shares held by 40% (2 new for every 5 held). 3. This is purely a comparison of profits, nothing to do with your initial investment in the shares, so also does not refer to the cost of paying for the RI shares. Because the rights issue shares are (almost certainly) issued at a discount to the current share price (in other words we assume the share price will not have collapsed to less than 76p!) the effect of purchasing the discounted shares will show an immediate profit. And because you will now have more shares, your profit will increase at a faster rate than before the RI for every penny the share price rises. So, if for example TCG closes before the RI at the same price as it did today (151.6p) your holding would be showing the same profit after the RI if the post-RI price is 130p. If the share price then rises to 140.8p your position will be showing the same profit as it did a few days ago at the 52 week high of 166.7p. If the post-RI share price then climbs to the 52 week high of 166.7p your profit will be the same as it would have been if the share price had hit 203p pre-RI. Or looked at another way, my avg opening price is currently 120p (I have been in since approx 46p but closed and opened a few times along the way). The share price would have to fall to this to wipe out all my profits on that position. But post-RI that share price would show a good profit, and would only need to rise 10p to 130p to put me back where I am today on an share price of 151.6p. I hope that helps some people. Writing the equations in Excel certainly helped focus my thoughts. If nothing else it demonstrates that finding some cash to take up the rights issue may well pay off handsomely. Of course, there is a downside, but if I really thought the share price would crash to that extent I would already have sold my position. Obviously I am not advising anyone here. Make your own minds up.
Thomas Cook share price data is direct from the London Stock Exchange
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