Nationwide Building Society Interim Management Statement (3874E)

TIDMNBS TIDMNAWI

RNS Number : 3874E

Nationwide Building Society

09 February 2018

Nationwide Building Society

Interim Management Statement

Q3 2017/18

9 February 2018

Nationwide Building Society today publishes its Interim Management Statement covering the period from 5 April 2017 to 31 December 2017 ('Q3 2017/18').

Key highlights

-- Underlying profit increased to GBP883m (Q3 2016/17: GBP866m); Statutory profit was GBP886m (Q3 2016/17: GBP946m)

-- Profits include GBP26m one-off gain from VocaLink disposal (Q3 2016/17: GBP100m one-off gain from Visa Europe disposal)

-- Capital strength improved with CET1 ratio of 30.5% (4 April 2017: 25.4%) and UK leverage ratio of 4.9% (4 April 2017: 4.4%)

   --    No. 1 for customer satisfaction amongst our high street peer group with a lead of 2.9%(1) 

-- UK's top choice for current accounts(2) , with more people opening with Nationwide than with any other provider(3) . Openings up 8% in the period to 617,000 accounts

-- Gross mortgage lending of GBP24.1bn (Q3 2016/17: GBP26.2bn); total market share of 12.2% (Q3 2016/17: 14.3%) in competitive market conditions

-- Member deposit balances(4) increased by GBP2.3bn (Q3 2016/17: GBP6.4bn); market share of balances broadly flat at 10.0% at 31 December 2017 (4 April 2017: 10.1%) in a subdued market

Nationwide Building Society Chief Executive, Joe Garner, said:

"The Society continued to trade strongly in the period. Our mutual commitment to member value and leading service shapes our decision making. It means we continue to support loyal savings members with rates on average 50% higher than the market average(5) . We are also proud to maintain our position as no. 1 for customer satisfaction amongst our high street peer group, with an overall lead of 2.9% over our nearest competitor and 7.6% over the peer group average(1) .

"Nationwide is top choice(2) for current accounts on the high street and more people are switching to us than any other provider(6) . As we anticipated, a subdued buy to let mortgage market, plus sustained competition, slowed the pace of growth in our mortgage book. With third quarter mortgage reservations significantly stronger than for the same period last year, we expect a strong final quarter for our gross lending.

"By choosing Nationwide, our members have helped the Society generate a substantial surplus, and our underlying profit for the year to date increased to GBP883 million. Members understandably expect their Society to remain safe and secure, so we've further enhanced our already strong financial position. Our capital and leverage ratios strengthened over the period, and are well ahead of regulatory requirements at 30.5% and 4.9% respectively.

"Supporting the financial lives of our members is a founding purpose of our building society. We also aim to play our part in helping to solve Britain's housing shortage, in line with our founding principles and our expertise. We've launched a range of initiatives to support both renters and buyers, including most recently a commitment to build around 250 homes as part of an innovative, sustainable housing development in Swindon, just three miles from our head office.

"Looking ahead, we expect the economy to continue to grow but only modestly. Consumer spending, which has been a key driver of growth, has slowed noticeably, and almost three quarters of those surveyed in our Brexit Consumer Panel expressed concern about the rising cost of goods and services. Modest economic growth is also likely to hold back the housing market and house price growth. Overall, we expect house prices to be broadly flat in 2018 with perhaps a marginal gain of around 1%. We expect competition in the mortgage market to continue and we will prioritise quality over volumes in the long-term interests of our members."

1 (c) GfK 2017, Financial Research Survey (FRS), 12 months ending 31 December 2017 (comparatives reference 12 months to 31 March 2017), proportion of extremely/very satisfied customers minus proportion of extremely/very/fairly dissatisfied customers summed across current account, mortgage and savings. High street peer group defined as providers with main current account market share >4% (Barclays, Halifax, HSBC, Lloyds Bank (inc C&G), NatWest, Santander and TSB).

2 Source: Nationwide Brand and Advertising tracker - compiled by Independent Research Agency. 'Top choice' is most considered i.e. 'first choice' or 'seriously considered' current account provider amongst non-customers, based on responses from non-customers of each brand, 3 months ending December 2017. Financial brands included Nationwide, Barclays, Co-operative Bank, First Direct, Halifax, HSBC, Lloyds, NatWest, TSB and Santander.

