Avi Global Share Discussion Threads

[topvest] 22/8/2022 21:11

I think Bill Ackman's portfolio choice is normally pretty sound, but his counter-cyclical hedging operation is quite brilliant. The Covid-19 hedge was probably the best trade any closed-ended manager has ever pulled-off. Buffett hasn't even pulled off such a brilliantly timed deal.

[topvest] 22/8/2022 21:06

I like Pershing Square and Bill Ackman. Appendix A to his half year report is interesting. I hadn't realised that SMT was the biggest closed end fund in the world and Pershing Square are 3rd.
London leads the way. We should be shouting about this - we even beat the US with 44 of the top 100 big closed-end funds . It's quite surprising to me that there are not any bigger US closed-end funds.

[biggest bill] 14/7/2022 13:24

The June update is out.

[emptyglass] 01/7/2022 15:15

(paywall) www.youinvest.co.uk/sharesmagazine/2022-06-30/buy-avi-global-for-a-new-spin-on-value-investing

[vacendak] 31/5/2022 09:38

Second on "Best Report and Accounts – Generalist".

"Highly commended: AVI Global Trust

The judges noted how AVI Global Trust has differentiated itself in a crowded sector with an attractive and highly readable report."

The Merchants Trust won, I do not own, so do not read their ARs; but it is true that the reports produced by AVI (AGT and AJOT) try hard to tell the stories of the biggest holdings.

[davebowler] 18/5/2022 11:34

AVI Global Trust (AGT)’s NAV declined -2.9% in April as the portfolio weighted average discount widened 210bps
to 30.5%

[davebowler] 18/5/2022 11:30

April update

[vacendak] 28/4/2022 15:04

The Kepler article mixes up AJOT and AGT.
Interesting read on everything "value".

[davebowler] 28/4/2022 13:23

In the global sector, the best option is likely to be AJOT’s sister trust AVI Global (AGT). AGT aims to capitalise on inherently discounted investment structures, be they family-backed holding companies, closed-ended funds or Japanese asset-backed special situations (which closely aligns with the opportunities exploited by AJOT). This means that AJOT offers value investors the ability to access a wider range of investments than the more conventional value strategies can. Interestingly, this means the underlying exposure often involves companies in typical growth sectors, but which are accessed at a discount. One example of these is LVMH, the highly valued luxury goods maker, which is AJOT’s largest underlying position.

[davebowler] 28/4/2022 08:23

Citywire-
AVI Global (AGT) fund manager Joe Bauernfreund is cautiously looking for opportunities to deploy up to £150m of cash and borrowing as volatile stock markets weaken the share prices of the investment companies and holding companies he likes to buy.

Bauernfreuend (pictured below), who as chief executive of Asset Value Investors (AVI) has run the £950m investment trust for six-and-a-half years, removed the small amount of gearing, or borrowing, the closed-end fund had at the start of the year. Although the company is paying interest on £30m and €50m of long-term loans, keeping the cash in reserve has helped the trust avoid the steep falls of global growth rivals like Scottish Mortgage (SMT) and Martin Currie Global (MCP).

While they have slumped 34% and 25% respectively, AGT has fallen 12.5%, a decline that reflects the widening of investment company discounts as investors worry about inflation, rising US interest rates and the impact of the Ukraine war.

‘We have been patient thus far in terms of getting that money reinvested,’ Bauernfreund told Citywire Investment Trust Insider. ‘As things stand we are almost 100% invested, which I think is appropriate for our mandate.


‘I am not in favour of making big market-timing bets. We have made a few small incremental additions to some existing holdings in the past few weeks, and we are starting to see some of the weakness in equity markets spread to parts of our universe that had previously looked over-valued.

‘So I expect we will find good opportunities to invest that cash in the coming months but, at present, we are in no rush,’ he said.



Year to date the underlying net asset value (NAV) of AGT’s investments in 36 closed-end funds and holding companies is down 8%, according to Morningstar data from Numis Securities. That’s behind the 6.2% decline in the MSCI All Countries World index, a benchmark that it has underperformed over five years with NAV including dividends up 52.7% against a 60% advance in the MSCI.

