Share Name Share Symbol Market Type Share ISIN Share Description
Jersey Oil And Gas Plc LSE:JOG London Ordinary Share GB00BYN5YK77 ORD 1P
  Price Change % Change Share Price Shares Traded Last Trade
  0.00 0.0% 104.50 0.00 00:00:00
Bid Price Offer Price High Price Low Price Open Price
103.00 106.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Industry Sector Turnover (m) Profit (m) EPS - Basic PE Ratio Market Cap (m)
Oil & Gas Producers -0.61 -9.15 21
Last Trade Time Trade Type Trade Size Trade Price Currency
- O 0 0.00 GBX

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Date Time Title Posts
21/2/202007:13Jersey Oil and Gas - a new trap ?2,827
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10/2/202018:45JOG Mind the Gap. Careful of the paid Ramper44
31/10/201810:16Oil is Dead84

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Jersey Oil And Gas (JOG) Top Chat Posts

DateSubject
20/2/2020
08:20
Jersey Oil And Gas Daily Update: Jersey Oil And Gas Plc is listed in the Oil & Gas Producers sector of the London Stock Exchange with ticker JOG. The last closing price for Jersey Oil And Gas was 104.50p.
Jersey Oil And Gas Plc has a 4 week average price of 100.20p and a 12 week average price of 100.20p.
The 1 year high share price is 253.50p while the 1 year low share price is currently 56.50p.
There are currently 19,950,786 shares in issue and the average daily traded volume is 87,089 shares. The market capitalisation of Jersey Oil And Gas Plc is £20,848,571.37.
21/1/2020
09:34
bullson1: I have been waiting for a while since commenting on the recent share price fall. Obviously investors hate waiting and as mentioned here several times recently the Management did confirm the time scale we face. We are in the concept select phase and indeed they will go through lots of options to find the best suitable one for the GBA, i believe AB mentioned 6-12 months since October for that. News could come from The P2170 licence in form of a CPR and any other updates of Equinor and what their plans are. Other news could come from any producing asset purchase or indeed any new possible partners / investors for the GBA project (which I am certain the CFO and Management team is working on behind the scenes). As always with JOG these news will be surprising and unexpected leading to a rather extreme share price movement as we have seen in the past 2-3 years a few times. I guess it comes down to the same question as always, do you trust the company and the Management team and what they stand for or not and can you wait a certain time and got the nerve to see it through or not. That's investing in AIM and Oil/Gas. I hate to see the share price fall like everyone else on here but I believe in the JOG team and our assets and hope for positive news and updates. Good luck all holders!
13/11/2019
23:48
highlyunlikely: ………;…just trying to reconcile differing views: in summary: there’s a 30% chance P2498 won’t be developed and in this event JOG would have to look elsewhere for its rewards - maybe some of the licences with prospective resources? It would be a different ball-game altogether, because everything is presently focused on Buchan’s 2C resources, a farm-out in due course and a Buchan hub development. On the other hand (the 70%) let's assume JOG farms out 50% of P2498 to secure a partner and to help secure the funds for development to go ahead (assume a higher % if appropriate) – and JOG's NPV10 of P2498 (and share of P2170) decreases by 50% to about £400m – or on the present no of shares in issue, c.£18 a share. A 10% discount for risk is automatically applied in NPV10 and mid- range estimated production levels and BC prices are generally used. A 2% pa “cost of money” is also factored in. My assumptions might be flawed but as I view the risk/return dynamics, this would mean a 30% risk attaching to events that, if the 70% were to apply (ie the development go ahead) should yield a value multiple of about 11, using today's closing share price of 172p.. Everything relating to the future involves risk – it’s about understanding it and acting accordingly. It’s said: the greater the risk, the greater the reward. I don’t fully subscribe to this, preferring instead: “the greater the understanding of risk, the less likely one is to invest in failures; if, after considering a company's situation thoroughly, you don’t judge the risks to be as high as some others do, stick to your guns, consider the value proposition and act if you can afford to”. I'm too scared to quote the relevant WB saying about being brave when others are fearful :-). What doesn’t seem to be disputed is that there’s a lot of oil still to be lifted in P2498; it’s evidently whether the licence gets to be developed that seems to exercise people. Or maybe it’s just risk generally that people don’t like? If this is so, then why look at at junior oil E&Ps? Why not go for something safer? I much prefer JOG’s 95MMstb of 2C 33°API light resources and contingent (for the reasons outlined in the CPR) to (for instance) XEL’s 266MMboe of 2P heavy – 220MMboe of this being 1P – reserves – reserves because the FDP was approved by what was then called DECC. XEL was still talking about them when the plug was pulled, more than just partly due to the greed, vanity, incompetence and lack of honesty of certain directors. The oil price falling off a cliff only exacerbated what by then were serious problems facing the company. The so-called “reserves̶1; are now owned by an equity fund that bought the Bentley Field from the bond-holders – a group of hedge funds that had deployed even more underhand tactics than it’s normal to expect from such ethical types. It seems doubtful even a barrel of it will ever come to the surface. JOG being in capable and honest hands is a big advantage imv. JOG won’t fail for a lack of effort, ability and sheer determination of its founder directors to succeed. That’s as I read the situation anyway. My main concern is that value and price are increasingly seen as two different things altogether in present times, so that whatever fair value might be applied to a company, its share price won’t reflect anything like this because too many people focus only on price. Chaque un a son goolies, as they say……230;.GLA.
