Share Name Share Symbol Market Type Share ISIN Share Description
Pcf Group Plc LSE:PCF London Ordinary Share GB0004189378 ORD 5P
  Price Change % Change Share Price Shares Traded Last Trade
  0.00 0.0% 24.00 25,865 07:39:24
Bid Price Offer Price High Price Low Price Open Price
23.00 25.00 24.00 24.00 24.00
Industry Sector Turnover (m) Profit (m) EPS - Basic PE Ratio Market Cap (m)
Nonequity Investment Instruments 42.34 2.11 0.60 40.0 60
Last Trade Time Trade Type Trade Size Trade Price Currency
16:16:28 O 5,000 23.85 GBX

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Pcf Daily Update: Pcf Group Plc is listed in the Nonequity Investment Instruments sector of the London Stock Exchange with ticker PCF. The last closing price for Pcf was 24p.
Pcf Group Plc has a 4 week average price of 23.50p and a 12 week average price of 20p.
The 1 year high share price is 30.50p while the 1 year low share price is currently 17.50p.
There are currently 250,240,136 shares in issue and the average daily traded volume is 148,447 shares. The market capitalisation of Pcf Group Plc is £60,057,632.64.
edmonda: When we initiated coverage in Dec 20, comparing PCF to peers was difficult as most lenders have a 31 Dec year-end. It turns out that PCF is in an elite group that were able to maintain growth during FY20 and stay profitable. Moreover, its recent trading update, five months into the financial year, has shown a continuing improvement in the loan repayment environment, although originations have been slowed by the introduction of a third lockdown and underwriting caution. Despite this uncertainty, our medium and long-term term outlook remains bullish. The business has positioned itself well for an exit from the pandemic, and recent high calibre appointments (Caroline Richardson, CFO and Garry Stran, COO) strengthen the team to deliver the growth plan of building a £1bn lending book
graham1ty: Two weeks ago.....were promised an update within two hopefully today or tomorrow. No price pressure one way of the other, so impossible to tell how it will read. The sooner we get back on track, the better..... Looking back, pre pandemic, forecasts for the year to Sept 2020 were eps of 3.6p, and for this year, 4.5p. On a forward multiple of say 15x, if the pandemic had not happened, the share price might have been 60-70p. Is this business really worth only a third of what we thought just over a year ago ? Forecasts ( made in Dec 2020, before we had heard of damned Covid) were for 6.8p eps in the year to Sept 2022. The latest forecasts I have seen now have 2.2p for this year, 3.1p for next year...🙁
graham1ty: My comment on 4 March is now even more depressing: “Just looked back at the chart. How depressing. PCF first hit these levels at the back end of 2015 !!! Back then the loan book was £112m for the period to March 2016 ( today £434m ) and new business was £63m( today £270m). Pretax profits were £3.5m or 1.8p of earnings ( c£11m last year, if you add back impairments) They were discussing plans for the banking licence. PCF is now a bank, c4 times larger, in gross terms, and the share price is no higher. I wonder where we would be without Covid....... The sooner back to normal the better for our health, and for shareholders health !!” It first got to 20p in summer 2015. Coming up for six years ago.....I know no one could foresee Covid, but it is pretty depressing that for ordinary shareholders, even allowing for about a penny of dividend in total, there has been no share price progression since then......
graham1ty: Just looked back at the chart. How depressing. PCF first hit these levels at the back end of 2015 !!! Back then the loan book was £112m for the period to March 2016 ( today £434m ) and new business was £63m( today £270m). Pretax profits were £3.5m or 1.8p of earnings ( c£11m last year, if you add back impairments) They were discussing plans for the banking licence. PCF is now a bank, c4 times larger, in gross terms, and the share price is no higher. I wonder where we would be without Covid....... The sooner back to normal the better for our health, and for shareholders health !!
dandigirl: IFR9 is pants. The latest gimmick from the accounters. See that their body, the FRC, has been slammed, yet again. Scandal after scandal. Yet another protection racket. Bureaucracy gone made. Just wish they would go back to a plain simple audit. Rant over. Actually, I think the likes of PCF [and SUS] are in a good place. New sales are down big. Hence, used are holding up with increasing numbers wishing to commute by car rather than public transport. Add in, as you say, PCF's going mostly prime and this segment of their business should continue to do well. Huge market with lots of room to grow their book. Moved in property lending at a good time. Again huge market of which they have only a tiny bit. Being a bank has helped generate lots of low interest deposits so margins should hold up/improve. Entered the media thing at a bad time but, thankfully, it is still only a small part of the whole. They also have long serving CEO and CFO who both are hard working and know the business well. And all with the hanging possibility of the Bermuda boys and girls selling up to someone who has big eyes for this slick banking operation, something that Lend Invest and SUS, for example, do not have.
