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UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
Form 6-K
REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE ISSUER
PURSUANT TO RULE 13
a
-16 OR 15
d
-16
UNDER THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the month of October 2024
Commission File Number 1-15242
DEUTSCHE BANK CORPORATION
(Translation of Registrants Name Into English)
Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft
Taunusanlage 12
60325 Frankfurt am Main
Germany
(Address of Principal Executive Office)
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover of Form 20-F or Form 40-F: Form 20-F ☒ Form 40-F ☐
1
Explanatory note and Exhibit
This Report on Form 6-K contains the following exhibits. This Report on Form 6-K and the exhibits hereto are hereby incorporated by reference into our Registration Statement No. 333- 278331. For the avoidance of doubt, the section of the Earnings Report (contained in Exhibit 99.1) entitled Risks and Opportunities is intended to supplement, but not replace, the section Risk Factors included on pages 11 to 41 of our 2023 Annual Report on Form 20-F.
Exhibit 99.1: Deutsche Bank AGs Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 (IASB IFRS).
Exhibit 99.2: Capitalization table of Deutsche Bank AG as of September 30, 2024 (IASB IFRS).
For non-U.S. purposes, we publish our Earnings Report and other financial reporting documents setting forth results prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) as endorsed by the European Union, including application of fair value hedge accounting for portfolio hedges of interest rate risk (fair value macro hedges) in accordance with the EU carve out version of IAS 39 (EU IFRS, using the EU carve out). Fair value hedge accounting under the EU carve out is employed to minimize the accounting exposure to both positive and negative moves in interest rates in each tenor bucket thereby reducing the volatility of reported revenue from Treasury activities.
For U.S. reporting purposes, we also publish our Earnings Report prepared in accordance with IFRS as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB), which does not permit use of the EU carve out (IASB IFRS), but which is otherwise the same as EU IFRS. The Earnings Report using IASB IFRS is attached as Exhibit 99.1 hereto. The impact of the EU carve out is described in the section Basis of preparation/impact of changes in accounting principles thereof.
Forward-looking statements contain risks
This report contains forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts; they include statements about our beliefs and expectations. Any statement in this report that states our intentions, beliefs, expectations or predictions (and the assumptions underlying them) is a forward-looking statement. These statements are based on plans, estimates and projections as they are currently available to the management of Deutsche Bank. Forward-looking statements therefore speak only as of the date they are made, and we undertake no obligation to update publicly any of them in light of new information or future events.
By their very nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. A number of important factors could therefore cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. Such factors include the conditions in the financial markets in Germany, in Europe, in the United States and elsewhere from which we derive a substantial portion of our trading revenues, potential defaults of borrowers or trading counterparties, the implementation of our strategic initiatives, the reliability of our risk management policies, procedures and methods, and other risks referenced in our filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such factors are described in detail in our 2023 Annual Report on Form 20-F filed with the SEC on March 14, 2024, in the section entitled Risk Factors on pages 11 through 41. Copies of this document are readily available upon request or can be downloaded from www.deutsche-bank.com/ir.
2
Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
This document and other documents we have published or may publish contain non-GAAP financial measures. Non-GAAP financial measures are measures of our historical or future performance, financial position or cash flows that contain adjustments that exclude or include amounts that are included or excluded, as the case may be, from the most directly comparable measure calculated and presented in accordance with IFRS in our financial statements. Examples of its non-GAAP financial measures, and the most directly comparable IFRS financial measures, are as follows:
Non-GAAP Financial Measure |
Most Directly Comparable IFRS Financial Measure |
|
Profit (loss) before tax excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision |
Profit (loss) before tax |
|
Profit (loss) attributable to Deutsche Bank shareholders for the segments, Profit (loss) attributable to Deutsche Bank shareholders and additional equity components for the segments, Profit (loss) excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision |
Profit (loss) |
|
Revenues excluding specific items, Revenues on a currency-adjusted basis |
Net revenues |
|
Net interest income in the key banking book segments |
Net interest income |
|
Adjusted costs, Costs on a currency-adjusted basis, Nonoperating costs, Noninterest expenses excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision |
Noninterest expenses |
|
Cost/income ratio excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision |
Cost/income ratio |
|
Net assets (adjusted) |
Total assets |
|
Tangible shareholders equity, Average tangible shareholders equity, Tangible book value, Average tangible book value |
Total shareholders equity (book value) |
|
Post-tax return on average shareholders equity (based on Profit (loss) attributable to Deutsche Bank shareholders after AT1 coupon), Post-tax return on average tangible shareholders equity (based on Profit (loss) attributable to Deutsche Bank shareholders after AT1 coupon), Post-tax return on average shareholders' equity excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision, Post-tax return on average tangible shareholders equity excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision |
Post-tax return on average shareholders equity |
|
Book value per basic share outstanding, Tangible book value per basic share outstanding |
Book value per share outstanding |
For descriptions of these non-GAAP financial measures and the adjustments made to the most directly comparable financial measures under IFRS, please refer to (i) the section Non-GAAP financial measures of Exhibit 99.1 hereto and (ii) the section Supplementary Information (Unaudited): Non-GAAP Financial Measures on pages 430 to 438 of our 2023 Annual Report on Form 20-F.
When used with respect to future periods, non-GAAP financial measures we use are also forward-looking statements. We cannot predict or quantify the levels of the most directly comparable financial measures under IFRS that would correspond to these measures for future periods. This is because neither the magnitude of such IFRS financial measures, nor the magnitude of the adjustments to be used to calculate the related non-GAAP financial measures from such IFRS financial measures, can be predicted. Such adjustments, if any, will relate to specific, currently unknown, events and in most cases can be positive or negative, so that it is not possible to predict whether, for a future period, the non-GAAP financial measure will be greater than or less than the related IFRS financial measure.
3
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft
Date: October 23, 2024
By: |
_/s/ Andrea Schriber____________ |
Name: |
Andrea Schriber |
Title: |
Managing Director |
By: |
_/s/ Joseph C. Kopec____________ |
Name: |
Joseph C. Kopec |
Title: |
Managing Director and Senior Counsel |
4
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Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
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Exhibit 99.1
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Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
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Content
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Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
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Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
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Strategy
The following section provides an update on the progress of Deutsche Banks strategy implementation in the third quarter of 2024 and should be read in conjunction with the Strategy section provided in the Annual Report 2023.
Global Hausbank
Deutsche Banks strategic and financial roadmap through 2025 aims to position Deutsche Bank as a Global Hausbank to its clients around the world, and to achieve the banks 2025 financial targets and capital objectives. The Global Hausbank strategy is underpinned by three key themes: risk management, sustainability and technology, all of which have become even more important considering the ongoing geopolitical and macroeconomic challenges.
Deutsche Banks key performance indicators 2025
Financial targets and capital objectives for 2025
Financial targets:
Capital objectives:
Deutsche Bank reaffirms its financial targets as well as the banks capital objectives for 2025.
Adjusted costs and post-tax return on average tangible equity are non-GAAP financial measures. Please refer to Non-GAAP financial measures of this report for the definitions of such measures and reconciliations to the IFRS numbers on which they are based.
Our financial targets and capital objectives are based on our financial results prepared in accordance with the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) and endorsed by the European Union (EU). For further details, please refer to the section Basis of preparation/impact of changes in accounting principles in this report.
Progress on strategy implementation
Through disciplined execution, Deutsche Bank made progress on all dimensions of its accelerated Global Hausbank strategy during the third quarter of 2024 by progressing on revenue growth and operational and capital efficiency, thereby improving performance and operating leverage.
Revenues grew by 22% year on year to 9.5 billion in the third quarter of 2024, with 5% growth in commissions and fee income, as net interest income in the key segments of the banking book was broadly stable year on year. The banks compound annual revenue growth rate over the last 12 months compared with the full year 2021 was 9.4% at the end of the quarter, above the banks raised target range of between 5.5% and 6.5%.
Noninterest expenses in the third quarter of 2024 were 4.7 billion versus 5.2 billion in the third quarter of 2023, primarily due to the partial release of the Postbank takeover litigation provision. Adjusted costs were 5.0 billion in the third quarter of 2024, up 2% compared to the third quarter 2023, and in line with the banks guidance for adjusted costs of 5.0 billion per quarter in 2024. The bank made further progress in the third quarter of 2024 on its 2.5 billion Operational Efficiency program, which includes optimization of the platform in Germany and workforce reductions, notably in non-client-facing roles. In the third quarter, total savings were either realized or expected from measures completed, as a result of workforce reductions related to the Operational Efficiency program and reduction of contract external staff, notably through internalization, in the first nine months of 2024.
4
Deutsche Bank |
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Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
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With respect to capital efficiency, Deutsche Bank delivered further risk-weighted assets (RWA) equivalent benefits during the third quarter through data and process improvements. As a result, cumulative RWA reductions from capital efficiency measures marked further progress towards the banks goal of 25 to 30 billion by the end of 2025. Deutsche Bank continues to seek additional opportunities to exceed this goal. In addition, the bank completed its recent share repurchase program in July 2024. Under this program, 46.4 million shares were repurchased for 675 million, bringing cumulative shareholder distributions through dividends and share repurchases to 3.3 billion since 2022.
Sustainability
Ratings improved across environmental, social and governance dimensions, depending on the methodological approach of the rating agency and in line with the banks transparency efforts. With the aforementioned, the bank has received rating improvements from five major ESG rating agencies this year.
In the third quarter, Deutsche Bank deal highlights included:
Deutsche Bank has also undertaken several initiatives with its partners:
Internal sustainability-related achievements of Deutsche Bank included the introduction of enhanced due diligence requirements for nature risks into the credit assessment process at credit approval stage as well as the enhancement of due diligence requirements related to ocean protection as part of banks commitment to the BackBlue initiative.
5
Deutsche Bank |
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Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
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Deutsche Bank segments
Corporate Bank continued to work towards its strategic ambitions, leveraging its strong brand and deep client relationships and aiming to offer a full range of advisory and financing solutions. In the third quarter of 2024, the segment made further progress on growing noninterest revenues, in particular, commissions and fee income with Institutional clients, while net interest income in deposit businesses remained resilient. The segment also enabled the settlement of blockchain-based securities in central bank money in the third quarter of 2024, demonstrating its ambition to invest into innovative products serving its clients needs. As a transition partner, Corporate Bank continued to help clients across sector value chains to achieve their strategic goals by offering a broad suite of sustainable finance solutions and sector aligned ESG industry expertise. In the third quarter of 2024, Corporate Bank completed a number of landmark transactions, including leading the financing of a public lighting project with autonomous solar-powered streetlights, demonstrating Corporate Banks ability to structure complex international trade transactions to serve its clients and accompanying the banks clients transition towards a climate neutral economy.
During the third quarter of 2024, the Investment Bank continued to deliver against its strategic objectives, while supporting the segments clients and driving revenue growth. This was demonstrated by the segments growing activity with its priority institutional clients for both the year to date and for the third quarter when compared to 2023. In Fixed Income & Currencies (FIC), revenues increased year on year despite an uncertain market environment. FIC continued the development of the franchise with an ongoing focus upon driving efficiency whilst identifying targeted growth areas. Origination & Advisory continued to perform well, with increased revenues across business lines, and Strategic Advisory increased market share year on year (source: Dealogic). This follows the targeted investment in senior coverage professionals in 2023 and build out of the client strategy function. ESG continued to be a focus during the quarter. The Investment Bank executed several important transactions including acting as joint leader on KfWs 3 billion 5-year green benchmark bond. The proceeds will be used to finance new Eligible Green Projects according to the Green Bonds, Made by KfW framework, which has received a Second Opinion by Morningstar Sustainalytics.
In the third quarter of 2024, Private Bank sustained its steady growth momentum, supported by positive asset gathering and consistent execution of its transformation strategy. In Personal Banking, the business successfully progressed its strategic repositioning of the Deutsche Bank and Postbank brands in Germany, the branch footprint optimization and the refocusing on the affluent segment in Italy, Spain and Belgium, while increasing digital banking transformation efforts across all markets. In Germany, adoption rates for Postbanks mobile app accelerated as the business further expanded its digital features. Moreover, the latest Fresh Money campaign in the home market attracted material inflows, of which the majority were accomplished on digital channels. In September 2024, the business also announced its future go-to-market model for the Deutsche Bank brand in Germany, with further focus on digitalization, remote advisory and branch network optimization. In Wealth Management & Private Banking, the business further sharpened its segment-specific coverage models, reinforcing client acquisition and service delivery. In Germany, cross-divisional One Bank initiatives, combining Deutsche Banks Private Bank and Corporate Bank capabilities, were critical in strengthening strategic Ultra-High Net Worth (UHNW) client relationships. In Private Banking, the launch of remote advisory pilots was welcomed with positive feedback by clients. In international markets, UHNW individuals and Family Offices remained a priority, driving the continued evolution of the offering. Business growth especially came from discretionary portfolio management, Wealth Management lending, and from the differentiating Bank for Entrepreneurs value proposition, which in Italy and Spain combines Wealth Management & Business Banking solutions.
Asset Management has continued to make progress on its strategic plan. Within the Growth pillar, Passive including Xtrackers continued to achieve strong growth above market share (source: ETFGI) with both Assets under Management (AuM) and net inflows increasing during the quarter. Within Alternatives the business was awarded 1 billion real estate equity mandate and PEIF IV completed its first asset transaction. A number of new funds were also successfully launched in the quarter including several Xtrackers funds, Alternatives infrastructure and debt funds as well as Active Equity and SQI funds. In the Build pillar AllUnity, the Euro stablecoin joint venture between DWS, Galaxy and Flow Traders, submitted an e-money license application to BaFin in September, with license approval and go-live expected in the third quarter of 2025. In the quarter DWS Real Estate won Best Refurbishment and Fit-Out project at the prestigious BREEAM Awards 2024 for a portfolio asset in the German managed grundbesitz Europa fund. BREEAM is a leading science-based suite of validation and certification systems for a more sustainable built environment. DWS was also awarded two prestigious accolades at the 2024 With Intelligence Mutual Fund and ETF Awards, recognizing commitment to innovation and excellence in asset management.
6
Deutsche Bank |
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Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
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Group results
Deutsche Banks profit before tax was 4.2 billion for the third quarter of 2024, up 78% year on year. This included a partial release of approximately 440 million in litigation provisions driven by progress on settlements relating to the banks takeover of Postbank AG. Excluding the Postbank litigation release, profit before tax was 3.8 billion, up 60%, compared to profit before tax of 2.4 billion in the third quarter of 2023. Post-tax profit was 3.1 billion, up 85% year on year, or 2.7 billion excluding the Postbank litigation release, up 63%, compared to post-tax profit of 1.7 billion in the prior year quarter.
Third quarter post-tax return on average shareholders equity (RoE) was 17.3%, compared to 9.5% in the prior year quarter. Post-tax return on average tangible shareholders equity (RoTE) was 19.3%, or 16.9% if adjusted for the Postbank litigation release, up from RoTE of 10.6% in the prior year quarter. The cost/income ratio was 50%, or 55% if adjusted for the Postbank litigation release, down from a cost/income ratio of 66% in the prior year quarter.
For the first nine months of 2024, profit before tax was 6.0 billion, up 11% year on year, or 6.9 billion, up 28%, excluding the nine-month Postbank litigation impact of approximately 900 million. Post-tax profit was 4.1 billion, up 9%, or 4.8 billion, up 29% excluding the Postbank litigation impact, compared to post-tax profit of 3.7 billion in the prior year period. Post-tax RoE was 7.1%, compared to 6.9% in the prior year period. Post-tax RoTE was 7.9%, or 9.6% excluding the Postbank litigation impact, compared to RoTE of 7.7% in the prior year period. The cost/income ratio was 69%, or 66% excluding the Postbank litigation impact, compared to a cost/income ratio of 72% in the prior year period.
Continued delivery of the Global Hausbank strategy
Deutsche Bank made progress on all dimensions of its accelerated Global Hausbank strategy in the third quarter:
Revenues
Net revenues were 9.5 billion in the third quarter, up 22% over the third quarter of 2023. Commissions and fee income grew 5% year on year to 2.5 billion, reflecting strong performance of fee and commissions-based businesses, and net interest income in the key segments of the banking book was broadly stable in an environment of further normalization of interest rates as anticipated. For the first nine months, revenues rose 7% to 24.2 billion, driven by commissions and fee income which grew 9% to 7.7 billion in line with the expected glide path toward the banks full-year 2024 guidance for revenues of around 30 billion.
Revenue development in the banks operating businesses was as follows:
7
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Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
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Expenses
Noninterest expenses were 4.7 billion in the third quarter, down 8% from 5.2 billion in the third quarter of 2023. This development primarily reflected the aforementioned Postbank litigation release of approximately 440 million. Total nonoperating costs were 302 million negative; the Postbank litigation release was partly offset by 88 million in litigation provisions relating to other matters and 42 million in restructuring and severance charges in the quarter. Excluding the Postbank litigation release, noninterest expenses were 5.2 billion, essentially flat compared to the prior year quarter.
Adjusted costs were 5.0 billion in the third quarter, in line with the banks 2024 quarterly adjusted cost guidance for the third consecutive quarter and up 2% compared to the third quarter of 2023. As anticipated, compensation and benefits expenses were higher due to wage growth, strategic growth initiatives including hiring, the acquisition of Numis and higher accruals for variable compensation; this was partly offset by lower technology costs, reflecting the banks efforts to streamline its technology platform, and reductions in professional services fees.
The workforce was 90,236 internal full-time equivalents (FTEs) at the end of the third quarter, a rise of 766 during the quarter. This development reflected over 1,000 graduate hires who joined the bank during the quarter, other strategic hires, and the continued internalization of external staff. These effects more than offset leavers, including through operational efficiency measures, in the quarter.
For the first nine months, noninterest expenses were 16.8 billion, up 3% over the prior year period. Excluding the Postbank litigation impact, noninterest expenses were 15.8 billion, 2% lower than noninterest expenses in the prior year period. Adjusted costs were down 1% to 15.1 billion, in line with the banks guidance for adjusted costs of 5 billion per quarter during 2024.
8
Deutsche Bank |
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Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
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Provision for credit losses
Provision for credit losses was 494 million in the quarter, up from 245 million in the prior year quarter and up slightly from 476 million in the second quarter of 2024. Provisions for performing loans (Stage 1 and 2) were 12 million, down from 35 million in the previous quarter. This reflected softer macro-economic forecasts and the recalibration of overlays, partially offset by portfolio movements since the second quarter. Provision for non-performing loans (Stage 3) were 482 million, up from 441 million in the previous quarter. The quarter-on-quarter increase was driven predominantly by the Private Bank and included residual effects from remaining impacts from Postbank integration which are expected to normalize in the coming quarters, while overall portfolio quality remained largely stable. Provisions relating to commercial real estate were down 34% compared to the previous quarter and included provisions relating to expected sales in the fourth quarter.
