Share Name Share Symbol Market Type Share ISIN Share Description
Royal Mail Plc LSE:RMG London Ordinary Share GB00BDVZYZ77 Royal Mail Plc
  Price Change % Change Share Price Shares Traded Last Trade
  6.00 2.51% 245.00 4,655,740 16:35:20
Bid Price Offer Price High Price Low Price Open Price
245.60 245.80 247.90 238.50 239.80
Industry Sector Turnover (m) Profit (m) EPS - Basic PE Ratio Market Cap (m)
Industrial Transportation 10,840.00 180.00 16.10 15.2 2,450
Last Trade Time Trade Type Trade Size Trade Price Currency
17:44:56 O 4,545 245.00 GBX

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Date Time Title Posts
01/10/202010:42*** Royal Mail Group ***11,970
08/9/202008:27R.I.P Royal Mail22
29/10/201921:06Support / resistance-
21/5/201913:01Royal Mail Full Year Results Preview 22.05.19-
17/7/201806:37Royal Mail (RMG) One to Watch on Tuesday -

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Royal Mail Daily Update: Royal Mail Plc is listed in the Industrial Transportation sector of the London Stock Exchange with ticker RMG. The last closing price for Royal Mail was 239p.
Royal Mail Plc has a 4 week average price of 170.75p and a 12 week average price of 160.05p.
The 1 year high share price is 258.60p while the 1 year low share price is currently 119.25p.
There are currently 1,000,000,000 shares in issue and the average daily traded volume is 2,704,724 shares. The market capitalisation of Royal Mail Plc is £2,450,000,000.
brut winky: An Intrinsic Calculation For Royal Mail plc (LON:RMG) Suggests It's 29% Undervalued Simply Wall St. Simply Wall St ,Simply Wall St.•17 September 2020 In this article we are going to estimate the intrinsic value of Royal Mail plc (LON:RMG) by estimating the company's future cash flows and discounting them to their present value. We will use the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model on this occasion. Don't get put off by the jargon, the math behind it is actually quite straightforward. Remember though, that there are many ways to estimate a company's value, and a DCF is just one method. For those who are keen learners of equity analysis, the Simply Wall St analysis model here may be something of interest to you. See our latest analysis for Royal Mail Step by step through the calculation We use what is known as a 2-stage model, which simply means we have two different periods of growth rates for the company's cash flows. Generally the first stage is higher growth, and the second stage is a lower growth phase. To start off with, we need to estimate the next ten years of cash flows. Where possible we use analyst estimates, but when these aren't available we extrapolate the previous free cash flow (FCF) from the last estimate or reported value. We assume companies with shrinking free cash flow will slow their rate of shrinkage, and that companies with growing free cash flow will see their growth rate slow, over this period. We do this to reflect that growth tends to slow more in the early years than it does in later years. Generally we assume that a dollar today is more valuable than a dollar in the future, so we discount the value of these future cash flows to their estimated value in today's dollars: 10-year free cash flow (FCF) forecast 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Levered FCF (£, Millions) -UK£94.4m UK£162.8m UK£68.5m UK£215.4m UK£305.5m UK£372.0m UK£430.0m UK£478.6m UK£518.1m UK£550.0m Growth Rate Estimate Source Analyst x4 Analyst x4 Analyst x4 Analyst x2 Analyst x2 Est @ 21.77% Est @ 15.6% Est @ 11.29% Est @ 8.27% Est @ 6.15% Present Value (£, Millions) Discounted @ 11% -UK£85.1 UK£132 UK£50.1 UK£142 UK£181 UK£199 UK£207 UK£208 UK£202 UK£194 ("Est" = FCF growth rate estimated by Simply Wall St) Present Value of 10-year Cash Flow (PVCF) = UK£1.4b After calculating the present value of future cash flows in the initial 10-year period, we need to calculate the Terminal Value, which accounts for all future cash flows beyond the first stage. For a number of reasons a very conservative growth rate is used that cannot exceed that of a country's GDP growth. In this case we have used the 5-year average of the 10-year government bond yield (1.2%) to estimate future growth. In the same way as with the 10-year 'growth' period, we discount future cash flows to today's value, using a cost of equity of 11%. Terminal Value (TV)= FCF2030 × (1 + g) ÷ (r – g) = UK£550m× (1 + 1.2%) ÷ (11%– 1.2%) = UK£5.7b Present Value of Terminal Value (PVTV)= TV / (1 + r)10= UK£5.7b÷ ( 1 + 11%)10= UK£2.0b The total value is the sum of cash flows for the next ten years plus the discounted terminal value, which results in the Total Equity Value, which in this case is UK£3.4b. To get the intrinsic value per share, we divide this by the total number of shares outstanding. Compared to the current share price of UK£2.4, the company appears a touch undervalued at a 29% discount to where the stock price trades currently. The assumptions in any calculation have a big impact on the valuation, so it is better to view this as a rough estimate, not precise down to the last cent. dcf dcf More The assumptions We would point out that the most important inputs to a discounted cash flow are the discount rate and of course the actual cash flows. Part of investing is coming up with your own evaluation of a company's future performance, so try the calculation yourself and check your own assumptions. The DCF also does not consider the possible cyclicality of an industry, or a company's future capital requirements, so it does not give a full picture of a company's potential performance. Given that we are looking at Royal Mail as potential shareholders, the cost of equity is used as the discount rate, rather than the cost of capital (or weighted average cost of capital, WACC) which accounts for debt. In this calculation we've used 11%, which is based on a levered beta of 1.414. Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility, compared to the market as a whole. We get our beta from the industry average beta of globally comparable companies, with an imposed limit between 0.8 and 2.0, which is a reasonable range for a stable business.
brut winky: I topped up on Wednesday, I am beginning to wonder how the search for a new CEO is going, or if it's on hold due to the pandemic. Don't suppose it really matters at the moment everything is technically on hold and Keith Williams is experienced in running large companies. But it's a piece of news I'm expecting to raise the prospects and share price with it, needs a bit of pick up really to attract some attention.
