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[johndeed] 10/12/2008 16:18

For personal reasons I am no longer maintaining this or any other thread. Please do not post on this thread and follow the link in the header (or click ) for the new moderated thread.

JD

[johndeed] 18/3/2007 10:44

Substantial and improving NHS (England) takeup ü
Progress in Wales, Scotland and N Ireland Health Services ?
Progress in private medical sector ü
Further progress in EAP sector ?
Progress in the USA ?
Progress in other English speaking contries (eg NZ) ?
Progress in non-English speaking counties (eg Netherlands) ü
Headline and improving profitability ü
Controlled cost base ?
Improved company and brand awareness ?
Diversification of product offerings ?

[johndeed] 08/3/2007 07:56

The late stages of these one-horse races can get quite boring!

The winning post must be around here somewhere.

[johndeed] 16/2/2007 19:38

THE STABLE

[johndeed] 22/10/2006 11:16

All these arguments over the quality of management obscure the real issue.

At this point Ultrasis will sink or swim dependant on NHS take-up. Either the NICE guidance is not worth the paper it's written on or we are on the verge of a revenue (and company) transforming year.

I don't claim that my Excel "model" is perfect but hope I haven't made any massive mistakes.

OK, here's my initial projections:

Best case (I wish!):

All PCT's follow NICE guidance which effectively requires them to purchase two 20 user licences each. I have assumed they all go for a discounted three-year licence.



Bad case scenario:

All PCT's refuse to follow the (binding) NICE guidance and in consequence 10% of practices decide to purchase a single user licence to provide a limited service for their patients:



Balanced view:

33% of PCT's follow NICE guidance to the letter, 33% of PCT's purchase a token one year licence for 20 users to satisfy the statutory obligation and the remainder of PCT's provide no funding what-so-ever. Where PCT funding is not provided, 10% of practices decide to purchase a single user licence.



The worst case scenario is that we do not get any addition sales after 31 March but even the most rabid sceptics don't expect this to happen.