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Investor discussions surrounding Henderson Far East Income Limited (HFEL) have been focused on the broader economic outlook for Vietnam, particularly as the country emerges as a strong performer within Asia, despite ongoing challenges in the stock market. Participating investors expressed mixed sentiments, acknowledging significant economic growth -- with GDP in Q4 reaching 7.6% -- while simultaneously highlighting the stock market's stagnant performance over the past three years. Comments from various investors underscored their concerns over HFEL's recent decision to reduce its exposure to Vietnam, particularly in light of the country's growing economic potential. One investor remarked, “HFEL do have a small exposure to Vietnam but... they were probably mistakenly selling out at a low,” emphasizing the disconnect between economic indicators and market performance.
Financial highlights from the conversations indicated concern about the potential impact of external factors, such as U.S. tariffs, on Vietnam's long-term growth targets of over 8% in 2025 and 10% in 2026. The discussions revealed a sense of caution among investors regarding HFEL’s strategy and future yield potential amid these macroeconomic concerns. A notable observation captured sentiment when one investor noted, “Vietnam is now the best performing economy I can find in Asia... yet the stockmarket is flat over 3 years," which signaled a broader questioning of the fund's investment direction in this optimistic economic landscape. Overall, while investors recognize Vietnam's promising growth trajectory, they remain apprehensive regarding HFEL’s current investment strategy and its implications for shareholders looking for yields and capital appreciation.
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Henderson Far East Income Limited reported its unaudited net asset values (NAVs) over the past week, indicating a gradual decline in share value as the company approaches its ex-dividend date. As of February 8, 2025, the NAV was recorded at 220.6p, with consistent small decreases noted leading up to February 13, when the NAV dipped to 218.8p. The NAV figures reflect the deduction of dividends, indicating a clear impact on pricing as the shares began trading without their next dividend payout.
Overall, the reported figures suggest a stable performance in terms of net asset valuation, despite the observable decrease. The company is actively managing its financial disclosures, providing updates through the London Stock Exchange's RNS service, which remains crucial for investors monitoring the company's financial health in a fluctuating market. As of the latest report, the unaudited NAV excluding current fiscal year revenue items has remained constant alongside the inclusive figures, suggesting a careful approach to revenue management by Henderson Far East Income Limited.
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I'm not sure what it's done to deserve to trade at a premium? When so many , perhaps better run, trusts are selling for quite large discounts? |
Nice to see it back to trading at a reasonable premium. Hopefully the next RNS will be for shares being issued above NAV. |
JCGI is also doing well from a low base though China stocks seem largely friendless. That can be the moment to buy as it was here. |
Yep - like I said, a reversal of last results' policy. They sound to be making it up a bit as they go along. Last time: |
Aleman - seems they are reducing India exposure anyway? |
Just saying. I was not in favour of reducing cheap China to increase exposure to expensive India at an average P/E of over 20 anyway. Selling at the bottom to buy a frothy top at the end of a bull run seems like a good way to make temporary losses bigger and more permanent to me. Other opinions are available. |
I wouldn't call that a reversal of the more recent strategy. Seems more like a measured response to potential value situations. |
The report talks about selectively increasing China exposure again. |
To what do you refer Aleman? |
What is your concern Aleman? |
Already threatening to reverse the recent policy change? What next week? |
Henderson Far East Income — Repositioning to raise total returns |
As at close of business on 24 April 2024, the unaudited net asset value per share, calculated in accordance with the AIC formula (including current financial year revenue items and excluding shares held in treasury), was 230.3p. As the Company's shares are now ex-dividend, the dividend has been deducted from the net asset value. |
Buy-backs are bad for investment trusts. They shrink the size of the invested pool, meaning costs rise as a proportion of revenues so some dividend growth is lost, offsetting the gain from fewer shares in circulation. We've already seen a few small trusts merged into larger ones this year because they have become unsustainably small. Buy-backs would just accelerate the trend. Do we really want poorer dividend performance and fewer trusts to choose from? |
Thanks for the good wishes Hastings. Not well but hopefully getting there. |
kenmitch |
HFEL going great guns; and BRWM looking distinctly promising as well. |
Good post Ken, nice to see you here and hope you're keeping well. |
The dividend looks secure. Read page 3 of the factsheet for why. |
If the share price and NAV increase then the yield comes down naturally and therefore a rebase isn't needed? Am I missing something? |
If they rebase the dividend, you can say goodbye to the current momentum and uptrend. |
Encouraging share price performance since end of last year but we have been here before (cf. Q4 2022) so not out of the woods yet. Really need to break out of the long term downtrend dating back to the high in mid-2019 to confirm reversal. |
Type | Ordinary Share |
Share ISIN | JE00B1GXH751 |
Sector | Trust,ex Ed,religious,charty |
Bid Price | 224.00 |
Offer Price | 224.50 |
Open | 223.50 |
Shares Traded | 269,087 |
Last Trade | 16:02:43 |
Low - High | 223.50 - 225.00 |
Turnover | 48.52M |
Profit | 39.33M |
EPS - Basic | 0.2351 |
PE Ratio | 9.53 |
Market Cap | 373.89M |
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