Canada Posts Biggest Monthly Trade Surplus With U.S. in Nearly a Decade
05 September 2018 - 3:32PM
Dow Jones News
By Paul Vieira
OTTAWA -- Canada posted its biggest trade surplus with the U.S.
in nearly a decade for July on higher prices for crude-oil exports
and a solid jump in sales to its fast-growing southern
neighbor.
The country ran a nearly balanced trade account in merchandise
goods, recording a small trade deficit of 114 million Canadian
dollars ($86 million) on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to
Statistics Canada on Wednesday, versus a revised C$743 million
deficit the previous month. The July report surpassed market
expectations for a C$1 billion trade deficit, according to
economists at Royal Bank of Canada.
The U.S. also reported trade data Wednesday. The Commerce
Department said the trade shortfall in goods and services widened
by 9.5% from June to a seasonally adjusted $50.08 billion in July,
as exports sank 1% from June, while imports rose 0.9%.
Canada's trade deficit with the rest of the world in July was
the smallest since December 2016, when Canada last posted a trade
surplus. Canada's trade surplus in goods with the U.S. widened to
C$5.35 billion, or the largest in nearly a decade. Exports to the
U.S. rose 3.3% in July from June, and 16% from a year earlier.
The U.S. and Canada resume talks Wednesday in Washington on a
revised North American Free Trade Agreement, with a late September
deadline looming. The focus will be on Ottawa and Washington
bridging differences to keep the U.S., Canada and Mexico
signatories to an update of the quarter-century-old treaty. Nearly
three-quarters of all Canadian exports are U.S. bound, and an
analysis from the Bank of International Settlements indicated
Canada has to most to lose from Nafta's demise.
"Risks around Canada's trade relationship with the U.S. remain,"
said Nathan Janzen, economist at Royal Bank of Canada. Still, he
said, it appears Canadian exports "are finally starting to get at
least a modest lift from stronger global trade flows and an
improved U.S. industrial sector."
In the quarter ended June 20, Canadian economic output rose at a
2.9% annualized rate from the previous quarter, powered by one of
the strongest export gains this decade.
Canadian exports in July rose 0.8% from the previous month to a
record C$51.27 billion. Sales abroad of energy products climbed 5%
to C$10.28 billion, or the highest level in nearly four years, and
auto-related shipments rose 3.4%. The data agency largely
attributed the overall rise in exports to higher crude-oil prices,
as they rose 9.4% in July. Nonenergy exports fell 0.2% in July. On
a volume, or price-adjusted, basis, exports declined 0.8%.
Imports fell 0.4% from June, due to weaker demand for foreign
aircraft, metal ores and concentrates. Also weighing on imports
were Canadian tariffs on U.S. steel, imposed in July in retaliation
for U.S. tariffs on Canadian metals imposed on national-security
grounds, the data agency said. Steel imports from the U.S. fell
nearly 40% in July, more than offsetting a roughly 33% climb in
June when Canada warned retaliatory levies were coming.
On a volume basis, imports fell 1.1% from June, as prices from
goods abroad rose 0.7%.
The Canadian trade data incorporates the trade of merchandise
goods, and doesn't include the sale and purchase of services.
Write to Paul Vieira at paul.vieira@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 05, 2018 10:17 ET (14:17 GMT)
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