ADVFN Logo ADVFN

We could not find any results for:
Make sure your spelling is correct or try broadening your search.

Trending Now

Toplists

It looks like you aren't logged in.
Click the button below to log in and view your recent history.

Hot Features

Registration Strip Icon for monitor Customisable watchlists with full streaming quotes from leading exchanges, such as LSE, NASDAQ, NYSE, AMEX, Bovespa, BIT and more.

DEC Diversified Energy Company Plc

1,271.00
-12.00 (-0.94%)
22 Nov 2024 - Closed
Delayed by 15 minutes
Diversified Energy Investors - DEC

Diversified Energy Investors - DEC

Share Name Share Symbol Market Stock Type
Diversified Energy Company Plc DEC London Ordinary Share
  Price Change Price Change % Share Price Last Trade
-12.00 -0.94% 1,271.00 16:35:29
Open Price Low Price High Price Close Price Previous Close
1,270.00 1,260.00 1,290.00 1,271.00 1,283.00
more quote information »
Industry Sector
OIL & GAS PRODUCERS

Top Investor Posts

Top Posts
Posted at 21/11/2024 12:39 by putinaire
Now , you know how it works with investors as per norm

Holding 1280 today, waiting 5000 because some nimrod said so, and still waiting 5000, back at 400p in 2025
Posted at 20/11/2024 18:21 by putinaire
Great for the traders

But you know what investors are like. Will be expecting 5000p next, and will be at 600p too
Posted at 18/11/2024 16:31 by putinaire
The yanks say 90% of you are not investors, and run media sites. Is it true?
Posted at 15/11/2024 07:48 by putinaire
Earnings aint bad for investors to use. I know a dude who asked me for places to average up n down over the past decade. Made a fortune and good exits just on that alone lol. But was lucky too in that a lot of QE via etf's was happening at those levels. Will be more drilling needed in the future when at them
Posted at 14/10/2024 12:10 by asp5
oh dear ...... value is derived from tangible assets, cashflows etc. not perception. The price is a reflection of net perceptions.

From a value perspective DEC is fine and why analysts quote a higher target price to the current share price - otherwise they could be sued by investors if not based on solid assumptions & terms. It is also why DEC will not go bust etc. and banks are happily lending them money.

You always want to buy shares with high value & low price if you are a value investor.
Posted at 06/9/2024 16:01 by shawzie
First attempt using Advfn Ai.

How does Diversified Energy's current valuation and trading discount to peers represent an attractive investment opportunity for investors?
Based on the data provided, here is an analysis of Diversified Energy's current valuation and its trading discount relative to peers:

Company Overview and Financial Metrics

Diversified Energy Company PLC (DEC)

Market Cap: $521.16M
Total Enterprise Value (TEV): $2,299.62M
Total Revenues: $699.47M
P/E Ratio: 3.68
P/B Ratio: 0.96
EV/Sales: 3.29
EV/EBITDA: 4.56
Forward EV/Sales: 2.26
Forward EV/EBITDA: 4.97
Performance and Guidance (H1 2024 Earnings Call)

Free Cash Flow Generation: $121 million (38% free cash flow yield)
Production: Consistent with 0% decline over the last 3 fiscal quarters
Capital Returns: Over $850 million paid to shareholders since IPO
Cash Margins: 50% average over the past 7 years
Free Cash Flow Conversion Rate: 55% of EBITDA
Guidance: Higher production expected by end of 2024, focus on debt reduction, shareholder returns, and accretive acquisitions.
Valuation Metrics

Forward P/E: 4.24
Price to Sales (EV/Sales): 3.29 (most recent data)
Industry Competitors Comparison

Peers in the Oil, Gas, and Consumable Fuels Industry:

Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (CLNE)

Market Cap: $690.39M
Forward P/E: -132.62
Forward EV/Sales: 1.95
Operating Margin: -10.6%
VAALCO Energy, Inc. (EGY)

Market Cap: $675.37M
Forward P/E: 11.03
Forward EV/Sales: 1.22
Operating Margin: 35.24%
enCore Energy Corp. (EU)

Market Cap: $659.03M
Forward P/E: 71.75
Forward EV/Sales: 7.69
Operating Margin: -105.11%
Centrus Energy Corp. (LEU)