For the first nine months, provision for credit losses was 1.4 billion, up from 1.0 billion year on year. This development was substantially driven by certain larger corporate events, for which provisions are partly mitigated by offsetting hedges; remaining impacts from the Postbank integration which are expected to decrease significantly going forward; and higher provisions in commercial real estate compared to the first nine months of 2023. The bank sees signs of stabilization in commercial real estate and expects this to support a further reduction in provisions in future quarters.
Solid capital, liquidity and funding metrics
The Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio was 13.8% in the quarter, up from 13.5% in the previous quarter. This development reflected strong third-quarter earnings and the banks adoption of transitional rules for unrealized gains and losses of certain debt instruments. These positive impacts more than offset higher risk weighted assets (RWA), predominantly higher market risk and credit risk RWA, net of reductions from the aforementioned capital efficiency measures as part of the accelerated execution of the Global Hausbank strategy. Deutsche Bank recently sought ECB authorization for further share repurchases.
The Leverage ratio was 4.6% in the quarter, stable compared to the previous quarter. The positive impact of the capital change in the quarter was offset by the impact of higher leverage exposures driven by trading assets during the quarter.
The Liquidity Coverage Ratio was 135% at the end of the quarter, stable compared to the end of the previous quarter, above the regulatory requirement of 100% and representing a surplus of 60 billion. The Net Stable Funding Ratio was 122%, above the banks guidance range of 115-120% and representing a surplus over requirements of 112 billion. Deposits rose by 6 billion to 652 billion during the quarter.
Sustainable Finance
Sustainable Financing and ESG investment volumes ex-DWS increased during the third quarter of 2024 across Corporate Bank, Investment Bank and Private Bank.
In the third quarter, notable transactions included:
9
Deutsche Bank |
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Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
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Group results at a glance
|
Three months ended |
Nine months ended |
||||||||||||||
in m. |
Sep 30, |
Sep 30, |
Absolute |
Change |
Sep 30, |
Sep 30, |
Absolute |
Change |
||||||||
Net revenues: |
||||||||||||||||
Of which: |
||||||||||||||||
Corporate Bank |
1,841 |
1,890 |
(48) |
(3) |
5,642 |
5,807 |
(165) |
(3) |
||||||||
Investment Bank |
2,523 |
2,271 |
252 |
11 |
8,168 |
7,323 |
845 |
12 |
||||||||
Private Bank |
2,319 |
2,341 |
(22) |
(1) |
7,027 |
7,177 |
(150) |
(2) |
||||||||
Asset Management |
660 |
594 |
66 |
11 |
1,940 |
1,803 |
137 |
8 |
||||||||
Corporate & Other |
2,126 |
685 |
1,441 |
N/M |
1,377 |
511 |
866 |
169 |
||||||||
Total net revenues |
9,470 |
7,781 |
1,688 |
22 |
24,154 |
22,621 |
1,533 |
7 |
||||||||
Provision for credit losses |
494 |
245 |
249 |
102 |
1,410 |
1,017 |
392 |
39 |
||||||||
Noninterest expenses: |
||||||||||||||||
Compensation and benefits |
2,884 |
2,765 |
118 |
4 |
8,824 |
8,273 |
551 |
7 |
||||||||
General and administrative expenses |
1,928 |
2,399 |
(471) |
(20) |
8,039 |
7,816 |
223 |
3 |
||||||||
Impairment of goodwill and other intangible assets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
N/M |
0 |
0 |
0 |
N/M |
||||||||
Restructuring activities |
(68) |
(0) |
(68) |
N/M |
(113) |
134 |
(247) |
N/M |
||||||||
Total noninterest expenses |
4,744 |
5,164 |
(420) |
(8) |
16,751 |
16,223 |
527 |
3 |
||||||||
Profit (loss) before tax |
4,231 |
2,372 |
1,859 |
78 |
5,994 |
5,380 |
614 |
11 |
||||||||
Income tax expense (benefit) |
1,166 |
711 |
455 |
64 |
1,910 |
1,635 |
275 |
17 |
||||||||
Profit (loss) |
3,065 |
1,661 |
1,405 |
85 |
4,084 |
3,745 |
339 |
9 |
||||||||
Profit (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interests |
32 |
24 |
8 |
32 |
105 |
89 |
17 |
19 |
||||||||
Profit (loss) attributable to Deutsche Bank shareholders and additional equity components |
3,033 |
1,637 |
1,397 |
85 |
3,978 |
3,656 |
322 |
9 |
||||||||
Profit (loss) attributable to additional equity components |
172 |
146 |
26 |
18 |
470 |
422 |
48 |
11 |
||||||||
Profit (loss) attributable to Deutsche Bank shareholders |
2,861 |
1,491 |
1,370 |
92 |
3,508 |
3,234 |
274 |
8 |
||||||||
Post-tax return on average tangible shareholders' equity1 |
19.3% |
10.6% |
8.8ppt |
N/M |
7.9% |
7.7% |
0.3ppt |
N/M |
||||||||
Cost/income ratio |
50.1% |
66.4% |
(16.3)ppt |
N/M |
69.3% |
71.7% |
(2.4)ppt |
N/M |
||||||||
Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio |
13.8% |
13.9% |
(0.1)ppt |
N/M |
13.8% |
13.9% |
(0.1)ppt |
N/M |
||||||||
Loans (gross of allowance for loan losses, in bn)2 |
482 |
492 |
(10) |
(2) |
482 |
492 |
(10) |
(2) |
||||||||
Deposits (in bn)2 |
652 |
618 |
33 |
5 |
652 |
618 |
33 |
5 |
||||||||
Risk-weighted assets (in bn)2 |
356 |
354 |
2 |
1 |
356 |
354 |
2 |
1 |
||||||||
of which: operational risk RWA (in bn)2 |
58 |
59 |
(1) |
(2) |
58 |
59 |
(1) |
(2) |
||||||||
Leverage exposure (in bn)2 |
1,284 |
1,235 |
48 |
4 |
1,284 |
1,235 |
48 |
4 |
||||||||
Employees (full-time equivalent)2 |
90,236 |
89,260 |
976 |
1 |
90,236 |
89,260 |
976 |
1 |
||||||||
Post-tax return on average shareholders' equity1 |
17.3% |
9.5% |
7.9ppt |
N/M |
7.1% |
6.9% |
0.2ppt |
N/M |
||||||||
Leverage ratio |
4.6% |
4.7% |
(0.1)ppt |
N/M |
4.6% |
4.7% |
(0.1)ppt |
N/M |
||||||||
N/M Not meaningful
Prior years comparatives aligned to presentation in the current year
1Based on profit (loss) attributable to Deutsche Bank shareholders after AT1 coupon; for further information, please refer to Non-GAAP Financial Measures of this report
2As of quarter-end
Capital expenditures and divestitures
During the first nine months of 2024, the Group did not make any significant capital expenditures or divestitures.
10
Deutsche Bank |
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Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
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Segment results
Corporate Bank
Profit before tax was 539 million in the quarter, down by 29% year on year. This development was primarily driven by higher provision for credit losses, reflecting increased Stage 3 provisions and the non-recurrence of provision releases in the prior year quarter, while noninterest expenses increased slightly and revenues remained essentially flat, against a backdrop of normalizing interest rates. Post-tax RoE was 12.2%, down from 17.9% in the prior year quarter, and post-tax RoTE was 13.1%, down from 19.2%. The cost/income ratio was 64%, up from 59% in the third quarter of 2023.
Net revenues in Corporate Bank were 1.8 billion, 3% lower year on year as the normalization of deposit margins was mostly offset by higher deposit volumes, growth in commissions and fee income and increased loan net interest income. Corporate Treasury Services revenues were 1.0 billion, down 3% year on year, Institutional Client Services revenues rose 3% year on year to 485 million and Business Banking revenues were 328 million, down 9% year on year.
Noninterest expenses were 1.2 billion, up 5% year on year, driven by front office investments and higher internal service cost allocations while adjusted costs rose 6% year on year to 1.2 billion.
Provision for credit losses was 126 million in the quarter, or 44 basis points of average loans, up from 11 million in the prior years quarter. The current quarter was impacted by higher Stage 3 provisions including a larger corporate restructuring event, which had already impacted the second quarter and was partially covered by risk mitigating measures.
Deposits increased by 8% or 23 billion year on year, driven by higher term and sight deposits across currencies. Loans gross of allowances decreased by 2% or 2 billion year on year, reflecting continued selective balance sheet deployment and foreign exchange movements.
For the first nine months of 2024, profit before tax was 1.7 billion, down 21% year on year. Post-tax RoE was 13.5%, compared to 17.1% in the prior year period, while post-tax RoTE was 14.5%, versus 18.4% in the prior year period. The cost/income ratio increased to 63%, from 59% in the prior year period. This development was driven by a 3% decline in net revenues to 5.6 billion, while noninterest expenses rose by 5% to 3.6 billion and adjusted costs rose by 5% to 3.4 billion. Provision for credit losses increased by 68% to 324 million, driven by higher Stage 1 and 2 provisions compared to releases in prior year, and higher current year Stage 3 provisions.
11
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
Corporate Bank results at a glance
|
Three months ended |
Nine months ended |
||||||||||||||
in m. |
Sep 30, 2024 |
Sep 30, 2023 |
Absolute |
Change |
Sep 30, 2024 |
Sep 30, 2023 |
Absolute |
Change |
||||||||
Net revenues: |
||||||||||||||||
Corporate Treasury Services |
1,028 |
1,061 |
(33) |
(3) |
3,159 |
3,341 |
(182) |
(5) |
||||||||
Institutional Client Services |
485 |
469 |
16 |
3 |
1,477 |
1,403 |
75 |
5 |
||||||||
Business Banking |
328 |
360 |
(31) |
(9) |
1,006 |
1,063 |
(57) |
(5) |
||||||||
Total net revenues |
1,841 |
1,890 |
(48) |
(3) |
5,642 |
5,807 |
(165) |
(3) |
||||||||
Of which: |
||||||||||||||||
Net interest income |
1,179 |
1,212 |
(33) |
(3) |
3,757 |
3,858 |
(101) |
(3) |
||||||||
Commissions and fee income |
611 |
586 |
25 |
4 |
1,828 |
1,735 |
93 |
5 |
||||||||
Remaining income |
51 |
92 |
(41) |
(44) |
57 |
214 |
(157) |
(73) |
||||||||
Provision for credit losses |
126 |
11 |
115 |
N/M |
324 |
192 |
132 |
68 |
||||||||
Noninterest expenses: |
||||||||||||||||
Compensation and benefits |
397 |
381 |
17 |
4 |
1,179 |
1,113 |
66 |
6 |
||||||||
General and administrative expenses |
781 |
743 |
37 |
5 |
2,397 |
2,307 |
91 |
4 |
||||||||
Impairment of goodwill and other intangible assets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
N/M |
0 |
0 |
0 |
N/M |
||||||||
Restructuring activities |
(1) |
(0) |
(1) |
N/M |
(1) |
(0) |
(1) |
N/M |
||||||||
Total noninterest expenses |
1,177 |
1,124 |
53 |
5 |
3,576 |
3,419 |
156 |
5 |
||||||||
Noncontrolling interests |
0 |
0 |
0 |
N/M |
0 |
0 |
0 |
N/M |
||||||||
Profit (loss) before tax |
539 |
755 |
(217) |
(29) |
1,742 |
2,195 |
(453) |
(21) |
||||||||
Employees (front office, full-time equivalent)1 |
7,909 |
7,570 |
339 |
4 |
7,909 |
7,570 |
339 |
4 |
||||||||
Employees (business-aligned operations, full-time equivalent)1 |
8,042 |
8,047 |
(5) |
(0) |
8,042 |
8,047 |
(5) |
(0) |
||||||||
Employees (allocated central infrastructure, full-time equivalent)1 |
10,200 |
9,296 |
904 |
10 |
10,200 |
9,296 |
904 |
10 |
||||||||
Total employees (full-time equivalent)1 |
26,151 |
24,914 |
1,237 |
5 |
26,151 |
24,914 |
1,237 |
5 |
||||||||
Total assets (in bn)1,2 |
288 |
254 |
33 |
13 |
288 |
254 |
33 |
13 |
||||||||
Risk-weighted assets (in bn)1 |
74 |
69 |
5 |
8 |
74 |
69 |
5 |
8 |
||||||||
of which: operational risk RWA (in bn)1,3 |
9 |
6 |
3 |
58 |
9 |
6 |
3 |
58 |
||||||||
Leverage exposure (in bn)1 |
333 |
299 |
34 |
11 |
333 |
299 |
34 |
11 |
||||||||
Deposits (in bn)1 |
310 |
286 |
23 |
8 |
310 |
286 |
23 |
8 |
||||||||
Loans (gross of allowance for loan losses, in bn)1 |
115 |
117 |
(2) |
(2) |
115 |
117 |
(2) |
(2) |
||||||||
Cost/income ratio |
63.9% |
59.5% |
4.4ppt |
N/M |
63.4% |
58.9% |
4.5ppt |
N/M |
||||||||
Post-tax return on average shareholders equity4 |
12.2% |
17.9% |
(5.7)ppt |
N/M |
13.5% |
17.1% |
(3.6)ppt |
N/M |
||||||||
Post-tax return on average tangible shareholders equity4 |
13.1% |
19.2% |
(6.2)ppt |
N/M |
14.5% |
18.4% |
(3.9)ppt |
N/M |
||||||||
N/M Not meaningful
Prior years comparatives aligned to presentation in the current year
1As of quarter-end
2Segment assets represent consolidated view, i.e., the amounts do not include intersegment balances
3Starting from the first quarter of 2024, the allocation of operational risk RWA has changed. For more information, please refer to section Basis of preparation/impact of changes in accounting principles - Business Segments of this report
4Starting from the first quarter of 2024, the equity allocation framework has been updated. For more information, please refer to section Basis of preparation/impact of changes in accounting principles - Business Segments of this report
12
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
Investment Bank
Profit before tax was 813 million in the quarter, up by 21% year on year, with growth across both Fixed Income and Currencies (FIC) and Origination and Advisory (O&A) revenues, partially offset by significantly higher provision for credit losses, with noninterest expenses essentially flat. Post-tax RoE was 8.7%, up from 7.1% in the prior year quarter, and post-tax RoTE was 9.0%, up from 7.3%. The cost/income ratio was 63%, down from 68% in the third quarter of 2023.
Net revenues were 2.5 billion in the third quarter, 11% higher year on year, reflecting strength in FIC and a continued industry recovery in O&A. FIC ex. Financing revenues were 1.3 billion, an increase of 17% year on year, and FIC Financing revenues were essentially flat at 774 million, while O&A revenues rose 24% year on year to 401 million.
Noninterest expenses were 1.6 billion, up 3% year on year, with the full impact of strategic investments in the second half of 2023, partially offset by lower internal service allocations. Adjusted costs also rose 3% year on year to 1.6 billion.
Provision for credit losses was 135 million in the quarter, or 52 basis points of average loans and significantly higher year on year, reflecting the non-repeat of model changes in the prior year quarter which drove a material provision release.
For the first nine months of 2024, profit before tax was 2.8 billion, up 32% year on year. Post-tax RoE rose to 10.4%, from 7.8% in the corresponding period in the prior year, while post-tax RoTE was 10.8%, up from 8%. The cost/income ratio improved to 60%, from 67% in the corresponding period in the prior year. This development was driven by an 12% growth in net revenues to 8.2 billion, while noninterest expenses and adjusted costs both reduced by 1% to 4.9 billion and 4.7 billion respectively. Provision for credit losses increased by 84% to 449 million, mainly driven by higher Stage 3 provisions compared to the prior year period.
13
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
Investment Bank results at a glance
|
Three months ended |
Nine months ended |
||||||||||||||
in m. |
Sep 30, 2024 |
Sep 30, 2023 |
Absolute |
Change |
Sep 30, 2024 |
Sep 30, 2023 |
Absolute |
Change |
||||||||
Net revenues: |
||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income & Currencies |
2,124 |
1,914 |
210 |
11 |
6,709 |
6,384 |
325 |
5 |
||||||||
Fixed Income & Currencies: Financing |
774 |
760 |
14 |
2 |
2,360 |
2,241 |
119 |
5 |
||||||||
Fixed Income & Currencies: Ex-Financing |
1,350 |
1,154 |
196 |
17 |
4,350 |
4,143 |
206 |
5 |
||||||||
Origination & Advisory |
401 |
323 |
78 |
24 |
1,490 |
941 |
549 |
58 |
||||||||
Debt Origination |
274 |
229 |
45 |
20 |
1,028 |
654 |
374 |
57 |
||||||||
Equity Origination |
33 |
23 |
10 |
42 |
127 |
75 |
52 |
69 |
||||||||
Advisory |
94 |
71 |
23 |
32 |
335 |
212 |
123 |
58 |
||||||||
Research and Other |
(2) |
33 |
(36) |
N/M |
(31) |
(2) |
(29) |
N/M |
||||||||
Total net revenues |
2,523 |
2,271 |
252 |
11 |
8,168 |
7,323 |
845 |
12 |
||||||||
Provision for credit losses |
135 |
63 |
72 |
114 |
449 |
244 |
204 |
84 |
||||||||
Noninterest expenses: |
||||||||||||||||
Compensation and benefits |
654 |
618 |
36 |
6 |
2,026 |
1,878 |
148 |
8 |
||||||||
General and administrative expenses |
925 |
923 |
2 |
0 |
2,864 |
3,055 |
(191) |
(6) |
||||||||
Impairment of goodwill and other intangible assets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
N/M |
0 |
0 |
0 |
N/M |
||||||||
Restructuring activities |
(0) |
(1) |
1 |
N/M |
(0) |
(1) |
1 |
(64) |
||||||||
Total noninterest expenses |
1,578 |
1,539 |
39 |
3 |
4,889 |
4,932 |
(42) |
(1) |
||||||||
Noncontrolling interests |
(4) |
(5) |
1 |
(20) |
7 |
1 |
6 |
N/M |
||||||||
Profit (loss) before tax |
813 |
674 |
140 |
21 |
2,823 |
2,146 |
677 |
32 |
||||||||
Employees (front office, full-time equivalent)1 |
4,920 |
4,641 |
279 |
6 |
4,920 |
4,641 |
279 |
6 |
||||||||
Employees (business-aligned operations, full-time equivalent)1 |
3,138 |
3,127 |
11 |
0 |
3,138 |
3,127 |
11 |
0 |
||||||||
Employees (allocated central infrastructure, full-time equivalent)1 |
12,280 |
11,867 |
413 |
3 |
12,280 |
11,867 |
413 |
3 |
||||||||
Total employees (full-time equivalent)1 |
20,338 |
19,635 |
703 |
4 |
20,338 |
19,635 |
703 |
4 |
||||||||
Total assets (in bn)1,2 |
753 |
714 |
39 |
6 |
753 |
714 |
39 |
6 |
||||||||
Risk-weighted assets (in bn)1 |
134 |
142 |
(8) |
(6) |
134 |
142 |
(8) |
(6) |
||||||||
of which: operational risk RWA (in bn)1,3 |
16 |
23 |
(7) |
(31) |
16 |
23 |
(7) |
(31) |
||||||||
Leverage exposure (in bn)1 |
572 |
551 |
21 |
4 |
572 |
551 |
21 |
4 |
||||||||
Deposits (in bn)1 |
20 |
15 |
6 |
39 |
20 |
15 |
6 |
39 |
||||||||
Loans (gross of allowance for loan losses, in bn)1 |
105 |
103 |
2 |
2 |
105 |
103 |
2 |
2 |
||||||||
Cost/income ratio |
62.6% |
67.8% |
(5.2)ppt |
N/M |
59.9% |
67.3% |
(7.5)ppt |
N/M |
||||||||
Post-tax return on average shareholders equity4 |
8.7% |
7.1% |
1.6ppt |
N/M |
10.4% |
7.8% |
2.6ppt |
N/M |
||||||||
Post-tax return on average tangible shareholders equity4 |
9.0% |
7.3% |
1.7ppt |
N/M |
10.8% |
8.0% |
2.8ppt |
N/M |
||||||||
N/M Not meaningful
Prior years comparatives aligned to presentation in the current year
1As of quarter-end
2Segment assets represent consolidated view, i.e., the amounts do not include intersegment balances
3Starting from the first quarter of 2024, the allocation of operational risk RWA has changed. For more information, please refer to section Basis of preparation/impact of changes in accounting principles - Business Segments of this report
4Starting from the first quarter of 2024, the equity allocation framework has been updated. For more information, please refer to section Basis of preparation/impact of changes in accounting principles - Business Segments of this report
14
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
Private Bank
Profit before tax was 319 million in the quarter, down 18% year on year reflecting higher provision for credit losses. Both post-tax RoE and post-tax RoTE decreased to 5.4%, compared to 7.4% and 7.8% respectively in the third quarter of 2023. The cost/income ratio increased to 77%, compared to 76% in the third quarter of 2023.
