 If you are guessing what the share price will be next Christmas, the most sensible guess will depend on why you are guessing. If the closest guess wins a cash prize, the sensible guess will be not too far from today's share price, or indeed less, so I am reluctant to add my guess. But there isn't a prize, so the guess is a bit meaningless.
I've made a satisfying return on my money over 60 years buying stocks that the market had abandoned but which I thought might yet do well. Blackbird is a perfect choice for that strategy. Unfortunately I have already put in more than I have for any share, and at a much higher price than 5p, so I am as depressed as many here are. I wonder if I am getting old and lazy, or rather, I'm sure I am, but the stock market has lost its way. As happened in the late 19th century, the robber barons are taking over the economy. More and more people are giving up on stock selection, and are 'buying the index', which is effectively betting that big companies can crush any challenger. Bitcoin is the perfect example: it has no value to society, indeed it has negative value, being only useful to those who want to make financial transactions that damage society, yet it has roared ahead: it has done well so people assume it will go on doing well.
I'm afraid we risk another correction such as was kicked off in 1920 USA. That won't just affect bitcoin. The super rich don't spend their own money, they borrow against their assets. Either they become even richer, or if things go badly they may end up only rich. If things go really badly, then large swathes of society end up poor, as wealth disappears, Banks go bust, or are saved by transferring the pain somewhere else. Pension pots evaporate. House prices fall and mortgaged property gets repossessed. Jobs disappear, economies collapse.
So I pull the blanket over my head, and wish us all a safe outcome. Absolutely no point in selling Blackbird at this price, but no point in pretending there is no risk. |
Is it me or are there a lot more categories than before?
All 100% - which is great. |
The share price is irrelevant.
What matters is paying users.
I hope they continue to build the business, that means the technology, user numbers and strategic partnerships.
Then the BIRD will fly.
££££ not pence |
Happy New Year to the DODO crew
My prediction for the share price is 1p by end of 2025 |
£12.37 it will be one day ... probably not by this time next year. |
25-30p touch woodRealistically I think the share price at Xmas 2026 is where we might finally, if all goes well, see the huge figure we're all hoping for.Happy New Year all! |
There are two ways to go in 2025. I am going to stick my neck out!!............
1. An agreed sale of Blackbird is a possibility. Who knows at what price. Maybe £6 per share?? Because I don't expect SS and IM would agree to sell out for less than this amount.
2. Going it alone, the share price on 31.12.2025 may be 89p. A big increase on today because of Blackbird's amazing technology finally hitting a sweet spot in the market with elevate.io |
I think that the last chance to buy at current prices before BIRD begins it assault on £12 and the stratosphere may be in the next 10 days or so. The launch of the paying product is very important but if I were trying to create a wow factor naming a substantial number of paying users would certainly be near the top of my list. But a collaboration with a major player that wants to enter the mass video market would really create a shock wave. AWS have been very supportive and stand to get substantial income from their Cloud interests but entering the video market would offer really big margins for them or any other entrant that has the resources and the connections. |
I wish all my BIRD friends a Happy and Prosperous New Year.
"Let's make BIRD great again".. |
Nick
Ask the remuneration committee that and why they think the LTIP threshold tomorrow should be 50% of that it is today. |
There will be some dilution, in the region of 5-10%.
It is win / win, but there is no risk of capital on their behalf and the award they grant themselves could eventually be worth billions if IM's "tens of billions" is hit.
It goes beyond sharing in success, but it's not unique to BIRD, remuneration committees are out of control imo. |
I’m as ignorant as the next man on all this malarkey so just a question to confirm my thoughts here.
If I own say 10,000 shares worth £475 today and the LTIP thresholds are met, I still own those same 10,000 shares and they are now worth £1500 but the directors get a bit more cash for more than tripling the worth of my shares and hanging in for another couple of years?
If that’s the case, I can’t see a problem with that. |
bonio
Why do you say elevate is a failure? |
Yes. Admin, keeping track of shares admitted and options outstanding. |
is the second RND just a standard end of year announcement? |
Time limited options with a fair exercise price. Simple and fair to board and shareholders alike.
Take a look at the recent APTA incentive plan if you want to see how it should be done. |
When you have never hit an LTIP target all these years later, it's just more bunce for failure.
If you have never hit a target I'm not sure you should be rewarded for it.
As said earlier by other posters, it's a one way bet with no consequences for failure, other than it seems you actually get rewarded with easier terms. |
No issues here for me.
They hit those targets and above, I’m happy they get paid out.
Onwards and upwards. |
Maybe their last chance to fill their boots, I don’t blame them!
SS and Ian are also the biggest shareholders |
All will be forgiven when we have...
££££ not pence |
The lower the hurdle the greater their reward. They missed the last one, they don't want to miss the next one. |
They are taking advantage of this low share price I would imagine!
The shareholders who have been selling and setting the price presumably take the view that our prospects are poor |
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