1982roni: Lot of Royal Mail small share holders are spooked and selling while there are after market closes huge major share buys. The big boys are purchasing after markets close. True value of Royal Mail Share price is between £2.50 and £3.00. Don't be spooked. I am going to hang on to my 30,000 shares at average price £2.03 and I am considering buying more. It is a bargain below £1.90
brut winky: I was talking to someone who works for British gas as a service engineer, they used to use RMG for distribution of parts to the engineers, now they use an outfit that drops all the parts at lockers at their local Tesco's, he was not happy, new circuit boards that where wet, also wrong parts in scabby packaging. RMG used to do home delivery that was always correct and packaged well, the new lot are not cutting it. As for the share price, it looks about stable after the retracement of 32%, so if it holds from here it's in a strong uptrend really and with an existing holder building their holding.
heeley3: Off to the races? Finally the share price has emerged above the 200 day MA line and cleared 180, where it seems to have been a solid resistance. It has been hard work. Most small holders like me are still well under water and will remain so for ever probably. Its only because it is very small holding that I have not bothered to cut losses.
arbus5000: Finally someone has come to their senses, and citibank has upgraded its share price target for RMG to 210p. rationale: Our upgrade is predicated upon two points: 1. A significant & recent acceleration in parcel volumes; and 2. An attractive & nuanced valuation. Since the lockdown, e-commerce volumes have seen a significant boost both in the UK and in Europe. The evidence is ample. According to BRC data, online non-food sales were up +18.8% for the five weeks ending 4th April. Moreover, Kuehne + Nagel in its Q1’20 results yesterday reported that, “(The) Contract Logistics (division) handled twice as many e-commerce shipments as in the previous quarter.” The relevance of this is that Royal Mail is the leading parcel operator in the UK with more than 50% market share of total parcel volumes. It is also the holder of the majority of the B2C segment both domestically at Royal Mail and abroad at GLS. In other words, Royal Mail is acutely exposed to this accelerating e-commerce theme. We estimate for every 1% annual increase in volume, earnings rise and fall by c.20%. Citi’s Q4’20 forecast for parcel volumes is +9% (vs. consensus of c.+6%) and in FY’21 Citi expects +13% (vs. consensus of c.+8%). While this only leaves Citi’s forecasts in line with consensus for FY’20 (given cost pressures from FY’20), the FY’21 (full-year beneficial effect) leads us to being +400% above consensus operating profit (albeit with small numbers playing a role). The stock is down c-38% YTD versus peers at c-27%. This comes with good backward-looking reason given obvious pressures in letters and advertising mail at a time of lockdown. But we see value at Royal Mail. As an example and to contextualize the current £1.5bn market cap and £300mn of net debt, the real estate value alone at Royal Mail is c.£830m. Moreover, even on a rudimentary DCF valuation for UKPIL, we achieve a valuation for Royal Mail’s UK operations of c.£1.40 per share versus today’s share price of £1.50 (EV/EBIT 5x). At the very least, this implies the GLS parcel business is receiving almost free optionality in the shares. And, for clarity, our target price of £2.10 implies a GLS value of a modest 4x EV/EBIT.
tubbs64: I would have thought the vast majority go into work, do their job, then go home and don't think about the share price from one end of the day to the other..... why should they...... most have sold their shares at the first opportunity. ..... those that haven't sold don't have enough shares to be concerned about the share price..... 900x28p =£252..... big wow!! People have more in life to worry about at the moment... or haven't you heard there is a viral pandemic out there?
arja: seems that so many talking o/t and forgetting to watch RMG share price has helped it to make a strong rally ! ( smile )
goldpiguk: Hi, Taking a long term view RMG look good value. I did think of adding yesterday but a very wide spread (over £1) at the opening and then the strong share price rise put me off. This morning I have added another 1,000 shares in my ISA. Although I expect the RMG share price to remain volatile it does offer good long term value and good dividend growth potential. Current dividend estimates are: 2018 23.8p 2019 24.9p 2020 25.0p The long term investor will ride out any storms here and I will certainly look to add to my holding on any sharp pullbacks. Meanwhile I look forward to receiving the final dividend on July 28th Goldpig.
123qwer: This is the main reason RMG share price will hit new lows IMO Must read. I knew it was happening but not at this scale. About the pacels, just search for parcel delivery sites on google and see the price difference between smaller companies and RMG - IMO RMG cant compete and the smaller comapines have pick and drop off from your home, work and many other local points I can see RMG price crash very soon. Importantly, I am now finding RMG share price as easy to read as fracking SP ATB, DYOR/etc etc and consut a fincial broker, a few quid may save you a lot of money later
Royal Mail share price data is direct from the London Stock Exchange
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