13/11/2019
18:44
highlyunlikely: You’ve lost me Capt Kirk. Why do you say I am being disingenuous? If there’s a 70% CoD (chance of development - which it seems reasonable to assume means ‘successful’ development) of P2498 (Buchan & J2) then it follows there’s a 30% chance of the oil NOT being developed. If I’ve used the wrong term (again) in referring to oil “not coming to the surface”, what should I have said? It’s pretty clear what is meant by the 70% and it doesn’t (to me) follow that it refers to the risk of oil not existing at the ‘mid-estimate’ levels the CPR (and the Company) uses. The full CPR was set out in the RNS of 8 October: https://www.investegate.co.uk/jersey-oil---38--gas-plc--jog-/rns/competent-person-s-report-for-core-gba-resources/201910080701010627P/ The CPR was signed by Tom Gunningham MA(Oxon) CEng MEI. Presentations made by JOG aren’t independent, whereas a Competent Person’s report is, so this makes the CPR the most reliable source of information. You say: “it’s all there” (in regard to your statement that there’s a 70% risk attaching to P2498 – not true as I read the CPR). I have read carefully through the report and would ask: “What is all there”? You seem determined to present JOG as a very high-risk proposition? Is it? I spent about 20 mins over lunch at the CMD on 8 Oct talking ‘one to one’ with Tom Gunningham about Rock Flow’s work and JOG’s overall situation, in an effort to understand more about what is a large investment by my standards. Whilst at all times conducting himself in a wholly professional way, he didn’t appear to doubt the assessment he had made of JOG’s GBA assets – or anything else about JOG for that matter. Not that this means anything. As you say, it is everyone’s prerogative to view risk – or anything else – however they want. It is never my intention to do anything other than present my views in a reasonably balanced way, as a seasoned long-term investor who was formerly invested (if that is the right term – it should never have failed but that’s another story) in Trap Oil. I was being genuine when I said I am still learning all the time; but it is only possible to learn from those who take a realistic view of any given situation and can understand, for instance, why NPV is so important in determining the true value of any asset held for commercial gain. Those who do would immediately conclude JOG is significantly undervalued at the present SP, regardless of identified (and unidentified) risk. In the short term at least supply and demand sets a company’s share price. Fair value usually emerges in the end - either on a take-over or via the production of an annual return on investment cost that makes the value measurable. Those who are prepared to take measured risk are the ones who make the biggest gains. I do not address the psychology of short-term traders, whose ‘price’ related actions often materially affect share prices. There is a place for both LTH and short-term traders in the markets – without the latter there would be limited liquidity. As for keeping things factual, it seems logical to me that the oil said to remain available for production in P2498 still actually exists. Based on conditions in the industry not being materially different from where they are at present, why would companies other than Equinor not come knocking when JOG decides to take onboard a partner (or partners), one of the main purposes of which would be to help with development funding. I remain optimistic about JOG’s future and regard the shares as materially undervalued on any balanced assessment of its situation. Institutions not wanting to get involved (how would they except in a discounted placing – anything else would send the price skywards as they tried to buy) is no real surprise. A few might already be holding less than 3% fawk. In any event most investment funds steer clear of AIM & particularly O&G E&Ps. Ref the present share price, I assume you’ve noticed that a significant shareholder has been selling without telling the market (see RNS 27 June and JOG website showing major holders at 30 Sept). As a general point, whilst I was picked up for the use of ‘slack’ terminology as applied in the O&G industry, as far as I’m concerned, oil in the quantities indicated is there in P2498 (and Verbier) even if the development concept hasn’t been finalised, a FDP hasn’t been approved and the funds to proceed with development have yet to be secured. Declining to discuss a present value of P2498 and P2170 that shows JOG’s interests as worth £791m, when the present market cap of the whole company is £37m, meaning that the valuable NS assets JOG owns are more like a liability than an assets, makes no sense to me at all. I accept there are risks – particularly around choice of development concept and raising the funds - but I can’t see (given conditions somewhere within range of ‘normal’) why these hurdles should not be overcome. Over and out.
