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P2P P2p Global Investments Plc

826.00
0.00 (0.00%)
Last Updated: 00:00:00
Delayed by 15 minutes
Share Name Share Symbol Market Type Share ISIN Share Description
P2p Global Investments Plc LSE:P2P London Ordinary Share GB00BLP57Y95 ORD GBP0.01
  Price Change % Change Share Price Shares Traded Last Trade
  0.00 0.00% 826.00 0.00 00:00:00
Bid Price Offer Price High Price Low Price Open Price
822.00 826.00
Industry Sector Turnover Profit EPS - Basic PE Ratio Market Cap
  -
Last Trade Time Trade Type Trade Size Trade Price Currency
- O 0 826.00 GBX

P2p Global Investments (P2P) Latest News

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P2p Global Investments (P2P) Discussions and Chat

P2p Global Investments Forums and Chat

Date Time Title Posts
05/11/201909:51P2P Global 511

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P2p Global Investments (P2P) Top Chat Posts

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Posted at 13/9/2019 09:59 by davebowler
Liberum;
yield 5.8%

Event

As previously reported, P2P Global Investments' NAV per share at 30 June 2019 was 964.1p, reflecting a NAV total return of 2.5% H1 2019 (5.1% annualised).


The legacy portfolio continues to amortise down and now accounts for 10% of the overall (16% at December 2018). This run-off portfolio remains volatile (net return of -1.3% annualised in H1 2019) as illustrated by the writedown relating to the URICA Europe position in May. The legacy UK consumer assets have experienced relatively high losses.


As the legacy portfolio amortises, the Investment Manager has been reinvesting the available capital into more specialist and secured asset classes which exhibit lower volatility and a better coverage ratio of income to expected credit losses. Five new origination platforms were introduced to the portfolio in H1 2019, with three benefiting from structural protection.

The new originations are performing strongly and have demonstrated robust credit performance. This continuing portfolio is delivering a net yield which is ahead of target. 66% of the continuing portfolio is now in structured facilities. The continuing portfolio consists of SME loans 31%, Real Estate 47%, and Consumer 22%.


Post period end, the company disposed of its entire interests in Castlehaven Finance, an Irish alternative development and bridging finance lender. P2P Global had a 25% equity stake in Castlehaven Finance, together with other loan and debt interests. The gross proceeds from the sale of P2P Global's interests are c.€250m, representing a 'modest' premium to the carrying value. 50% of the proceeds will be received on a deferred basis to reduce the impact of cash drag. The proceeds from the sale of the position represent approximately 20% of the portfolio value and 31% of NAV.

The fund will also be renamed in due course to more accurately reflect the investment strategy.

Liberum view

The performance of the continuing portfolio remains strong but overall performance has been hampered by the legacy assets. The overall improvement in the portfolio's credit performance is evident from the increase in underlying income in the chart below. The impact of the run-off portfolio and equity positions should decline as the exposure decreases. The sale of the Castlehaven equity position reduces exposure to equity investments by c.£10m.

The change in the investment strategy since 2017 has resulted in a more robust portfolio delivering improved returns with lower leverage. The underlying income performance of the portfolio is broadly in line with the level required to meet a 15p distribution. We expect the company will be able to increase the dividend in the near-term as the weighting of run-off assets decline further.
Posted at 10/9/2019 06:02 by spangle93
From a Mister Invastor piece

One other peer-to-peer fund to watch is P2P Global Investments (LON:P2P). Woodford sold his full holding in the £620m vehicle for £80m in the six months to the end of June, but it looks like he still has a significant stake in the Honeycomb Investment Trust (LON:HONY), which is run by the same management company, Pollen Street Capital.

Pollen Street has worked hard to turn around the portfolio and performance of P2P since taking over its former manager, yet the fund still trades on a 13% discount, whereas Honeycomb’s superior performance has left it on an eight percent premium.

There had been speculation that the two could merge, which would probably have resulted in a positive re-rating of the P2P shares, but Woodford’s large holding in Honeycomb’s rarely traded stock makes this difficult unless there is some kind of deal. Adventurous investors might want to take a punt on P2P ahead of a possible merger or they could short HONY in anticipation of Woodford having to dump his 18% stake into a thin market
Posted at 27/8/2019 07:53 by davebowler
Liberum;
Event

P2P Global Investments has disposed of its entire interests in Castlehaven Finance, an Irish alternative development and bridging finance lender. P2P Global has provided financing in excess of €385m to Castlehaven since 2016.

