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During the recent discussions on ADVFN regarding Distribution Finance Capital Holdings Plc (DFCH), investor sentiment appears cautiously optimistic, particularly in light of significant volume trades, such as a notable 7.5 million shares at 40p. This trading activity sparked conversations about potentially institutional buyers entering the market, with speculation on whether firms like Davidson Kempner or Lombard are driving the interest. The presence of sizeable orders suggests a bullish outlook from certain investors as they anticipate further movement in DFCH’s stock.
Overall, the discussions reflect a growing confidence in DFCH's market position, as the influx of buying activity could indicate broader institutional interests. Investors seem encouraged by the apparent accumulation of shares, with one commenter noting, "It's encouraging the buyers are coming in for this size." This highlights a belief in the company's potential for growth and reinforces a sentiment that DFCH may be on the cusp of a more active investment phase.
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During the last week of January 2025, Distribution Finance Capital Holdings Plc (DFCH) engaged actively in its share buyback program, announcing the acquisition of ordinary shares on multiple occasions. On January 27, the company purchased 364,000 ordinary shares at a price of 41.125 pence each, and on January 28, it bought an additional 383,141 ordinary shares at 41.11 pence each. Following these transactions, DFCH revealed that it would have a total of 179,369,199 ordinary shares outstanding, with 1,664,413 held in treasury, marking a reduction in the number of voting rights available to shareholders.
In addition to the transactions, DFCH reported on significant shareholder movements, including notifications from Lombard Odier Asset Management regarding changes in voting rights. This reflects a continued transparency in operations and compliance with the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) regulations related to ownership disclosures. Overall, the company seems to be strategically managing its share capital while working on enhancing shareholder value through the buyback program, amidst various notifications of major holdings which suggest shifting interests within its investor base.
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7.5m print @ 40p |
1.856m print at 40.5p |
Macro is obviously the key risk. Defaults, lower demand for discretionary spend. Finance companies typically rate well below TBV so don't expect too many fireworks although its a great one to tuck away IMO. Target to double by 2028 which is a nice 3 year 25percent CAGR! Happy holder albeit not from the recent lows. |
Is this the best one way bet ever? |
Taken from SCSW May 2024, a comprehensive list, I followed in on this write up. |
There are two new RNS's this morning. |
I have just seen this morning’s news and I am new to this company. I am currently invested in STB, where there is major concern over their personal vehicle finance lending, due to possible major compensation claims. |
Interesting. |
Tipped. |
So those two funds buying in size at 30p (see post above) have made a good call here. A tidy update with upside momentum and a cheap valuation. However, they didn't bid the price up beyond 31p. |
Thank you, a New thread was needed! |
New thread with charts and news |
!FOLLOWFEED |
Brilliant Results, Profit up 4 fold. |
Big buyer has popped up here at 30p picking up 4.48m. |
To clarify - grow from retained earnings meaning that they have both the funding to make new loans and then will still maintain a constant leverage ratio from retaining earnings and increasing equity |
I agree that the potential growth looks good. It also looks like it will all be funded from retained earnings which I like. Solid niche in its lending markets and reviews of the deposit accounts are positive. To your point on management though I find it concerning the CFO left. The CEO has the vision and can likely execute this growth plan, but in such a small business the people are very important. I was ready to take a position and then the CFO left which now has me thinking maybe it's just too much of an unknown who replaces him. I think the rationale given for him leaving is fair and probably exactly the situation. I also recognise he will stay on for a bit. But the CFO is pretty important to a bank so the replacement seems like a risk. |
Hi SrcgStill holding a big position here. Thought the interim results and Q3 trading updates were pretty impressive. Also watched the results webinar and I've been pretty impressed by management. They're targeting decent growth rates over the next few years, and combined with the lowly current valuation, makes this a very high conviction investment for me. I'd welcome any other opinions or thoughts. |
Hey joeyjojo1826 |
Came into these on the back of SCSW big write up for May. Colorful history, niche business model, worth a small holding but not added since. |
Always looks lowly rated. My fear for them is that a lot of their customers are quite weak business which easily get blown off course by external events or poor management. |
DFCH looks great value. P/TBV around 0.5 and PE of about 5. Good growth in lending and loan book should see profits rise over the next few years too. Liberum have 14m pbt pencilled in for this year for earnings of 5.6 p/share. This includes a one off gain of 1.7m that was previously written off. Including this 1.7m one-off profit, they've done 9m in H1.They should do at least 7.3m in H2, for 16.3m for the full year, or approx 6.5p/share. Adjusting out the one-off gain, I get about 5.8p/share.Looking at the pretty decent growth rate, it wouldn't be unreasonable to value the company on a PE of 10 or somewhere closer to P/TBV of 1. I've been a buyer over the last few weeks to build up a decent position. Anyone else got an opinion on the valuation/prospects here? |
Look at those pre market buys huge trades |
What a lovely update, delighted with that! |
Type | Ordinary Share |
Share ISIN | GB00BJ7HMR72 |
Sector | Public Finance, Taxation |
Bid Price | 40.00 |
Offer Price | 42.00 |
Open | |
Shares Traded | 0.00 |
Last Trade | 00:00:00 |
Low - High | - |
Turnover | 1.4M |
Profit | 3.16M |
EPS - Basic | 0.0179 |
PE Ratio | 22.91 |
Market Cap | 72.34M |
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