3 Source: eBenchmarkers April 2017 to November 2017, CACI April 2017 to November 2017 and internal sources.

4 Member deposits include current account credit balances.

5 Market average interest rates are based on Bank of England whole of market average interest rates for retail deposits adjusted to exclude Nationwide's balances.

6 BACS Payments Schemes CASS switching market data (latest participant movement data for switches completing in the 3 months to June 2017).

Trading performance

 
                                                                      9 months ended         9 months ended 
                                                                      31 December 2017       31 December 2016 
                                                                          GBPbn        %         GBPbn       % 
----------------------------------------------------------------  -------------  -------  ------------  ------ 
 Gross residential mortgage lending/market share                           24.1     12.2          26.2    14.3 
 Net residential mortgage lending/market share                              3.9     11.2           8.2    29.3 
 Member deposits balance movement(4) /market share                          2.3      5.9           6.4    10.2 
                                                                  -------------  ------- 
 
 Number of new current accounts opened                                  617,000                570,000 
----------------------------------------------------------------  -------------  -------  ------------  ------ 
 
                                                                    At 31 December 2017      At 4 April 2017 
                                                                          GBPbn        %         GBPbn       % 
                                                                  -------------  ------- 
 Residential lending balances(7)                                          175.3                  171.1 
 Member deposit balances(4) /market share                                 146.8     10.0         144.5    10.1 
 Market share of main standard and packaged current accounts(8)                      7.8                   7.5 
----------------------------------------------------------------  -------------  -------  ------------  ------ 
 

Residential mortgages include prime and specialist loans, with the specialist portfolio largely comprising buy to let (BTL) lending. Gross mortgage lending period on period has grown at a slower pace as a result of sustained competition and a reduction in BTL mortgage advances. In the period, gross mortgage lending reduced to GBP24.1 billion (Q3 2016/17: GBP26.2 billion) with approximately 90% (Q3 2016/17: 86%) of advances in the prime portfolio: GBP21.6 billion (Q3 2016/17: GBP22.5 billion). Following the affordability criteria changes we made last year, and the impacts of the stamp duty increase and regulation on the BTL market, gross BTL mortgage lending for the period reduced to GBP2.5 billion (Q3 2016/17: GBP3.7 billion).

Net mortgage lending has decreased during the period reflecting lower gross mortgage advances and increased prime mortgage redemptions due to ongoing market competition. Net lending for prime mortgages was GBP4.3 billion (Q3 2016/17: GBP7.3 billion), and for specialist mortgages was a net redemption of GBP0.4 billion (Q3 2016/17: net lending GBP0.9 billion).

Mortgage lending has been substantially funded by growth in retail deposits, with member deposits increasing by GBP2.3 billion to GBP146.8 billion (4 April 2017 GBP144.5 billion). The growth is primarily attributable to a GBP2.7 billion increase in current account balances as we continue to grow our base of engaged members. This includes growth in balances from existing account holders, as well as 617,000 new current accounts opened during the period (Q3 2016/17: 570,000). We continued to benefit from high switching rates through the Current Account Switch Service, attracting 19.5 % of all switchers in the period. In total, our market share of main standard and packaged current accounts has increased to 7.8% at November 2017 (February 2017: 7.5%).

Our savings range remains competitively positioned in the market and continues to reflect our mutual principle of providing products that represent good long-term value to our members. In a highly competitive market, driven in large part by providers making short-term offers, Nationwide's market share of UK household deposits remained broadly stable at 10.0% (4 April 2017: 10.1%).

7 Residential lending balances are stated net of impairment provisions.

8 Based on market data as at November 2017 (comparative based on market data as at February 2017).

Financial performance

 
                                             9 months ended          9 months ended 
                                             31 December 2017        31 December 2016 
                                               GBPm            %       GBPm          % 
--------------------------------------  -----------  -----------  ---------  --------- 
 Underlying profit before tax                   883                     866 
 Statutory profit before tax                    886                     946 
 Statutory profit after tax                     664                     684 
--------------------------------------  -----------  -----------  ---------  --------- 
 Net interest margin                                        1.33                  1.33 
 Underlying cost income ratio                               59.6                  57.6 
 Statutory cost income ratio                                59.7                  56.1 
--------------------------------------  -----------  -----------  ---------  --------- 
 