04/9/2019
09:59
peanut100: 3 September 2019Jersey Oil and Gas* (JOG LN) – Arden note releasedBuy, Current Price: 239p Target Price: 550p Key Points: JOG recently announced the award of substantial new assets in the UK North Sea. This note maps out the newsflow we would expect this to generate as the company moves towards development, while also laying out a series of valuation scenarios. This all well supports our Buy recommendation and 550p price target. Significant asset additions. JOG recently announced 100% award of the Buchan oil field and Buchan Andrew, J2 and Glenn oil discoveries. These contain gross mean contingent resources of 119mmboe – a huge uplift on JOG's existing Verbier 5mmboe net 2C position. Buchan is development ready. Buchan is an existing field with all the required data to be redeveloped: JOG is now beginning to work on a new field development plan. Share price not yet fully reflecting new assets. JOG shares have already made significant gains. Our modelling indicates that they are still substantially undervaluing the new asset position, however. Way forward to help demonstrate veracity of new asset value. There are a number of waypoints over the coming months and years that should help demonstrate JOG's asset value, including development plan submission (mid-2021), potential farm out (50% option granted to Equinor expires in Q4 2019; numerous other potential partners otherwise), completion of funding and FID, and first oil (targeted for 2024). We could also see further P2170 drilling in 2020. Our modelling shows a wide range of potential valuations. This note includes a number of modelled scenarios for JOG's assets, and we also look at UK North Sea transaction multiples. Our base case returns a JOG risked NAV of 597p, but our overall range runs from 292p to 2,664p. Buy recommendation, 550p target. Going forward we expect the outcome of the Equinor option, new JOG CPRs, confirmation of the 2020 P2170 work programme, potential 2020 drilling and periodic Buchan development planning updates. This, alongside the underlying asset value, supports our Buy recommendation and 550p target.
30/7/2019
00:42
pro_s2009: I think another of AB's Multiple Catalysts for an increasing share price will be when they "shock" the market that they can bring oil production on line without the need for a new platform or FPSO....just tie in to existing infrastructure, therefore meaning its all very low cost. And with that will be more deals, more news.....more upside to the JOG share price. As the article states, potentially 300 MMBO recoverable, potentially a lot more than that with Cortina and Meribel and Verbier upside, potentially all low cost to bring on line, with already proven net to JOG of 104.5MMBO. I do think there will be lots of news in the coming 6 months culminating in a CPR in December.