Net revenues were 2.3 billion, essentially flat year on year as lower net interest income was partly offset by growth in investment products, in line with the segments strategy to grow noninterest income.
In Personal Banking, net revenues decreased by 5% to 1.3 billion, reflecting continued higher funding costs, including the impact from minimum reserves, certain hedging costs and higher Group neutral central treasury allocation to the segment as well as lower lending revenues partly reflecting a negative nonrecurring effect. These impacts were partly offset by growth in deposit revenues.
In Wealth Management & Private Banking, net revenues were 1.0 billion, up 5% year on year. Growth was driven by higher lending and investment product revenues, partially offset by lower deposit revenues.
Assets under management were 625 billion at quarter end, up 13 billion in the quarter. The increase was driven by net inflows of 8 billion and 9 billion positive market movements, partly offset by 4 billion negative foreign exchange movements.
Noninterest expenses were 1.8 billion, essentially flat year on year. Adjusted costs increased by 2% to 1.8 billion reflecting higher group neutral internal service cost allocations, compensation impacts and residual cost for service remediation. These were partially offset by normalized investment spend and transformation benefits including workforce reductions and the closure of 50 branches during the first nine months of 2024.
Provision for credit losses was 205 million, or 32 basis points of average loans, compared to 174 million in the prior year quarter. The quarter was impacted by continued elevated transitory effects from Postbank integration. Overall, the quality of the segments portfolios remains high.
For the first nine months of 2024, the Private Bank reported a profit before tax of 1.1 billion, up 187 million year on year. Post-tax RoE rose to 6.3%, from 5.5% in the corresponding period in the prior year, while post-tax RoTE was 6.4%, up from 5.8%. The cost/income ratio improved to 77%, from 80% in the prior year period. These developments were primarily attributable to a year-on-year decrease in noninterest expenses of 6% to 5.4 billion, including 2% lower adjusted costs as well as significantly lower nonoperating costs. The cost reductions were in part offset by a revenue decrease of 2% to 7.0 billion driven by lower net interest income, partly offset by higher investment revenues. Provision for credit losses was 573 million, essentially flat compared to the same period in the prior year. Private Bank recorded 27 billion net inflows in the first nine months of the year up from 17 billion in the same period of 2023.
15
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
Private Bank results at a glance
|
Three months ended |
Nine months ended |
||||||||||||||
in m. |
Sep 30, 2024 |
Sep 30, 2023 |
Absolute |
Change |
Sep 30, 2024 |
Sep 30, 2023 |
Absolute |
Change |
||||||||
Net revenues: |
||||||||||||||||
Personal Banking |
1,303 |
1,372 |
(68) |
(5) |
3,949 |
4,183 |
(234) |
(6) |
||||||||
Wealth Management & Private Banking |
1,016 |
970 |
46 |
5 |
3,078 |
2,994 |
84 |
3 |
||||||||
Total net revenues |
2,319 |
2,341 |
(22) |
(1) |
7,027 |
7,177 |
(150) |
(2) |
||||||||
Of which: |
||||||||||||||||
Net interest income |
1,426 |
1,511 |
(84) |
(6) |
4,299 |
4,584 |
(284) |
(6) |
||||||||
Commissions and fee income |
730 |
714 |
17 |
2 |
2,251 |
2,215 |
36 |
2 |
||||||||
Remaining income |
163 |
117 |
46 |
39 |
477 |
378 |
98 |
26 |
||||||||
Provision for credit losses |
205 |
174 |
31 |
18 |
573 |
588 |
(15) |
(3) |
||||||||
Noninterest expenses: |
||||||||||||||||
Compensation and benefits |
761 |
693 |
68 |
10 |
2,235 |
2,096 |
138 |
7 |
||||||||
General and administrative expenses |
1,100 |
1,087 |
14 |
1 |
3,268 |
3,482 |
(215) |
(6) |
||||||||
Impairment of goodwill and other intangible assets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
N/M |
0 |
0 |
0 |
N/M |
||||||||
Restructuring activities |
(67) |
0 |
(67) |
N/M |
(111) |
135 |
(246) |
N/M |
||||||||
Total noninterest expenses |
1,795 |
1,780 |
15 |
1 |
5,391 |
5,714 |
(323) |
(6) |
||||||||
Noncontrolling interests |
0 |
0 |
(0) |
N/M |
0 |
0 |
0 |
N/M |
||||||||
Profit (loss) before tax |
319 |
387 |
(68) |
(18) |
1,063 |
875 |
187 |
21 |
||||||||
Employees (front office, full-time equivalent)1 |
17,603 |
18,707 |
(1,104) |
(6) |
17,603 |
18,707 |
(1,104) |
(6) |
||||||||
Employees (business-aligned operations, full-time equivalent)1 |
7,683 |
7,851 |
(168) |
(2) |
7,683 |
7,851 |
(168) |
(2) |
||||||||
Employees (allocated central infrastructure, full-time equivalent)1 |
12,211 |
11,849 |
362 |
3 |
12,211 |
11,849 |
362 |
3 |
||||||||
Total employees (full-time equivalent)1 |
37,497 |
38,408 |
(911) |
(2) |
37,497 |
38,408 |
(911) |
(2) |
||||||||
Total assets (in bn)1,2 |
326 |
329 |
(3) |
(1) |
326 |
329 |
(3) |
(1) |
||||||||
Risk-weighted assets (in bn)1 |
97 |
86 |
10 |
12 |
97 |
86 |
10 |
12 |
||||||||
of which: operational risk RWA (in bn)1,3 |
15 |
8 |
7 |
95 |
15 |
8 |
7 |
95 |
||||||||
Leverage exposure (in bn)1 |
334 |
338 |
(4) |
(1) |
334 |
338 |
(4) |
(1) |
||||||||
Deposits (in bn)1 |
314 |
309 |
5 |
2 |
314 |
309 |
5 |
2 |
||||||||
Loans (gross of allowance for loan losses, in bn)1 |
256 |
263 |
(7) |
(3) |
256 |
263 |
(7) |
(3) |
||||||||
Assets under Management (in bn)1,4 |
625 |
567 |
58 |
10 |
625 |
567 |
58 |
10 |
||||||||
Net flows (in bn) |
8 |
7 |
1 |
14 |
27 |
17 |
10 |
58 |
||||||||
Cost/income ratio |
77.4% |
76.0% |
1.4ppt |
N/M |
76.7% |
79.6% |
(2.9)ppt |
N/M |
||||||||
Post-tax return on average shareholders equity5 |
5.4% |
7.4% |
(2.0)ppt |
N/M |
6.3% |
5.5% |
0.8ppt |
N/M |
||||||||
Post-tax return on average tangible shareholders equity5 |
5.4% |
7.8% |
(2.5)ppt |
N/M |
6.4% |
5.8% |
0.5ppt |
N/M |
||||||||
N/M Not meaningful
Prior years comparatives aligned to presentation in the current year
1As of quarter-end
2Segment assets represent consolidated view, i.e., the amounts do not include intersegment balances
3Starting from the first quarter of 2024, the allocation of operational risk RWA has changed. For more information, please refer to section Basis of preparation/impact of changes in accounting principles - Business Segments of this report
4Assets under Management include assets held on behalf of customers for investment purposes and/or client assets that are advised or managed by Deutsche Bank. They are managed on a discretionary or advisory basis or are deposited with the bank. Deposits are considered Assets under Management if they serve investment purposes. In Personal Banking, this includes Term deposits and Savings deposits. In Wealth Management and Private Banking, it is assumed that all customer deposits are held with the bank primarily for investment purposes and accordingly are classified as Assets under Management. In instances in which Private Bank distributes investment products qualifying as Assets under Management which are managed by DWS, these assets are reported as Assets under Management for Private Bank and for Asset Management (DWS) because they are two distinct, independent qualifying services. Within the new Private Bank coverage area Wealth Management & Private Banking, private clients benefit from a wider product range with increased emphasis on investment advice. As a result, starting from the first quarter of 2024, demand deposits of Private Banking in Germany were reclassified to Assets under Management, ensuring a consistent treatment within Wealth Management & Private Banking
5Starting from the first quarter of 2024, the equity allocation framework has been updated. For more information, please refer to section Basis of preparation/impact of changes in accounting principles - Business Segments of this report
16
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
Asset Management
Profit before tax was 168 million in the quarter, an increase of 54% year on year, driven by higher revenues. Post-tax RoE was 8.5%, up from 5.6% in the prior year quarter, and post-tax RoTE was 18.9%, up from 12.9%. The cost/income ratio was 67%, down from 75% in the third quarter of 2023.
Net revenues were 660 million, 11% higher year on year, mainly driven by higher management fees of 626 million, up 6% year on year, driven equally by Active and Passive products from increasing average assets under management. Performance & Transaction fees decreased by 34% to 12 million, reflecting lower performance fees and transaction volumes in Alternatives. Other revenues significantly improved to 22 million, predominantly from lower treasury funding allocations.
Noninterest expenses were 441 million, down 1% year on year, while adjusted costs were 437 million, broadly in line with the prior year, both driven by higher compensation and benefits costs but offset by lower general and administrative expenses.
Assets under management increased by 30 billion, to 963 billion during the quarter. The increase was due to net inflows in the quarter and positive market appreciation, partly offset by negative foreign exchange effects. Net flows were positive 18 billion in the quarter, predominately driven by Passive, Active Fixed Income and Cash, partly offset by net outflows in Active Equity, Multi-Asset and Alternatives products.
For the first nine months of 2024, profit before tax was 449 million, up 38% year on year. Post-tax RoE rose to 7.6%, from 5.6% in the prior year period, while post-tax RoTE was 17.3%, up from 13.2%. The cost/income ratio improved to 70%, from 75% in the prior year period. This development was driven by 8% growth in net revenues to 1.9 billion, while noninterest expenses remained essentially flat at 1.4 billion and adjusted costs rose 1% to 1.3 billion.
17
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
Asset Management results at a glance
|
Three months ended |
Nine months ended |
||||||||||||||
in m. |
Sep 30, 2024 |
Sep 30, 2023 |
Absolute |
Change |
Sep 30, 2024 |
Sep 30, 2023 |
Absolute |
Change |
||||||||
Net revenues: |
||||||||||||||||
Management Fees |
626 |
589 |
37 |
6 |
1,832 |
1,740 |
92 |
5 |
||||||||
Performance and transaction fees |
12 |
19 |
(6) |
(34) |
40 |
87 |
(47) |
(54) |
||||||||
Other |
22 |
(13) |
35 |
N/M |
69 |
(24) |
93 |
N/M |
||||||||
Total net revenues |
660 |
594 |
66 |
11 |
1,940 |
1,803 |
137 |
8 |
||||||||
Provision for credit losses |
0 |
(0) |
1 |
N/M |
(1) |
(1) |
0 |
(27) |
||||||||
Noninterest expenses: |
||||||||||||||||
Compensation and benefits |
224 |
221 |
3 |
1 |
689 |
677 |
12 |
2 |
||||||||
General and administrative expenses |
216 |
222 |
(6) |
(3) |
661 |
676 |
(15) |
(2) |
||||||||
Impairment of goodwill and other intangible assets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
N/M |
0 |
0 |
0 |
N/M |
||||||||
Restructuring activities |
0 |
0 |
(0) |
N/M |
0 |
0 |
(0) |
(31) |
||||||||
Total noninterest expenses |
441 |
444 |
(3) |
(1) |
1,350 |
1,353 |
(4) |
(0) |
||||||||
Noncontrolling interests |
52 |
42 |
10 |
23 |
142 |
124 |
18 |
14 |
||||||||
Profit (loss) before tax |
168 |
109 |
59 |
54 |
449 |
326 |
123 |
38 |
||||||||
Employees (front office, full-time equivalent)1 |
2,065 |
2,030 |
35 |
2 |
2,065 |
2,030 |
35 |
2 |
||||||||
Employees (business-aligned operations, full-time equivalent)1 |
2,478 |
2,307 |
171 |
7 |
2,478 |
2,307 |
171 |
7 |
||||||||
Employees (allocated central infrastructure, full-time equivalent)1 |
586 |
560 |
26 |
5 |
586 |
560 |
26 |
5 |
||||||||
Total employees (full-time equivalent)1 |
5,129 |
4,897 |
232 |
5 |
5,129 |
4,897 |
232 |
5 |
||||||||
Total assets (in bn)1,2 |
10 |
10 |
(0) |
(1) |
10 |
10 |
(0) |
(1) |
||||||||
Risk-weighted assets (in bn)1 |
18 |
15 |
3 |
20 |
18 |
15 |
3 |
20 |
||||||||
of which: operational risk RWA (in bn)1,3 |
5 |
4 |
1 |
37 |
5 |
4 |
1 |
37 |
||||||||
Leverage exposure (in bn)1 |
9 |
9 |
0 |
4 |
9 |
9 |
0 |
4 |
||||||||
Assets under Management (in bn)1,4 |
963 |
860 |
103 |
12 |
963 |
860 |
103 |
12 |
||||||||
Net flows (in bn) |
18 |
2 |
16 |
N/M |
7 |
17 |
(10) |
N/M |
||||||||
Cost/income ratio |
66.7% |
74.6% |
(7.9)ppt |
N/M |
69.6% |
75.1% |
(5.5)ppt |
N/M |
||||||||
Post-tax return on average shareholders equity5 |
8.5% |
5.6% |
2.9ppt |
N/M |
7.6% |
5.6% |
2.0ppt |
N/M |
||||||||
Post-tax return on average tangible shareholders equity5 |
18.9% |
12.9% |
6.0ppt |
N/M |
17.3% |
13.2% |
4.1ppt |
N/M |
||||||||
N/M Not meaningful
Prior years comparatives aligned to presentation in the current year
1As of quarter-end
2Segment assets represent consolidated view, i.e., the amounts do not include intersegment balances
3Starting from the first quarter of 2024, the allocation of operational risk RWA has changed. For more information, please refer to section Basis of preparation/impact of changes in accounting principles - Business Segments of this report
4Assets under management (AuM) means assets (a) the segment manages on a discretionary or non-discretionary advisory basis; including where it is the management company and portfolio management is outsourced to a third party; and (b) a third party holds or manages and on which the segment provides, on the basis of contract, advice of an ongoing nature including regular or periodic assessment, monitoring and/or review. AuM represent both collective investments (including mutual funds and exchange-traded funds) and separate client mandates. AuM are measured at current market value based on the local regulatory rules for asset managers at each reporting date, which might differ from the fair value rules applicable under IFRS. Measurable levels are available daily for most retail products but may only update monthly, quarterly or even yearly for some products. While AuM do not include the segments investments accounted for under equity method, they do include seed capital and any committed capital on which the segment earns management fees
5Starting from the first quarter of 2024, the equity allocation framework has been updated. For more information, please refer to section Basis of preparation/impact of changes in accounting principles - Business Segments of this report
18
Deutsche Bank |
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Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
Corporate & Other
Corporate & Other reported a profit before tax of 2.4 billion in the third quarter of 2024, compared to a profit before tax of 447 million in the prior year, driven by valuation and timing differences and a provision release in the Postbank takeover litigation matter of 444 million.
Net revenues were 2.1 billion in the quarter, compared to 685 million in the prior year quarter driven by valuation and timing differences reflecting gains on portfolio hedges of interest rate risk, where fair value hedge accounting cannot be applied under IFRS as issued by the IASB.
Noninterest expenses were positive 246 million in the quarter, compared to negative 278 million in the prior year quarter. Adjusted costs were 113 million in the quarter, compared to 182 million in the prior year quarter.
Expenses associated with shareholder activities were 156 million in the quarter, compared to 173 million in the prior year quarter.
Noncontrolling interests are reversed in Corporate & Other after deduction from the divisional profit before tax. These were positive 48 million for the quarter, mainly related to DWS.
Risk-weighted assets (RWA) stood at 34 billion at the end of the third quarter of 2024, including 13 billion of operational risk RWA. RWA decreased by 8 billion from the prior year quarter, including 6 billion reduction from a change in the allocation of operational risk RWA.
For the first nine months of 2024, loss before tax was 83 million, compared to loss before tax of 163 million for the first nine months of 2023 driven by valuation and timing differences offset by the remaining Postbank takeover litigation provision. Noninterest expenses rose to 1.5 billion from 805 million for the first nine months of 2023 whilst adjusted costs decreased by 27% to 388 million. Provision for credit losses increased to 65 million compared to a release of 6 million in the first nine months of 2023.
