Share Name Share Symbol Market Type Share ISIN Share Description
Petropavlovsk Plc LSE:POG London Ordinary Share GB0031544546 ORD 1P
  Price Change % Change Share Price Shares Traded Last Trade
  -0.28 -2.81% 9.67 2,650,318 16:29:16
Bid Price Offer Price High Price Low Price Open Price
9.67 9.70 10.00 9.63 10.00
Industry Sector Turnover (m) Profit (m) EPS - Basic PE Ratio Market Cap (m)
Mining 391.90 64.63 0.78 12.2 320
Last Trade Time Trade Type Trade Size Trade Price Currency
17:05:46 O 1,313 9.67 GBX

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Date Time Title Posts
10/10/201914:56Petropavlovsk Gold Miner - inc. Charts48,535
13/1/201807:37Short POG the DOG to 1.5p35
13/6/201717:45Petropavlovsk - coup by Prudential?-
07/6/201710:45POG - Voting Advice-
24/8/201610:00*** Petropavlovsk ***27

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Petropavlovsk Daily Update: Petropavlovsk Plc is listed in the Mining sector of the London Stock Exchange with ticker POG. The last closing price for Petropavlovsk was 9.95p.
Petropavlovsk Plc has a 4 week average price of 9.09p and a 12 week average price of 9.09p.
The 1 year high share price is 10.46p while the 1 year low share price is currently 5.51p.
There are currently 3,310,210,281 shares in issue and the average daily traded volume is 1,516,006 shares. The market capitalisation of Petropavlovsk Plc is £320,097,334.17.
bambo1: Lots of smoke signals from the a-hole rampers still. POG share price 8.6p Jan-18 8.3p Jun-17 8.4p Nov-16 8.8p May-16 now 9.8p which is an increase of 11.36% over the last 3 years. Or do we only look at the lowest point compared to the highest point? Play with the numbers and produce what pleases you, and if you are a really clever investor, tell everyone you bought at the lowest point and are making loads of money and some goon might believe you. Then the goon can rush out and buy some and make lots of money too. Is this how it works rampers?
lawrence thirteen: Pog share price make lethargy look lively
midasx: Based purely on future cash flow the share price is 95% undervalued. This obviously ignores existing debt, but shows how far the share price could go when and if debt is paid off. Fair value £2.01 LSE:POG Discounted Cash Flow Data Sources Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for LSE:POG using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for Petropavlovsk is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method. We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity. Note: Free cash flow to equity valuations ignore the company's cash or debt. LSE:POG DCF 1st Stage: Next 10 year cash flow forecast Levered FCF (USD, Millions) Source Present Value Discounted (@ 13.19%) 2020 261.38 Est @ 86.79% 230.92 2021 421.14 Est @ 61.12% 328.72 2022 602.89 Est @ 43.15% 415.74 2023 787.23 Est @ 30.58% 479.60 2024 958.62 Est @ 21.77% 515.96 2025 1,108.24 Est @ 15.61% 526.99 2026 1,233.41 Est @ 11.29% 518.16 2027 1,335.46 Est @ 8.27% 495.66 2028 1,417.72 Est @ 6.16% 464.88 2029 1,484.06 Est @ 4.68% 429.93 Present value of next 10 years cash flows $4,406.56 LSE:POG DCF 2nd Stage: Terminal Value Calculation Result Terminal Value = FCF2029 × (1 + g) ÷ (Discount Rate – g) = $1,484.06 × (1 + 1.23%) ÷ (13.19% – 1.23%) $12,558.35 Present Value of Terminal Value = Terminal Value ÷ (1 + r)10 = $12,558.35 ÷ (1 + 13.19%)10 $3,638.12 LSE:POG Total Equity Value Calculation Result Total Equity Value = Present value of next 10 years cash flows + Terminal Value = $4,406.56 + $3,638.12 $8,044.68 Equity Value per Share (USD) = Total value / Shares Outstanding = $8,044.68 / 3,310.21 $2.43 LSE:POG Discount to Share Price Calculation Result Exchange Rate USD/GBP (Reporting currency to currency of LSE:POG) 0.829 Value per Share (GBP) = Value per Share in USD x Exchange Rate (USD/GBP) = $2.43 x 0.829 £2.01 Value per share (GBP) From above. £2.01 Current discount Discount to share price of £0.10 = -1 x (£0.10 - £2.01) / £2.01 95%
wigwammer: Casual suggested the gold price would fall back, and it has done the opposite and continued rising strongly. Casual suggested POG shares would be sticky around 8p, yet a few weeks later they were above 10p. It is fair to say that on the rather relevant subjects of where the gold price goes and where the POG share price moves, casual has not proven himself particularly prescient so far :)
bambo1: As normal, gold up and all of my gold stocks are up except one as normal, POG (yes, this one) someone does not want POG share price to go up it seems, I wonder why? Very strange how this share moves.
