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OPT Optima Health Plc

156.00
1.00 (0.65%)
11 Dec 2024 - Closed
Delayed by 15 minutes
Optima Health Investors - OPT

Optima Health Investors - OPT

Share Name Share Symbol Market Stock Type
Optima Health Plc OPT London Ordinary Share
  Price Change Price Change % Share Price Last Trade
1.00 0.65% 156.00 16:35:20
Open Price Low Price High Price Close Price Previous Close
155.50 155.50 156.50 156.00 155.00
more quote information »
Industry Sector
ALTERNATIVE ENERGY

Top Investor Posts

Top Posts
Posted at 14/10/2011 20:07 by investrology
Hope they fing get burnt alive!!! DOW closed up 166 and I bet lots of short selling went on in banks! When they realise this is a bull run and they run in to buy - woosh!



In spite of the incipient rally in stocks over the past few weeks, many investors don't think it will last, judging by new data on short-selling.


Getty ImagesIn a short sale, an investor borrows shares and sells them in hopes of repurchasing them later at a lower price and pocketing the difference. Outstanding short interest, or the number of shares that have been sold short, is at its highest level since mid-2009, according to Data Explorers, which tracks securities lending.

The spike in bearish bets comes as stocks turned positive for the year this morning as the Dow rose more than 100 points, thanks to better-than-expected retail sales. So far this month, the Dow is up 3%. And while the Dow is still down more than 6% from July - before the recent market turbulence - it could finish in the black if it holds this morning's gains.

For investors, interpreting the increase in short-selling is tricky. Rising short interest often means sophisticated investors see trouble ahead and expect prices to fall. But because short-sellers must eventually buy shares to close their positions, extremely high short interest can be a bullish sign. That's because a rise in stock prices can produce paper losses for short-sellers, causing some to buy in order to close their positions and limit losses. That buying can push prices even higher, scaring more short-sellers - what's known on Wall Street as "a short squeeze."

Short-sellers could get squeezed soon if the market continues rallying, according to Ryan Detrick, a senior technical strategist with Schaeffer's Investment Research. That would mirror a recent jump in the euro that, as the Wall Street Journal reported yesterday , analysts believe is largely due to short-sellers abandoning their bets.

Short interest is also a sentiment indicator, say market experts, and that sentiment can sometimes become so bearish that it becomes a good sign for bulls. There are other signs of gloom now: The Investors Intelligence poll shows fewer investors are bullish than any time since March 2009, Detrick says. Hedge funds have just 45% exposure to stocks, after subtracting their short positions from shares they own. That's well below their typical stock exposure and approaching the 42.5% level they hit in March 2009, he says.

That month, the stock market hit its bottom of the financial crisis, so it would have been an excellent time for a contrarian investment.

One word of caution, says Detrick: "Just because there's bearish sentiment doesn't mean the market has to go up," Detrick says. "There was a lot of bearish sentiment in October 2008, and the market kept going down." But a lot of bearish sentiment can turn a small rally into a major one if plenty of investors change their minds and join the buying, he says.
Posted at 14/10/2011 09:34 by lokesh8
Eleven Momentous Market Days

For most investors, August and September in 2011 were the most miserable – and memorable - months in nearly three years.

The stock market's volatile swings stunned investors, sending many into Treasurys. The market has not seen consistent volatility this extreme since the financial crisis in 2008.

Even more interesting, the majority of the most volatile days of the year occurred in these two months - right down to the last day of September, when the S&P 500 fell 2.5 percent and a key volatility index hit 43.

The eleven most momentous days of 2011 - based on the S&P 500's percentage price change, trading volume and VIX level - and the events that made these days so extreme.


February 22, 2011

Price Change: -2.05 percent
Trading Volume: 4.36 billion shares
VIX Index: 20.8
Trigger: Libyan Turmoil

The escalating unrest in Libya, where ruler Muammar Gaddafi vowed to crush any revolution, lifted April crude oil futures more than 8.5 percent, a high for the year that still has not been surpassed. This sent stocks tumbling, on what was then the second heaviest volume day of the year.

Until this point, the chain of civil unrest in Arab states - which included the resignation of Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak – had not impacted any major exporter of crude. Events in Libya, however, raised concerns that unrest could disrupt the flow of oil from other key producing countries.


March 16, 2011

Price Change: -1.95 percent
Trading Volume: 4.76 billion shares
VIX Index: 29.4
Trigger: Japan's Nuclear Meltdown

Trading was extremely choppy as investors tried to understand the economic impact of the catastrophic 9.0 earthquake in Japan. On this day, the U.S. Embassy in Tokyo advised American citizens who lived within 50 miles of the damaged Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant to evacuate. Investors worried the damaged reactors could potentially create even more economic chaos if radiation continued to leak.