Corporate & Other results at a glance
|
Three months ended |
Nine months ended |
||||||||||||||
in m. |
Sep 30, 2024 |
Sep 30, 2023 |
Absolute |
Change |
Sep 30, 2024 |
Sep 30, 2023 |
Absolute |
Change |
||||||||
Net revenues |
2,126 |
685 |
1,441 |
N/M |
1,377 |
511 |
866 |
169 |
||||||||
Provision for credit losses |
27 |
(3) |
31 |
N/M |
65 |
(6) |
71 |
N/M |
||||||||
Noninterest expenses: |
||||||||||||||||
Compensation and benefits |
848 |
853 |
(6) |
(1) |
2,695 |
2,509 |
186 |
7 |
||||||||
General and administrative expenses |
(1,094) |
(576) |
(518) |
90 |
(1,151) |
(1,703) |
553 |
(32) |
||||||||
Impairment of goodwill and other intangible assets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
N/M |
0 |
0 |
0 |
N/M |
||||||||
Restructuring activities |
(0) |
1 |
(1) |
N/M |
0 |
(0) |
0 |
N/M |
||||||||
Total noninterest expenses |
(246) |
278 |
(524) |
N/M |
1,545 |
805 |
739 |
92 |
||||||||
Noncontrolling interests |
(48) |
(37) |
(11) |
29 |
(149) |
(125) |
(24) |
19 |
||||||||
Profit (loss) before tax |
2,393 |
447 |
1,945 |
N/M |
(83) |
(163) |
80 |
(49) |
||||||||
Total Employees (full-time equivalent)1 |
36,397 |
34,978 |
1,419 |
4 |
36,397 |
34,978 |
1,419 |
4 |
||||||||
Risk-weighted assets (in bn)1 |
34 |
42 |
(8) |
(19) |
34 |
42 |
(8) |
(19) |
||||||||
Leverage exposure (in bn)1 |
36 |
38 |
(2) |
(6) |
36 |
38 |
(2) |
(6) |
||||||||
N/M Not meaningful
Prior years comparatives aligned to presentation in the current year
1As of quarter-end
19
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
Consolidated balance sheet
Assets
in m. |
Sep 30, 2024 |
Dec 31, 2023 |
||
Cash and central bank balances |
|
141,031 |
|
178,416 |
Interbank balances (without central banks) |
7,807 |
6,140 |
||
Central bank funds sold and securities purchased under resale agreements |
29,645 |
14,725 |
||
Securities borrowed |
51 |
39 |
||
Financial assets at fair value through profit or loss |
||||
Trading assets |
153,664 |
125,275 |
||
Positive market values from derivative financial instruments |
243,420 |
251,877 |
||
Non-trading financial assets mandatory at fair value through profit and loss |
124,393 |
88,047 |
||
Financial assets designated at fair value through profit or loss |
45 |
75 |
||
Total financial assets at fair value through profit or loss |
521,523 |
465,273 |
||
Financial assets at fair value through other comprehensive income |
42,322 |
35,546 |
||
Equity method investments |
997 |
1,013 |
||
Loans at amortized cost |
476,256 |
479,353 |
||
Property and equipment |
6,146 |
6,185 |
||
Goodwill and other intangible assets |
7,470 |
7,327 |
||
Other assets |
142,891 |
114,698 |
||
Assets for current tax |
1,534 |
1,513 |
||
Deferred tax assets |
6,470 |
7,039 |
||
Total assets |
1,384,144 |
1,317,266 |
||
Liabilities and equity
in m. |
Sep 30, 2024 |
Dec 31, 2023 |
||
Deposits |
651,522 |
625,486 |
||
Central bank funds purchased and securities sold under repurchase agreements |
2,744 |
3,038 |
||
Securities loaned |
3 |
3 |
||
Financial liabilities at fair value through profit or loss |
||||
Trading liabilities |
46,462 |
44,005 |
||
Negative market values from derivative financial instruments |
231,636 |
238,278 |
||
Financial liabilities designated at fair value through profit or loss |
99,664 |
83,727 |
||
Investment contract liabilities |
505 |
484 |
||
Total financial liabilities at fair value through profit or loss |
378,266 |
366,494 |
||
Other short-term borrowings |
8,154 |
9,620 |
||
Other liabilities |
144,088 |
113,018 |
||
Provisions |
2,954 |
2,448 |
||
Liabilities for current tax |
776 |
631 |
||
Deferred tax liabilities |
561 |
517 |
||
Long-term debt |
115,890 |
119,390 |
||
Trust preferred securities |
287 |
289 |
||
Total liabilities |
1,305,246 |
1,240,935 |
||
Common shares, no par value, nominal value of 2.56 |
5,106 |
5,223 |
||
Additional paid-in capital |
39,630 |
40,187 |
||
Retained earnings |
25,317 |
22,845 |
||
Common shares in treasury, at cost |
(728) |
(481) |
||
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax |
(2,047) |
(1,775) |
||
Total shareholders equity |
67,278 |
65,999 |
||
Additional equity components |
10,066 |
8,569 |
||
Noncontrolling interests |
1,554 |
1,763 |
||
Total equity |
78,898 |
76,330 |
||
Total liabilities and equity |
1,384,144 |
1,317,266 |
||
20
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
Movements in assets and liabilities
As of September 30, 2024, the total balance sheet of 1.4 trillion was slightly higher compared to year end 2023.
Cash, central bank and interbank balances decreased by 35.7 billion, as a result of an increase in Central bank funds sold, securities purchased under resale agreements and securities borrowed across all applicable measurement categories by 52.7 billion, mainly driven by increased firm trading activities and client flows.
Trading assets increased by 28.4 billion, mainly due to increased exposure in government securities from higher client flows and desk positioning in relation to the current environment.
Positive and negative market values of derivative financial instruments decreased by 8.5 billion and 6.6 billion, respectively, primarily driven by maturity of foreign exchange products that were either not renewed due to low risk appetite or were rolled forward at lower mark-to-market values at the current market rate.
Non trading financial assets mandatory at fair value through profit or loss increased by 36.3 billion, driven by aforementioned increase in securities purchased under resale agreements measured under non-trading financial assets mandatory at fair value through profit and loss.
Financial assets at fair value through other comprehensive income increased by 6.8 billion, driven by an increase in holdings of government bonds in line with the banks initiative to optimize return on liquidity.
Loans at amortized cost decreased by 3.1 billion, primarily driven by lower mortgage origination in the Private Bank as well as lower demand and continued selective balance sheet deployment in the Corporate Bank. These decreases were partly offset by growth in Fixed Income & Currencies (FIC) business in the Investment Bank.
Other assets increased by 28.2 billion, mainly driven by increases in brokerage and securities related receivables of 29.8 billion. This was mainly attributable to higher receivables from pending settlements of regular way trades following the seasonality pattern the bank typically observes compared to low year-end levels. This seasonality pattern was also reflected in an increase in brokerage and securities related payables by 29.2 billion, driving the 31.1 billion, increase in other liabilities.
Deposits increased by 26.0 billion, primarily driven by growth in Corporate and Institutional Cash Management business in the Corporate Bank as well as higher inflows in the Private Bank.
Financial liabilities designated at fair value through profit or loss increased by 15.9 billion, mainly attributable to an increase in long term debt driven by new issuances in FIC business and increased positions in securities sold under resale agreements at fair value through profit or loss.
Long-term debt at amortized cost decreased by 3.5 billion, mainly due to repayments of the Targeted Longer Term Refinancing Operations (TLTRO) funding and matured issuances, which were partly offset by new issuances during the year.
The overall movement of the balance sheet included a decrease of 3.4 billion due to foreign exchange rate movements, mainly driven by a weakening of the U.S. dollar versus the euro. The effects from foreign exchange rate movements are embedded in the movement of the balance sheet line items discussed in this section.
Liquidity
Total high-quality liquid assets (HQLA) as defined in Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2015/61, as amended by Regulation (EU) 2018/1620, amounted to 230 billion as of 30 September 2024 as compared with 219 billion per 31 December 2023. The liquidity coverage ratio was 135% in the third quarter of 2024, exceeding the minimum regulatory requirement by 60 billion.
21
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
Equity
Total equity as of September 30, 2024 was 78.9 billion compared to 76.3 billion as of December 31, 2023, an increase of 2.6 billion. This change was driven by a number of factors including the profit attributable to Deutsche Bank shareholders and additional equity components reported for the period of 4.0 billion, the issuance of Additional Tier 1 equity instruments (AT1) treated as equity in accordance with IFRS of 1.5 billion as well as treasury shares distributed under share-based compensation plans of 429 million. Negative effects resulted from purchases of treasury shares of 1.1 billion, cash dividends paid to Deutsche Bank shareholders of 883 million, coupons paid on additional equity components of 574 million as well as from unrealized net losses on accumulated other comprehensive income, net of tax, of 272 million. The latter were mainly driven by foreign currency translation, net of tax, of negative 385 million, primarily resulting from the weakening of the U.S. dollar against the Euro, and by unrealized net losses attributable to change in own credit risk of financial liabilities designated at fair value through profit and loss, net of tax, of negative 116 million, partly offset by unrealized net gains on derivatives hedging the variability of cash flows, net of tax, of 246 million. Further contributing factors include a net change in share awards for the period of negative 112 million as well as cash dividends paid to noncontrolling interests of 259 million.
On January 31, 2024, the Management Board of Deutsche Bank AG resolved a share repurchase program of up to 675 million which started on March 4, 2024 and was completed on July 11 2024. In this period Deutsche Bank repurchased 46.4 million common shares. The repurchase of these shares has reduced total equity by 675 million.
On March 5, 2024, Deutsche Bank AG cancelled 45.5 million of its common shares, concluding its 2023 share buyback program. The cancellation reduced the nominal value of the shares by 117 million. The cancelled shares had been held in common shares in treasury, at their acquisition cost of 450 million. The difference between the common shares at cost and their nominal value has reduced additional paid-in capital by 333 million. The shares had already been deducted from the reported total equity on December 31, 2023. Therefore, the cancellation did not reduce total equity in the first nine months of 2024.
22
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
Outlook
The following section provides an overview of Deutsche Banks outlook for the Group and business segments for the financial year 2024 and should be read in conjunction with the outlook section provided in the Management Report of the Annual Report 2023. The macroeconomic and banking industry outlook in the following chapter reflects the Groups general expectations regarding future economic and industry developments. Economic assumptions used in the banks models are laid out separately in the respective sections.
Macroeconomic and banking industry outlook
The global economy is expected to expand by 3.2% in 2024, the same as in 2023, with several key regions demonstrating resilient growth. Headline inflation is projected to decline to an annual average of 5.2% in 2024, while core inflation is expected to only ease slowly. Central banks, however, are likely to continue loosening their monetary policy by cutting policy rates.
The Eurozone economy is expected to expand by 0.9% in 2024. Recovery in private consumption is progressing slowly, despite lower inflation and strong wage growth. In addition, growth impulses from foreign trade are weakening. Consumer price inflation is expected to slow to an annual average of 2.3% in 2024. The European Central Bank is likely to continue its easing cycle and could further reduce key interest rates by the end of the year.
The German economy is unlikely to gain much momentum by the end of the year. In 2024, the economy is expected to grow by 0.2% at best, although stagnation is very likely. Private consumption, in particular, is recovering only slowly, and foreign trade is facing headwinds. Inflation is expected to average 2.3% for the year.
The U.S. economy is expected to achieve a so-called soft landing, with GDP growth of 2.7% forecasted for 2024. The labor market, in particular, is robust. Inflation is expected to ease to 3.0% in 2024. The Federal Reserve is expected to continue lowering key interest rates until the end of the year.
The Chinese economy is forecasted to expand by 4.9% in 2024, as a result of significant fiscal and monetary policy support measures. However, a turnaround in the property market should be essential for a lasting recovery. Inflation is expected to be 0.4% in 2024.
The global banking industry may see a number of largely offsetting trends during the remainder of the year. Still elevated interest rates are likely to cause a gradual increase in refinancing challenges for business and private clients. Likewise, banks net interest margin may continue to ease slightly in 2024. Furthermore, policy uncertainty around international trade conditions is set to stay elevated in the context of the U.S. elections. This may remain a headwind for corporate demand for financing. Moderate economic growth in Europe and the gradual cuts in interest rates by the ECB, which reduces the cost burden, should support lending regaining some momentum. Also, the moderate recovery in global capital market activity might continue following two weaker years.
U.S. CRE exposures will probably remain a particular challenge for banks given high vacancies and higher rates than in Europe in 2024, but are expected to further gradually stabilize over the coming quarters. In addition, unrealized losses from large bond holdings could stay in focus until interest rates have started to decline sustainably. However, economic growth continues to be much more robust in the U.S. than in many other developed economies, which bolsters banking sector fundamentals such as revenues and profits.
Banks in China are likely to face ongoing issues from a mildly deflationary environment and relatively low interest rates, as well as repercussions from the tensions in the real estate market. Japanese banks, by contrast, may benefit as the countrys monetary policy emerges from years of negative rates.
23
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
In 2024, the European Parliament will work on its operational set-up, determining the lead delegates on outstanding legislative proposals. Their main focus in November 2024 will turn to scrutinizing the Commissioners elect that the European Commission President has put forward. Deutsche Bank expects this review process to be done by the end of 2024, marking the official start of the new European Commission. Many topics will continue to be discussed between Member States and the European Parliament, such as the Retail Investment Strategy, the digital euro, open finance, the review of the Payment Services framework, and the Benchmarks Regulation.
In the U.S., the prudential regulators proposed a rule to implement the Basel Committees finalized Basel III framework. The proposal raises capital requirements for banks with over U.S.$ 100 billion in assets and removes much of the differentiation among institutions requirements. There remains significant uncertainty regarding how many changes will be made in the final rule as well as in the timing of finalization. Prudential regulators are also investigating potential changes to liquidity requirements, in particular to address liquidity issues that arose during the March 2023 banking stress in the U.S.
There are a number of risks to the banks global economic outlook. Geopolitical risks remain elevated in Ukraine and in the Middle East. The U.S. versus China strategic competition could possibly continue to intensify. The potential intensification of interdependencies between crisis hotspots could exacerbate the impact on the markets. A deteriorating geopolitical landscape could lead to higher commodity prices and, ultimately, resurgent inflation. The U.S. presidential election in November 2024 and surrounding news could have the potential to move the markets, at least in the short term.
Deutsche Bank outlook
Deutsche Banks strategic and financial road map through 2025, referred to as the Global Hausbank strategy, outlines the banks 2025 financial targets and capital objectives. Deutsche Bank reaffirms the banks financial targets to be achieved by 2025 of a post-tax return on average tangible equity of above 10%, a compound annual growth rate of revenues between 2021 and 2025 of 5.5 to 6.5% and a cost/income ratio of below 62.5%. The bank also confirms its capital objectives of a CET1 capital ratio of around 13% and a payout ratio of 50%, from 2025.
In 2024, Deutsche Bank revenues are expected to be slightly higher compared to the prior year. The Group expects revenues to be in line with its full-year guidance of around 30 billion, supported by the resilience and growth potential of its businesses and continued business momentum.
Corporate Bank expects revenues to be further supported by a comparably high level of interest rates and ongoing progress on its growth initiatives. Revenues are expected to be essentially flat compared to the prior year, as the normalization of net interest margin is mostly offset by increasing business volumes and slightly higher non-interest sensitive revenues. Corporate Treasury Services revenues are anticipated to be slightly lower compared to the prior year, as the normalization of rate pass-through in the Corporate Cash Management business is expected to be partly offset by fee growth in Trade Finance & Lending and in Corporate Cash Management. Institutional Client Services revenues are expected to be essentially flat compared to the prior year, driven by slightly higher net interest income due to growth in deposit volumes, while commissions and fee income is expected to remain essentially flat. In Business Banking, revenues are expected to be slightly lower compared to the prior year, driven by lower net interest income, partly offset by higher commissions and fee income.
Investment Bank revenues are expected to be higher in 2024 compared to the prior year, with the targeted investments made in both Origination & Advisory and Fixed Income & Currencies, combined with a recovery in industry volumes in Origination & Advisory, driving improved performance.
Fixed Income & Currencies revenues are expected to be slightly higher compared to 2023. The Rates business intends to continue to build on the successful developments made within the business; however, the uncertain rate environment witnessed in the first nine months of 2024 has impacted revenue performance and could continue to do so for the remainder of the year. The Foreign Exchange business will look to maintain technology development, where it has seen material improvements in the Spot business whilst developing the client franchise. The Global Emerging Markets business will continue the expansion of its onshore capabilities, including the development of Latin America and client workflow solutions globally whilst maintaining the momentum from a strong year to date performance. Credit Trading intends to further build on the turnaround seen in the business since the start of 2023, specifically in Flow, while looking to maintain strength in Distressed and Solutions. The Financing business will continue to take a disciplined and selective approach to the deployment of resources.
24
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
Origination & Advisory revenues are expected to be significantly higher in 2024 compared to 2023, driven by a continuation of the industry recovery seen in the year to date, along with the incremental impact of investments across the platform. Within Debt Origination, Leveraged Debt Capital Markets expects to build on their solid year to date performance, with market conditions expected to remain favorable for issuances. In Investment Grade Debt, full year revenues are expected to be strong, with the business having capitalized on the significant volumes seen in the first nine months of 2024, though a slowdown from these levels is expected in the remainder of the year and potentially impacted by uncertainty around the upcoming U.S. election. Equity Origination will continue to provide a competitive offering across products, whilst looking to benefit from a return of Initial Public Offerings, where the business has a specific focus. Advisory plans to build on the momentum of the targeted investments made in 2023 and the strong year to date performance.
In 2024, the Private Bank expects net revenues to remain essentially flat compared to 2023. Growth in investment product revenues supported by continued net inflows in assets under management, is expected to be partially offset by increased hedging and funding costs. Deposit and lending revenues are expected to remain essentially flat.
In Personal Banking, net revenues are expected to be slightly lower compared to 2023. Increased funding costs including the impact from minimum reserves, certain hedging costs and higher Group neutral central treasury allocation to the business, are expected to be partially offset by higher deposit revenues. Investment products are expected to be slightly lower and lending revenues to remain essentially flat.
In Wealth Management & Private Banking, net revenues are expected to be essentially flat driven by increased investment products reflecting continued business growth, as well as slightly higher lending revenues, partially offset by a decline in deposit revenues.
Private Bank assumes continued inflows in assets under management in 2024 with corresponding volumes in assets under management expected to be higher compared to year-end 2023. However, the overall development of volumes will be highly dependent on market parameters, including equity indices and foreign exchange rates.
Asset Management expects revenues to be higher in 2024 compared to the prior year. Management fees are anticipated to be slightly higher from increasing average assets under management. Performance and Transaction fees are expected to be significantly lower driven by the market effect on U.S. real estate performance fees; however, if certain annual performance fees materialize in the fourth quarter 2024, then total performance and transaction fees could be higher for the full year 2024 compared to 2023. Other revenues are expected to be significantly higher compared to the prior year, supported by lower funding allocations, higher investment income and gains within Alternatives and an one-off insurance recovery. Assets under management are expected to be higher at the end of 2024 compared to 2023 from a combination of net flows and market impact.