Market Cap: $644.69M
Forward P/E: 13.25
Forward EV/Sales: 1.68
Operating Margin: 21.67%
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX)

Market Cap: $614.9M
Forward P/E: 3.95
Forward EV/Sales: 2.11
Operating Margin: 39.71%
Analysis

Valuation Discount: Diversified Energy's P/E ratio of 3.68 and forward P/E of 4.24 are significantly lower than many of its peers, indicating it is trading at a discount.
Profitability: The company has strong profitability metrics with an operating margin of 30.51% and a net profit margin of 20.46%, which are competitive within the industry.
Cash Flow: Strong free cash flow generation and high free cash flow conversion rate (55% of EBITDA) highlight the company's ability to generate cash and return value to shareholders.
Growth Prospects: Despite a negative EPS growth rate over the past few years, the company expects higher production and continued focus on shareholder returns and debt reduction.
Conclusion

Diversified Energy's current valuation metrics, such as its low P/E ratio and strong profitability, suggest that it is trading at a discount compared to its peers. The company's consistent production, strong free cash flow generation, and strategic focus on debt reduction and shareholder returns further enhance its attractiveness. However, investors should consider the overall market conditions and the company's future performance before making any investment decisions.


Diversified Energy Company PLC Website
Diversified Energy Company PLC (DEC) EV/Sales
06 Sep, 2024
EV/Sales
3.29
3.29
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
03 Feb, 2017 - 06 Sep, 2024 (7.59 years)
EV/Sales
Total Chg: -52% (CAGR: -9.15%)
Label
Sep '21
Dec '21
Mar '22
Jun '22
Sep '22
Dec '22
Mar '23
Jun '23
Sep '23
Dec '23
Mar '24
Jun '24
LTM
EV/Sales
2.62
1.88
1.84
1.34
1.36
1.39
1.63
1.89
1.74
2.02
2.49
2.78
3.29
What are the potential risks associated with investing in Diversified Energy at its current valuation?
Investing in any company, including Diversified Energy, comes with potential risks. Here are some key risks associated with investing in Diversified Energy at its current valuation:

1. Commodity Price Volatility

Risk: Diversified Energy operates in the oil and gas industry, which is highly sensitive to fluctuations in commodity prices. A significant drop in oil or natural gas prices can adversely affect the company's revenue and profitability.
Impact: Lower commodity prices can lead to reduced cash flow, making it challenging.
Posted at 30/8/2024 19:21 by putinaire
Winter won't serve holders well looking at 'real' energy price forecasts for 18 months . Those reports cost about 5K each so obviously I didn't buy. But periodically get to see in part

The yield itself will be constantly shorted.

Could remove it but that's income investors out and proper forecasts wouldnt have capital growth investors replacing them

Bit of a mess

That of course is just tip of the iceberg

Near 10% short certainly suggests they are seeing something deeper be it accounts or whatever
Posted at 19/5/2024 18:58 by asp5
The initial Russel 2000 rebalancing companies list for 2024 will be published on May 24th and an updated list will be published weekly until the end of June.

I compiled the below list of funds/institutional investors from the recent DEC annual report (only lists holding greateer then 3%), simply wall street, yahoo finance & morningstar (links below).

To be conservative I only took funds that confirmed their position recently (in 2024). The list is below with their % holding. Please do let me know if anyone spots an error. There are 31 institutions in the list, however yahoo & other sites state the range of investor institutions in the range of 104 to 144.

In summary, A conservative estimate of 76% of shares are already held by institutions/private investors. Given the limited supply of shares and the laws of supply/demand, I would expect a positive share price development over the next month.

Some observations:
- I most definitely would not like to be holding a short position in DEC at this moment in time.
- Given the names in the list, it does not look like the US trackers have purchased shares yet
- The below may also explain why DEC are not purchasing significant volumes of shares at present. As usual DYOR.

