Gulf Keystone Petroleum Share Discussion Threads

[gkp_banggone] 06/2/2019 15:32

Trevanian lsePosts: 8Opinion: No OpinionPrice: 203.50RE: IF ?Today 10:52The market share price has never borne any real world proportion to the underlying industry value of an 80% working interest and operator-ship in a giant land based field. Ever since the unusual designed financial restructure, the market prices have been, and remain an overwhelming risk to reward opportunity.I and my family have taken this up as best we can.I note the traded volumes have continued to decline over the past few weeks which my broker believes often precedes a corporate transaction .My previous postings outline my personal estimate of industry sale value, and I look forward to soon discovering what the company’s corporate advisers have actually realised.I have arrived in the UK today with colleagues and we will be at Burlington House tomorrow evening.White shirt, no tie, dark blue suit, short grey hair, if any fellow investors attending would like to say hello.xxx

[gkp_banggone] 06/2/2019 15:20

XxxxxxxxxxxðŸ'ŸYou're welcome ðŸ'ŸðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'œðŸŽˆðŸŽˆðŸ'œðŸ'šðŸ–¤ðŸ'›ðŸ'šðŸ'™ðŸ–¤ðŸ'›ðŸ'œðŸ'šðŸ'šâ?¤ï¸?🖤🖤The more their proxy has bought in the higher holders profits at t/o:ðŸ'–ðŸ'–No FY report will be required if they DELIST ist by 30/4 - if not they HAVE to report.Listing REGS require that.Sale by Scheme of arrangement takes at least two months to delist them.So it's very nearly all over,SALE RNS IMMINENT :ðŸ'ŸðŸ'ŸPeel Hunt issued a recent note on the company.#Valuation and recommendation. Following the above tweaks to the production profile and capex, we revise our core NAV to 392p from 387p. We continue to conservatively include no value in our target price for the 239MMbbl gross 2C in Shaikan, worth 34-136p/sh risked-unrisked.Gulf Keystone Petroleum continues to stand out as one of our top sector picks and we reiterate Buy.#They are being super CONSERVATIVE 🌋ðŸ'‹!They use 58% WI when we now know it remains 80%.So their core valuation must be revised by this, 38% higher.The do not place any value on 2C, actually 330m at 80% WI, and even at a very modest $ 2.3 boe this adds further £2 plus.They are only using $3.4 boe for 2P when MOL report $8 and Shamaran higher.So low base-case in my assessment is 470m 2p, 330m 2C (which would in my be treated as effectively 2P when new FDP approved)Working on 800m 2P without adding any value for the MOL recently reported upside and using a stil very modest $10 boe provides $ 8bn asset resource value.This is still very modest in that a land based resource of this size would be strongly fought over by IOC.With 229 million shares, using dollar exchange of 1.29, £ 27 per share would be the minimum I would expect the company’s major owners to accept.It would not be a surprise to me if this number doubled.🎈 xxx

[pensioner2] 06/2/2019 15:16

He just makes it all up, welshki. Nowhere is it said SOMO will take control next year other than in the dog's small brain.

[bigdog5] 06/2/2019 14:57

Oh dear, highlander7 as clueless as ever. Uncertainty never good for the share price

Has Penge HQ gone into meltdown.