Corporate & Other is expected to generate a larger pre-tax loss in 2024 compared to the prior year, primarily from the Postbank takeover litigation provision and other litigation matters. Corporate & Other will continue to retain shareholder expenses, which are expected to be around 0.6 billion for the full year 2024. Corporate & Other will also continue to retain certain funding and liquidity impacts, expected to be 0.2 billion for full year 2024, and will maintain the reversal of noncontrolling interests, primarily from DWS. In addition, results in Corporate & Other will continue to be impacted by valuation and timing differences on positions that are economically hedged, but do not meet hedge accounting requirements.
Deutsche Bank is managing the Groups cost base towards the 2025 cost/income ratio target. The bank remains highly focused on cost discipline and delivery of the initiatives underway. In 2024, noninterest expenses are expected to be essentially flat despite absorbing higher litigation expenses in relation to the Postbank takeover. Adjusted costs in 2024 are expected to remain essentially flat compared to 2023. Higher compensation and benefit costs, reflecting higher performance-related compensation, wage growth and increases in internal workforce after the banks targeted investments in talent including Numis and in the control environment are expected to be offset by the banks benefits from structural efficiency measures including further workforce optimization, lower IT spend and lower professional service fees. The bank maintains its full-year guidance for a quarterly run-rate of adjusted costs of around 5 billion in 2024 and aims to operate with total noninterest expenses of around 20 billion in 2025.
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The bank now expects full-year 2024 provision for credit losses of around 1.8 billion, which equals approximately 38 basis points of average loans, above previous guidance. The elevated levels in 2024 reflect longer-than-expected impacts from the Postbank integration, two relatively fast evolving larger corporate events in the first nine months of 2024 (partly hedged and offset in revenues), above comparable historic average, and CRE provisions on a cyclical higher level, although lower quarter on quarter. Deutsche Bank remains committed to stringent underwriting standards and a tight risk management framework, which, together with the transitory nature of elevated 2024 provision levels, supports an expected gradual decline of provisions for loan losses from the levels experienced in 2024. Further details on the calculation of expected credit losses are provided in the section Risk information of this report.
Common Equity Tier 1 ratio (CET1 ratio) by year end 2024 is expected to remain essentially flat compared to 2023. The bank has received the majority of the regulatory decisions on internal credit and market risk models in 2023 with smaller ones expected in the remainder of the year 2024. Deutsche Bank aims for a Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio of 200 basis points above the maximum distributable amount (MDA) threshold at the end of 2024.
The bank completed its share repurchase of 675 million in July 2024, following the completion of 450 million in share repurchases in 2023. Deutsche Bank paid a dividend in respect of the 2023 financial year of 0.45 per share, or approximately 900 million, up from 0.30 per share for 2022. For the financial years 2024 and 2025, Deutsche Bank aims for cash dividends of 0.68 and 1.00 per share, respectively, subject to a 50% payout ratio limitation relative to net income attributable to Deutsche Bank shareholders. The bank has set a capital distribution goal of 8 billion in respect of the financial years 2021-2025, paid in 2022-2026, and believes that it is positioned to exceed this objective, subject to meeting the banks strategic targets and German corporate law requirements, annual general meeting authorization and regulatory approvals.
By the nature of the banks business, Deutsche Bank is involved in litigation, arbitration and regulatory proceedings and investigations in Germany and in a number of jurisdictions outside Germany, including in the United States. Such matters are subject to many uncertainties. While Deutsche Bank resolved a number of important litigation matters and made progress on others, the bank expects the litigation and enforcement environment to remain challenging. For 2024, and with a caveat that forecasting litigation charges is subject to many uncertainties, Deutsche Bank presently expects net litigation charges to significantly exceed the levels experienced in 2023 given the increased level of provisions recognized in the first nine months of 2024. For more details, please refer to Provisions of this report.
The Groups aspirations are subject to various external and internal factors, some of which it cannot influence. Timely and successful achievement of Deutsche Banks strategic targets or aspirations, including containing costs at the expected run rate, may be adversely impacted by reduced revenue-generating capacities of some of the banks core businesses should downside risks crystallize. These risks include, but are not limited to, the future path of inflation and interest rates, macroeconomic downside risks, e.g., in the banks German home market, the elevated tensions in Middle East and Russias ongoing war in Ukraine, broader geopolitical risks including impacts from the U.S. elections, cyber events, the ongoing headwinds posed by regulatory reforms or regulatory actions to address perceived weaknesses in the financial sector and potential impacts on the banks legal and regulatory proceedings. For a more detailed discussion of potential downside risks please refer to Risks in Risks and opportunities of this report.
Our financial targets and capital objectives are based on our financial results prepared in accordance with the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) and endorsed by the European Union (EU). For further details, please refer to the section Basis of preparation/impact of changes in accounting principles in this report.
Adjusted costs as well as Post-tax Return on Average Tangible Equity are non-GAAP financial measures. Please refer to Non-GAAP financial measures of this report for the definitions of such measures and reconciliations to the IFRS measures on which they are based.
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Risks and Opportunities
The following section focuses on future trends or events that may result in downside risk or upside potential from what Deutsche Bank has anticipated in its Outlook. Geopolitical risks remained in focus in the nine months ended September 30, 2024, including the escalating conflict in the Middle East, Russias war in Ukraine, as well as political uncertainties arising from the upcoming U.S. elections. Additionally, central bank policies and the broader interest rate environment, the macroeconomic outlook, developments in the CRE (Commercial Real Estate) sector and the unexpected Postbank takeover litigation provision continue to be in focus. Overall, and notwithstanding the Postbank takeover litigation provision, Deutsche Banks assessment of the risks and opportunities that its businesses are exposed to has not materially changed compared to the information presented in the Annual Report 2023.
The Groups aspirations are subject to various external and internal factors, some of which it cannot influence. Timely and successful achievement of Deutsche Banks strategic targets or aspirations, including containing costs at the expected run rate, may be adversely impacted by reduced revenue-generating capacities of some of the banks core businesses should downside risks crystallize. These risks include, but are not limited to, macroeconomic downside risks including a continued recession in our German home market or a possible hard landing of the U.S. economy due to the lagged impacts of past monetary tightening, the future path of inflation and interest rates, the elevated tensions in Middle East and Russias ongoing war in Ukraine, broader geopolitical risks including impacts from the U.S. elections, cyber events, the ongoing headwinds posed by regulatory reforms or regulatory actions to address perceived weaknesses in the financial sector and potential impacts on the banks legal and regulatory proceedings.
Opportunities may arise if macroeconomic conditions improve beyond currently forecasted levels, leading to higher revenues and improving the Groups ability to meet its financial targets. Similarly, the bank may benefit from resolving litigation matters under better conditions than presently anticipated. Currently, macro-financial forecasts expect a soft landing for the U.S. economy, lower inflation rates and moderate easing of monetary policy by major central banks in the rest of 2024 and 2025. At the same time, a renewed increase in inflation and interest rates as well as higher market volatility could potentially lead to increased revenues from trading flows and higher net interest income and lending margins. Through times of volatility or uncertainty, Deutsche Bank could also benefit from helping clients to risk manage their exposures. Focusing on and investing in Deutsche Banks areas of core strengths and the implementation of its strategy may create further opportunities if implemented to a greater extent or under more favorable conditions than currently anticipated.
Risks
Macroeconomic and market conditions
With headline and core inflation approaching central bank targets, the European Central Bank (ECB) lowered its deposit facility rate by 25 basis points for the second time during its September meeting, while the Fed started its easing cycle with a large cut of 50 basis points to its target range for the Fed funds rate. Financial markets continue to anticipate further policy rate cuts in 2024 and 2025, which has supported easing of financial conditions via higher equity prices and tighter credit spreads. With major equity markets rallying to fresh record highs in late September, the risk of corrections in highly valued risk asset markets remains elevated. This was demonstrated by the short-lived but extreme market volatility observed in early August, triggered by a combination of concerns around the economic outlook, the unwinding of JPY carry trades and geopolitical risks in the Middle East. A prolonged, more severe bout of volatility could adversely impact global monetary and credit conditions and hence the Groups business environment.
CRE markets remain under stress from the impact of high interest rates and borrowing costs and tight lending conditions, leading to ongoing pressure on collateral values, particularly in the office sector, and may result in higher than expected provisions for credit losses. Recent evidence suggests that CRE property prices and broader market conditions are stabilizing amid a pick up in investor appetite compared to 2023. Anticipated interest rate cuts may help to further support market sentiment and a gradual easing of refinancing conditions although refinancing risk remains elevated in the near term. The adjustment process in the office sector is expected to persist for several years.
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While Deutsche Banks credit portfolio quality remains overall resilient, the lagged effects of higher policy rates and inflation may lead to the emergence of unexpected losses across the banks wider credit portfolios including larger unexpected idiosyncratic losses.
According to consensus, the soft-landing narrative for the U.S. economy remains intact, supported by softer inflation and a slowdown in labor market and other indicators of economic activity. While the U.S. economy has consistently beaten expectations in the last couple of quarters, there remains a non-negligible, cyclical risk of recession due to the lagged impacts of the past monetary policy tightening. Meanwhile, economic momentum in the Eurozone remains sluggish, with Germany underperforming in the face of cyclical and structural headwinds. Despite the recently announced stimulus measures, Chinas economic outlook remains challenging due to further softening in manufacturing and services activities, weak domestic demand and ongoing stress in the highly leveraged property sector. Export growth may slow down if key markets such as the EU and the U.S. increase tariffs further.
Overall, either in isolation or in combination with other risk factors discussed in the Annual Report 2023, the aforementioned risks could lead to a deterioration in Deutsche Banks portfolio quality and higher than expected credit and market losses.
Geopolitics
Geopolitical risks remain elevated, with concerns focused on the potential for further escalation in the Middle East conflict and Russias war in Ukraine. The Middle East conflict has intensified as the direct military clashes between Israel and Iran along with its terrorist proxies, increase the risk of an outright regional war. While the market reaction remains contained thus far, a further escalation could lead to negative impacts including higher oil prices, volatility in the markets and supply chain disruption which may in turn impact Deutsche Banks risk profile. There are few signs that the war in Ukraine will be resolved in the near-term, and the potential for reduced U.S. military support for Ukraine after the U.S. election may embolden Russia and its allies to step up aggression leading to heightened uncertainty and business disruption.
In addition, geoeconomic tensions between the U.S. and China remain elevated across a wide range of areas, including trade and technology-related issues, Hong Kong, Taiwan, territorial disputes around the South China Sea, human rights, and cybersecurity. While the bank does not consider a China/Taiwan military conflict as its base case in the near-term, potential downside impacts from an escalation are significant and could substantially and adversely affect Deutsche Banks planned results of operations and financial targets.
Amidst Russias ongoing war in Ukraine, further sanctions packages have been introduced in 2024. New sanctions, as well as countermeasures by the Russian government, continue to increase complexity of operations and create conflict of law situations. Against the challenging sanctions backdrop, banks have been implicated in economic disputes of and with counterparties which could result in costs or losses which would not occur in the normal course of business. While an immediate adverse impact to assets in Russia was averted, the recent Russian court orders against various western banks pose downside risk.
The U.S. is heading towards a polarized presidential and congressional election in November 2024 with opinion polls showing that the outcome remains too close to call. The Republican and Democratic parties present sharply different domestic and foreign policy outcomes, which could have far-reaching and de-stabilizing geopolitical and economic implications, thereby driving further trade conflicts.
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Strategy
Deutsche Bank operates in highly competitive markets in all divisions. The ability to deploy capital and fund investments is an important factor to enable it to compete. The Group continually monitors and responds to competitive developments to protect its market position and realize growth opportunities. Competitors in that context include large, international banks, smaller domestic banks, potential mergers or acquisitions amongst banks, as well as emerging, non-banking competitors. If significant competitors were to merge or be acquired, this could result in a decrease in the banks deposit base, which may have a significant impact on Deutsche Banks business model. In addition, potential mergers and acquisitions amongst European competitors could also impact Deutsche Banks opportunities to grow non-organically in the future.
Employee turnover rates in the third quarter of 2024 exceeded prior years level across all regions, mainly driven by Asia Pacific, Middle East, and Africa. On a year-to-date basis employee turnover rates are on prior years level. In general, the development of turnover rates could impact the banks operation and cost structures.
Postbank IT migration
Deutsche Bank has resolved the backlog in the client critical processes in scope of the BaFin order. New incoming client requests within these processes are also generally being processed within defined service levels. Deutsche Bank continues its efforts to further improve the service processes. Generally, not processing inquiries on time could result in higher credit and operational costs, impact the banks reputation and also result in loss of clients or business. This in turn could impact the banks future results.
Regulatory supervisory reforms, assessments and proceedings
In the EU, the prudential framework (Capital Requirements Regulation/Directive CRR III, CRD VI) has been revised and will now be implemented or apply directly across all EU Member States. Ultimately, this revised framework will amend capital requirements for all EU banks starting from January 2025. The European Commission has proposed to delay the application of certain parts of the CRR III/CRD VI package, specifically those related to Market Risk (implementing the Basel Committees Fundamental Review of the Trading Book FRTB) and related provisions. The proposal, via a Commission Delegated Act, is now pending European Parliament and Council of the EU approval.
A number of key capital markets legislations were finalized in the EU in the second quarter of 2024 and are currently awaiting publication in the EU Official Journal later this year. This includes the revised European Market Infrastructure Regulation (EMIR 3.0). EMIR 3.0 is intended to make clearing in the EU more attractive, to streamline supervisory procedures for EU central clearing counterparties (CCPs), and to address financial stability risks. These include measures to improve clearing services at EU CCPs, thereby reducing reliance of clearing certain over-the-counter derivatives at UK CCPs. Notably, the rules require all financial counterparties and non-financial counterparties subject to the EMIR clearing obligation to hold a so-called active account at an EU CCP and, depending on certain thresholds, and clear a defined number of trades in these accounts. The updated rules will also streamline the approval processes for clearing services offered by EU CCPs and update the existing supervisory framework for EU CCPs.
The Listing Act has also been finalized. It amends several pieces of legislation, including the Prospectus Regulation, the Market Abuse Regulation, and the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID II). It includes a new Directive on multiple-vote share structure on small and medium-sized entity growth markets to allow founders to retain control of their company after listing. Notably, it revokes the current research unbundling regime under MiFID II and introduces a full optional rebundling of research payments together with an EU code of conduct, to increase SME research in the EU.
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In the U.S., in July 2023 the prudential regulators proposed a rule to implement the Basel Committees finalized Basel III framework. The proposal would raise capital requirements for banks with over U.S. $ 100 billion in assets and removes much of the differentiation among institutions requirements. There is significant uncertainty regarding how many changes will be made in the final rule as well as in the timing of finalization. The rule may be reproposed during the course of 2024. Prudential regulators are also investigating potential changes to liquidity requirements, in particular to address liquidity issues that arose during the March 2023 banking stress in the U.S.
As part of the Supervisory Review and Evaluation Process (SREP) the ECB assesses the risk profile of individual banks. In response to such assessment, it may ask the bank to hold additional capital and/or to meet additional qualitative requirements (referred to as Pillar 2 Requirements) and may give additional recommendations (referred to as Pillar 2 Guidance). The SREP is usually conducted annually with a new decision being communicated in the fourth quarter. Supervisors can also impose capital surcharges to address macroeconomic risks, through the use of macroprudential tools. These include CET1 buffer increases that could apply group-wide or only for local activities at national level or for specific types of exposures (e.g., credit). The use of these tools is governed by the applicable macroprudential framework in the EU or any other relevant jurisdiction and are typically decided by national macroprudential authorities. Regulatory actions can also be influenced by industry wide exercises which are e.g. aimed at assessing asset quality or provisioning levels. Ultimately, the application of regulatory tools may impact the banks profitability, capital or liquidity base. This also includes the risk that Deutsche Bank will not be able to make desired cash distributions and share buybacks, subject to regulatory approval, shareholder authorization and meeting German corporate law requirements.
The SEC finalized a climate risk disclosure rule in March 2024, which has subsequently become the subject of several lawsuits and has been voluntarily stayed by the SEC. The SEC may release final proposals over the course of 2024 regarding the Commissions agenda that has included reporting and safeguarding advisory client assets. The SEC has finalized its disclosure framework around Cybersecurity Disclosures for Public Companies. These final rules require disclosure of registrants cybersecurity program and risk management practices. With respect to the EBA consultation on guidelines for the management of Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) risks, banks are awaiting the final text. The new guideline will set out requirements on how to identify, measure, manage and monitor ESG risks. Further banks will have to have plans to address the risks caused by the transition to a climate neutral economy.
Overall, either in isolation or in combination with other risk factors discussed in this Interim Report and the Annual Report 2023, developments in regulation or regulatory action in response to perceived weaknesses in the financial industry have the potential to impact the banks operations, have an adverse impact on competition, curtail its ability to provide financing and result in lower than expected revenues.
Compliance and Anti-Financial Crime
The bank has identified the need to strengthen its internal control environment and infrastructure. Moreover, reviews of several regulators focused on internal controls and the related infrastructure have led to requirements for the bank to remediate its anti-money laundering (AML) and other control weaknesses. The bank has undertaken initiatives to accomplish this. While the overall goals of these regulators are broadly consistent and the general themes of deficiencies are similar, the applicable regulatory frameworks are not always consistent across the relevant jurisdictions. If the bank is unable to complete these initiatives within the envisaged timeframes, this may result in regulatory action that may include fines or penalties or limitations on the banks business, which could be material. This could lead to increased operational costs, decreased revenues and/or adverse impact to the banks reputation. This in turn could impact the banks future results.
The U.S. established a secondary sanctions regime whereby severe measures can be taken against foreign financial institutions that are directly or indirectly engaged in transactions involving Russias military-industrial base. Sanctions could result in the restriction or termination of access to the U.S. market, the freezing of assets, reputational damage, and loss of business. While Deutsche Bank has enhanced controls to identify transactions and clients with higher secondary sanctions risk exposure, the bank cannot eliminate the risk that it might inadvertently facilitate transactions that could give rise to secondary sanctions.
Deutsche Bank continuously enhances its processes and controls in order to achieve compliance with applicable regulatory frameworks, particularly across Deutsche Banks affiliates, and regularly tracks and tests its adherence and any potential risks thereto.
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Technology, Data and Innovation
Major technology transformations in the banks business and infrastructure areas are executed via dedicated initiatives. Postbanks IT migration project aims at simplifying the banks IT environment through the decommissioning of the Postbank IT environment. Following the client data migration last year, as part of the decommissioning efforts, the calculation of credit loss allowances for former Postbank subsidiaries was transferred to Deutsche Bank IT platforms in the third quarter of 2024.