22/7/2019
22:46
pro_s2009: IC Recap on the JOG news: https://www.investorschronicle.co.uk/comment/2019/07/22/jersey-gushes-higher-on-transformational-licensing-award/ Jersey gushes higher on transformational licensing award by Simon Thompson (JOG:137p), a UK North Sea-focused upstream oil and gas company that owns an 18 per cent interest in the P2170 licence (Blocks 20/5b & 21/1d), Outer Moray Firth, which contains the Verbier oil discovery, has been awarded three blocks in UK Oil & Gas Authority’s 31st Supplementary Offshore Licensing Round. I anticipated this would happen when I reiterated my buy stance, at 63p, a couple of months ago(‘Share price catalysts on Jersey’s horizon’, 20 May 2019). Jersey's share price has surged by 86 per cent on today’s licensing awards. That’s because it is a transformational development for the company and one that has prompted analyst Daniel Slater at house broker Arden Partners to almost double his target price from 230p to 450p based on a risked net asset value (NAV) estimate of 537p a share, using a US$65 a barrel long-term oil price. That’s because the acreage awarded to Jersey in the licensing round includes the Buchan oil field that was discovered by BP in the mid-1970s and came onstream in 1981. Production continued until May 2017, when the Buchan Alpha platform was no longer compliant with the current Safety Case, by which point a total of 148m barrels had been produced. Buchan oil is a light 33.5° API oil with a low gas-oil ratio (GOR) GOR (285 scf/bbl), a term that quantifies the amount of gas dissolved in the oil. Jersey estimates that over 80m barrels of recoverable oil volumes remain to be produced from the field. The field was not developed by previous owner, Repsol Sinopec, but is development ready. In addition, Jersey has been awarded 100 per cent working interests and ownership of Buchan Andrew, an undeveloped discovery above the main Devonian Buchan reservoir, and J2 Sgiath, an undeveloped discovery. These discoveries are estimated to have unrisked gross recoverable mean resources of 20m and 3m barrels, respectively, according to Jersey management and independent work completed by Rockflow Resources on behalf of the company. And here’s the really smart part of today’s announcement. Jersey has entered into a three month option agreement under which Equinor, the is operator of Verbier, has been granted an option over a 50 per cent equity interest in respect of the two blocks containing the Buchan oil field and J2 oil discovery. Should the option be exercised, Jersey will act as licence operator and Equinor will reimburse the company for its 50 per cent share of costs in relation to the licence applications. The plan is to submit a field development plan (FDP) to encompass initial redevelopment of Buchan (including new wells), followed by a tie-in with the nearby J2 discovery and Verbier. Subject to funding, first oil is targeted for 2024 and Jersey’s current net cash position of £15m (Arden estimate) should fund it through the FDP process depending on any further drilling that may occur on P2170. The point being that prior to these three awards, Jersey’s net share of the Verbier discovery was estimated at 4.5m barrels of oil equivalent (boe). Today’s awards add an estimated 105m boe of discovered resources net to Jersey, making this “the most significant event for the company since its inception”, says chief executive Andrew Benitz. I completely agree. Furthermore, Jersey’s interests in other blocks in the Greater Buchan Area hold in excess of 300m barrels of oil equivalent (boe) mean prospective resources. These include Jersey’s nearby Cortina prospect on the P2170 licence which has a minimum resource of 39m boe and a risked NAV of $25m (85p a share) based on Arden’s analysis. Importantly, Jersey’s management maintain their view that that Verbier is commercially viable at the lower end of the initial resource estimate of 25m to 130m barrels of oil equivalent (boe). Today’s licensing awards mean that progression of the Buchan development is likely to be highly supportive of the development of Verbier too, a field that Mr Slater at Arden attributes a risked value of $37m (125p a share) in his aforementioned risked NAV estimate of 537p (unrisked NAV estimate of 1,231p a share). In other words, although Jersey’s oil price surged this morning, the value in Verbier, Cortina and all the other Buchan oil fields are effectively in the price of just 69p a share given that Jersey’s net cash pile is estimated to be 68p a share. True, Jersey’s share price has been volatile this year and is stillthe laggard in my market beating 2019 Bargain Share Portfolio. However, the investment risk looks heavily skewed to the upside given the likelihood of a raft of positive news flow emerging in the next six months as the company makes progress on commercialising its acreage. That’s because Equinor can be expected to exercise its option on the Buchan Blocks before the end of October, thus improving the chances that the fields will be developed; a new competent person’s report should be filed in the fourth quarter this year; and we can expect a decision on the 2020 work programme onthe P2170 licence (Blocks 20/5b & 21/1d), Outer Moray Firth, before the year-end, too. All of these announcements have potential to materially lower Jersey’s unwarranted 74 per cent share price discount to analysts’ risked NAV estimates. Strong buy.