August 4, 2011

Price Change: -4.48 percent
Trading Volume: 5.47 billion shares
VIX Index: 31.66
Trigger: Weak Payrolls Report

Stocks plummeted on anticipation of a weak non-farm payroll and unemployment rate data due out the following day, and rumors of an imminent downgrade of the US long-term credit rating. After weeks of public bickering, Congress missed the August 2nd deadline to raise the US debt ceiling, sparking fears of the unthinkable - the triple-A rating of the U.S. could be downgraded.

August 8, 2011

Price Change: -6.66 percent
Trading Volume: 7.49
VIX Index: 48
Trigger: S&P Downgrades US Credit Rating

On the most dramatic day of the year thus far for US stocks, the S&P 500 logged its biggest one-day percentage decline amid record trading volume. This gloomy Monday was a direct result of the previous Friday's big news, announced after the market closed, that the United States lost its top-notch triple-A credit rating. Standard & Poor's said the move reflected the lack of a credible plan in Washington to attack the nation's long-term debt.


August 9, 2011

Price Change: 4.74 percent
Trading Volume: 7.12 billion shares
VIX Index: 35.06
Trigger: Fed Signals Low Interest Rates

The market had its biggest up day of the year, right after its largest drop of the year. Driving the rally was the Federal Reserve's FOMC statement , saying it would keep interest rates exceptionally low until at least mid 2013.


August 10th, 2011

Price Change: -4.42 percent
Trading Volume: 6.57 billion shares
VIX Index: 42.99
Trigger: French Bank Exposure to Greek Debt

On the back of US credit downgrade, rumors of a French sovereign debt downgrade sparked another huge selloff. Fears of a Lehman-style event in the French banking system - because of the banks' large exposure to Greek debt - drove investors to the safety of US Treasurys.

Similar concerns hit US banks. Bank of America, was particularly hard hit, despite reassurances from CEO Brian Moynihan that the US banking conglomerate was not in need of additional capital. Shares of Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Citigroup also plunged, losing more than 10 percent.


August 11, 2011

Price Change: 4.63 percent
Trading Volume: 5.72 billion shares
VIX Index: 39
Trigger: Strong Cisco Earnings

The stock market swiftly reversed course again, as strong earnings from tech-giant Cisco Systems provided a welcome respite from the gloomy news in the financials sector.

Weekly jobless claims released in the morning also contributed positively, as the report showed fewer Americans joining the unemployment line the prior week.


August 18, 2011

Price Change: -4.46 percent
Trading Volume: 5.1 billion shares
VIX Index: 42.67
Trigger: Falling Philly Fed Manufacturing Index

Fresh signs of economic weakness triggered this selloff.

The closely watched Philadelphia Federal Reserve's regional manufacturing index dropped to minus 30.7 in July, which indicated severe a contraction in economic activity during the period. The number was far worse than expected and one of many suggesting weakness.

August 23, 2011

Price Change: 3.43 percent
Trading Volume: 4.05 billion shares
VIX Index: 36.27
Trigger: FDIC

Stocks bounced back, following the morning release of an FDIC report saying US commercial bank earnings rose sharply to $28.8 billion in the second quarter.

The report also showed that bank-loan portfolios grew for the first time in three years, and loan balances posted a quarterly increase.

The absence of negative headlines out of Europe also helped.


September 22, 2011

Price Change: -3.19 percent
Trading Volume: 5.62 billion shares
VIX Index: 41.35
Trigger: Operation Twist

It took a day for the Federal Reserve's latest monetary stimulus package to sink in, but when it did people might have been thinking of Bernanke's words at the "Operation Twist" news conference the day before. "There are significant downside risks to the economic outlook, including strains in global financial markets".

The Fed's plan to sell $400 billion in short term treasuries in order to invest that amount in longer-term Treasurys was clearly no tonic.

As a kicker, reports out of China showed weaker-than-expected manufacturing growth, causing worry about its ability to prop up the global economy.


September 30, 2011

Price Change: -2.05 percent
Trading Volume: 3.57 billion shares
VIX Index: 42.96
Trigger: European Debt Crisis

Worries over the debt crisis in Europe hit a new peak, as losses in the banking sector made a crisis spill-over into the financial system a tangible reality.

Morgan Stanley (MS) plunged over 10 percent. Bank of America (BAC), JPMorgan (JPM) and Citigroup (C) also fell sharply.

Adding to the market fears, economists at Goldman Sachs predicted a 40-50 percent chance of recession in the Euro zone, as a result of the debt crisis.
Posted at 28/9/2011 05:56 by lokesh8
Good morning All ...Another Sunny day ...

From StockTimings

What's happening to the VIX's dangerous "Circle Pattern"?