A key area of focus for the bank, which also receives more regulatory attention, is the use of residual non-strategic and unsupported technology (also referred to as End of Life). Targeted near term upgrades for critical applications as well as the banks multi-year transformation program to Google Cloud mitigate the risk of IT or cyber outages and provide significant improvement in resilience capability.
The bank continues to monitor the global threat landscape for any emerging threats related to security of the banks operations and information and constantly adjusts the required mitigation measures. This includes identification of and response to incidents at third party vendors. Deutsche Bank closely monitors the threats introduced by security vulnerabilities, including related nation state actors activities. In addition, the banks security threat intelligence function also monitors relevant trends and developments like Artificial Intelligence or Quantum Computing and common attack scenarios, including, e.g., ransomware, denial of service and supply chain attacks.
Deutsche Bank is still maturing in its overall data management strategy against its core processes and data sets such as transactional, client and reference data. This includes the development and implementation of the banks enterprise architecture principles across the core technology infrastructure. This is central to Deutsche Banks wider technology and data strategy, enabling business growth and efficiencies, while also enhancing the control environment. Deutsche Banks regulators are actively engaged in ensuring the bank progresses with this component of its strategy.
Deutsche Banks regulators are actively engaged in ensuring the bank continues to mature its data management strategy to enhance the control environment. This is consistent with the banks wider technology and data strategy.
Financial institutions rely on third-party service providers for a range of services, some of which support their critical operations. These dependencies have grown in recent years as part of the increasing trend in digitalization of the financial services sector which can bring multiple benefits including flexibility, innovation and improved operational resilience. However, if not properly managed, disruption to critical services or service providers could pose risks to financial institutions, and in some cases, financial stability.
Environmental, social and governance
While Deutsche Bank remains committed to the targets and ambitions outlined in the Sustainability Deep Dive in 2023, the bank may face headwinds in achieving its target for 500 billion in cumulative ESG financing and investment volumes through the end of 2025. If ambitions or targets are missed, this could impact, among other things, revenues and the reputation of the bank. In addition, scarcity of ESG assets may reduce Deutsche Banks ability to issue ESG compliant funding. Similarly, significant deviations from absolute and intensity-based net zero aligned emissions targets if its clients are not able to decarbonize at the rate required by a net zero by 2050 outcome may open the bank up to reputational risks.
Certain jurisdictions have begun to develop anti-ESG measures including requiring financial institutions that wish to do business with them to certify their non-adherence to aspects of the transition agenda. Failing to comply with these requirements may result in the termination of existing business and the inability to conduct new business with those jurisdictions, while complying may lead to reputational risks amongst other risks.
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Opportunities
Macroeconomic and market conditions
Should economic conditions, such as GDP growth and competitive conditions in the financial services industry improve beyond currently forecasted levels, this could result in higher revenues. These impacts may only be partially offset by additional costs, therefore improving the Groups ability to meet its financial targets.
Improved economic, inflation and interest rate dynamics may also support levels of economic and commercial activity, improving the environment for corporate and private client activity and thereby supporting the banks business volumes. These dynamics could also positively impact conditions on financial markets and the outlook for investors, creating opportunities for the banks trading and investment management activities. Additionally, these dynamics could positively impact the credit environment.
Geopolitics
While rising geopolitical risks create uncertainty which undermines the global growth outlook and leads to increased fragmentation of the business environment, Deutsche Bank could benefit from supporting clients to de-risk their supply chains and rebalance their global footprint if the fragmentation of the international trade order accelerates. Should geopolitical risk unexpectedly subside, the outlook for global growth could improve beyond the banks assumptions with positive implications for revenues and risk metrics.
Regulatory change
Recent recommendations to EU leaders outlining detailed ways to strengthen the EU single market for financial services will be supportive to the Groups Global Hausbank Strategy. Such recommendations include but are not limited to: enhancements to EU market supervision; regulatory simplification; updates to the EU securitization frameworks; centralization of EU bond issuance; coordination of infrastructure investments with a clear focus on mobilizing private funds which will allow the bank to support the EUs wider strategic objectives. Strengthening financial services in the EU single market could have a positive impact on Deutsche Banks businesses and further improve the banks ability to meet its financial targets.
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Risk information
Key risk metrics
The following section provides qualitative and quantitative disclosures about credit, market, liquidity and other risk metrics and its developments within the first nine months of 2024. Disclosures according to Pillar 3 of the finalized Basel III framework, which are implemented in the European Union by the Capital Requirements Regulation (CRR) and supported by EBA Implementing Technical Standards or the EBA Guideline, will be published in the Groups separate Pillar 3 report.
The following selected key risk ratios and corresponding metrics form part of the banks holistic risk management across individual risk types. The Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio, Economic Capital Adequacy (ECA) ratio, Leverage ratio, Total Loss Absorbing Capacity (TLAC), Minimum Requirement for Own Funds and Eligible Liabilities (MREL), Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR), Stressed Net Liquidity Position (sNLP) and Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR) serve as high-level metrics and are fully integrated across strategic planning, risk appetite framework, stress testing and recovery and resolution planning practices, which are reviewed and approved by the Management Board at least annually. For additional details on the Groups Regulatory Framework, information on key risk categories and on the management of its material risks, please refer to the Annual Report 2023 in the section Risk report.
Common Equity Tier 1 ratio |
||
30.9.2024 |
13.8%1 |
|
31.12.2023 |
13.7% |
|
Economic capital adequacy ratio |
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30.9.2024 |
208% |
|
31.12.2023 |
205% |
|
Leverage ratio |
||
30.9.2024 |
4.6%1 |
|
31.12.2023 |
4.5% |
|
Total loss absorbing capacity (TLAC) |
||
30.9.2024 (Risk Weighted Asset based) |
32.8% |
|
30.9.2024 (Leverage Exposure based) |
9.1% |
|
31.12.2023 (Risk Weighted Asset based) |
32.6% |
|
31.12.2023 (Leverage Exposure based) |
9.2% |
|
Liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) |
||
30.9.2024 |
135% |
|
31.12.2023 |
140% |
|
Total risk-weighted assets (RWA) |
|||
30.9.2024 |
356.5 bn1 |
||
31.12.2023 |
349.7 bn |
||
Total economic capital |
|||
30.9.2024 |
23.2 bn |
||
31.12.2023 |
23.3 bn |
||
Leverage exposure |
|||
30.9.2024 |
1,284 bn1 |
||
31.12.2023 |
1,240 bn |
||
Minimum requirement for own funds and eligible liabilities (MREL) |
|||
30.9.2024 |
36.7% |
||
31.12.2023 |
35.2% |
||
Stressed net liquidity position (sNLP) |
|||
30.9.2024 |
72.0 bn |
||
31.12.2023 |
57.7 bn |
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Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR) |
|||
30.9.2024 |
122% |
||
31.12.2023 |
121% |
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1 Starting with the third quarter of 2024 Deutsche Bank adopted the temporary treatment of unrealized gains and losses measured at fair value through OCI in accordance with Article 468 CRR; without application of this rule CET1 ratio would have been 13.6% with respective CET1 capital of 48.4 billion and RWA of 356.4 billion and in addition, the leverage ratio would have been 4.5% with respective Tier1 capital of 58.3 billion and leverage exposure of 1,283 billion
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Key risk themes
The latest developments and key uncertainties in the first nine months of 2024 are part of the banks ongoing credit risk management activities and governance framework. These activities include, but are not limited to, regular emerging risk reviews (amongst others Climate Risk, CRE, Germany, Middle East) as well as portfolio deep dives, day to day risk management on the level of individual borrowers, and regular model validations. None of these activities identified key risk themes in focus with elevated loss potential for the Group in the current quarter, other than CRE, which continued to be a key risk theme.
Commercial Real Estate
Commercial Real Estate (CRE) markets continue to face headwinds due to the impacts of higher interest rates, reduced market liquidity combined with tightened lending conditions, and structural changes in the office sector. The market stress has been more pronounced in the U.S. where property price indices show a more substantial decline of CRE asset values from recent peaks compared to Europe and APAC. Especially, within the office segment, the market weakness is most evident in the U.S., reflected in subdued leasing activity and higher vacancy rates compared to Europe. Market data indicate some stabilization year-to-date for the wider sector. For example, a key CRE price index curve in the U.S. has flattened over the past nine months, indicating property market values in the U.S. have bottomed out on a broad average while some value decline can still be observed in weak office submarkets. In Europe, signs of stabilization are emerging particularly in residential, logistics and hospitality property sectors.
In the current environment, the main risk for the portfolio is related to refinancing and extension of maturing loans. CRE loans often have a significant portion of principal payable at maturity. Under current market conditions, borrowers may have difficulty obtaining a new loan to repay the maturing debt or to meet conditions that allow extension of loans. This risk is further amplified for loans in the office segment due to increased uncertainty about letting prospects for office properties. Deutsche Bank is closely monitoring the CRE portfolio for development of such risks.
The Group continues to proactively work with borrowers to address upcoming maturities to establish terms for loan amendments and extensions, which in many cases, are classified as forbearance triggering Stage 2 classification under IFRS 9 but are not always deemed modifications under IFRS. However, in certain cases, no agreement can be reached on loan extensions or loan amendments and the borrowers inability to restructure or refinance leads to a default. This has resulted in higher Stage 3 ECLs in 2023, a development which continued into the first nine months of 2024. Overall, uncertainty remains with respect to future defaults and the timing of a full recovery in the CRE markets.
The CRE portfolio consists of lending arrangements originated across various parts of the bank and client segments. The CRE portfolio under the Groups CRE definition includes exposures reported under the Main Credit Exposure Categories by Industry Sectors for Real Estate Activities NACE and exposures reported under other NACE classifications including Financial and Insurance Activities.
Within the CRE portfolio, the Group differentiates between recourse and non-recourse financing. Recourse CRE financings typically have a lower inherent risk profile based on recourse to creditworthy entities or individuals, in addition to mortgage collateral. Recourse CRE exposures range from secured recourse lending for business or commercial properties to property companies, Wealth Management clients, as well as other private and corporate clients.
Non-recourse financings rely on sources of repayment that are typically limited to the cash flows generated by the financed property and the ability to refinance such loans may be constrained by the underlying property value and income stream generated by such property at the time of refinancing.
The entire CRE loan portfolio is subject to periodic stress testing under Deutsche Banks Group Wide Stress Test Framework. In addition, Deutsche Bank uses bespoke portfolio stress testing for certain sub-segments of the CRE loan portfolio to obtain a more comprehensive view of potential downside risks. For the period ending June 30, 2024, the Group updated a bespoke portfolio stress test on a subset of the non-recourse financing portfolio deemed higher risk based on its heightened sensitivity to current CRE market stress factors, including higher interest rates, declining collateral values and elevated refinancing risk due to loan structures with a high proportion of their outstanding principal balance payable at maturity. As the portfolio composition and key stress test inputs in the third quarter 2024 remained broadly stable with the second quarter 2024, the stress test was not updated for the period ending September 30, 2024.
34
Deutsche Bank |
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Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
As of September 30, 2024, the non-recourse portfolio subject to the bespoke portfolio stress testing, also referred to as the higher risk CRE portfolio or the stress-tested CRE portfolio, amounted to 29.9 billion of the 37.0 billion non-recourse CRE portfolio, excluding sub-portfolios with less impacted risk drivers such as data centers and municipal social housing, which benefit from strong underlying demand fundamentals. The decrease in the non-recourse CRE portfolio and stress-tested CRE portfolio since December 31, 2023, was 1.2 billion and 1.3 billion, respectively, mainly driven by loan repayments partially offset by new loan originations.
The following table provides an overview of the Groups Real Estate Activities and other industry sectors (NACE) contributing to Deutsche Banks non-recourse and stress-tested CRE portfolio as of September 30, 2024, and December 31, 2023, respectively.
CRE portfolio
|
September 30, 2024 |
Dec 31, 2023 |
|||||||
in m. |
Gross Carrying Amount¹ |
Allowance for Credit Losses² |
Gross Carrying Amount¹ |
Allowance for Credit Losses² |
|||||
Real Estate Activities³ |
48,743 |
689 |
49,267 |
460 |
|||||
thereof: non-recourse |
24,273 |
568 |
25,073 |
382 |
|||||
thereof: stress-tested portfolio |
20,904 |
548 |
21,331 |
364 |
|||||
Other industry sectors³ non-recourse |
12,681 |
232 |
13,119 |
225 |
|||||
thereof: stress-tested portfolio |
9,035 |
115 |
9,879 |
114 |
|||||
Total non-recourse CRE portfolio |
36,955 |
800 |
38,192 |
606 |
|||||
thereof: stress-tested portfolio |
29,940 |
663 |
31,210 |
478 |
|||||
1Loans at amortized cost
2Allowance for credit losses do not include allowance for country risk
3Industry sector by NACE (Nomenclature des Activités Économiques dans la Communauté Européenne) code
The following table shows the non-recourse CRE portfolio by IFRS 9 stages as well as provision for credit losses recorded as of September 30, 2024, and December 31, 2023.
Non-recourse CRE portfolio
|
September 30, 2024 |
Dec 31, 2023 |
|||
in m. |
Gross Carrying Amount¹ |
Gross Carrying Amount¹ |
|||
Exposure by stages |
|||||
Stage 1 |
24,328 |
27,325 |
|||
Stage 2 |
9,212 |
7,661 |
|||
Stage 3 |
3,415 |
3,206 |
|||
Total |
36,955 |
38,192 |
|||
Nine months |
Twelve months |
||||
Provision for Credit Losses² |
417 |
445 |
|||
1Loans at amortized cost
2Provision for Credit Losses do not include country risk provisions
The increase in Stage 2 and Stage 3 exposures is reflective of the development in CRE markets leading to a higher number of loans added to the watchlist and forbearance measures as well as increasing defaults.
35
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
The following table shows the stress-tested CRE portfolio by IFRS 9 stages, region, property type and average weighted loan to value (LTV) as well as provision for credit losses recorded as of September 30, 2024, and December 31, 2023, respectively.
Stress-tested CRE portfolio
|
September 30, 2024 |
Dec 31, 2023 |
|||
in m. |
Gross Carrying Amount¹ |
Gross Carrying Amount¹ |
|||
Exposure by stages |
|||||
Stage 1 |
18,943 |
21,568 |
|||
Stage 2 |
7,974 |
6,889 |
|||
Stage 3 |
3,023 |
2,753 |
|||
Total |
29,940 |
31,210 |
|||
thereof: |
|||||
North America |
52% |
56% |
|||
Western Europe (including Germany) |
39% |
36%2 |
|||
Asia/Pacific |
8% |
7% |
|||
thereof: offices |
41% |
42% |
|||
North America |
23% |
23% |
|||
Western Europe (including Germany) |
16% |
17%3 |
|||
Asia/Pacific |
2% |
2% |
|||
thereof: residential |
14% |
14% |
|||
thereof: hospitality |
10% |
10% |
|||
thereof: retail |
10% |
9% |
|||
Weighted average LTV, in % |
|||||
Investment Bank |
66% |
66% |
|||
Corporate Bank |
55% |
53% |
|||
Other Business |
67% |
68% |
|||
Nine months |
Twelve months |
||||
Provision for Credit Losses4 |
409 |
388 |
|||
thereof: North America |
320 |
298 |
|||
1Loans at amortized cost
2Germany accounts for ca 8% as of September 30, 2024 and ca 7% as of December 31, 2023 of the total stress-tested CRE portfolio
3Office loans in Germany account for 4% of total office loans in the stress-tested CRE portfolio as of September 30, 2024 and as of December 31, 2023
4Provision for Credit Losses do not include country risk provisions
The average LTV in the U.S. office loan segment stood at 83% as of September 30, 2024 versus 81% as at December 31, 2023. LTV calculations are based on latest externally appraised values which are additionally subject to regular interim internal adjustments. While the Group is updating CRE collateral values where applicable, such values and their underlying assumptions are subject to a higher degree of fluctuation and uncertainty in the current environment of heightened market volatility and reduced market liquidity. A continuation of the current stressed market conditions could have a further adverse impact on commercial real estate property values and LTV ratios.
Stage classification and provisioning levels are primarily based on the Groups assessment of a borrowers ability to generate recurring cash flows, its ability to obtain refinancing at the loans maturity, and an assessment of the financed propertys collateral value. Deutsche Bank actively monitors these factors for potential signs of deterioration to ensure timely adjustment of the borrowers loan classifications. When a loan is deemed to be impaired, the Group calculates required credit loss provisions using multiple potential scenarios for loan resolution, weighted by their expected probabilities and taking into account information available at that point. Such assessments are inherently subjective with respect to scenario weightings and subject to various assumptions, including future cash flows generated by a property and potential property liquidation proceeds. These assumptions are subject to uncertainties which are exacerbated in the current volatile market environment such that deviating developments to initial assumptions could have a material future impact on calculated provisions. Additional uncertainty exists within the office sector due to the uncertain long-term impact of remote working arrangements on demand for office space. The Group remains highly selective around new business, focusing on more resilient property types such as industrial or logistics.
36
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
While central banks have started to cut short-term interest rates, the Group expects current CRE market conditions to continue, in the near-term particularly in the office sector which could result in further deterioration of asset quality and higher credit loss provisions, which is reflected in the communicated guidance for credit loss provisions for 2024.
Since the onset of the CRE market deterioration, the Group aims to assess the downside risk of additional credit losses in its higher risk non-recourse portfolio through a temporary bespoke stress testing focused on stressing property values as main driver of loss severity. Stressed values are derived by applying an observed peak-to-trough market index decline (a commercial property value market index to the appraised values) plus an additional haircut, differentiated by property type and region. Implying a liquidation scenario, the stress analysis assumes a loss to occur on a loan when the stressed property value is less than the outstanding loan balance, i.e., the stress LTV beyond 100%.
Based on the stress test assumptions and utilizing the stress-tested CRE portfolio of 30.5 billion as of June 30, 2024, as a starting point, the stress scenario could result in approximately 1.2 billion of credit losses over multiple years based on the respective maturity profile. The CRE market showed some signs of stabilization since the beginning of 2024, which continued into the third quarter, with a key CRE price index curve flattening and indicating potential bottoming-out of CRE values on average. Given the development of market indicators and broadly stable portfolio composition, the bespoke stress test was not updated in the third quarter 2024, as results from the prior quarter are still considered a reasonable approximation of potential stress losses as of September 30,2024. Based on the stress test results, gross of allowance, of approximately 1.2 billion as of June 30, 2024, and considering allowance for credit losses of 0.7 billion already in place as of September 30, 2024, potential incremental net provisions could result in 0.5 billion over multiple years.
