Which broker? |
Wonder how Snellers feeling .. |
Have Shore finally cleared? Possibly. |
Broker target was 30p and upped to 38p. Currently sat at 5.6p! Re-rate anyday now. |
Malcy's only dangerous to Pork Pies. |
He's speculating. Look at his previous posts on deltic. He's been more wrong than right. That's not to say it's not worth a punt at 5p.it probably is but be very mindful of his drivel. |
Sorry but do NOT agree nigelpm. That last paragraph has information that can only have been gleamed from the company. My view is that he is actually spot on! |
He's not worth reading. He's a paid ramper and a dangerous one at that. He seems to negate the fact that the cash will run out and deltic need a deal...he's clueless. |
 FWIW ..over the top as usual but the sentiment is correct..
As CEO Andrew Nunn points out, doing this work and preparing for FID can mean only one thing, the light of a commercial return is at the end of the tunnel. Indeed, the preliminary data indicates that the P50 discovered volume is ‘more than twice the minimum economic field size and in the proposed assumed development scenario, Selene would have a post-tax NPV10, net to Deltic, of $61M (50 pence/share equivalent)’.
The shares are up 10% today, it should be masses more than that as a huge amount of value, created just by completing this stage of the process and the taking of initial steps for an actual development means that Deltic is pregnant with value.
How this value is created could be in many ways, but right now and particularly post-FID, Deltic has many funding options and does not include going to the market for equity raising purposes. For example they will be able to negotiate an RBL, could partner with a trading operation for forward gas sales or even farm-down for cash and carry, any of these mean that shareholders will not get diluted for their equity. But at 5p a share it is a minimum of a 10 bagger in anyones money and should go a great deal higher, the upside in Deltic shares is huge. |
kibes,It's always a risk for poorly resources companies. I think they stand a much better chance of getting something for Selene, whether that's cash for selling out or a farmdown and carry, we'll have to see.Cash |
KiBes it was a stranded asset with an associated big price tag for development .
Selene totally different ..like night and day . |
Message for kibes - Pensacola and Selene are two completely different projects that put very simply are like comparing chalk with cheese or if you prefer apples with pears! |
In contrast to Pensacola, the Selene prospect is a simple Leman Sandstone structure in an established, well understood play and located close to existing production infrastructure. In a successful outcome, it is considered unlikely that Selene will require further appraisal prior to field development planning commencing and could therefore be brought into production relatively quickly following discovery given the proximity of existing infrastructure. |
Andrew Nunn, CEO, commented:
"We are looking forward to engaging with Shell and Dana as we work through the customary post-well analysis and preparation of a plan which will move the Selene discovery towards development over the coming year. We continue to believe that the asset can create material value for our shareholders." |
Based on the results of the well and the data collected, Deltic believes that the JV should be well placed to progress towards field development planning and a final investment decision on a future development without requiring a further appraisal well.
In addition to Selene, Deltic will re-evaluate the Endymion prospect, located on the north-eastern corner of the block, which is another low-risk Leman Sandstone opportunity that could be tied into any future Selene development. |
Pensacola was/is a whole different ball game. Needs massive investment. |
No, not for those already nackers deep! |
cashandcard - It wasn't able to sell Pensacola and had to walk away. |
So right now, the market values this at around £6m mcap.Just under £2m of that is cash!!!Any potential buyer must be rubbing their hands right now. |
Yep..Cannacord have end year 2024 cash of £1.3m which should be enough to get them into Q2 2025 and a full exit from the North Sea. |
Kibes,They are likely to sell out or farmdown. Too many risks for a tiny outfit like this.Cash |
Good numbers from Selene but a) Where would Deltic find $75 million to fund its share of development and b) Will the lunatic Miliband allow the development to go ahead anyway? |
Andrew Nunn, CEO, commented:
"I am pleased to report that the Selene discovery well was completed safely and within the carry resulting from the farm-outs to Shell and Dana. Getting JV agreement on moving into the Second Term of the licence is another key milestone on the journey from discovery to development for Selene. It also reflects the high quality nature of Selene's reservoir and the expectation of a low cost development with enhanced production and economic potential from the asset.
This decision to move into the second term of the licence kicks off an incredibly busy period, as we support the Operator through the various engineering, environmental and regulatory workstreams that need to be pulled together to support a potential Final Investment Decision. The workstreams now in train are an important signal to our investors as you wouldn't commence this process if you didn't believe there was a material commercial return at the end it. We look forward to updating the market in due course." |
Cannacord ..
We make a substantial upward revision to our initial risked NPV10 Selene discovery valuation. That increase reflects a number of adjustments to our earlier projected production, capex and opex assumptions and profiles, and significantly, full inclusion of the £57m tax asset reported in the company's H1 24 results. The combination results in an increase in our modelled net Deltic unrisked NPV10 value to $56m (from $41m), which compares with the company's assessment of $61m.
As a result we increase our risked NPV10-based target price to 38p (from 30p) and we maintain our Speculative BUY rating, noting the balance sheet limitations evolving in 2025. |
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