Triad Guaranty Inc. Reports Second Quarter Results

WINSTON-SALEM, N.C., Aug. 12, 2011 /PRNewswire/ -- Triad Guaranty Inc. (OTCBB: TGIC) today reported a net loss for the quarter ended June 30, 2011 of $4.4 million compared to a net loss of $4.9 million for the first quarter of 2011 and net income of $79.1 million for the second quarter of 2010.  The 2011 second quarter diluted loss per share was $0.29 compared to diluted loss per share of $0.32 for the 2011 first quarter and diluted income per share of $5.24 for the second quarter of 2010.

The net loss for the six months ended June 30, 2011 was $9.3 million compared to net income of $51.3 million for the six months ended June 30, 2010.  The diluted loss per share was $0.61 for the six months ended June 30, 2011 compared to diluted income per share of $3.40 for the six months ended June 30, 2010.

Ken Jones, President and CEO, said, "We continue to see the impact of the troubled economy on employment and housing.  Unemployment remained elevated and housing prices were either stagnant or dropped even further during the second quarter.  These economic trends continued to impact our financial results during the second quarter.  While total risk in default decreased again in the second quarter, the rate of decline slowed from that experienced for the past several quarters.  While the level of newly reported defaults remained elevated, new defaults declined slightly in the second quarter.  However, the benefit from the decline in new defaults was offset by lower cures and lower rescissions during the quarter.  The average age of our default inventory continued to increase as the volume of settled claims for the second quarter remained low when compared to settled claims during 2010.  We believe the drop in net settled claims is primarily related to widely reported loan servicers' issues surrounding foreclosure policies and practices, including foreclosure moratoriums.  The second quarter of 2010 included the positive impact of a significant change in reserve factors coupled with an additional accrual of earned premiums related to modified pool structures.  These were the primary drivers of the increase in reported income for that quarter and make comparisons to the 2011 second quarter difficult."  

Mr. Jones continued, "As a company in run-off, our primary focus remains on the efficient and effective servicing of our insured portfolio, particularly with respect to loss management, in order to maximize our claims-paying ability.  Our deficit in assets remains substantial and was $593 million at June 30, 2011.  We continue to believe that, absent significant positive changes in the economy and the residential real estate market, our existing assets and future premiums may not be sufficient to meet our current and future policyholder obligations."

We have updated the quarterly statistical and supplemental information for the 2011 second quarter results on our web site at www.triadguaranty.com.  The supplemental information can be found under "Investors" and then under "Webcasts and Presentations" by the title "Supplemental Information – Second Quarter 2011".

(Relevant Triad Guaranty Inc. financial and statistical information follows)

Triad Guaranty Inc.'s wholly owned subsidiary, Triad Guaranty Insurance Corporation, is a nationwide mortgage insurer pursuing a run-off of its existing in-force book of business.  For more information, please visit the Company's web site at www.triadguaranty.com.

Certain of the statements contained in this release are "forward-looking statements" and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements include estimates and assumptions related to economic, competitive, regulatory, operational and legislative developments. These forward-looking statements are subject to change, uncertainty and circumstances that are, in many instances, beyond our control and they have been made based upon our current expectations and beliefs concerning future developments and their potential effect on us. Actual developments and their results could differ materially from those expected by us, depending on the outcome of a number of factors, including: the possibility that the Illinois Department of Insurance may take various actions regarding Triad if it does not operate its business in accordance with its revised financial and operating plan and the corrective orders, including seeking receivership proceedings; our ability to operate our business in run-off and maintain a solvent run-off; our ability to continue as a going concern; the possibility of general economic and business conditions that are different than anticipated; legislative, regulatory, and other similar developments; changes in interest rates, employment rates, the housing market, the mortgage industry and the stock market; legal and other proceedings regarding modifications and refinancing of mortgages and/or foreclosure proceedings; the possibility that there will not be adequate interest in our common stock on the over the counter markets to ensure efficient pricing; and various factors described under "Risk Factors" and in the "Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995" in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2010 and in other reports and statements filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.  Forward-looking statements are based upon our current expectations and beliefs concerning future events and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect the impact of circumstances or events that arise after the date the forward-looking statements are made, except as otherwise required by law.

Triad Guaranty Inc.
Consolidated Statements of Operations
(Unaudited)
		Three Months Ended				Six Months Ended
		June 30,				June 30,
		2011		2010		2011		2010
		(Dollars in thousands except per share amounts)
Revenues:
	Earned premiums	$                    35,394		$                  72,330		$                72,522		$              118,218
	Net investment income	8,126		10,560		16,617		20,434
	Net realized investment gains (losses)	3,000		(985)		2,564		(1,227)
	Other income (loss)	29		-		56		(8)
	Total revenues	46,549		81,905		91,759		137,417
Losses and Expenses:
	Net settled claims	111,583		145,460		218,492		290,433
	Decrease in reserves	(70,752)		(158,058)		(137,446)		(235,511)
	Loss adjustment expenses	469		4,828		1,959		9,546
	Net losses (benefit) and loss adjustment expenses	41,300		(7,770)		83,005		64,468
	Interest expense	4,469		2,816		8,447		5,285
	Other operating expenses	5,178		7,021		9,615		16,353
	Total losses and expenses	50,947		2,067		101,067		86,106
	Income (loss) before income taxes	(4,398)		79,838		(9,308)		51,311
	Income tax expense	-		717		-		-
Net (loss) income		$                    (4,398)		$                  79,121		$                (9,308)		$                51,311
Per Share Information:
	Diluted (loss) income per share	$                      (0.29)		$                      5.24		$                  (0.61)		$                    3.40
	Diluted weighted average common stock and common
	stock equivalents outstanding (in thousands of shares)	15,258		15,112		15,241		15,109