The bespoke stress test has numerous limitations, including but not restricted to lack of differentiation based on individual asset performance, specific location or asset desirability, all of which could have a material impact on potential stress losses. Furthermore, calculated stress losses are sensitive to potential further deterioration of peak-to-trough index values and assumptions about incremental haircuts and incremental stress loss can therefore change in future. Changes in underlying assumptions could lead to a wider range of stress results and hence the Group's bespoke stress approach should be viewed as one of multiple possible scenarios. As such, the stress loss could exceed the current ECL estimate but based on currently available information, Deutsche Bank believes that the ECL estimate related to the Groups CRE portfolio is within a reasonable range and thus represents the banks best estimate.
37
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
Risk-weighted assets
Risk-weighted assets by risk type and business segment
|
Sep 30, 2024 |
|||||||||||
in m. |
Corporate |
Investment |
Private |
Asset |
Corporate & |
Total |
||||||
Credit risk |
65,011 |
92,381 |
81,451 |
13,264 |
17,731 |
269,838 |
||||||
Settlement risk |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
4 |
||||||
Credit valuation adjustment (CVA) |
43 |
2,660 |
146 |
0 |
118 |
2,967 |
||||||
Market risk |
465 |
22,657 |
50 |
31 |
2,791 |
25,995 |
||||||
Operational risk |
8,792 |
15,849 |
15,206 |
4,798 |
13,046 |
57,691 |
||||||
Total |
74,312 |
133,548 |
96,853 |
18,094 |
33,689 |
356,496 |
||||||
|
Dec 31, 2023 |
|||||||||||
in m. |
Corporate |
Investment |
Private |
Asset |
Corporate & |
Total |
||||||
Credit risk |
63,156 |
94,246 |
78,422 |
11,652 |
18,314 |
265,789 |
||||||
Settlement risk |
0 |
1 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
||||||
Credit valuation adjustment (CVA) |
82 |
4,654 |
110 |
0 |
429 |
5,276 |
||||||
Market risk |
181 |
19,019 |
22 |
28 |
2,260 |
21,510 |
||||||
Operational risk |
5,568 |
21,611 |
7,659 |
3,475 |
18,839 |
57,153 |
||||||
Total |
68,987 |
139,532 |
86,226 |
15,155 |
39,842 |
349,742 |
||||||
RWA of Deutsche Bank were 356.5 billion as of September 30, 2024, compared to 349.7 billion at the end of 2023. The increase of 6.8 billion was driven by market risk RWA, credit risk RWA and operational risk RWA, partially offset by credit valuation adjustment RWA. Market risk RWA increased by 4.5 billion, primarily driven by increase in the Stressed-Value-at-Risk (SVaR) component due to specific risk positions within Fixed Income and Currencies Trading business which were particularly sensitive to the Lehman Crisis SVaR window as well as incremental risk charge component due to increased exposures, which was partly offset by Value-at-Risk component due to overall reduced volatility. Credit risk RWA increased by 4.0 billion, primarily driven by business growth, refinements of internal models, increased equity positions in guaranteed funds and higher RWA for deferred tax assets. This was partially offset by credit risk RWA reductions from capital efficiency measures especially within the Corporate Bank and the Investment Bank as well as foreign exchange movements. Deutsche Bank´s operational risk RWA increased by 0.5 billion, which was mainly driven by the Postbank takeover litigation provision. Credit valuation adjustment RWA decreased by 2.3 billion, mainly driven by reduced volatility, increased hedging benefit and reduced exposure.
38
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
CET1 capital reconciliation to shareholders equity
in m. |
Sep 30, 2024 |
Dec 31, 2023 |
||
Total shareholders equity per accounting balance sheet (IASB IFRS) |
67,278 |
65,999 |
||
Difference between equity per IASB IFRS / EU IFRS³ |
(2,430) |
(1,513) |
||
Total shareholders equity per accounting balance sheet (EU IFRS) |
64,848 |
64,486 |
||
Deconsolidation/Consolidation of entities |
(24) |
(35) |
||
Of which: |
||||
Additional paid-in capital |
0 |
0 |
||
Retained earnings |
(24) |
(35) |
||
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax |
0 |
0 |
||
Total shareholders equity per regulatory balance sheet |
64,824 |
64,451 |
||
Minority Interests (amount allowed in consolidated CET1) |
968 |
973 |
||
AT1 coupon and shareholder distribution deduction1 |
(1,573) |
(1,279) |
||
Capital instruments not eligible under CET1 as per CRR 28(1) |
(9) |
(21) |
||
Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital before regulatory adjustments |
64,209 |
64,124 |
||
Prudential filters |
(1,959) |
(1,853) |
||
Of which: |
||||
Additional value adjustments |
(1,660) |
(1,727) |
||
Any increase in equity that results from securitized assets |
(0) |
(0) |
||
Fair value reserves related to gains or losses on cash flow hedges and gains or losses on liabilities designated at fair value resulting from changes in own credit standing |
(300) |
(126) |
||
Regulatory adjustments |
(13,067) |
(14,205) |
||
Of which: |
||||
Goodwill and other intangible assets (net of related tax liabilities) (negative amount) |
(5,033) |
(5,014) |
||
Deferred tax assets that rely on future profitability |
(3,455) |
(4,207) |
||
Negative amounts resulting from the calculation of expected loss amounts |
(2,741) |
(2,386) |
||
Defined benefit pension fund assets (net of related tax liabilities) (negative amount) |
(957) |
(920) |
||
Direct, indirect and synthetic holdings by the institution of the CET1 instruments of financial sector entities where the institution has a significant investment in those entities |
0 |
0 |
||
Securitization positions not included in risk-weighted assets |
0 |
0 |
||
Regulatory adjustments relating to unrealized gains and losses pursuant to Art. 468 CRR |
789 |
0 |
||
Other² |
(1,670) |
(1,679) |
||
Common Equity Tier 1 capital |
49,183 |
48,066 |
||
1Interim profits are recognized subject to approval as per ECB Decision (EU) 2015/656 in accordance with the Article 26(2) of Regulation (EU) No 575/2013 (ECB/2015/4); current years deductions include AT1 coupons of 0.3 billion and dividend deduction of 1.0 billion and foreseeable share buybacks of 0.3 billion
2Includes capital deductions of 1.4 billion (December 2023: 1.4 billion) based on ECB guidance on irrevocable payment commitments related to the Single Resolution Fund and the Deposit Guarantee Scheme, 0.3 billion (December 2023: 0.3 billion) based on ECBs supervisory recommendation for a prudential provisioning of non-performing exposures
3Differences in equity per balance sheet result entirely from deviations in profit (loss) after taxes due to the application of EU carve-out rules as set forth in the Note 1 "Material accounting policies and critical accounting estimates" of the Groups Annual Report 2023. These rules were initially applied in the first quarter 2020
Deutsche Banks shareholders equity as of September 30, 2024, amounted to 64.8 billion, which includes 3.1 billion of net income during first nine months of the year. After adjusting for minority interest given recognition in CET1 capital of 1.0 billion, 1.3 billion regulatory deductions for intended future shareholder distributions relating to the Groups 50% payout ratio policy in respect of financial year 2024 and 0.3 billion accrued AT1 coupon payments in line with ECB Decision (EU) (2015/656) on the recognition of interim or year-end profits in CET1 capital in accordance with Article 26(2) of Regulation (EU) No 575/2013 (ECB/2015/4), and other adjustments, CET1 capital before regulatory adjustments amounts to 64.2 billion, up by 0.1 billion compared to December 31, 2023.
CET1 capital was 49.2 billion as of September 30, 2024, reflecting an increase of 1.1 billion compared to December 31, 2023. This increase was primarily driven by the adoption of a temporary treatment of unrealized gains and losses valued at fair value through OCI, in accordance with Article 468 of CRR, which was implemented in the third quarter of 2024 and contributed 0.8 billion to the CET1 capital, and reductions in deferred tax assets by 0.8 billion. These positive impacts were partially offset by an increase in the deduction for expected loss shortfall by 0.4 billion and higher prudential filter adjustments by 0.1 billion.
As of September 30, 2024, Deutsche Bank's CET1 capital ratio increased to 13.8% compared to 13.7% as of December 31, 2023. The increase of 5 basis points is primarily driven by higher CET1 capital as outlined above, which was partially offset by the higher RWA as outlined in the previous section.
39
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
Economic capital adequacy ratio and economic capital
The economic capital adequacy ratio was 208% as of September 30, 2024, compared to 205% as of December 31, 2023. The increase was driven by an increase in economic capital supply and the decrease in economic capital demand.
The economic capital supply amounted to 48.2 billion as of September 30, 2024, compared to 47.6 billion as of December 31, 2023. The increase of 0.6 billion was primarily driven by a positive net income of 3.1 billion and 0.7 billion lower capital deductions for IFRS deferred tax assets excluding temporary differences. These increases were partly offset by the 1.3 billion deductions for future shareholder distributions relating to the groups 50% payout ratio and 0.3 billion AT1 coupon deduction, 0.7 billion share buyback program, 0.4 billion currency translation adjustments and 0.4 billion higher capital deduction from expected loss shortfall.
The economic capital demand amounted to 23.2 billion as of September 30, 2024, which represents a 0.1 billion decrease compared to 23.3 billion as of December 31, 2023. Credit risk decreased by 0.1 billion mainly due to decrease in exposure and rating improvements, partly offset by an increase in strategic risk of 0.1 billion mainly due to higher deferred tax assets from temporary differences. Additionally, the inter-risk diversification benefit across credit, market, operational and strategic risk increased by 0.1 billion.
Leverage ratio and leverage exposure
A minimum leverage ratio requirement of 3% was introduced effective June 28, 2021. Starting with January 1, 2023, an additional leverage ratio buffer requirement of 50% of the applicable G-SII buffer rate applies. This additional requirement equals 0.75% for Deutsche Bank. Furthermore, the European Central Bank has set a Pillar 2 requirement for the leverage ratio for the first time; effective January 1, 2024, this requirement is 0.10%. This adds up to an overall leverage ratio requirement of 3.85%.
As of September 30, 2024, Deutsche Banks leverage ratio was 4.6%, compared to 4.5% as of December 31, 2023. This takes into account a Tier 1 capital of 59.1 billion over an applicable exposure measure of 1,283.7 billion as of September 30, 2024 ( 56.4 billion and 1,240.3 billion as of December 31, 2023, respectively).
In the first nine months of 2024 Tier 1 capital increased by 2.7 billion to 59.1 billion, in addition to the increase of CET1 capital discussed in section CET1 capital reconciliation to shareholders equity also driven by the issuance of Additional Tier 1 capital instruments with a total principal amount of 1.5 billion.
In the first nine months of 2024 the leverage exposure increased by 43.4 billion to 1,283.7 billion, largely driven by leverage exposure for securities financing transactions (SFTs) which increased by 52.1 billion, largely in line with the development on the balance sheet (for additional information please refer to section Movements in assets and liabilities in this report). In addition, off-balance sheet leverage exposures increased by 7.6 billion corresponding to higher notional amounts for irrevocable lending commitments and financial guarantees. These increases were partly offset by the leverage exposure for the asset items not related to derivatives and SFTs which decreased by 10.1 billion. This largely reflects the development of the balance sheet: decreases in cash and central bank/interbank balances of 35.8 billion and in loans by 2.5 billion were partly offset by increases in non-derivative trading assets by 21.7 billion and in receivables from unsettled regular way trades by 1.9 billion on a net basis ( 30.1 billion on a gross basis from seasonally low year-end levels); remaining asset items not outlined separately increased by 4.7 billion. Furthermore, the leverage exposure related to derivatives decreased by 6.3 billion.
The increase in leverage exposure in the first nine months of 2024 included a negative foreign exchange impact of 3.7 billion, mainly due to the weakening of the U.S. Dollar versus the Euro. The effects from foreign exchange rate movements are embedded in the movement of the leverage exposure items discussed in this section.
40
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
Minimum Requirement of Own Funds and Eligible Liabilities (MREL) and Total Loss Absorbing Capacity (TLAC)
MREL and TLAC
in m. |
Sep 30, 2024 |
Dec 31, 2023 |
||
Regulatory capital elements of TLAC/MREL |
||||
Common Equity Tier 1 capital (CET1) |
49,183 |
48,066 |
||
Additional Tier 1 (AT1) capital instruments eligible under TLAC/MREL |
9,878 |
8,328 |
||
Tier 2 (T2) capital instruments eligible under TLAC/MREL |
||||
Tier 2 (T2) capital instruments before TLAC/MREL adjustments |
7,660 |
8,610 |
||
Tier 2 (T2) capital instruments adjustments for TLAC/MREL |
546 |
2,478 |
||
Tier 2 (T2) capital instruments eligible under TLAC/MREL |
8,206 |
11,088 |
||
Total regulatory capital elements of TLAC/MREL |
67,267 |
67,483 |
||
Other elements of TLAC/MREL |
||||
Senior non-preferred plain vanilla |
49,758 |
46,624 |
||
Holdings of eligible liabilities instruments of other G-SIIs (TLAC only) |
|
|
||
Total Loss Absorbing Capacity (TLAC) |
117,025 |
114,106 |
||
Add back of holdings of eligible liabilities instruments of other G-SIIs (TLAC only) |
0 |
0 |
||
Available Own Funds and subordinated Eligible Liabilities (subordinated MREL) |
117,025 |
114,106 |
||
Senior preferred plain vanilla |
8,448 |
5,538 |
||
Senior preferred structured products |
5,418 |
3,609 |
||
Available Minimum Own Funds and Eligible Liabilities (MREL) |
130,891 |
123,253 |
||
Risk Weighted Assets (RWA) |
356,496 |
349,742 |
||
Leverage Ratio Exposure (LRE) |
1,283,672 |
1,240,318 |
||
TLAC ratio |
||||
TLAC ratio (as percentage of RWA) |
32.83 |
32.63 |
||
TLAC requirement (as percentage of RWA) |
23.19 |
23.14 |
||
TLAC ratio (as percentage of Leverage Exposure) |
9.12 |
9.20 |
||
TLAC requirement (as percentage of Leverage Exposure) |
6.75 |
6.75 |
||
TLAC surplus over RWA requirement |
34,344 |
33,167 |
||
TLAC surplus over LRE requirement |
30,377 |
30,385 |
||
MREL subordination |
||||
MREL subordination ratio¹ |
32.83 |
32.63 |
||
MREL subordination requirement¹ |
24.58 |
24.68 |
||
Surplus over MREL subordination requirement |
29,389 |
27,781 |
||
MREL ratio |
||||
MREL ratio¹ |
36.72 |
35.24 |
||
MREL requirement¹ |
30.96 |
30.35 |
||
MREL surplus over requirement |
20,511 |
17,098 |
||
1As percentage of RWA (requirement including the combined buffer requirement)
41
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
MREL ratio development
As of September 30, 2024, available MREL were 130.9 billion, corresponding to a ratio of 36.72% of RWA. This means that Deutsche Bank has a surplus of 20.5 billion above the Groups MREL requirement of 110.4 billion (i.e. 30.96% of RWA including combined buffer requirement). 117.0 billion of the Groups available MREL were own funds and subordinated liabilities, corresponding to a MREL subordination ratio of 32.83% of RWA, a buffer of 27.8 billion over the Groups subordination requirement of 89.2 billion (i.e. 6.95% of LRE). Compared to December 31, 2023, available MREL and subordinated MREL increased as issuances of senior-preferred and senior-non-preferred liabilities were higher than maturities in this category, this also compensated reductions in T2 regulatory capital.
TLAC ratio development
As of September 30, 2024, TLAC was 117.0 billion and the corresponding TLAC ratios were 32.83% of RWA and 9.12% of LRE. This means that Deutsche Bank has a TLAC surplus of 30.4 billion over its TLAC requirement of 86.6 billion (i.e. 6.75% of LRE).
Liquidity Coverage Ratio
As of September 30, 2024, the Group's liquidity coverage ratio was 135%, or 60 billion above the regulatory minimum of 100%. In comparison, as of December 31, 2023, the Group's liquidity coverage ratio was 140% or 62 billion was excess liquidity.
Stressed Net Liquidity Position
The Groups internal stressed Net Liquidity Position increased to 72 billion as of September 30, 2024 from 58 billion as of December 31, 2023. The increase in the Group sNLP was largely due to increased deposits and new issuance, partly offset by early TLTRO repayment.
Net Stable Funding Ratio
The Groups Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR) as of September 30, 2024 was 122% or a surplus of 112 billion over the regulatory minimum of 100% as compared with 121% as of December, 31 2023.
IFRS 9 Impairment
Model overview
During the first nine months of 2024, Deutsche Bank continued to apply the same IFRS 9 impairment model and methodologies, key assumptions and risk management activities as disclosed in the Annual Report 2023 except for the change in estimate outlined below. As outlined in that report, the Group leverages existing models used for the determination of capital demand under the Basel Internal Ratings Based Approach and internal risk management practices to calculate the banks expected credit losses (ECL).
In 2023, the Group completed three migration waves of the Postbank clients into the IT systems of Deutsche Bank, which resulted in the Group-wide alignment of the IFRS 9 impairment model and methodologies, while specific models previously applied for the Postbank were to a large extent decommissioned. The final wave of the IT migration took place in the third quarter of 2024 and included the BHW mortgage and Postbank factoring portfolios. The migration led to an immaterial ECL increase.
The latest developments and key uncertainties in the first nine months of 2024 and their consideration in the ECL calculation, based on the banks ongoing credit risk management activities and governance framework, are also described in the Key Risk Theme section. These activities include, but are not limited to, regular emerging risk reviews as well as portfolio deep dives, day to day risk management on the level of individual borrowers, and regular model validations. The Group also considers each reporting period if there are any potential model imprecisions or uncertainties not included in the model that require an overlay. Lastly, the Group presents its major sources of estimation uncertainty in the ECL model and a sensitivity analysis forward looking information as a key assumption.
42
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
Forward-looking information
The tables below contain the macroeconomic variables (MEVs) included in the application of forward-looking information on PDs feeding the IFRS 9 model as of September 30, 2024, and as of December 31, 2023. At each reporting date, the consensus data included the latest macroeconomic developments.