ADVERTISING

Bauernfreund is confident the portfolio of undervalued investments can re-rate once markets stabilise. While he waits, there has also been a lull in his team’s investor activism. The fund manager declined to comment on this week’s strong results from Third Point Investors (TPOU), in which it is nearly 6% invested, having secured – with other rebel shareholders – representation on its board after a bruising corporate governance battle with the Daniel Loeb managed hedge fund last year.

However, he was clear he wanted to see further action on Third Point’s discount that has widened to 14% from the 11% it narrowed to after its victory in February.

‘We share the frustration of many shareholders that despite the very strong performance, the quality of the underlying portfolio and the success it’s had over the last few years in particular, that it continues to trade at a discount that we think is far too wide,’ said Bauernfreund, who took advantage of an opportunity this month to exchange some of AGT’s holding in Third Point to its underlying ‘master’ fund at close to NAV.

Bauernfreund is more patient with Third Point’s rival Pershing Square Holdings (PSH), its top position at 9% of assets at the end of March. Although AVI clashed with Pershing Square three years ago over a long-term loan it thought could frustrate efforts to narrow the fund’s wide discount, relations have improved. For the time being Bauernfreund is willing to settle for the turnaround in performance fund manager Bill Ackman has achieved through the pandemic, with shareholder returns up 107% since 2019, despite the stock trailing NAV by a massive 31%.

‘The NAV growth and the share price performance more than makes up for the fact that [Pershing] trades on a wide discount. We hope the board continues to look at ways to narrow the discount and we hope [it] does start to narrow,’ Bauernfreund said.

The key difference between the holdings is their long-term performance. Since investing in both in 2017, Pershing Square shares have returned around 136% versus Third Point’s 74% and the MSCI World’s 63%.

AVI is also forgiving of Ackman’s recent decision to end a three-month investment in Netflix, at a loss of over $400m, after the US streaming giant disclosed a slump in subscriber numbers due to inflation. Asked for his view, Bauernfreund referred to a comment from his head of research Tom Treanor who last week said: ‘Doubling down in these situations is actually the easy option. Yet often the most dangerous. Selling out was a brave decision and we applaud it regardless of Netflix’s subsequent share price from here – it appears Pershing has learnt from past mistakes and has demonstrated commendable discipline.’

[topvest] 24/4/2022 19:01

Yes, all credit to Ackman to owning up to a mistake so quickly. To be honest he's making more money from his macro calls at the moment and so maybe another asymmetric derivative will come good sometime soon!

[vacendak] 24/4/2022 18:54

Well, I shall give it to Ackman, he has eaten humble pie, admitted being wrong and taken a decision, in this case cut the losses. This is "active" to me.

I am also exposed, also indirectly, to Netflix via Baillie Gifford USA. Different song there: They are not dumping.

[donald pond] 24/4/2022 18:48

You never know, NFLX was a 2% hit to PSH but if Bill has taken out one of his big hedges it will be good

[vacendak] 24/4/2022 17:35

Pershing Square is unlikely to be the best pupil in our next factsheet.

[davebowler] 28/3/2022 10:05

Sister company -

[vacendak] 22/2/2022 17:58

True, the magic of cookies... I had forgotten about the registration at Citywire. It is free mind you.

[biggest bill] 22/2/2022 16:52

Here is a link where you don't need to sign in.

[vacendak] 22/2/2022 10:48

This is indeed a positive result after some bare knuckle fight.

That reminds me, we have not heard about Symphony in a while: The one where the board and investment manager are in cahoots and their other "complex" voting structure.

[davebowler] 22/2/2022 08:50

hTTps://citywire.com/investment-trust-insider/news/change-afoot-as-third-point-board-strikes-deal-with-rebels/a2380253?re=94445&ea=252901&utm_source=

[steve3sandal] 21/2/2022 19:14

Or, we could use the news to top up. Around 180p would be nice.

[marktime1231] 21/2/2022 18:56

Reports that AVI and Third Point have settled their public squabble, some board changes and presumably a plan to close their discount on the agenda, so lets call it a win for AVI. We could use some good news.