An Update on last week's VIX analysis: Every couple of years, this "Circular VIX Pattern" has been showing up. It is a pattern where you can draw a circle off the VIX lows, and once you move to the half way point past the middle of the circle ... the support starts to move up which means the market moves down.

We posted this pattern for readers in July but some readers never heard of such a thing so they ignored it. But, for those who didn't, it sent ample warnings to become more and more cautious as the market became more and more dangerous.

Take a quick look at today's updated chart and you will see what we mean. The way the pattern has played out has been an obvious clue for VIX followers that the market was in trouble. Note the behavior of this pattern since August ... Note that the VIX has shot up above the top of the circle and the top part of the circle has become support. The VIX has tested that support twice now (as seen on the chart), and each time it could not penetrate it so it closed above the circle on each of those two attempt days.

The VIX has made lower/tops and lower/lows since August, so it has been slowly losing it "high fear" intensity. Although that high fear level has been diminishing, but it has not broken down yet. The current pattern is very large, so a large directional move should happen soon.

Is it a guaranteed down direction on the VIX now?

September 21st. comments: No, not quite yet... because large Institutional Investors have been hedging and they remain worried about European conditions and possible defaults. But at the same time, Institutional Investors are now at a Neutral condition relative to Accumulation and Distribution, so there has been an improvement on their level of concern. So, unless we get a negative "event" surprise, expect the VIX to continue down to test the top of the circle's support fairly soon. That downward VIX movement would correlate with upside market movement ... since the VIX moves opposite to the market's direction.

Even with the VIX moving lower to re-test the circle's support, the market will remain in a high risk, volatile condition until the VIX falls below a level of 26. Why 26? Because some Institutional selling programs are still engaged to fire off quickly until the fix falls below a level of 26.
Posted at 26/9/2011 20:21 by lokesh8
I should have learn't this stuff when I was a little boy .... Then again I would not have LINK'ed up with such great bunch of investors...
Posted at 26/9/2011 20:17 by lokesh8
Wave interpretation rules and Fibonacci relationships together are powerful tools for establishing investment strategies and reducing risk exposure. Applying the Elliott Wave Principle aids investors in deciding where to get in, where to get out and at what point to give up on a strategy. Thus, the Elliott Wave Principle lets you identify the highest probability direction for the market.
Posted at 25/9/2011 11:36 by lokesh8
LINK/PLAN


Rule #1 - Trade with the Market, Sector and Stock
This sounds like a simple rule, but it's an easy one to forget. Most of the time, when we're ready to enter an option trade, we're familiar with the trend for the stock. This is usually what attracted us to the trade in the first place. Checking the trend of the stock isn't enough. Before placing an order for the stock or its options you must clearly understand the direction of the general market, and market sector for the stock. Be sure that the market and sector trends are moving in a direction appropriate to your strategy.
There are 27 market sectors, (the Banking and Technology sectors for example) comprised of 247 Industry Groups as determined by Standard & Poor's. Every publicly traded company falls into one of these industry groups. It's incredible to see just how much industry group performance can influence the price movement of a stock. Companies are lumped together into a given industry group based upon the products or services they offer. Often each of the companies in a given industry group sell to the same client base. This is the reason that bad news from one company will tend to drive down the price of other stocks in the same group.
An example of this was the Enron fiasco a few years ago. There were a number of healthy utility companies that shared industry group placement with Enron prior to the discovery of questionable practices within the company. Once word of the scandal reached the public, the entire group dropped like a rock. Investors didn't know whom to trust within the group. As a result, even the "good" companies were punished.
Before we enter the trade, check the trend of the general markets, the specific market sector, industry group, and the trend of the stock.

Rule #2 - Have an Exit Strategy Prior To Entering the Trade
Before you ever enter a trade, you should prepare an exit. Not only will this prevent you from being paralyzed into inaction in the event the trade begins to go against you, it will also help you to recognize when you should be happy with the profits.
When should you be happy with the profits? If you answered, "Never!" you may have a problem.

Try this: When you're ready to enter a trade, instead of buying one contract, buy two. That way, when you first feel excitement over a great trade, you can think, "Should I be happy with this profit?" If so, then consider selling one of the contracts, leaving the other contract to run until you see sell signals. The secret here is to remind yourself: "I'll never go broke taking profits off of the table."
Another strategy is to analyze the stock chart for patterns of support and resistance. Try and identify the average move when the stock rises. If the stock tends to rally 20 percent each time it has a breakout, expect this run to be no different. Plan to exit near the 20 percent level.
Ask yourself when "good enough" should really be considered "good enough." Set exit points relative to the average move in the price of the stock, and exit in a timely manner. Consider selling half when you're happy and let the other half ride until your exit point is met, or until you receive sell signals. Enter Stop Loss triggers.