Triad Guaranty Inc.
Consolidated Balance Sheets
		(Unaudited)				(Unaudited)
		June 30,		December 31,		June 30,
		2011		2010		2010
		(Dollars in thousands)
Assets:
	Invested assets:
	Fixed maturities, available for sale, at market	$                    757,124		$                   812,335		$                   906,992
	Short-term investments	65,894		39,561		29,166
		823,018		851,896		936,158
	Cash and cash equivalents	40,277		38,762		35,576
	Reinsurance recoverable	31,230		40,806		49,829
	Other assets	46,141		60,161		64,000
	Total assets	$                    940,666		$                   991,625		$                1,085,563
Liabilities:
	Losses and loss adjustment expenses	$                    910,530		$                1,060,036		$                1,307,028
	Unearned premiums	8,642		9,057		11,346
	Long-term debt	-		-		34,546
	Deferred payment obligation	517,193		415,657		292,169
	Other liabilities	97,629		93,075		88,619
	Total liabilities	1,533,994		1,577,825		1,733,708
Stockholders' deficit:
	Accumulated deficit	(728,354)		(719,046)		(799,830)
	Accumulated other comprehensive income	20,769		18,609		37,516
	Other equity accounts	114,257		114,237		114,169
	Deficit in assets	(593,328)		(586,200)		(648,145)
Total liabilities and stockholders' deficit		$                    940,666		$                   991,625		$                1,085,563
Common shares outstanding		15,328,128		15,258,128		15,258,128

Triad Guaranty Inc.
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flow
(Unaudited)
		Six Months Ended June 30,
		2011		2010
		(Dollars in thousands)
OPERATING ACTIVITIES
Net (loss) income		$                  (9,308)		$                     51,311
Adjustments to reconcile net (loss) income to net cash
provided by (used in) operating activities:
	Decrease in loss and unearned premium reserves	(149,921)		(230,822)
	Decrease in amounts due to/from reinsurer	9,576		183,670
	Net realized investment (gains) losses	(2,564)		1,227
	Increase in deferred payment obligation	101,536		123,783
	Other operating activities	19,589		(996)
Net cash (used in) provided by operating activities		(31,092)		128,173
INVESTING ACTIVITIES
	Purchases of investment securities	(35,338)		(251,268)
	Sales and maturities of investment securities	94,372		138,918
	Increase in short-term investments	(26,333)		(2,516)
	Other investing activities	(94)		430
Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities		32,607		(114,436)
Net increase in cash		1,515		13,737
Cash at beginning of year		38,762		21,839
Cash at end of period		$                  40,277		$                     35,576

Triad Guaranty Inc.
Sequential Quarterly Financial Statements
(unaudited)
		Condensed Statements of Operations For The Quarter Ended
	(Dollars in thousands)	Jun. 30,			Mar. 31,				Dec. 31,				Sept. 30,			Jun. 30,
		2011			2011				2010				2010			2010
Revenue:
	Earned premiums	$            35,394			$            37,128				$            40,920				$            44,278			$            72,330
	Net investment income	8,126			8,491				8,658				9,681			10,560
	Realized investment (losses) gains	3,000			(436)				(950)				14,694			(985)
	Other income (expense)	29			27				60				(29)			-
	Total revenues	46,549			45,210				48,688				68,624			81,905
Losses and Expenses:
	Net settled claims	111,583			106,909				139,435				132,139			145,460
	Change in reserves	(70,752)			(66,694)				(129,993)				(97,229)			(158,058)
	Loss adjustment expenses	469			1,490				322				491			4,828
	Net losses and LAE expense (benefit)	41,300			41,705				9,764				35,401			(7,770)
	Interest expense	4,469			3,978				3,836				2,642			2,816
	Other operating expenses	5,178			4,437				8,319				6,206			7,021
	Total losses and expenses	50,947			50,120				21,919				44,249			2,067
Income (loss) before taxes and extraordinary item		(4,398)			(4,910)				26,769				24,375			79,838
	Income taxes	-			-				-				-			717
Income (loss) before extraordinary item		(4,398)			(4,910)				26,769				24,375			79,121
	Extraordinary item - gain from repurchase and retirement   of long-term debt	-			-				-				29,640			-
Net (loss) income		$             (4,398)			$               (4,910)				$            26,769				$            54,015			$            79,121
		Condensed Balance Sheets As Of
		Jun. 30,			Mar. 31,				Dec. 31,				Sept. 30,			Jun. 30,
		2011			2011				2010				2010			2010
Assets
	Invested assets	$          823,018			$          842,908				$          851,896				$          905,758			$          936,158
	Cash	40,277			39,073				38,762				36,823			35,576
	Reinsurance recoverable	31,230			33,499				40,806				48,155			49,829
	Other assets	46,141			48,528				60,161				65,416			64,000
	Total assets	$          940,666			$          964,008				$          991,625				$       1,056,152			$       1,085,563
Liabilities and stockholders' deficit
	Liabilities:
	Losses and loss adjustment expenses	$          910,530			$          990,494				$       1,060,036				$       1,200,518			$       1,307,028
	Long-term debt	-			-				-				-			34,546
	Deferred payment obligation	517,193			464,342				415,657				351,720			292,169
	Accrued expenses and other liabilities	106,271			102,911				102,132				99,292			99,965
	Total liabilities	1,533,994			1,557,747				1,577,825				1,651,530			1,733,708
	Deficit in assets	(593,328)			(593,739)				(586,200)				(595,378)			(648,145)
	Total liabilities and stockholders' deficit	$          940,666			$          964,008				$          991,625				$       1,056,152			$       1,085,563

SOURCE Triad Guaranty Inc.

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