Aew Uk Reit Share Discussion Threads

[eeza] 11/12/2019 16:40

Absent Remainers' tactical voting, Labour would be nowhere.
Even Lab stalwarts cannot stand Corby.

[chucko1] 11/12/2019 16:36

8/1 was indeed reasonable odds. But that is different from thinking it likely (or at least far from unlikely). You are saying both things.

[jon123] 11/12/2019 16:28

not so sure about clinton she wasn't very popular in the states

[spangle93] 11/12/2019 16:13

You could argue the same for the Democrats, fielding Hilary Clinton against Trump, or for Labor in Australia putting up the universally unpopular Bill Shorten to allow Scott Morrison another term. But let's see how it pans out

[jon123] 11/12/2019 16:11

if labour had any other leader it would be a cake walk for them

[spectoacc] 11/12/2019 15:50

True @chucko1, the bookies pricing off the more reputable pollsters (which is like saying "more reputable weather forecasters"). The 80 seats was an extrapolation across the country, ie no strategic voting.

But still - big difference btwn 40 and 10 majority, and very little swing needed to go from +10 to -10. Though does rely on Labour getting a lot more than the c.220 seats forecast (but someone's got to get them!) and the single-issue JO SWINSON party back-tracking from their JO SWINSON policy of JO SWINSON.

I still say 8/1 was good odds. Imagine how far ahead Labour would be if not taken over by the Socialist Workers Party.

[my retirement fund] 11/12/2019 15:34

What ever happens, the market seems to be waling up to the fact that we are going to need to beg for more extensions from our masters or otherwise crash out on WTO.

Its a forgone conclusion crashing out means higher interest rates, weaker currency, weaker economy, recession and property value crash !!!

[chucko1] 11/12/2019 15:34

When it was 80 seats, the bookies never priced it as such. They have been pricing it as 10 to 40 the whole way through. FX pretty well the same.

[jon123] 11/12/2019 15:29

i agree with you SpectoAcc i think it'll be a lot tighter than anyone thinks and we could end up with a hung parliament the tory campaign hasn't been very good and boris has come across as arrogant he's messed it up for me he could even lose his seat

[spectoacc] 11/12/2019 15:18

Everyone has been - throughout - very confident about the Tory win.

80 seats, 60 seats, 40 seats, 20 seats - was about 16 last I looked, and still a day to go :)

Think it's one of those rare occasions (like the referendum result) when downside protection isn't expensive, because there's consensus on the result. But the Tory middle is now Labour, the working classes are now Tory, and I fear for a surprise.

[chucko1] 11/12/2019 14:40

I’ve been buying this stuff at 90.76. No fear, no backward step!!

If you never hear from me again ...

[rcturner2] 11/12/2019 13:39

The bookies are quite firm on a Tory majority.

[spangle93] 11/12/2019 13:22

Thanks for taking the time, SpectoAcc

I hope you are wrong for all of our sakes. I spend several months of the year outside the UK, and after the spectacularly awful political goat rodeo of the last 3 years, it's embarrassing to be British. Plus living in Scotland, I already see the effects of socialist vanity and profligacy in my tax bills relative to the rest of the UK.

I trust the bookies more than the pollsters, since they have more to lose if they are wrong, but this election seems very hard to predict.

[spangle93] 11/12/2019 12:59

Specto - I appreciate and respect those who can trade in and out of shares to build up holdings for less... but with the high yielding REITS, don't you risk being "out" on ex-div days with such a strategy, thereby missing out on the key benefit?

[ramellous] 11/12/2019 12:45

Dummy trade to sell is quoting 91.20 and buy is still 91.13.. what’s all that about?. On ii.

[ramellous] 11/12/2019 12:42

Dummy trade to buy 1k worth at 91.13 so these small trades are buys Skyship.

[spectoacc] 11/12/2019 12:39

Did mine earlier in the week, now all out of AEWU. Hope to be back in again at some point.

[skyship] 11/12/2019 12:28

Quite a bizarre series of small sales today - absolutely no idea why that should be. Pre-election jitters perhaps...

[neilyb675] 11/12/2019 12:19

Just bought at 91.13p

[riverman77] 02/12/2019 20:40

Thanks for the link to PCA note. Reading through this just strengthens my view that this is decent property portfolio with good upside potential.

[skyship] 02/12/2019 10:42

Sorry O/T:

HP & Riverman, Edison update their PCA thread:

[skyship] 29/11/2019 16:44

HP - no problem. Actually Retail & Retail W'hse are separately classified by all propcos, so I merely repeat the returns as stated. Retail has been more seriously impacted by both internet shopping and CAV action. Ret. W'hse has suffered too; though less severely.