$15k Possible Bottom For Bitcoin? “Delta Cap” Says So

Name	Symbol	Market	Market Cap ($)	Algorithm
Amp	AMPUSD	Crypto	407,488,832	Not Mineable

Name

Symbol

Market

Market Cap ($)

Algorithm

Amp

AMPUSD

Crypto

407,488,832

Not Mineable

	Price Change	Price Change %	Current Price	Bid Price	Offer
	0.00006	0.83%	0.00727	0.00728	0.00729

Price Change

Price Change %

Current Price

Bid Price

Offer

0.00006

0.83%

0.00727

0.00728

0.00729

High Price	Low Price	Open Price	Prev. Close	52 Week Range
0.0074	0.00717	0.00719	0.00721	0.001400 - 0.016850

High Price

Low Price

Open Price

Prev. Close

52 Week Range

0.0074

0.00717

0.00719

0.00721

0.001400 - 0.016850

Exchange	Last Trade	Size	Trade Price	Currency
GDAX	14:42:31	2,493.00	0.00727	USD

Exchange

Last Trade

Size

Trade Price

Currency

GDAX

14:42:31

2,493.00

0.00727

USD

Price x Volume	Volume	Base Symbol	Related Pairs
264,171.77	36,160,503.47	AMP	AMPEUR	AMPGBP	AMPBTC

Price x Volume

Volume

Base Symbol

Related Pairs

264,171.77

36,160,503.47

$15k Possible Bottom For Bitcoin? “Delta Cap” Says So

01/07/2022 8:00pm

NEWSBTC

The “delta capitalization” model of Bitcoin may suggest that around $15k could be a possible bottom for the crypto’s price. Past Delta Cap Trend Shows Bitcoin May Still Face More Decline Before A Bottom As explained by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, the BTC market cap is now below the realized cap, but still above the delta cap. Before taking a look at the data, it’s best to first get a basic grasp of the three major capitalization models for Bitcoin. The normal market cap is calculated by just taking the total number of coins currently in circulation and multiplying it by the price of BTC right now. The “realized cap” works a bit differently; instead of multiplying all the coins by the same price, this model weighs each coin by the price it was last moved at. Related Reading | USDC Exchange Reserves Rise As Investors Escape From Bitcoin For example, if there are 2 BTC in circulation and the current price is $19k, then the normal market cap is simply $38k. However, if one of these coins was last transacted at, say, $15k, and the other at $19k, then the realized cap would be $34k instead. Now, the Bitcoin “delta cap” is defined as the difference between the realized cap and the average of the market cap. The average of the normal market cap here is taken over the entire history of the crypto (and it’s naturally a moving average). The below chart shows the trend in the different market caps for BTC. The normal market cap still seems to be above the delta cap at the moment | Source: CryptoQuant As you can see in the above graph, the Bitcoin market cap has recently dipped below the realized cap. However, it has still not gone down near enough to touch the delta cap. Historically, the value of the crypto has formed bottoms whenever the market cap has been between the other two caps. Related Reading | Fed Announces Inflation Warnings As Bitcoin Whales Remain In Wait Mode In 2020, the coin bottomed out after the market cap went slightly under the realized cap, but in 2018 the metric even dipped a bit below the delta cap before the bottom was in. This past trend may suggest that the point around the delta cap may be the possible lower bound for how deep the coin’s price can sink. And if so, then Bitcoin could potentially sink to or a little under $15k, before the current cap touches the delta cap and the bottom forms. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $19.3k, down 9% in the past week. BTC has gone down over the last few days | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from Dmitry Demidko on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com

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