[gkp_banggone] 06/2/2019 14:02

XxxxxxXxðŸ'ŸYou're welcome ðŸ'ŸðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'œðŸŽˆðŸŽˆðŸ'œðŸ'šðŸ–¤ðŸ'›ðŸ'šðŸ'™ðŸ–¤ðŸ'›ðŸ'œðŸ'šðŸ'šâ?¤ï¸?🖤🖤The more their proxy has bought in the higher holders profits at t/o:ðŸ'–ðŸ'–No FY report will be required if they DELIST ist by 30/4 - if not they HAVE to report.Listing REGS require that.Sale by Scheme of arrangement takes at least two months to delist them.So it's very nearly all over,SALE RNS IMMINENT :ðŸ'ŸðŸ'ŸPeel Hunt issued a recent note on the company.#Valuation and recommendation. Following the above tweaks to the production profile and capex, we revise our core NAV to 392p from 387p. We continue to conservatively include no value in our target price for the 239MMbbl gross 2C in Shaikan, worth 34-136p/sh risked-unrisked.Gulf Keystone Petroleum continues to stand out as one of our top sector picks and we reiterate Buy.#They are being super CONSERVATIVE 🌋ðŸ'‹!They use 58% WI when we now know it remains 80%.So their core valuation must be revised by this, 38% higher.The do not place any value on 2C, actually 330m at 80% WI, and even at a very modest $ 2.3 boe this adds further £2 plus.They are only using $3.4 boe for 2P when MOL report $8 and Shamaran higher.So low base-case in my assessment is 470m 2p, 330m 2C (which would in my be treated as effectively 2P when new FDP approved)Working on 800m 2P without adding any value for the MOL recently reported upside and using a stil very modest $10 boe provides $ 8bn asset resource value.This is still very modest in that a land based resource of this size would be strongly fought over by IOC.With 229 million shares, using dollar exchange of 1.29, £ 27 per share would be the minimum I would expect the company’s major owners to accept.It would not be a surprise to me if this number doubled.🎈 xxx

[gkp_banggone] 06/2/2019 14:01

XTrevanian reckons around 800m 2P if 2c has moved across on fdp signature.Well at MOL 8 bucks looking £20 plusI expect a far higher $boe given the scale and prospectivity£30-£50Soon find out

[bigdog5] 06/2/2019 13:50

Looks like the latest announcement adds even more uncertainty to the Oil Industry in Koruptistan.

The good part for Erbil is that they've managed to increase their portion of the budget from Baghdad up from the original figure of 11%.

However, Somo will take full control over exports from Koruptistan after the 12 months are up, an arrangement that I've been predicting would happen for years.

The uncertainty is in the "in order to make reforms and revise the structure of its governance, so that another agreement can be made next year,”

Is it likely the PSC's will remain in place untouched or are they to be altered to TSC's. With that massive point hanging over all the oily's in Koruptistan I would suggest no interested party would be interested in buying anyone.

Also that uncertainty could affect JF's "boring oil company" and their plans for spending over the coming months, IMO.

[gkp_banggone] 06/2/2019 12:44

Trevanian reckons around 800m 2P if 2c has moved across on fdp signature.Well at MOL 8 bucks looking £20 plusI expect a far higher $boe given the scale and prospectivity£30-£50Soon find out--------Average deal 2017 at $13.50 boe So agree North of £35

[gkp_banggone] 06/2/2019 12:42

XxðŸ'ŸYou're welcome ðŸ'ŸðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'œðŸŽˆðŸŽˆðŸ'œðŸ'šðŸ–¤ðŸ'›ðŸ'šðŸ'™ðŸ–¤ðŸ'›ðŸ'œðŸ'šðŸ'šâ?¤ï¸?🖤🖤The more their proxy has bought in the higher holders profits at t/o:ðŸ'–ðŸ'–No FY report will be required if they DELIST ist by 30/4 - if not they HAVE to report.Listing REGS require that.Sale by Scheme of arrangement takes at least two months to delist them.So it's very nearly all over,SALE RNS IMMINENT :ðŸ'ŸðŸ'ŸPeel Hunt issued a recent note on the company.#Valuation and recommendation. Following the above tweaks to the production profile and capex, we revise our core NAV to 392p from 387p. We continue to conservatively include no value in our target price for the 239MMbbl gross 2C in Shaikan, worth 34-136p/sh risked-unrisked.Gulf Keystone Petroleum continues to stand out as one of our top sector picks and we reiterate Buy.#They are being super CONSERVATIVE 🌋ðŸ'‹!They use 58% WI when we now know it remains 80%.So their core valuation must be revised by this, 38% higher.The do not place any value on 2C, actually 330m at 80% WI, and even at a very modest $ 2.3 boe this adds further £2 plus.They are only using $3.4 boe for 2P when MOL report $8 and Shamaran higher.So low base-case in my assessment is 470m 2p, 330m 2C (which would in my be treated as effectively 2P when new FDP approved)Working on 800m 2P without adding any value for the MOL recently reported upside and using a stil very modest $10 boe provides $ 8bn asset resource value.This is still very modest in that a land based resource of this size would be strongly fought over by IOC.With 229 million shares, using dollar exchange of 1.29, £ 27 per share would be the minimum I would expect the company’s major owners to accept.It would not be a surprise to me if this number doubled.🎈 xxx

