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Share Name | Share Symbol | Market | Stock Type |
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Diversified Energy Company Plc | DEC | London | Ordinary Share |
Open Price | Low Price | High Price | Close Price | Previous Close |
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1,270.00 | 1,260.00 | 1,290.00 | 1,271.00 | 1,283.00 |
Industry Sector |
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OIL & GAS PRODUCERS |
Top Posts |
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Posted at 21/11/2024 12:39 by putinaire Now , you know how it works with investors as per normHolding 1280 today, waiting 5000 because some nimrod said so, and still waiting 5000, back at 400p in 2025 |
Posted at 20/11/2024 18:21 by putinaire Great for the tradersBut you know what investors are like. Will be expecting 5000p next, and will be at 600p too |
Posted at 18/11/2024 16:31 by putinaire The yanks say 90% of you are not investors, and run media sites. Is it true? |
Posted at 15/11/2024 07:48 by putinaire Earnings aint bad for investors to use. I know a dude who asked me for places to average up n down over the past decade. Made a fortune and good exits just on that alone lol. But was lucky too in that a lot of QE via etf's was happening at those levels. Will be more drilling needed in the future when at them |
Posted at 14/10/2024 12:10 by asp5 oh dear ...... value is derived from tangible assets, cashflows etc. not perception. The price is a reflection of net perceptions.From a value perspective DEC is fine and why analysts quote a higher target price to the current share price - otherwise they could be sued by investors if not based on solid assumptions & terms. It is also why DEC will not go bust etc. and banks are happily lending them money. You always want to buy shares with high value & low price if you are a value investor. |
Posted at 06/9/2024 16:01 by shawzie First attempt using Advfn Ai.How does Diversified Energy's current valuation and trading discount to peers represent an attractive investment opportunity for investors? Based on the data provided, here is an analysis of Diversified Energy's current valuation and its trading discount relative to peers: Company Overview and Financial Metrics Diversified Energy Company PLC (DEC) Market Cap: $521.16M Total Enterprise Value (TEV): $2,299.62M Total Revenues: $699.47M P/E Ratio: 3.68 P/B Ratio: 0.96 EV/Sales: 3.29 EV/EBITDA: 4.56 Forward EV/Sales: 2.26 Forward EV/EBITDA: 4.97 Performance and Guidance (H1 2024 Earnings Call) Free Cash Flow Generation: $121 million (38% free cash flow yield) Production: Consistent with 0% decline over the last 3 fiscal quarters Capital Returns: Over $850 million paid to shareholders since IPO Cash Margins: 50% average over the past 7 years Free Cash Flow Conversion Rate: 55% of EBITDA Guidance: Higher production expected by end of 2024, focus on debt reduction, shareholder returns, and accretive acquisitions. Valuation Metrics Forward P/E: 4.24 Price to Sales (EV/Sales): 3.29 (most recent data) Industry Competitors Comparison Peers in the Oil, Gas, and Consumable Fuels Industry: Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (CLNE) Market Cap: $690.39M Forward P/E: -132.62 Forward EV/Sales: 1.95 Operating Margin: -10.6% VAALCO Energy, Inc. (EGY) Market Cap: $675.37M Forward P/E: 11.03 Forward EV/Sales: 1.22 Operating Margin: 35.24% enCore Energy Corp. (EU) Market Cap: $659.03M Forward P/E: 71.75 Forward EV/Sales: 7.69 Operating Margin: -105.11% Centrus Energy Corp. (LEU) Market Cap: $644.69M Forward P/E: 13.25 Forward EV/Sales: 1.68 Operating Margin: 21.67% Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) Market Cap: $614.9M Forward P/E: 3.95 Forward EV/Sales: 2.11 Operating Margin: 39.71% Analysis Valuation Discount: Diversified Energy's P/E ratio of 3.68 and forward P/E of 4.24 are significantly lower than many of its peers, indicating it is trading at a discount. Profitability: The company has strong profitability metrics with an operating margin of 30.51% and a net profit margin of 20.46%, which are competitive within the industry. Cash Flow: Strong free cash flow generation and high free cash flow conversion rate (55% of EBITDA) highlight the company's ability to generate cash and return value to shareholders. Growth Prospects: Despite a negative EPS growth rate over the past few years, the company expects higher production and continued focus on shareholder returns and debt reduction. Conclusion Diversified Energy's current valuation metrics, such as its low P/E ratio and strong profitability, suggest that it is trading at a discount compared to its peers. The company's consistent production, strong free cash flow generation, and strategic focus on debt reduction and shareholder returns further enhance its attractiveness. However, investors should consider the overall market conditions and the company's future performance