22/7/2019
13:17
mirabeau: Jersey gushes higher on transformational licensing award Simon Thompson (JOG:137p), a UK North Sea-focused upstream oil and gas company that owns an 18 per cent interest in the P2170 licence (Blocks 20/5b & 21/1d), Outer Moray Firth, which contains the Verbier oil discovery, has been awarded three blocks in UK Oil & Gas Authority’s 31st Supplementary Offshore Licensing Round. I anticipated this would happen when I reiterated my buy stance, at 63p, a couple of months ago(‘Share price catalysts on Jersey’s horizon’, 20 May 2019). Jersey's share price has surged by 86 per cent on today’s licensing awards. That’s because it is a transformational development for the company and one that has prompted analyst Daniel Slater at house broker Arden Partners to almost double his target price from 230p to 450p based on a risked net asset value (NAV) estimate of 537p a share, using a US$65 a barrel long-term oil price. That’s because the acreage awarded to Jersey in the licensing round includes the Buchan oil field that was discovered by BP in the mid-1970s and came onstream in 1981. Production continued until May 2017, when the Buchan Alpha platform was no longer compliant with the current Safety Case, by which point a total of 148m barrels had been produced. Buchan oil is a light 33.5° API oil with a low gas-oil ratio (GOR) GOR (285 scf/bbl), a term that quantifies the amount of gas dissolved in the oil. Jersey estimates that over 80m barrels of recoverable oil volumes remain to be produced from the field. The field was not developed by previous owner, Repsol Sinopec, but is development ready. In addition, Jersey has been awarded 100 per cent working interests and ownership of Buchan Andrew, an undeveloped discovery above the main Devonian Buchan reservoir, and J2 Sgiath, an undeveloped discovery. These discoveries are estimated to have unrisked gross recoverable mean resources of 20m and 3m barrels, respectively, according to Jersey management and independent work completed by Rockflow Resources on behalf of the company. And here’s the really smart part of today’s announcement. Jersey has entered into a three month option agreement under which Equinor, the is operator of Verbier, has been granted an option over a 50 per cent equity interest in respect of the two blocks containing the Buchan oil field and J2 oil discovery. Should the option be exercised, Jersey will act as licence operator and Equinor will reimburse the company for its 50 per cent share of costs in relation to the licence applications. The plan is to submit a field development plan (FDP) to encompass initial redevelopment of Buchan (including new wells), followed by a tie-in with the nearby J2 discovery and Verbier. Subject to funding, first oil is targeted for 2024 and Jersey’s current net cash position of £15m (Arden estimate) should fund it through the FDP process depending on any further drilling that may occur on P2170. The point being that prior to these three awards, Jersey’s net share of the Verbier discovery was estimated at 4.5m barrels of oil equivalent (boe). Today’s awards add an estimated 105m boe of discovered resources net to Jersey, making this “the most significant event for the company since its inception”, says chief executive Andrew Benitz. I completely agree. Furthermore, Jersey’s interests in other blocks in the Greater Buchan Area hold in excess of 300m barrels of oil equivalent (boe) mean prospective resources. These include Jersey’s nearby Cortina prospect on the P2170 licence which has a minimum resource of 39m boe and a risked NAV of $25m (85p a share) based on Arden’s analysis. Importantly, Jersey’s management maintain their view that that Verbier is commercially viable at the lower end of the initial resource estimate of 25m to 130m barrels of oil equivalent (boe). Today’s licensing awards mean that progression of the Buchan development is likely to be highly supportive of the development of Verbier too, a field that Mr Slater at Arden attributes a risked value of $37m (125p a share) in his aforementioned risked NAV estimate of 537p (unrisked NAV estimate of 1,231p a share). In other words, although Jersey’s oil price surged this morning, the value in Verbier, Cortina and all the other Buchan oil fields are effectively in the price of just 69p a share given that Jersey’s net cash pile is estimated to be 68p a share. True, Jersey’s share price has been volatile this year and is stillthe laggard in my market beating 2019 Bargain Share Portfolio. However, the investment risk looks heavily skewed to the upside given the likelihood of a raft of positive news flow emerging in the next six months as the company makes progress on commercialising its acreage. That’s because Equinor can be expected to exercise its option on the Buchan Blocks before the end of October, thus improving the chances that the fields will be developed; a new competent person’s report should be filed in the fourth quarter this year; and we can expect a decision on the 2020 work programme onthe P2170 licence (Blocks 20/5b & 21/1d), Outer Moray Firth, before the year-end, too. All of these announcements have potential to materially lower Jersey’s unwarranted 74 per cent share price discount to analysts’ risked NAV estimates. Strong buy.