                                            At 31 December 2017      At 4 April 2017 
                                              GBPbn            %      GBPbn          % 
                                        -----------  ----------- 
 Total assets                                 232.8                   221.7 
 Loans and advances to customers              190.4                   187.4 
                                        -----------  ----------- 
 Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio(9)                       30.5                  25.4 
 UK leverage ratio(10)                                       4.9                   4.4 
 CRR leverage ratio(11)                                      4.5                   4.2 
 Liquidity coverage ratio                                  146.7                 124.0 
 Wholesale funding ratio                                    29.3                  27.1 
--------------------------------------  -----------  -----------  ---------  --------- 
 

Underlying profit represents management's view of underlying performance and is presented to aid comparability across reporting periods, as explained on page 5.

Underlying profit before tax was GBP883 million (Q3 2016/17: GBP866 million), including a gain of GBP26 million from the sale of our investment in VocaLink (Q3 2016/17: GBP100 million one-off gain from the sale of our investment in Visa Europe). Statutory profit before tax of GBP886 million (Q3 2016/17: GBP946 million) includes GBP1 million (Q3 2016/17: GBP68 million) of derivative and hedge accounting gains(12) which are excluded from underlying profit.

Net interest income was higher than for the same period last year, with net interest margin remaining consistent at 133bps. Net interest margin benefited from lower funding costs period on period, partially offset by a decrease in average mortgage margins. Sustained competition in retail lending markets has resulted in more borrowers switching to competitively priced products. Our legacy base mortgage rate (BMR) balances have progressively declined period on period in line with both recent experience and our expectations. We are anticipating market conditions to remain highly competitive, and the run-off of BMR balances to continue, and consequently we expect our reported margin to trend lower during the remainder of the year and into 2018/19.

Our underlying cost income ratio was 59.6% (Q3 2016/17: 57.6%) as a result of increased costs and broadly unchanged total income. The rise in costs is primarily due to higher defined benefit pension costs and an increase in depreciation. We remain committed to a lower trajectory of cost growth in the future and, compared to the same period last year, cost growth has slowed to 3% (Q3 2016/17: 5% growth). We anticipate full year costs will be broadly flat year on year, in line with the expectations communicated in our 2016/17 financial results.

We continue to review compliance with ongoing and emerging regulatory matters, including consumer credit legislation, and have recognised a net provision charge of GBP25 million in the nine month period in respect of potential customer redress, in line with the position reported in our half-year results. This reflects updated assumptions for provisions previously recognised and includes a GBP28 million charge in relation to PPI, driven by an increase in the anticipated number of future complaints we expect to receive ahead of the Financial Conduct Authority's August 2019 deadline.

9 Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio has been calculated under CRD IV on an end point basis.

10 The UK leverage ratio is shown on the basis of measurement announced by the Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) and excludes eligible central bank reserves from the leverage exposure measure.

11 The Capital Requirements Regulation (CRR) leverage ratio is calculated using the CRR definition of Tier 1 for the capital amount and the delegated act definition of the exposure measure and is reported on an end point basis.

12 Although we only use derivatives to hedge market risks, income statement volatility can still arise due to hedge accounting ineffectiveness or because hedge accounting is either not currently applied or is not currently achievable. This volatility is largely attributable to accounting rules which do not fully reflect the economic reality of the hedging strategy.

Asset quality remains strong, with an average loan to value (LTV) of loan stock for total residential lending of 55% at the end of the period, consistent with that reported at the year end. The average LTV of new lending in the period was 71%, unchanged from the same period last year.

The number of cases more than three months in arrears as a percentage of the total book improved marginally to 0.34% (4 April 2017: 0.36%) for prime lending and 0.83% (4 April 2017: 0.89%) for specialist lending.

Impairment losses on loans and advances have decreased to GBP79 million (Q3 2016/17: GBP111 million). The charge in the period is primarily driven by updates to provisions on consumer banking to reflect current economic conditions.