before making any investment decisions. Diversified Energy Company PLC Website Diversified Energy Company PLC (DEC) EV/Sales 06 Sep, 2024 EV/Sales 3.29 3.29 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 03 Feb, 2017 - 06 Sep, 2024 (7.59 years) EV/Sales Total Chg: -52% (CAGR: -9.15%) Label Sep '21 Dec '21 Mar '22 Jun '22 Sep '22 Dec '22 Mar '23 Jun '23 Sep '23 Dec '23 Mar '24 Jun '24 LTM EV/Sales 2.62 1.88 1.84 1.34 1.36 1.39 1.63 1.89 1.74 2.02 2.49 2.78 3.29 What are the potential risks associated with investing in Diversified Energy at its current valuation? Investing in any company, including Diversified Energy, comes with potential risks. Here are some key risks associated with investing in Diversified Energy at its current valuation: 1. Commodity Price Volatility Risk: Diversified Energy operates in the oil and gas industry, which is highly sensitive to fluctuations in commodity prices. A significant drop in oil or natural gas prices can adversely affect the company's revenue and profitability. Impact: Lower commodity prices can lead to reduced cash flow, making it challenging. |
Posted at 30/8/2024 19:21 by putinaire Winter won't serve holders well looking at 'real' energy price forecasts for 18 months . Those reports cost about 5K each so obviously I didn't buy. But periodically get to see in partThe yield itself will be constantly shorted. Could remove it but that's income investors out and proper forecasts wouldnt have capital growth investors replacing them Bit of a mess That of course is just tip of the iceberg Near 10% short certainly suggests they are seeing something deeper be it accounts or whatever |
Posted at 19/5/2024 18:58 by asp5 The initial Russel 2000 rebalancing companies list for 2024 will be published on May 24th and an updated list will be published weekly until the end of June.I compiled the below list of funds/institutional investors from the recent DEC annual report (only lists holding greateer then 3%), simply wall street, yahoo finance & morningstar (links below). To be conservative I only took funds that confirmed their position recently (in 2024). The list is below with their % holding. Please do let me know if anyone spots an error. There are 31 institutions in the list, however yahoo & other sites state the range of investor institutions in the range of 104 to 144. In summary, A conservative estimate of 76% of shares are already held by institutions/private investors. Given the limited supply of shares and the laws of supply/demand, I would expect a positive share price development over the next month. Some observations: - I most definitely would not like to be holding a short position in DEC at this moment in time. - Given the names in the list, it does not look like the US trackers have purchased shares yet - The below may also explain why DEC are not purchasing significant volumes of shares at present. As usual DYOR. NYSE Control Account 6.64 Hargreaves Landsdown 5.98 Interactive Investor 5.21 Columbia Management Investment Advisers 5.03 Vanguard Group 4.89 JO Hambro Capital Management 4.80 GLG Partners 4.69 BlackRock 4.32 M&G Investments 4.20 abrdn 4.06 Jupiter Fund Management Plc 5.02 Rusty 2.58 Allianz Asset Management GmbH 2.36 UBS Asset Management AG 1.45 Rathbones Investment Management Limited 1.44 Goldman Sachs Group, Investment Banking and Securities Investments 0.86 GAM UK Equity Income A Dis Semi-Ann A 2.17 Merchants Trust Ord 1.4 Premier Miton UK Multi Cap Income B Acc 1.11 CQS New City High Yield Ord 0.95 ES R&M UK Listed Smaller Coms B Acc 0.95 MI Chelverton UK Equity Income B Inc 0.89 Susquehanna International Group, LLP 0.84 CQS Natural Resources G&I Ord 0.79 Barclays Plc 0.78 Santander UK Growth Unit Trust RA 0.76 iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF 0.6 Millennium Management Llc 0.59 DFA United Kingdom Small Company Series 0.39 iShares MSCI EAFE Small Cap ETF 0.36 Nationwide Var Ins Tr-NVIT Columbia Overseas Value Fund 0.27 Total 76.38% References: |
Posted at 03/2/2024 13:04 by leoneobull From LSE BBpickedpeckPosts: 1 |
Posted at 25/1/2024 12:22 by the millipede “I'm actually always disappointed at the level of investor competence on ADVFN. You do get a few who know what they are talking about, but as time goes by, that number reduces.“Shorters aren’t what they used to be, I agree, in part because small investors upped their game. I am old enough to remember Gotham City Research demolishing small investor favourite Quindell. The share price ramped up to giddy heights by gullible investors, genuine red flags around cash flow. The take down was masterful. DEC just seems to be a complex business model that investors have already been mostly avoiding. Which is why the short attack knocked only around 10% off a share price that is already recovering. We will know more soon enough but, as DEC said yesterday, they already answered the questions raised. |
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