[stockport loser] 06/2/2019 12:41

Give us TrevNor....

[gkp_banggone] 06/2/2019 12:22

😊🌋🕰ï¸?ðŸ'ŸYou're welcome ðŸ'ŸðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'–ðŸ'œðŸŽˆðŸŽˆðŸ'œðŸ'šðŸ–¤ðŸ'›ðŸ'šðŸ'™ðŸ–¤ðŸ'›ðŸ'œðŸ'šðŸ'šâ?¤ï¸?🖤🖤The more their proxy has bought in the higher holders profits at t/o:ðŸ'–ðŸ'–No FY report will be required if they DELIST ist by 30/4 - if not they HAVE to report.Listing REGS require that.Sale by Scheme of arrangement takes at least two months to delist them.So it's very nearly all over,SALE RNS IMMINENT :ðŸ'ŸðŸ'ŸPeel Hunt issued a recent note on the company.#Valuation and recommendation. Following the above tweaks to the production profile and capex, we revise our core NAV to 392p from 387p. We continue to conservatively include no value in our target price for the 239MMbbl gross 2C in Shaikan, worth 34-136p/sh risked-unrisked.Gulf Keystone Petroleum continues to stand out as one of our top sector picks and we reiterate Buy.#They are being super CONSERVATIVE 🌋ðŸ'‹!They use 58% WI when we now know it remains 80%.So their core valuation must be revised by this, 38% higher.The do not place any value on 2C, actually 330m at 80% WI, and even at a very modest $ 2.3 boe this adds further £2 plus.They are only using $3.4 boe for 2P when MOL report $8 and Shamaran higher.So low base-case in my assessment is 470m 2p, 330m 2C (which would in my be treated as effectively 2P when new FDP approved)Working on 800m 2P without adding any value for the MOL recently reported upside and using a stil very modest $10 boe provides $ 8bn asset resource value.This is still very modest in that a land based resource of this size would be strongly fought over by IOC.With 229 million shares, using dollar exchange of 1.29, £ 27 per share would be the minimum I would expect the company’s major owners to accept.It would not be a surprise to me if this number doubled.🎈 xxx

[gkp_banggone] 06/2/2019 12:21

Trevanian lsePosts: 8Opinion: No OpinionPrice: 203.50RE: IF ?Today 10:52The market share price has never borne any real world proportion to the underlying industry value of an 80% working interest and operator-ship in a giant land based field. Ever since the unusual designed financial restructure, the market prices have been, and remain an overwhelming risk to reward opportunity.I and my family have taken this up as best we can.I note the traded volumes have continued to decline over the past few weeks which my broker believes often precedes a corporate transaction .My previous postings outline my personal estimate of industry sale value, and I look forward to soon discovering what the company’s corporate advisers have actually realised.I have arrived in the UK today with colleagues and we will be at Burlington House tomorrow evening.White shirt, no tie, dark blue suit, short grey hair, if any fellow investors attending would like to say hello.

[gkp_banggone] 06/2/2019 12:21

Whose trevbob?

[stockport loser] 06/2/2019 11:04

Well it would be if it wasn't all made up inside your tiny little mind

[gkp_banggone] 06/2/2019 10:08

Agree CNPCThe buyback will have bought in 25%plusIncludes. Taconic 13.54