NYSE Control Account 6.64
Hargreaves Landsdown 5.98
Interactive Investor 5.21
Columbia Management Investment Advisers 5.03
Vanguard Group 4.89
JO Hambro Capital Management 4.80
GLG Partners 4.69
BlackRock 4.32
M&G Investments 4.20
abrdn 4.06
Jupiter Fund Management Plc 5.02
Rusty 2.58
Allianz Asset Management GmbH 2.36
UBS Asset Management AG 1.45
Rathbones Investment Management Limited 1.44
Goldman Sachs Group, Investment Banking and Securities Investments 0.86
GAM UK Equity Income A Dis Semi-Ann A 2.17
Merchants Trust Ord 1.4
Premier Miton UK Multi Cap Income B Acc 1.11
CQS New City High Yield Ord 0.95
ES R&M UK Listed Smaller Coms B Acc 0.95
MI Chelverton UK Equity Income B Inc 0.89
Susquehanna International Group, LLP 0.84
CQS Natural Resources G&I Ord 0.79
Barclays Plc 0.78
Santander UK Growth Unit Trust RA 0.76
iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF 0.6
Millennium Management Llc 0.59
DFA United Kingdom Small Company Series 0.39
iShares MSCI EAFE Small Cap ETF 0.36
Nationwide Var Ins Tr-NVIT Columbia Overseas Value Fund 0.27

Total 76.38%

References:
Posted at 03/2/2024 13:04 by leoneobull
From LSE BBpickedpeckPosts: 1,869Price: 897.50Strong BuyNot just shortersToday 09:32So... DEC is one of a portfolio of shares I own that have fallen for no great obvious reason. Yields are high, bordering on ridiculously so, and cash generation is positive across the board. So why the falls?Shorters are having a field day on London listed companies at the moment, but they are not the underlying cause of the falls, they are just taking advantage and exacerbating the issue.The fundamental problem is cash outflow from the London market. The Evening Standard has a story describing it:https://www.standard.co.uk/business/small-investors-uk-stock-market-record-pace-shares-london-stock-exchange-lseg-funds-investment-us-city-b1136580.htmlIn an environment where investor money is continually leaving a market, either to find a new home or to cover rising cost of living, then shares with any uncertainty, complexity, or temporary problem fail to compete in attracting enough of the reduced number of buyers in the market to sustain their share price.Previously blue chip companies are seeing this phenomenon impact their share price, with yields amongst some big UK players now often in double figures due to depressed share valuations. VOD, AAL, DGE, RKT and many others sit on very depressed valuations despite strong cash generation.DEC's price fall is not something that has happened in isolation. It's perhaps the worst victim of a market wide phenomenon, it's revenue and debt models beyond trivial understanding act as barriers to buyers with a wide choice of high yield options.None of which means there is anything fundamentally wrong with the company. It doesn't have to maintain the current 30% yield for ever. Even if the yield is just maintained for this year, and there is no sign that won't be the case, there would have to be a further 30% fall in the share price for investors to lose money. With somewhere in the region of 276p dividend per share, the price would have to fall below 624 to lose. If they only manage to hold the dividend for the next two years, the share price would have to be below 350p for investors to lose, at which point the yield would be near 80%!!!At some point investors have to notice the yield on offer. Right now it probably looks too good to be true and that alone is putting buyers off.Saying it's unsustainable just because it's a big number without any other rationale for why the company can't continue to generate that much FCF ignores all the company fundamentals and is the wrong way to look at the value here. The recent trading statement tells us implicitly the next divi, and the one after that, and likely the one after that too are secure financially.Long term the company will inevitably move its primary listing away from london to NY. That's when we may see a dividend cut, but I think that's 2025 at the earliest.
Posted at 25/1/2024 12:22 by the millipede
“I'm actually always disappointed at the level of investor competence on ADVFN. You do get a few who know what they are talking about, but as time goes by, that number reduces.“

Shorters aren’t what they used to be, I agree, in part because small investors upped their game.

I am old enough to remember Gotham City Research demolishing small investor favourite Quindell. The share price ramped up to giddy heights by gullible investors, genuine red flags around cash flow. The take down was masterful.

DEC just seems to be a complex business model that investors have already been mostly avoiding. Which is why the short attack knocked only around 10% off a share price that is already recovering.

We will know more soon enough but, as DEC said yesterday, they already answered the questions raised.

Your Recent History

Delayed Upgrade Clock