Capital and leverage ratios have remained comfortably in excess of regulatory requirements with a CET1 ratio of 30.5% (4 April 2017: 25.4%) and a UK leverage ratio of 4.9% (4 April 2017: 4.4%). The improvement in both our CET1 and UK leverage ratios was mainly due to profits after tax in the period and the issuance of CCDS which raised GBP0.8 billion in September 2017. The CRR leverage ratio also increased to 4.5% (4 April 2017: 4.2%). Further information on our capital position can be found in Appendix 1.

In December 2017, the Basel Committee published the final reforms to the Basel III framework, including revisions to the standardised approach for credit and operational risks, and the introduction of a risk-weighted asset (RWA) output floor (effective on a transitional basis from 2022 and fully implemented in 2027). The PRA's revised expectations for IRB models for residential mortgages will be effective in 2020. Whilst both of these amendments are expected to result in an increase in RWAs and therefore a reduction in the CET1 ratio, we do not believe these will lead to a material increase in our overall regulatory capital requirements as the UK leverage ratio framework is expected to remain our binding requirement.

Outlook

While UK activity remained resilient in the immediate aftermath of the Brexit vote, there were signs of slowdown in 2017. Household spending, a key driver of growth, lost some momentum. Retail sales and car registrations have slowed and consumer confidence has also softened. Economic activity is being supported to some degree by strong global growth. We continue to expect the UK economy to grow at a modest pace, with annual growth of 1% to 1.5% in 2018 and 2019. Subdued economic activity and the ongoing squeeze on household budgets is likely to exert a modest drag on housing market activity and house price growth.

The sustained low interest rate environment and competition in core markets will maintain pressure on margins. Our mutual model, combined with our financial strength, means we are able to focus on taking a long-term view for the benefit of members, rather than pursuing actions to drive short-term profitability. We will continue to focus on supporting members and investing in new propositions, service enhancements and efficiency, whilst maintaining our capital strength.

Additional information

The financial information on which this Interim Management Statement is based is unaudited and has been prepared in accordance with Nationwide Building Society's previously stated accounting policies described in the Annual Report and Accounts 2017.

For further information please contact:

Investor queries: Alex Wall, 0207 2616568 or 07917 093632, [e-mail]

   Media contact:    Sara Batchelor,  01793 657770 or 07785 344137, [e-mail] 

Underlying profit

Profit before tax shown on a statutory and underlying basis is set out on page 3. Statutory profit before tax of GBP886 million has been adjusted for a number of items to derive an underlying profit before tax of GBP883 million. The purpose of this measure is to reflect management's view of the Group's underlying performance and to assist with like for like comparisons of performance across periods. Underlying profit is not designed to measure sustainable levels of profitability as that would potentially require exclusion of non-recurring items even though they are closely related to (or even a direct consequence of) the Group's core business activities.

Nationwide has developed a financial performance framework based on the fundamental principle of maintaining its capital at a prudent level in excess of regulatory requirements. The framework provides parameters which allow it to calibrate future performance and help ensure that it achieves the right balance between distributing value to members, investing in the business and maintaining financial strength. The most important of these parameters is underlying profit which is a key component of Nationwide's capital. In this context, Nationwide currently believes that generating underlying profit of approximately GBP0.9 billion to GBP1.3 billion per annum over the medium-term is an appropriate target for capital planning purposes. This range is based on our current assumptions as to the size of the mortgage market, and maintaining a UK leverage ratio in excess of 4%. This range, which will vary from time to time, should not be construed as a forecast of the likely level of Nationwide's underlying profit for any financial year or period within a financial year.

Forward looking statements

Certain statements in this document are forward looking with respect to plans, goals and expectations relating to the future financial position, business performance and results of Nationwide. Although Nationwide believes that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, Nationwide can give no assurance that these expectations will prove to be an accurate reflection of actual results. By their nature, all forward looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to future events and circumstances that are beyond the control of Nationwide including, amongst other things, UK domestic and global economic and business conditions, market related risks such as fluctuation in interest rates and exchange rates, inflation/deflation, the impact of competition, changes in customer preferences, risks concerning borrower credit quality, delays in implementing proposals, the timing, impact and other uncertainties of future acquisitions or other combinations within relevant industries, the policies and actions of regulatory authorities, the impact of tax or other legislation and other regulations in the jurisdictions in which Nationwide operates. As a result, Nationwide's actual future financial condition, business performance and results may differ materially from the plans, goals and expectations expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements. Due to such risks and uncertainties Nationwide cautions readers not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements.

