Independent Oil & Gas Share Discussion Threads

[burtond1] 20/10/2020 05:49

Malcy talks IOG with Doc Holidayhttps://total-market-solutions.com/2020/10/20/malcy-talks-oil-gas-xxiii-part-2/

[dunderheed] 16/10/2020 15:42

How do I value IOG? There are many ways DCF or NPV model would be my preference if I could be bothered - however it is the inputs that have to be accurate and I personally work out a non complicated NPV which I see as being higher than current share price. If I didn't I'd sell now. This assumes that 1 and 2p reserves and production levels are in line with company guidance. Obviously momentum plays and over exuberant PI's might distort this a bit as well?

[anley] 16/10/2020 15:35

Would you sell your $ for say 80cents...........? That was the start and that is where it stalled in my view and who knows if they discussed the value of Shell as a partner in 3 licenses. No I do not but a small fund my family manages does own shares in IOG. Just a matter of interest how do value IOG shares?

[dunderheed] 15/10/2020 12:06

Anley - do you hold DELT buddy? To be honest with current state of N Sea investment and exploration - that was a very fair price IMHO? Any more and I'd be upset with IOG mgt. I am happy they didn't overpay and anything above 1p certainly is not stealing. The "market" appears to agree with that as well.

[anley] 15/10/2020 11:56

EDGAR.......the problem was IOG were trying to steal DELT with an offer of just over 1p................did the board of IOG think that they would sell out for a discount of the cash in the bank? 2020 was always going to be the year when the North Sea started a consolidation period and this will continue in to 2021/22. The problem which I am continuously researching is who is next and values........... Its not one full of exciting prospects...................

[anley] 15/10/2020 11:48

Looking back some time ago at a post I made - mention was made that 12p was about the level I would buy back-in again. Now I am not certain as how the board works - looks at its future so I shall sit tight and see how this story unfolds. Perhaps it will come to pass that all their cash will go in paying for the infrastructure they need to get into production and what happens if there is a problem with drilling - cost overuns - we shall have to wait and see.

[edgar222] 05/10/2020 14:24

Am glad Deltic deal off. We have enough to be concentrating on. I was worried we would overpay.

[anley] 05/10/2020 13:00

So that is your view drawn from a Middle East paper.........but not the view from the North Sea drillers and producers who are doing well from SPOT prices of gas up at 37p per therme. It looks as though DELTIC told IOG to go away and it worked so now let the two parties get on with developing their gas portfolios.

[hsfinch] 05/10/2020 09:14

There's a lot of stuff out there. Here's a real interesting article for you. https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/qatar-gas-lng-market-oil-prices-dominance

[anley] 05/10/2020 07:18

Can you tell us more about LNG prices please.........

[hsfinch] 29/9/2020 16:26

Nope. Look at where LNG prices are going with or without a cold winter.

[fardels bear] 29/9/2020 08:11

A cold winter though and all that hot air straight out of the window amid rocketing gas prices.

[hsfinch] 29/9/2020 07:16

I hope this mob have done their sums. Gas prices under real pressure in the medium term.

[marvelman] 22/9/2020 10:11

Yes, watch and wait indeed Anley as we will have to wait a year for first gas...unless the corporate activity turns on IOG itself....which is what I am hoping for.

[anley] 22/9/2020 09:36

It looks as though every large shareholder has made its share positions clear this morning. That been done then I would expect an offer to be forthcoming. If both sides had not wanted to declare what they held then why would they waste their time in publishing "related" party info and other stuff? Watch and wait.....................

[anley] 22/9/2020 08:19

MARVELMAN.............have a read - above under NEWS - todays announcement from IOG on who owns what...............control rests with 3 people - one on the board and 2 others.

[marvelman] 12/9/2020 14:19

Thank you anley..only skim read it and missed it. Your post 4174 was very telling

[anley] 12/9/2020 14:04

MARVELMAN..............an all share exchange is what is said in the press release.

[marvelman] 12/9/2020 10:55

Excellent stuff anley...your posts make interesting reading. I am a holder here but not so sure now as this company already has enough debt to be going on with. How it will be funded is the big question.

[anley] 12/9/2020 10:36

If you look at a recent post on this thread I said I was a buyer at 12p............ I have a Peel Hunt report produced earlier this year talking about value: "The company is at 17p, and yet we have a core nav of 33p, total nav of 41p, however they should can could easily grow this nav by adding in new resource opportunities this year. We also see substantial revenue and FCF growth over the coming years:" The point I make is that the market values these brokers values by anything up to - at one stage last week - at between 50-90% discount.

[the chairman elect] 12/9/2020 10:33

No offence anley but I came over here as I would like to see what IOG and not DELT shareholders make of it all?

[the chairman elect] 11/9/2020 16:52

Yet another offer for DELT Broker note from 4th September 2020 on DELT gives a risked valuation of 13.7p

[zapa] 11/9/2020 15:52

DELTIC is the target.