bambo1: Gold up pog share price drifting downwards.
rochdae: officehead, An interesting theory, but it's very hard to manipulate the share price of a large listed company. If 1.45 of the stock is already on loan, how much more will they need to sell to keep the share price at 8p? And they will at some point have to buy back that position. It's a dangerous game, and I don't see how it will benefit POG. It's my understanding that POG have the option to redeem the 100 mil bond to avoid conversion. It's clear in the transcript of the webcast that POG aim to do just that. They seem reasonably confident of having the money come next year. POG are determined to improve their share price. They see it as way undervalued. A much improved share price brings more financial options with it, too. Debt at the moment X3 market cap doesn't look good and restricts your access to finance. Anyway, key short term news will be IRC's production update on Tuesday. This should show production up to near 90% with 20-30% increase in earnings. I see iron ore moving through $100 quite soon. Goldman predicting elevated prices for the next 5 years. By that time IRC will be producing nearly 7 million tonnes per year and the bridge to China will have reduced costs to $43 per tonne. So around $400 million gross income. Debt £240 million. News flow on autoclaves 3 and 4 should begin soon along with a 3rd party contract for refractory ore. This will lead to an upgrade to 2019 production. Contract confirmation should be in the next 2-3 weeks before commissioning as outlined by POG management. 12 months ago POG's share price was the same but since then there have been 3 major changes in fortune. POX success, the iron ore price and the rescheduling of debt. POG are predicting production of 500,000 to 550,000koz per year from 2020 with TCC at $775. With gold at $1285 that's around $288 million income after costs. POG's present market cap £270 million. I've followed POG (or Peter Hambro as it was) for 12 years. Decided to buy in Jan this year for the reasons outlined.
malcontent: this is the third year that POG share price has been stuck in the 6-9 pence range If/When it does break above 9 p, it will be a strong and sudden move Same applies to a break below 6 p, but that's not where my money is
stoopid: This isn't just about the forward P/E. Its also about the ability to repay debt, or with POG the inability to do so and stagnant production levels. After the rights and $100m bond issue all POG have done is kick the debt can down the road, there has been no further debt repayment and debt has remained stubbornly over $600m. The fact that they are either unwilling to or cant repay this bond is worrying and is likely to result in a conversion in approx. 18 months time meaning a further 15% - 20% ish dilution for shareholders. The FCF would appear to be insufficient to even pay down this part of the debt never mind the main bulk and that is why they have taken out the new bond. IRC still has problems/debt and with the debt guarantee POG have had their ownership severely diluted and will probably sell it and not realise a fraction of what they should for it. Although they have had new management for quite a while now, this is after years of mismanagement by Hambros Son. The full year report and forward guidance for POX and underground which should come out at the annual results this month should prove interesting..... There is a reason why POG share price isn't flying.
popeye888: If Russia/Putin were the problem with POG share price then why is HGM charging ahead and is quickly getting back to share price of 2011. POG share price if it were to match HGM performance should now be around £0.53 per share. So Russia/Putin cannot be the reason. Unless someone thinks Gold is going out of the back door to keep Putin sweet.
Petropavlovsk share price data is direct from the London Stock Exchange
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