rmillaree: "But it is mad that the share price is at the same level as five years ago" I guess that says more about the shareprice 5 years ago or how they may not have progressed as far as might have been expected in the meantime. I hold but to be fair with current market cap of £70 odd million that doesnt seem silly if you factor in the £23 mill of Portfolio forbearance and the profits which could be between £8 mill and £12 mill if there were no covid related nasties. Nasties and foebearances and matter of life at present even if there is some hopw these may go away sooner than may be expected. At least the shareprice seems to have gained back some of the instantd drop post results - so hopefully on reflection the market is now saying results were not a disaster. I too will play the waiting game.
graham1ty: Tipped by Simon Thompson. Good presentation at EDI today. There is a strong element of “wait and see” with PCF, and Covid, recession, Brexit and IFRS9 will overhang this for maybe another year. But PCF is well capitalised ( unless the world shuts down), has a strong base, a quality Prime lending book, and the systems and processes to get back on the growth track as things get better. It will be untouchable for a few until more is clear. But it is mad that the share price is at the same level as five years ago, when PCF is significantly larger, significantly derisked from moving to Prime lending, has access to far cheaper capital through the banking license etc. A waiting game, but am a very happy holder
the millipede: FWIW I have made the mistake of believing bad news is priced in too many times now. I don't think it ever is really, especially on aim. It makes sense if you think about it I guess - before disaster strikes there is always some chance it won't happen, and the share price will normally reflect that chance, even if only a bit. I think it is worse on AIM though because with small free floats a few small sellers can shift the price downwards quite a large amount. (The converse is also true - a few small buyers can sometime shift the price upwards significsntly.) Anyway, that said I think there are reasons to be cheerful. Used motor finance might become more popular if wages go down and people want to spend less on a car. Meanwhile the housing market is booming, at least round here. Increasing unemployment might well lead to a general increase in defaults but it is entirely possible still that a lot of this thinking is unnecessary catastrophising. Indeed, quite a lot of people have more disposable income because of the lockdowns and restrictions. And some firms are finding their employees willing to take pay cuts to save jobs. I think a well run, small and nimble disrupter like PCF could prosper in those conditions.
igoe104: Simon Thompson update PCF’s contrarian value proposition This morning’s first half pre-close update from Aim-traded specialist bank PCF (PCF:21p) was much as I had previewed three weeks ago when I rated the shares a bargain buy at 17p (‘Deep value buying opportunities’, 8 April 2020). Namely, Covid-19 has had a limited impact in the six months to 31 March 2020. New business originations increased by 26 per cent to £153m on the same stage a year earlier, and over 80 per cent were in prime credit grades. The £400m loan book is backed by £340m of retail deposits (mainly fixed term), around £60m of shareholder’s equity capital, £30m of wholesale funding under a revolving credit facility, and £25m of the Bank of England’s low-cost Term Funding Scheme. PCF’s common equity tier 1 ratio (CET1) of 17 per cent is well ahead of the regulator’s minimum requirement. Of course, demand for loans from PCF’s consumer and SME targeted customer base was bound to soften in the current environment, falling short by 26 per cent against growth targets for March and 65 per cent below target in April to date. Customers representing a third of the loan book by value have made requests for payment holidays and/or reduced payments, but that was to be expected as the FCA’s latest guidance to both lenders and consumers allows borrowers to request a three-month payment freeze on certain credit agreements without impairing their credit ratings. It’s only sensible that many have done so even to preserve cash until the UK's lockdown ends. However, the vast majority will not default and trash their credit records. And even when some do, PCF can take possession of the valuable collateral it has lent against (cars, motor homes, machinery, houses etc). It’s still my view that the market is expecting a far higher level of delinquencies than is likely to be the case. Indeed, Panmure 2020 pre-tax profit estimate of £10.7m already factors in £3.7m of impairment losses. Moreover, even if that provision were to surge by 70 per cent then PCF would still match its 2019 pre-tax profit of £8.1m and earnings per share of 2.8p. With the shares trading on 0.9 times book value and on a 2019 price/earnings ratio of 7.5, the market is implying profits will be wiped out completely. I beg to differ. Ahead of the half-year results in June, PCF's shares are a recovery buy.