02/6/2019
05:13
mariopeter: The first June 2019 post. We have entered the month that JOG et al receive the full share price on the license as the full blown seismic arrives. Since Equinor have the West Phoenix rig booked until November (we have a determined partner in Equinor), don't be too surprised if we have a further drill on the license this year. The timing will likely depend on the seismic and how it blends with the last disappointing and surprising drill result. Do note that the rig is again drilling for Equinor in close proximity to our license. Equinor have not said where the rig is to be used after the current drill. The geometry is a tad tricky in this area of the North Sea but Equinor are unphased by that particularly if you study their behaviour in the North Sea. As an example here is an extract from their recent North Sea discovery: "Equinor has, together with its partners Petoro, ExxonMobil and Total, proven gas and condensate in the Norwegian Sea Ragnfrid North (6406/2-9 S) exploration well. Recoverable resources are estimated at 6-25 million barrels of oil equivalent. “We are pleased to start the new year by announcing a new discovery. Exploring for resources close to existing infrastructure is a central part of Equinor’s strategy to further develop the Norwegian continental shelf (NCS). We need this kind of discoveries in the years to come,” says Nick Ashton, Equinor’s senior vice president for Norway and the UK." For those who feel that our minimum of 25 mmbo in Verbier is non-commercial it is time to reread the announcements about the discovery where the JOG board clearly deem the find as commercial. This view is no doubt heavily influenced by Equinor which is wholly consistent with their statement extracted above which I note has an upper limit of 25 mmbo which happens to be the same as the Verbier lower limit. It is all a question of time to prove up the discovery at Verbier and my point is this could happen sooner than we expect. No doubt if we are to drill again then JOG may need to raise some more funds but I would suspect that would be higher than the last fund raise which was at £2. It will take very little to get the share price up significantly. This is all seismic dependant but we know from the accelerated seismic report that the full report will show more targets not less. In addition we will likely have further share price action when the Oil and Gas Authority announce their awards of the 31st and the Supplemental 31st round licenses. With new extraction techniques the "Hub" looks realistic and there are puddles of oil up for grabs and some pretty big. The current JOG share price which equals the uncommitted cash in the bank per share is a great point of entry but not likely to be there for much longer.It wont be long before the chart breaks the 78p resistance and heads to the 90 something pence resistance point. Add in some announcements this Summer and the share may very well shoot straight back up over £2+. The story will unfold but perhaps much quicker than the market thinks in my opinion.
25/2/2019
03:08
pro_s2009: Verbier is presently a minimum of 25 MMBO recoverable based on the immediate vicinity of the discovery well. A good appraisal well should move the minimum up from 25 MMBO to say 75 MMBO. So the new range of recoverable oil would then be 75 MMBO to 135 MMBO with a good appraisal well. However the new 3D is also key as the upper side could increase as well and that will also help increase the minimum. Based on circa 220p for the current minimum size of 25 MMBO, if a good appraisal well lifts the minimum up to say 75 MMBO recoverable then that would indicate a minimum JOG share price of around 660p but that also may rise as the confidence in Verbier would be very much increased and of course, Cortina is there as well. The average North Sea field size being developed now is around 20 MMBO recoverable, so Verbier is already big enough just on the discovery well immediate area, but it could turn into a very big field if this appraisal well is good and the 3D also helps to unravel the trap. Exciting times.
18/4/2018
14:18
s1zematters: he thinks JOG share price is related to intra-hour movement in the price of oil? can you be more retarded than that?
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