Lancashire Hld Ltd Harvey, Irma, Maria and earthquake - loss estimate

 
TIDMLRE 
 
LANCASHIRE HOLDINGS LIMITED 
 
9 October 2017 
 
London, UK 
 
 Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria and Mexican earthquakes - Lancashire Group 
                           Preliminary loss estimate 
 
Lancashire Holdings Limited (the "Company" or "Lancashire") announces today its 
range for its estimated net ultimate losses arising from hurricanes Harvey, 
Irma and Maria and the two recent earthquake loss events in Mexico. The 
aggregate estimated net ultimate losses for these events is expected to be in a 
range of $106 million to $212 million after anticipated recoveries from its 
outwards reinsurance programme and the impact of outwards and inwards 
reinstatement premiums. This estimate falls well within the Company's modelled 
loss ranges for these types of catastrophe events. 
 
The loss estimate includes Lancashire's exposures through its Bermuda, UK and 
Lloyd's operations and in respect of the Company's participation within the 
Kinesis third party capital facility. 
 
Lancashire has exposure to hurricane risk impacting the US and the Caribbean in 
the following classes: property retrocession, property direct and facultative, 
property reinsurance, cargo, marine and energy. Lancashire's preliminary 
estimates for the loss events noted have been derived from a combination of 
market data and assumptions, a limited number of provisional loss advices, 
limited client loss data and modelled loss projections.   As additional 
information emerges, the Company's actual ultimate loss may vary, perhaps 
materially, from the preliminary estimates announced.  The final settlement of 
all claims is likely to take place over a considerable period of time. 
 
Alex Maloney, Group Chief Executive Officer, commented: 
 
"The extensive news coverage turned our thoughts to those whose lives, 
livelihoods and businesses were devastated by these forces of nature. As we 
assess the financial impact of these losses for Lancashire, these events 
illustrate the value of our products to our clients. Lancashire's combination 
of a strong balance sheet and market leading professional expertise allows us 
to service the current and future needs of our clients and their brokers and to 
meet the long term expectations of our investors and broader stakeholders." 
 
Lancashire expects to provide an update as part of its earnings release 
covering the Group's financial statements for the third quarter due for release 
on 2 November 2017. 
 
See further the "Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements" below. 
 
For further information, please contact: 
 
Lancashire Holdings Limited 
Christopher Head                    [phone] 
                                    [e-mail] 
 
Jonny Creagh-Coen                   [phone] 
                                    [e-mail] 
 
Haggie Partners                     [phone] 
 
David Haggie                        (David Haggie mobile +44 
                                    7768332486) 
 
About Lancashire 
 
Lancashire, through its UK and Bermuda-based operating subsidiaries, is a 
global provider of specialty insurance and reinsurance products. The Group 
companies carry the following ratings: 
 
                          Financial     Financial    Long Term 
                          Strength      Strength     Issuer 
                          Rating (1)    Outlook(1)   Rating (2) 
 
A.M. Best                 A (Excellent) Stable       bbb 
 
S&P Global Ratings        A-            Positive     BBB 
 
Moody's                   A3            Stable       Baa2 
 
(1) Financial Strength Rating and Financial Strength Outlook apply to 
Lancashire Insurance Company Limited and Lancashire Insurance Company (UK) 
Limited. 
 
(2) Long Term Issuer Rating applies to Lancashire Holdings Limited. 
 
Cathedral benefits from Lloyd's ratings: A.M. Best: A (Excellent); S&P Global 
Ratings: A+ (Strong); and Fitch: AA- (Very Strong). 
 
Lancashire has capital in excess of $1.5 billion and its common shares trade on 
the premium segment of the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange under the 
ticker symbol LRE. Lancashire has its corporate headquarters and mailing 
address at 29th Floor, 20 Fenchurch Street, London EC3M 3BY, United Kingdom and 
its registered office at Power House, 7 Par-la-Ville Road, Hamilton HM 11, 
Bermuda. 
 
For more information on Lancashire and Lancashire's subsidiary and Lloyd's 
segment, Cathedral Capital Limited ("Cathedral"), visit Lancashire's website at 
www.lancashiregroup.com 
 
The UK Prudential Regulation Authority ("PRA") is the Group Supervisor of the 
Lancashire Group. 
 
Lancashire Insurance Company Limited is regulated by the Bermuda Monetary 
Authority ("BMA") in Bermuda. 
 
Lancashire Insurance Company (UK) Limited is authorised by the PRA and 
regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority ("FCA") and the PRA in the UK. 
 