Nationwide undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

This document does not constitute or form part of an offer of securities for sale in the United States. Securities may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an exemption from registration. Any public offering to be made in the United States will be made by means of a prospectus that may be obtained from Nationwide and will contain detailed information about Nationwide and management as well as financial statements.

Appendix 1 - Capital position

Capital structure and ratios

Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital resources have increased by approximately GBP1.4 billion as a result of the issuance of CCDS in September 2017, which raised GBP0.8 billion, profit after tax for the period of GBP0.7 billion, offset by an increased deduction for intangible assets of GBP0.1 billion. Risk weighted assets (RWAs) decreased over the period by approximately GBP1.1 billion primarily due to the continued run-off of the commercial portfolio. These movements have strengthened our CET1 ratio to 30.5% (4 April 2017: 25.4%).

Tier 2 capital has increased by GBP1.6 billion, in line with plans to meet pending Minimum Requirement for Own Funds and Eligible Liabilities (MREL) requirements, following the issuance of qualifying Tier 2 subordinated debt in July 2017 and October 2017, of EUR1 billion and $1.25 billion respectively (GBP1.8 billion equivalent in aggregate). The residual offsetting movement was primarily due to regulatory amortisation.

 
                                                   31 December   4 April 
                                                          2017      2017 
                                                          GBPm      GBPm 
------------------------------------------------  ------------  -------- 
 Common Equity Tier 1 capital before regulatory 
  adjustments                                           11,336     9,915 
 Total regulatory adjustments to Common 
  Equity Tier 1                                        (1,429)   (1,360) 
------------------------------------------------  ------------  -------- 
 Common Equity Tier 1 capital                            9,907     8,555 
 Additional Tier 1 capital before regulatory 
  adjustments                                              992       992 
 Total regulatory adjustments to Additional 
  Tier 1 capital                                             -         - 
------------------------------------------------  ------------  -------- 
 Additional Tier 1 capital                                 992       992 
------------------------------------------------  ------------  -------- 
 Total Tier 1 capital                                   10,899     9,547 
------------------------------------------------  ------------  -------- 
 Tier 2 capital before regulatory adjustments            4,225     2,582 
 Total regulatory adjustments to Tier 
  2 capital                                                  -         - 
------------------------------------------------  ------------  -------- 
 Tier 2 capital                                          4,225     2,582 
------------------------------------------------  ------------  -------- 
 Total capital                                          15,124    12,129 
------------------------------------------------  ------------  -------- 
 Ratios:                                                     %         % 
------------------------------------------------  ------------  -------- 
   Common Equity Tier 1                                   30.5      25.4 
   Tier 1                                                 33.5      28.4 
   Total capital                                          46.5      36.1 
------------------------------------------------  ------------  -------- 
 Note: Data in the table is reported under CRD IV on an end point 
  basis, being full implementation with no transitional provisions. 
 

Overview of RWAs (EU OV1)

 
                                                        RWAs               Minimum capital 
                                                                           requirements(13) 
                                                31 December   4 April   31 December   4 April 
                                                       2017      2017          2017      2017 
--------------------------------------------- 
                                                       GBPm      GBPm          GBPm      GBPm 
---  ----------------------------------------  ------------  --------  ------------  -------- 
  1   Credit risk                                    25,801    26,802         2,064     2,144 
  2       Of which standardised approach              2,341     2,548           187       204 
          Of which the foundation IRB 
  3        approach                                   5,940     6,969           475       557 
  4       Of which the advanced IRB approach         17,349    17,163         1,388     1,373 
          Of which Equity IRB under the 
           simple risk-weight or the internal 
  5        models approach                              171       122            14        10 
  6   Counterparty credit risk                        1,329     1,221           106        98 
  7       Of which marked to market                     584       546            47        44 
          Of which standardised approach 
  9        for counterparty credit risk                  27        19             2         2 
          Of which risk exposure for 
           contributions to the default 
 11        fund of a CCP                                  4         6             -         - 
 12       Of which CVA                                  714       650            57        52 
 13   Settlement risk                                     -         -             -         - 
      Securitisation exposures in 
 14    banking book (after cap)                         303       434            24        35 
          Of which IRB ratings-based 
 15        approach                                     303       434            24        35 
 19   Market risk(14)                                     -         -             -         - 
 23   Operational risk                                4,865     4,865           389       389 
 25       Of which Standardised approach              4,865     4,865           389       389 
      Amounts below the thresholds 
       for deduction (subject to 250% 
 27    risk weight)                                     194       319            16        25 
---  ----------------------------------------  ------------  --------  ------------  -------- 
 29   Total                                          32,492    33,641         2,599     2,691 
---  ----------------------------------------  ------------  --------  ------------  -------- 
 