P2P Global had a 25% equity stake in Castlehaven Finance, together with other loan and debt interests. The gross proceeds from the sale of P2P Global's interests are c.€250m, representing a 'modest' premium to the carrying value. A portion of the loan proceeds is payable on a deferred basis.

The manager reports a strong pipeline of new opportunities to reinvest the sale proceeds.

Liberum view

The Times reported last month that the manager was exploring a number of options for Castlehaven including a possible sale of the business or its loan book. Castlehaven typically provides loans of between €1m - €20m and offers acquisition financing plus working capital facilities.

The loan and equity interests in Castlehaven represented a significant proportion of P2P Global's portfolio. The proceeds from the sale of the position represent approximately 20% of the portfolio value and 31% of NAV. Three of the top 10 loans in P2P Global's portfolio at December 2018 were loans originated through Castlehaven. To date, the majority of P2P Global's real estate exposure was mainly through Zorin in the UK and Castlehaven Finance in Ireland. The proceeds will need to be redeployed relatively quickly in order to maintain earnings progress. We note that some of the proceeds will be paid on a deferred basis which should alleviate some of the cash drag.
Posted at 01/8/2019 09:05 by davebowler
Liberum;
2P Global Investments

1.2% Q2 NAV total return

Mkt Cap £634m | Prem/(disc) -12.0% | Div yield 5.7%

Event

P2P Global Investment's NAV per share at 30 June 2019 was 964.1p, representing a NAV total return of 0.48% in the month. We calculate a 1.2% NAV total return in Q2 2019. NAV returns have been driven by the strong credit performance of the continuing portfolio.

The run-off portfolio has reduced to 10% of the overall portfolio (12% at March 2019) and the manager completed two new investments in structured loans in the quarter. Structured loans represent 66% of the continuing portfolio. These loans benefit from the protection of a first loss position and have security over the underlying loan pools.


Liberum view

NAV performance in Q2 2019 was impacted by he writedown related to the URICA Europe facility in May, reducing NAV by 0.25%. The NAV return in the quarter would have been c.1.5% if the impact from URICA is excluded. This is close to the run-rate required to to meet the 15p dividend target. We expect the dividend to remain unchanged at 12p for Q2. The underlying income performance of the portfolio is robust and and we expect a dividend uplift in H2.
Posted at 19/7/2019 07:41 by davebowler
hTTps://citywire.co.uk/investment-trust-insider/news/jefferies-lifts-p2p-to-hold-on-dividend-and-honeycomb-hopes/a1250199?re=66277&ea=252901&utm_source=BulkEmail_Investment+Trust+Insider+Daily&utm_medium=BulkEmail_Investment+Trust+Insider+Daily&utm_campaign=BulkEmail_Investment+Trust+Insider+Daily
Posted at 17/6/2019 21:44 by aroon001
Does anyone know why Honeycomb (HONY) can generate 8% a year in dividends doing largely the same thing (and with the same investment manager now) and P2P Global can only manage 4-5% - don't they invest in largely the same assets? Also seems odd that HONY only charges a 10% performance fee with a 5% hurdle rate, and P2P still has a 15% performance fee with no hurdle rate. Just wondering if better to switch out of P2P Global into HONY.
Posted at 02/5/2019 09:05 by davebowler
Liberum;
1.3% Q1 NAV return

Mkt Cap £634m | Prem/(disc) -12.5% | Div yield 5.7%

Event

P2P Global Investments' NAV per share at 31 March 2019 was 964.6p, reflecting a 0.56% NAV total return in the month. YTD NAV total return is 1.3%. Share buybacks added 6 bps in March.

NAV returns have been driven by the strong credit performance of the continuing portfolio. The annualised bad debt expense in Q1 2019 was 1.3%. Post period end, the company completed the securitisation of a £187m portfolio of Funding Circle loans. The transaction has helped to improve the financing terms on the portfolio with the company retaining the junior tranches in the structure. As part of the strategy to focus on secured lending, the manager stopped acquiring Funding Circle loans in Q4 2018. In terms of the portfolio repositioning, the run-off portfolio reduced from 16% to 12% of the portfolio during the quarter.

An unchanged dividend of 12p has been declared for Q1 2019.

Liberum view

We believe the dividend will increase by 25% to 15p per share next quarter (7.1% dividend yield annualised) and this should act as a catalyst for a share re-rating. We believe returns will continue to improve as the weighting of the run-of portfolio declines further. The contrast in performance of the continuing and run-off portfolios is stark with the continuing portfolio producing a net return of 10.2%, compared to 2.4% for the run-off portfolio.
Posted at 03/4/2019 09:36 by davebowler
Liberum;
Event

NAV per share at 28 February 2019 was 959.2p, representing an increase of 0.31% in the month. February's NAV performance was impacted by a combination of the lower day count in the month, poor performance from the legacy Zopa portfolio and adverse FX movements. This was partially offset by a 6 bps increase from share buybacks.