Kinesis Capital Management Limited is regulated by the BMA in Bermuda. 
 
Cathedral Underwriting Limited is authorised by the PRA and regulated by the 
FCA and the PRA in the UK. It is also authorised and regulated by Lloyd's. 
 
This release contains information, which may be of a price sensitive nature, 
that Lancashire is making public in a manner consistent with the EU Market 
Abuse Regulation and other regulatory obligations.  The information was 
submitted for publication, through the agency of the contact persons set out 
above, at 07:00BST on 9 October 2017. 
 
NOTE REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS: 
 
CERTAIN STATEMENTS AND INDICATIVE PROJECTIONS (WHICH MAY INCLUDE MODELED LOSS 
SCENARIOS) MADE IN THIS RELEASE OR OTHERWISE THAT ARE NOT BASED ON CURRENT OR 
HISTORICAL FACTS ARE FORWARD-LOOKING IN NATURE INCLUDING, WITHOUT LIMITATION, 
STATEMENTS CONTAINING THE WORDS "BELIEVES", "ANTICIPATES", "PLANS", "PROJECTS", 
"FORECASTS", "GUIDANCE", "INTS", "EXPECTS", "ESTIMATES", "PREDICTS", "MAY", 
"CAN", "LIKELY", "WILL", "SEEKS", "SHOULD", OR, IN EACH CASE, THEIR NEGATIVE OR 
COMPARABLE TERMINOLOGY. ALL SUCH STATEMENTS OTHER THAN STATEMENTS OF HISTORICAL 
FACTS INCLUDING, WITHOUT LIMITATION, THE GROUP'S FINANCIAL POSITION, LIQUIDITY, 
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS, PROSPECTS, GROWTH, CAPITAL MANAGEMENT PLANS AND 
EFFICIENCIES, ABILITY TO CREATE VALUE, DIVID POLICY, OPERATIONAL 
FLEXIBILITY, COMPOSITION OF MANAGEMENT, BUSINESS STRATEGY, PLANS AND OBJECTIVES 
OF MANAGEMENT FOR FUTURE OPERATIONS (INCLUDING DEVELOPMENT PLANS AND OBJECTIVES 
RELATING TO THE GROUP'S INSURANCE BUSINESS) ARE FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS. 
SUCH FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INVOLVE KNOWN AND UNKNOWN RISKS, UNCERTAINTIES 
AND OTHER IMPORTANT FACTORS THAT COULD CAUSE THE ACTUAL RESULTS, PERFORMANCE OR 
ACHIEVEMENTS OF THE GROUP TO BE MATERIALLY DIFFERENT FROM FUTURE RESULTS, 
PERFORMANCE OR ACHIEVEMENTS EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED BY SUCH FORWARD-LOOKING 
STATEMENTS. 
 