RWA flow statements of credit risk exposures (EU CR8)

 
                               IRB credit risk                Standardised                  Counterparty 
                                                               credit risk                   credit risk 
                         RWA amounts         Capital   RWA amounts         Capital   RWA amounts         Capital 
                                        requirements                  requirements                  requirements 
                                GBPm            GBPm          GBPm            GBPm          GBPm            GBPm 
    ------------------  ------------  --------------  ------------  --------------  ------------  -------------- 
     RWA as at 4 April 
 1    2017                    24,254           1,940         2,548             204         1,221              98 
    ------------------  ------------  --------------  ------------  --------------  ------------  -------------- 
 2   Asset size                (606)            (48)         (206)            (17)           133              10 
 3   Asset quality             (188)            (15)           (1)               -          (25)             (2) 
     RWA as at 31 
 9    December 2017           23,460           1,877         2,341             187         1,329             106 
    ------------------  ------------  --------------  ------------  --------------  ------------  -------------- 
 

IRB credit risk RWAs have reduced by GBP0.8 billion during the period. A reduction in book size accounted for GBP0.6 billion of this movement, driven by the continued run-off of the commercial portfolio. The remaining GBP0.2 billion movement resulted from a marginal improvement in the credit quality of the outstanding commercial exposures.

Leverage ratio

The UK leverage ratio(10) of 4.9% at 31 December 2017 (4 April 2017: 4.4%) has increased due to profits in the period and an increase in Tier 1 capital resources, following the issuance of CCDS. Minimum leverage requirements are monitored by the PRA on this basis, with the current regulatory threshold set at 3.25% following the recalibration to adjust for the impact of excluding central bank holdings from the exposure measure. There is a supplementary leverage ratio buffer of 0.35% to be implemented in 2019. Following the Financial Policy Committee's (FPC) announcement on the countercyclical buffer (June 2018: 0.5%, November 2018: 1%), the equivalent countercyclical leverage ratio buffer will be 0.2% from June 2018, increasing to 0.4% from November 2018. Therefore, the minimum leverage ratio requirement will be 4% by January 2019. We remain confident in the strength of our capital position to meet the increased minimum requirements.

13 Capital is also held to meet Pillar 2 and capital buffer requirements. Further details on Pillar 2 requirements can be found in the Pillar 3 Disclosure 2017 at nationwide.co.uk

14 Market risk has been set to zero as permitted by the CRR as exposure is below the threshold of 2% of own funds.

The average UK leverage ratio for the three months to 31 December 2017 is 4.9%, with an average exposure measure of GBP221,422 million(15) .

The CRR leverage ratio increased to 4.5% (4 April 2017: 4.2%). The improvement was driven by the same movements described for the UK leverage ratio, but was partially offset by increased central bank exposures, which are ineligible for deduction under the CRR methodology.

 
                           31 December   4 April 
                                  2017      2017 
                                  GBPm      GBPm 
------------------------  ------------  -------- 
 Tier 1 capital                 10,899     9,547 
 UK leverage exposure          222,573   215,894 
 CRR leverage exposure         242,398   228,428 
                                     %         % 
------------------------  ------------  -------- 
 UK leverage ratio(10)             4.9       4.4 
------------------------  ------------  -------- 
 CRR leverage ratio(11)            4.5       4.2 
------------------------  ------------  -------- 
 

15 The average leverage ratio is calculated using the averages of Tier 1 capital and UK leverage exposure, based on the last day of each month in the quarter.

This information is provided by RNS

The company news service from the London Stock Exchange

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February 09, 2018 02:00 ET (07:00 GMT)