The legacy Zopa portfolio has generated a YTD unlevered return of 1.7%. The levered return is negative after adjusting for debt costs. The remaining NAV exposure to Zopa is £46m (6.4% of NAV).

The manager reports that underlying performance of the continuing portfolio remains strong. The wind-down of the legacy portfolio is ongoing and it now represents just 13% of the overall portfolio.

Liberum view

We expect returns to improve as the weighting of the legacy portfolio reduces. The volatile performance of the Zopa loans in 2019 and FX movements have contributed to a YTD NAV total return of 0.8%. This is below the level required to fully cover a target quarterly dividend of 15p. Our forecasts assume a dividend increase from 12p to 15p for Q1 2019 (7.3% annualised dividend yield) but there is potential for this to be delayed by a quarter given returns to date in 2019. We believe the eventual dividend increase will act as a catalyst for a share re-rating.
Posted at 05/2/2019 10:37 by davebowler
Liberum;
0.8% monthly return in December

Mkt Cap £630m | Prem/(disc) -14.0% | Div yield 5.8%

Event

P2P Global Investments' NAV per share at 31 December 2018 was 963.9p, reflecting a 0.78% NAV total return in the month. YTD NAV total return is 5.2% (2.4% after the impact of IFRS 9). Share buybacks added 6 bps in December.

December's performance benefited from a number of one-offs and the underlying income performance of the portfolio was broadly in line with recent months (c0.5% per month). One-off gains included two disposals of non-performing loan portfolios at a premium to carrying value, mark-to-market gains on listed equity positions and the disposal of a portfolio of US consumer loans. These were partially offset by an increase in IFRS 9 provisions, reflecting increased global economic uncertainty.

In terms of the portfolio repositioning, the run-off portfolio reduced from 20% to 16% of the portfolio during the month. A portfolio of US mainstream consumer loans was disposed and a new origination relationship started with a US real estate platform.

An unchanged dividend of 12p has been declared for Q4 2018.

Liberum view

The improvement in portfolio performance is demonstrated by a comparison of the continuing and run-off portfolios. The bad debt rate on the continuing portfolio in 2018 was 1.3% compared to 6.1% for the run-off portfolio. The steady reduction in the exposure to the run-off portfolio should lead to increased NAV returns in 2019. The improvement in NAV returns has been achieved with significantly lower leverage. We note the debt to equity ratio reduced again in December to 44% (November 2018: 50%).


In our recent note, we projected that the Q4 dividend would increase to 15p given the improved portfolio performance. The board has decided against increasing the dividend at this stage but we expect the dividend will increase from next quarter and we leave our dividend forecasts unchanged at 60p for 2019 (25% increase on 2018). We believe the upward trend in NAV returns and a dividend increase will act as catalysts for a share re-rating.
Posted at 25/7/2018 08:55 by davebowler
Liberum;
Event

URICA Limited, a P2P Global Investments (the company) underlying investment which represented 0.74% of its May 2018 NAV (c. £5.5m carrying value) was placed into provisional liquidation on 20 July 2018. P2P Global Investments has concluded that its equity investment in URICA Limited should be written off.

P2P Global Investments has provided a revolving credit facility to URICA Europe Limited for which URICA Limited acts as servicer. The outstanding exposure is c£24.4m. URICA Europe Limited has not been placed into administration, and is not part of the URICA Limited group and its ownership of receivables is bankruptcy remote from the insolvency estate of URICA Limited. New funding under the revolving credit facility has been restricted and the company is working with key contacts within URICA Limited and other counterparties to ensure that the receivables owned by URICA Europe Limited continue to be serviced and managed effectively. The receivables are short term in nature and also benefit from credit insurance.

Liberum view

P2P Global Investments' last published NAV per share was 957.57p as at 31 May 2018 (incl. IFRS 9). The carrying value of URICA Limited represented 7.1p per share (or 0.74% of NAV). P2P Global Investments will publish its monthly NAV for June 2018 on or around 26 July 2018. The 0.74% impairment is the total impairment being made at this time as a result of the liquidation.

P2P Global Investments is trading at -13.3% discount to NAV, compared to a peer group average discount of -3.2%.
P2p Global Investments share price data is direct from the London Stock Exchange

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