THESE FACTORS INCLUDE, BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO: THE ACTUAL DEVELOPMENT OF LOSSES 
AND EXPENSES IMPACTING ESTIMATES FOR HURRICANES HARVEY, IRMA AND MARIA AND THE 
TWO RECENT EARTHQUAKES IN MEXICO; THE IMPACT OF COMPLEX AND UNIQUE CAUSATION 
AND COVERAGE ISSUES ASSOCIATED WITH THE ATTRIBUTION OF LOSSES TO WIND OR FLOOD 
DAMAGE OR OTHER PERILS SUCH AS FIRE OR BUSINESS INTERRUPTION; THE GROUP'S 
ABILITY TO INTEGRATE ITS BUSINESSES AND PERSONNEL; THE SUCCESSFUL RETENTION AND 
MOTIVATION OF THE GROUP'S KEY MANAGEMENT; THE INCREASED REGULATORY BURDEN 
FACING THE GROUP, THE NUMBER AND TYPE OF INSURANCE AND REINSURANCE CONTRACTS 
THAT THE GROUP WRITES OR MAY WRITE; THE GROUP'S ABILITY TO IMPLEMENT 
SUCCESSFULLY ITS BUSINESS STRATEGY DURING 'SOFT' AS WELL AS 'HARD' MARKETS; THE 
PREMIUM RATES WHICH MAY BE AVAILABLE AT THE TIME OF SUCH RENEWALS WITHIN THE 
GROUP'S TARGETED BUSINESS LINES; THE POSSIBLE LOW FREQUENCY OF LARGE EVENTS; 
POTENTIALLY UNUSUAL LOSS FREQUENCY; THE IMPACT THAT THE GROUP'S FUTURE 
OPERATING RESULTS, CAPITAL POSITION AND RATING AGENCY AND OTHER CONSIDERATIONS 
MAY HAVE ON THE EXECUTION OF ANY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INITIATIVES OR DIVIDS; 
THE POSSIBILITY OF GREATER FREQUENCY OR SEVERITY OF CLAIMS AND LOSS ACTIVITY 
THAN THE GROUP'S UNDERWRITING, RESERVING OR INVESTMENT PRACTICES HAVE 
ANTICIPATED; THE RELIABILITY OF, AND CHANGES IN ASSUMPTIONS TO, CATASTROPHE 
PRICING, ACCUMULATION AND ESTIMATED LOSS MODELS; INCREASED COMPETITION FROM 
EXISTING ALTERNATIVE CAPITAL PROVIDERS, INSURANCE LINKED FUNDS AND 
COLLATERALISED SPECIAL PURPOSE INSURERS AND THE RELATED DEMAND AND SUPPLY 
DYNAMICS AS CONTRACTS COME UP FOR RENEWAL; THE EFFECTIVENESS OF THE GROUP'S 
LOSS LIMITATION METHODS; THE POTENTIAL LOSS OF KEY PERSONNEL; A DECLINE IN THE 
GROUP'S OPERATING SUBSIDIARIES' RATING WITH A.M. BEST, S&P GLOBAL RATINGS, 
MOODY'S OR OTHER RATING AGENCIES; INCREASED COMPETITION ON THE BASIS OF 
PRICING, CAPACITY, COVERAGE TERMS OR OTHER FACTORS; A CYCLICAL DOWNTURN OF THE 
INDUSTRY; THE IMPACT OF A DETERIORATING CREDIT ENVIRONMENT FOR ISSUERS OF FIXED 
MATURITY INVESTMENTS; THE IMPACT OF SWINGS IN MARKET INTEREST RATES, CURRENCY 
EXCHANGE RATES AND SECURITIES PRICES; CHANGES BY CENTRAL BANKS REGARDING THE 
LEVEL OF INTEREST RATES; THE IMPACT OF INFLATION OR DEFLATION IN RELEVANT 
ECONOMIES IN WHICH THE GROUP OPERATES; THE EFFECT, TIMING AND OTHER 
UNCERTAINTIES SURROUNDING FUTURE BUSINESS COMBINATIONS WITHIN THE INSURANCE AND 
REINSURANCE INDUSTRIES; THE IMPACT OF TERRORIST ACTIVITY IN THE COUNTRIES IN 
WHICH THE GROUP WRITES RISKS; A RATING DOWNGRADE OF, OR A MARKET DECLINE IN, 
SECURITIES IN THE GROUP'S INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO; CHANGES IN GOVERNMENTAL 
REGULATIONS OR TAX LAWS IN JURISDICTIONS WHERE THE GROUP CONDUCTS BUSINESS; ANY 
OF THE GROUP'S BERMUDIAN SUBSIDIARIES BECOMING SUBJECT TO INCOME TAXES IN THE 
UNITED STATES OR THE UNITED KINGDOM; THE INAPPLICABILITY TO THE GROUP OF 
SUITABLE EXCLUSIONS FROM THE UK CFC REGIME; ANYCHANGE IN UK GOVERNMENT POLICY 
WHICH IMPACTS THE CFC REGIME OR OTHER TAX CHANGES; AND THE IMPACT OF THE 
"BREXIT" VOTE AND FUTURE NEGOTIATIONS REGARDING THE U.K'S RELATIONSHIP WITH THE 
E.U. ON THE GROUP'S BUSINESS, REGULATORY RELATIONSHIPS, UNDERWRITING PLATFORMS 
OR THE INDUSTRY GENERALLY. 
 

ALL FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN THIS RELEASE SPEAK ONLY AS AT THE DATE OF 
PUBLICATION. LANCASHIRE EXPRESSLY DISCLAIMS ANY OBLIGATION OR UNDERTAKING (SAVE 
AS REQUIRED TO COMPLY WITH ANY LEGAL OR REGULATORY OBLIGATIONS INCLUDING THE 
RULES OF THE LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE) TO DISSEMINATE ANY UPDATES OR REVISIONS TO 
ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT TO REFLECT ANY CHANGES IN THE GROUP'S 
EXPECTATIONS OR CIRCUMSTANCES ON WHICH ANY SUCH STATEMENT IS BASED. 
 
 
 
END 
 

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

October 09, 2017 02:00 ET (06:00 GMT)