Rule #3 - Beware of Upcoming Announcements
Life is full of surprises. Hopefully, your investments are as free as possible from the sorts of surprises that tend to lose money. Fortunately, there are specific announcements that are easy to plan for, such as quarterly and annual reports. Watch the news items for your stocks, and mark your calendars to expect announcements. If you know that the last earnings announcement for a given company was May 20th, plan that the next announcement will be three months later on August 20th. It may not actually fall on that day, but you will know roughly when to expect it. A quick bit of research to identify the fiscal year-end and reporting periods for a stock will go a long way towards preparing you for the unexpected. You can find the Fiscal Year-End and quarterly reporting periods for your stocks by clicking on the "Company Profile" link on the left side of the page from the Corporate Snapshot page. This information will show you when the stock closes its books for the year, but it doesn't tell you exactly when the results for that year or quarter will be announced. Check the news for that information. Most companies will let investors know when to expect the actual announcement.
Watch for patterns in other relevant news. For example, whenever the Chairman of the Federal Reserve speaks, reverberations are felt in the markets. If he were to hint at an increase in interest rates, ask yourself if the stocks or options that you are currently trading would feel the influence of his comments. Watch the reactions of the market. This is one of those times when running with the herd may be a good thing. If your holdings drop in value on his comments, protect yourself. Consider exiting the trade. Make sure that you have stop-losses in place prior to the announcement. An appropriately placed stop-loss is the next best thing to knowing the future.
Schedules for reports and events from the Federal Reserve are available on the Web at
Check to see when the stock reports its quarterly earnings. Look for an announcement three months later on the same day. This may not give you the exact date, but you can fine-tune the date by following the news. Check to see when key economic reports are due for release.
Conducting a nightly review of your holdings is imperative to investing success. If you would like to build your wealth, you simply cannot afford to ignore your investments. As part of your nightly routine, you should check the stock charts for each of your holdings, as well as the market news for each. Review the information. See if the charts or news items would direct you to sell your positions. This is also a great time to review the placement of your stop-losses. Conducting this analysis should take you no longer than 15 minutes each night. Armed with information regarding your positions, you can submit orders for action the next morning.
There is no excuse for being uninformed with the events of your stocks. If you begin to notice weakness in the chart patterns for your holdings, consider exiting your trades, unless of course you're using Bearish strategies! Review the placement of your stop-losses. Consider adjusting them in order to protect yourself from unexpected news.
Posted at 18/9/2011 14:54 by lokesh8
Ok ...I have to go to the Golf Range and wack some balls .... catch you later
Posted at 18/9/2011 14:32 by lokesh8
"Based on my own personal experience -- both as an investor in recent years and an expert witness in years past -- rarely do more than three or four variables really count. Everything else is noise."
-- Marty Whitman


We're constantly bombarded with endless amounts of trivial pieces of data for our investments. Untold amounts of wealth have been lost in the name of panic caused by complete overreaction to events that, in the grand scheme of things, don't matter a hoot.

Take a company like oil tanker Frontline (NYSE: FRO ) . Back in 2002, value investor Mohnish Pabrai began purchasing shares after the company had taken a beating when other investors were in panic mode, trying to get their heads around an array of factors, such as where the future price of oil was heading and when oil tanker rates would rebound. Pabrai took a more simplified view and focused on something much clearer: the liquidation price of the company. By focusing his attention on the big, important factors while ignoring the noise around him, Pabrai was able to score a multibagger in just two years. Keepin' it simple has its benefits.
Posted at 14/10/2009 12:05 by barbudo viejo
indeed. Americans will have a better appreciation of Lockheed's muscle and what their involvement brings to the party. As ever, though, progress depends on investors believing they won't be able to get in at a lower price later. It could be months or even years before Lockheed's involvement really starts paying off on the bottom line, during which time we could see great volatility, so we are dependent on a speculative re-rating to put a floor under the share price (and, of course, business that OPT bring in in the meantime). Nonetheless, it is undeniable that this is a huge development that should give doubters reassurance regarding the future, and validation for believers. And in the short-term, perhaps some momentum from traders hoping to ride the OPT wave will carry us higher. Onwards and upwards, with luck.
Posted at 13/10/2009 09:44 by barbudo viejo
really great news. Perhaps potential investors are worried that, like SIT for instance, OPT will develop many projects, generate massive revenues, but never actually turn a profit. They wouldn't be the first company in this sphere to get the ball rolling, set up some great projects, work through all the teething problems, then run out of cash just as they become profitable, only to dilute out of existence all the old faithfuls who've been invested from the start.

But I don't really believe that, otherwise I wouldn't be here. All the news is good, but the Lockheed agreement is a real clincher, as it brings huge gravitas/ kudos to OPT's offering, not to mention loads of technical know-how, commercial muscle, government contacts, international reputation, and deal-making savvy.

Now all we need is a few analysts to spread the good news, and motor we shall. This is just my opinion.

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