sev22: Just a reminder that PCF is one of Simon Thompson's 10 Bargain Shares for 2020 (write up below from three weeks ago). These are massively under-valued, despite market conditions. Aim-traded specialist bank PCF (PCF) made it into his 2018 Bargain Shares portfolio when the shares were priced at 27p, and they offer an even more attractive investment proposition now given the significant operational progress made by the company in the past two years. Annual results released in early December revealed a 55 per cent hike in the company’s lending portfolio in the 12 months to 30 September 2019, almost hitting the board’s £350m lending target 12 months ahead of schedule. Importantly, an increasing proportion of new business originations are to prime borrowers, representing almost three-quarters of all new loans made in the 12-month trading period. This has helped to diversify the loan book, which is now spread across 21,250 customers, up from 17,000 customers at the same stage in 2018. A key driver in the improvement in the quality of PCF’s loan book has been the lower cost of funding provided by its banking licence. PCF’s retail deposit base surged from £191m to £267m in the 2018-19 financial year, thus enabling PCF to recycle the low-cost funding – on average the bank’s 6,250 (4,500 in 2018) retail deposit customers earn an interest rate of 2.2 per cent on a deposit of £42,400 over a term of almost three years – into both business lending to small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), mainly for vehicles, plant and equipment, and consumer lending concentrated on nearly new and used carsImportantly, credit quality remains sound. Impairments remain unchanged at 0.8 per cent of receivable balances, a satisfactory level of write-downs at this point of the credit cycle after taking into account the accelerated portfolio growth rate. It’s worth noting, too, that PCF’s net interest margin (NIM) only dropped from 8.2 per cent to 7.8 per cent year on year even though there was a higher proportion of lower-margin and lower-risk prime lending in the mix. Successfully diversifying lending lines: PCF’s business finance loan portfolio has been the key driver of the growth, increasing from £121m to £178m last financial year. The fact that 71 per cent of all new business originations are from prime borrowers is reassuring, as is the move to diversify revenue streams. For instance, the autumn 2018 acquisition of Azule, a specialist funding provider to individuals and businesses in the broadcast and media industry, generates annual fee income of £1m through its hybrid brokerage and ‘own book’ business model. PCF has also dipped its toe into residential property bridging finance, making £14m of loans last financial year. In consumer finance, PCF’s core used car market has been much more resilient to the weakening of consumer demand for cars, which has primarily hit new car sales. Around 96 per cent of lending here is on nearly new or used cars and PCF avoids taking on residual risk as it doesn’t offer a personal contract plan (PCP) product. The company’s success in consumer finance – the motor finance portfolio increased from £98m to £128m in the 2018-19 financial year – is in part due to a specialisation in niche, leisure vehicles such as horseboxes and motor homes, which helped boost consumer lending by 18 per cent to £73m in the latest 12-month trading period. The portfolio has a high customer retention rate, too, as 10 per cent of consumer finance volumes are derived from existing customers, implying a higher than average level of customer satisfaction. Solid trading prospects: Chief executive Scott Maybury, who has led the transformation of PCF, confirms that new business originations remain strong, and the company continues to maintain prudent underwriting standards, adopting a cautious risk appetite and offering customers sensible terms of business. The board’s goal is to generate sustainable returns from a lending portfolio that has a wide spread of risk with a focus on having a greater proportion of prime quality customers. Though not sanguine about the economic outlook, the directors feel the company’s larger scale, agility and well-established business model provide them with confidence for the future. They certainly have reason to feel this way as September was a record month for the company and the momentum continued in October. Also, SMEs are likely to feel more confident in their future capital investment plans when Brexit uncertainty recedes and the UK’s future trading arrangements with the EU are agreed. There is a real possibility that could happen later this year, thus unleashing pent-up loan demand and in turn underpinning the board’s next target of achieving a loan portfolio of £750m and return on equity of 15 per cent by September 2022. Critically, PCF has the capital in place to fund lending growth towards that target. The company’s NAV increased by 38 per cent to £58.8m following a £10.75m equity raise last year, and PCF’s Common Equity Tier 1 Ratio (CET1) of 18 per cent is comfortably ahead of the banking regulator’s minimum requirement. The capital position has been supplemented with a new £15m Tier 2 capital facility which can be drawn as required. Double-digit earnings growth being undervalued: Not surprisingly, with impairments low and the quality of the loan book improving, PCF is seeing a step change in its profitability, driven by the operational leverage of the business as lending volumes ramp up at a faster rate than the company’s cost base. Pre-tax profits surged by 54 per cent to £8m on revenue of £22.2m (2018: £14.7m) in the 12 months to 30 September 2019 to produce a post-tax return on equity of 12.6 per cent, ahead of the company’s medium-term target of 12.5 per cent. EPS surged by 35 per cent to 2.7p to support a 33 per cent hike in the dividend to 0.4p a share (ex-dividend date 19 March 2020). Analyst Shailesh Raikundlia at house broker Panmure Gordon is pencilling in 31 per cent growth in current-year revenue and pre-tax profits to £29.2m and £10.5m, respectively, based on the loan book rising to £450m by September 2020. These forecasts assume that PCF’s administration costs increase from £12m to £15m, and net loss provisions rise from £2.2m to £3.7m, the net £4.5m rise in these costs being less than the estimated £7m increase in interest income and fees earned. This explains why pre-tax profit is forecast to rise from £8m to £10.5m. On this basis, expect 2020 EPS of 3.5p and a payout of 0.6p a share, implying the shares are being rated on a modest forward PE ratio of 9.5, and offer a prospective dividend yield of 1.8 per cent. Trading on a current-year price-to-book value (PBV) of 1.3 times, I feel that the Brexit discount embedded in PCF’s modest valuation is set to unwind in the year ahead, driven by the ongoing strong operational performance and greater clarity on the UK’s departure from the EU. Offering almost 50 cent upside to my 50p fair value of the equity – equivalent to a September 2021 PBV of 1.6 times – and on a bargain rating of 0.6, PCF’s shares are worth buying.
Pcf share price data is direct from the London Stock Exchange
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