Macroeconomic variables applied
|
as of September 2024¹ ² |
||||
Year 1 |
Year 2 |
||||
Commodity - Gold |
2,461.48 |
2,558.23 |
|||
Commodity - WTI |
73.99 |
67.02 |
|||
Credit - CDX Emerging Markets |
186.84 |
202.76 |
|||
Credit - CDX High Yield |
387.66 |
419.63 |
|||
Credit - CDX IG |
58.47 |
62.66 |
|||
Credit - High Yield Index |
3.86% |
4.13% |
|||
Credit - ITX Europe 125 |
60.43 |
63.46 |
|||
Equity - MSCI Asia |
1,487 |
1,529 |
|||
Equity - Nikkei |
38,206 |
38,925 |
|||
Equity - S&P500 |
5,603 |
5,878 |
|||
GDP - Developing Asia |
4.51 % |
4.56 % |
|||
GDP - Emerging Markets |
4.06 % |
4.07 % |
|||
GDP - Eurozone |
0.90 % |
1.38 % |
|||
GDP - Germany |
0.31 % |
1.26 % |
|||
GDP - Italy |
0.88 % |
1.09 % |
|||
GDP - USA |
1.84 % |
1.85 % |
|||
Real Estate Prices - U.S. CRE Index |
304.33 |
301.79 |
|||
Unemployment - Eurozone |
6.54 % |
6.41 % |
|||
Unemployment - Germany |
3.25 % |
3.23 % |
|||
Unemployment - Italy |
7.04 % |
7.18 % |
|||
Unemployment - Japan |
2.54 % |
2.40 % |
|||
Unemployment - Spain |
11.38 % |
11.05 % |
|||
Unemployment - USA |
4.41 % |
4.31 % |
|||
1MEV as of September 18, 2024
2Year 1 equals third quarter of 2024 to second quarter of 2025, Year 2 equals third quarter of 2025 to second quarter of 2026
|
as of December 2023¹ ² |
||||
Year 1 |
Year 2 |
||||
Commodity - Gold |
1,957.34 |
1,958.16 |
|||
Commodity - WTI |
82.52 |
83.56 |
|||
Credit - CDX Emerging Markets |
195.16 |
192.83 |
|||
Credit - CDX High Yield |
451.57 |
466.4 |
|||
Credit - CDX IG |
70.04 |
72.12 |
|||
Credit - High Yield Index |
4.05% |
4.19% |
|||
Credit - ITX Europe 125 |
73.09 |
72.21 |
|||
Equity - MSCI Asia |
1,293 |
1,297 |
|||
Equity - Nikkei |
33,188 |
34,051 |
|||
Equity - S&P500 |
4,514 |
4,621 |
|||
GDP - Developing Asia |
4.94 % |
4.37 % |
|||
GDP - Emerging Markets |
4.08 % |
4.01 % |
|||
GDP - Eurozone |
0.13 % |
1.08 % |
|||
GDP - Germany |
0.12 % |
1.30 % |
|||
GDP - Italy |
0.33 % |
1.03 % |
|||
GDP - USA |
1.75 % |
1.31 % |
|||
Real Estate Prices - U.S. CRE Index |
353.41 |
347.99 |
|||
Unemployment - Eurozone |
6.67 % |
6.64 % |
|||
Unemployment - Germany |
3.12 % |
3.13 % |
|||
Unemployment - Italy |
7.75 % |
7.68 % |
|||
Unemployment - Japan |
2.58 % |
2.42 % |
|||
Unemployment - Spain |
11.96 % |
11.67 % |
|||
Unemployment - USA |
4.19 % |
4.40 % |
|||
1MEV as of December 6, 2023, which barely changed until December 29, 2023
2Year 1 equals fourth quarter of 2023 to third quarter of 2024, Year 2 equals fourth quarter of 2024 to third quarter of 2025
43
Deutsche Bank |
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Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
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Overlays applied to the IFRS 9 model output
The Group regularly reviews the IFRS 9 methodology and processes, key inputs into the ECL calculation and discusses upcoming emerging risks, model changes, potential model imprecisions or other estimation uncertainties, for example in the macroeconomic environment to determine if any material overlays are required.
As of September 30, 2024, management overlays amounted to 108 million, compared to 84 million for year end 2023 (which resulted in an increase of Allowance for Credit Losses in both periods). The increase in the third quarter 2024 is primarily driven by a top up of the overlay to bring forward the expected impacts from a model refinement related to refinancing risk, which represents a change in estimate and which is envisaged for future technical implementation.
In assessing whether the Group requires any additional overlays, it regularly reviews for evolving or emerging risks. These measures include client surveys and interviews, along with analysis of portfolios across businesses, regions and sectors. In addition, the Group regularly reviews and validates key model inputs and assumptions (including those in feeder models) and ensures where expert judgement is applied, it is in line with the Groups risk management framework. As of September 30, 2024, the Group did not identify any emerging risks or model weaknesses that would require an additional overlay, except for the ECL model related changes, for which overlays have been recorded. Any potential impacts from ongoing validations and model refinements in the future periods will be recorded once the amounts are estimable.
Model sensitivity
The Group has identified three key model assumptions included in the IFRS 9 model. These include forward looking macroeconomic variables, the quantitative criteria for determining if a borrower has incurred a significant increase in credit risk and transferred to Stage 2, and the LGD setting on homogenous portfolios in Stage 3. Below the bank provides sensitivity analysis on the potential impact if these key assumptions applied in the ECL model were to deviate from the banks base case expectations. The sensitivity of the quantitative criteria for determining if a borrower has incurred a significant increase in credit risk and transferred to Stage 2 and the LGD setting on homogenous portfolios in Stage 3 have not materially changed versus amounts disclosed in the Annual Report 2023.
Macroeconomic Variables
The sensitivity of the PD component feeding the ECL model with respect to potential changes in projections for key MEVs is shown in the table below, which provides ECL impacts for Stages 1 and 2 from downward and upward shifts applied separately to each group of MEVs as of September 30, 2024, and December 31, 2023. The magnitude of the shifts is selected in the range of one standard deviation, which is a statistical measure of the dispersion of the values of a random variable. Each of these groups consists of MEVs from the same category:
Although interest rates and inflation are not separately included in the MEVs above, the economic impact of these risks is reflected in other macroeconomic variables, such as GDP growth rates, unemployment, equities and credit spreads as higher rates and inflation would filter through these forecasts and be included in the ECL model and sensitivity analysis below.
In addition, the sensitivity analysis only includes the impact of the aggregated MEV group (i.e., potential correlation between different MEV groups or the impact of management overlays is not taken into consideration). ECLs for Stage 3 are not affected and not reflected in the following tables as its calculation is independent of the macroeconomic scenarios.
As of September 30, 2024, the sensitivity impact is slightly lower, compared to December 31, 2023, due to portfolio changes and minor improvements of base MEV projections which the analyses were based on.
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Deutsche Bank |
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Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
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IFRS 9 Sensitivities of Forward-Looking Information applied on Stage 1 and Stage 2 Group Level
|
Sep 30, 2024 |
|||||||
Upward sensitivity |
Downward sensitivity |
|||||||
Upward shift |
ECL impact |
Downward shift |
ECL impact |
|||||
GDP growth rates |
1pp |
(71.9) |
(1)pp |
83.5 |
||||
Unemployment rates |
(0.5)pp |
(39.5) |
0.5pp |
43.3 |
||||
Real estate prices |
5% |
(5.9) |
(5)% |
6.8 |
||||
Equities |
10% |
(9.5) |
(10)% |
12.2 |
||||
Credit spreads |
(40)% |
(17.9) |
40% |
22.1 |
||||
Commodities¹ |
10% |
(10.7) |
(10)% |
11.8 |
||||
1The sign of the shift applies to oil prices changes. Gold price changes have the opposite sign
|
December 31, 2023 |
|||||||
Upward sensitivity |
Downward sensitivity |
|||||||
Upward shift |
ECL impact |
Downward shift |
ECL impact |
|||||
GDP growth rates |
1pp |
(80.4) |
(1)pp |
88.9 |
||||
Unemployment rates |
(0.5)pp |
(43.1) |
0.5pp |
45.9 |
||||
Real estate prices |
5% |
(5.9) |
(5)% |
6.2 |
||||
Equities |
10% |
(9.0) |
(10)% |
12.2 |
||||
Credit spreads |
(40)% |
(20.5) |
40% |
22.8 |
||||
Commodities¹ |
10% |
(8.5) |
(10)% |
9.2 |
||||
1The sign of the shift applies to oil prices changes. Gold price changes have the opposite sign
IFRS 9 Expected Credit Losses
Provision for credit losses was 494 million in the quarter, up from 245 million in the prior year quarter and up slightly from 476 million in the second quarter of 2024. Provisions for performing loans (Stage 1 and 2) were 12 million, down from 35 million in the previous quarter. This reflected softer macro-economic forecasts and the recalibration of overlays, partially offset by portfolio movements since the second quarter. Provision for non-performing loans (Stage 3) were 482 million, up from 441 million in the previous quarter. The quarter-on-quarter increase was driven predominantly by the Private Bank and included residual effects from remaining impacts from Postbank integration which are expected to normalize in the coming quarters, while overall portfolio quality remained largely stable. Provisions relating to commercial real estate were down 34% compared to the previous quarter and included provisions relating to expected sales in the fourth quarter.
For the first nine months, provision for credit losses was 1.4 billion, up from 1.0 billion year on year. This development was substantially driven by certain larger corporate events, for which provisions are partly mitigated by offsetting hedges; remaining impacts from the Postbank integration which are expected to decrease significantly going forward; and higher provisions in commercial real estate compared to the first nine months of 2023. The bank sees signs of stabilization in commercial real estate and expects this to support a further reduction in provisions in future quarters.
Overall assessment of ECLs
To ensure that Deutsche Banks ECL model accounted for the uncertainties in the macroeconomic environment throughout the third quarter and the first three quarters of 2024, the Group continued to review emerging risks, assessed potential baseline and downside impacts and required actions to manage the banks credit strategy and risk appetite. The outcome of these reviews concluded that the bank adequately provisioned for its ECL as of September 30, 2024, and December 31, 2023.
Results from the above reviews and development of key portfolio indicators are regularly discussed at Credit Risk and Management Fora and the Group Risk Committee. Where necessary, actions and measures are taken to mitigate the risks. Client ratings are regularly reviewed to reflect the latest macroeconomic developments and where potentially significant changes in risk are identified clients are moved to the watchlist (Stage 2), forbearance measures may be negotiated, and credit limits and collateralization are reviewed. Overall, the Group believes that based on its day-to-day risk management activities and regular reviews of emerging risks it has adequately provided for its ECL.
45
Deutsche Bank |
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Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
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Asset quality
This section describes the quality of debt instruments subject to impairment, which under IFRS 9 consist of debt instruments measured at amortized cost (AC), financial instruments at fair value through other comprehensive income (FVOCI) as well as off balance sheet lending commitments such as loan commitments and financial guarantees (hereafter collectively referred to as Financial Assets).
The following table provides an overview of the exposure amount and allowance for credit losses by class of financial instrument broken down into stages as per IFRS 9 requirements.
Overview of financial instruments subject to impairment
|
Sep 30, 2024 |
Dec 31, 2023 |
||||||||||||||||||
in m. |
Stage 1 |
Stage 2 |
Stage 3 |
Stage 3 |
Total |
Stage 1 |
Stage 2 |
Stage 3 |
Stage 3 |
Total |
||||||||||
Amortized cost¹ |
||||||||||||||||||||
Gross carrying amount |
664,555 |
54,988 |
14,980 |
716 |
735,239 |
692,091 |
55,704 |
12,799 |
806 |
761,400 |
||||||||||
of which: Loans |
414,516 |
51,873 |
14,682 |
716 |
481,786 |
418,311 |
52,834 |
12,576 |
806 |
484,527 |
||||||||||
Allowance for credit losses² |
451 |
726 |
4,249 |
207 |
5,633 |
447 |
680 |
3,960 |
198 |
5,285 |
||||||||||
of which: Loans |
433 |
715 |
4,167 |
207 |
5,523 |
424 |
673 |
3,874 |
198 |
5,170 |
||||||||||
Fair value through OCI |
||||||||||||||||||||
Fair value |
41,326 |
939 |
57 |
0 |
42,322 |
34,424 |
1,076 |
46 |
0 |
35,546 |
||||||||||
Allowance for credit losses |
14 |
8 |
15 |
0 |
37 |
13 |
13 |
22 |
0 |
48 |
||||||||||
Off-balance sheet positions |
||||||||||||||||||||
Notional amount |
304,317 |
19,039 |
1,943 |
6 |
325,304 |
292,747 |
23,778 |
2,282 |
8 |
318,814 |
||||||||||
Allowance for credit losses³ |
97 |
72 |
171 |
0 |
341 |
117 |
88 |
187 |
0 |
393 |
||||||||||
1Financial assets at amortized cost consist of: Loans at amortized cost, Cash and central bank balances, Interbank balances (w/o central banks), Central bank funds sold and securities purchased under resale agreements, Securities borrowed and certain subcategories of Other assets
2Allowance for credit losses do not include allowance for country risk amounting to 8 million as of September 30, 2024 and 4 million as of December 31, 2023
3Allowance for credit losses do not include allowance for country risk amounting to 7 million as of September 30, 2024 and 9 million as of December 31, 2023
Goodwill and other intangible assets
Goodwill, indefinite and definite life intangible assets are tested for impairment annually in the fourth quarter or more frequently if there are indications that the carrying value may be impaired. Goodwill is tested for impairment purposes on the cash-generating unit (CGU) level. Definite life intangible assets are generally tested on CGU level as they do not generate cash inflows that are largely independent of those from other assets. Indefinite life intangible assets are tested at the individual asset level.
As of September 30, 2024, an analysis was performed to evaluate if an impairment loss needed to be recognized for the Groups goodwill allocated to the Asset Management CGU or the indefinite life intangible asset related to Asset Managements retail investment management agreements (shown under unamortized intangible assets). As a result of the analysis, neither the goodwill nor the retail investment management agreement intangible asset was impaired.
46
Deutsche Bank |
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Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
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Additional information
Management and Supervisory Board
Management Board
There were no changes in the Management Board in the first and second quarter of 2024.
Deutsche Banks Supervisory Board appointed Laura Padovani as member of the Management Board with effect from July 1, 2024. She is Chief Compliance and Anti Financial Crime Officer. Laura Padovani takes over these responsibilities from Stefan Simon.
Stefan Simon will focus on his role as Management Board member responsible for the Americas region. He also remains responsible for Legal including Group Governance.
Supervisory Board
Florian Haggenmiller was appointed as a new member of the Supervisory Board by the court on January 16, 2024. He succeeded Birgit Laumen, who resigned from her Supervisory Board mandate with effect from January 12, 2024.
There were no changes in the Supervisory Board in the second and third quarter of 2024.
Events after the reporting period
After the reporting date no material events occurred which had a significant impact on our results of operations, financial position and net assets.
47
Deutsche Bank |
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Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
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Basis of preparation/impact of changes in accounting principles
This Earnings Report of Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, Taunusanlage 12, Frankfurt am Main, Germany and its subsidiaries (collectively the Group or Deutsche Bank) for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2024, is stated in euros, the presentation currency of the Group. It has been prepared based on the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB).
For purposes of the Groups primary financial reporting outside the United States, the Group prepares its Earnings Report in accordance with IFRS as endorsed by the EU. For purposes of the Groups Earnings Report prepared in accordance with IFRS as endorsed by the EU, the Group applies fair value hedge accounting for portfolio hedges of interest rate risk (fair value macro hedges) in accordance with the EU carve out version of IAS 39. The purpose of applying the EU carve out version of IAS 39 is to align the Groups hedge accounting approach with its risk management practice and the accounting practice of its major European peers. Under the EU carve out version of IAS 39 fair value macro hedge accounting may be applied to core deposits. In addition, the EU carve out version of IAS 39 hedge ineffectiveness is only recognized when the revised estimate of the amount of cash flows in scheduled time buckets falls below the original designated amount of that bucket. If the revised amount of cash flows in scheduled time buckets is more than the original designated amount, then there is no hedge ineffectiveness. Under IFRS as issued by the IASB, hedge accounting for fair value macro hedges cannot be applied to core deposits. In addition, under IFRS as issued by the IASB hedge ineffectiveness arises for all fair value macro hedge accounting relationships whenever the revised estimate of the amount of cash flows in scheduled time buckets is either more or less than the original designated amount of that bucket. The EU carve out version of IAS 39 also removes the prohibition on identifying a benchmark risk component in a financial instrument priced at subbenchmark. This may arise when financial instruments carry a negative spread such that the identified noncontractually specified risk component is larger than the interest carry on the contract itself.
The application of the EU carve out version of IAS 39 had a negative impact of 1.3 billion on profit before tax and of 915 million on profit after tax for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2024, compared to a negative impact of 400 million on profit before tax and of 283 million on profit after tax for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2023. The application of the EU carve out version of IAS 39 had a negative impact of 2.0 billion on profit before tax and of 1.4 billion on profit after tax for the three-month period ended September 30, 2024, compared to a negative impact of 649 million on profit before tax and of 460 million on profit after tax for the three-month period ended September 30, 2023. The Groups regulatory capital and ratios thereof are also reported on the basis of the EU carve-out version of IAS 39. As of September 30, 2024, the application of the EU carve-out had a negative impact on the CET1 capital ratio of about 68 basis points compared to a negative impact of about 2 basis points as of September 30, 2023.
The Groups Earnings Report is unaudited and includes the consolidated balance sheet as of September 30, 2024, the related consolidated statements of income and comprehensive income for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2024, as well as other information.
The Groups Earnings Report should be read in conjunction with the audited consolidated financial statements of Deutsche Bank for the year ended December 31, 2023, for which the same accounting policies, critical accounting estimates and changes in accounting estimates have been applied with the exception of the newly adopted accounting pronouncements outlined in section Recently adopted accounting pronouncements.
The preparation of financial information under IFRS requires management to make estimates and assumptions for certain categories of assets and liabilities. These estimates and assumptions affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the balance sheet date and the reported amounts of revenue and expenses during the reporting period. Actual results could differ from managements estimates, especially in relation to potential impacts from the rise in inflation and resulting increases in interest rates since the start of the war in Ukraine, and the results reported should not be regarded as necessarily indicative of results that may be expected for the entire year.
48
Deutsche Bank |
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Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
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Exposures to Russia and the impact on allowance for credit losses
As of January 1, 2024, the Group discontinued its disclosure relating to exposures to Russia and the impact on allowance for credit losses as a result of the war in Ukraine. The Group continues to monitor its risks related to Russia as part of its regular risk management activities and enhanced governance oversight in place.
High Quality Liquid Assets
Since the beginning of the fourth quarter 2023, High Quality Liquid Assets (HQLA, as defined in the Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2015/61) is a key limit per the Groups liquidity risk appetite, replacing the previously reported Liquidity Reserve. HQLA comprise available cash and cash equivalents and unencumbered high quality liquid securities (including government and government guaranteed bonds), representing the most readily available and most important countermeasure in a stress event. Accordingly, the Group discontinued the disclosure of Liquidity Reserves from 2024 onwards.
Recently adopted accounting pronouncements
The following are those accounting pronouncements which are relevant to the Group, and which have been newly applied in the first nine months of 2024.
IFRS 16 Leases
On January 1, 2024, the Group adopted amendments to IFRS 16 Leases that clarify how a seller-lessee subsequently measures sale and leaseback transactions that satisfy the IFRS 15 requirements to be accounted for as a sale. The amendment did not have a material impact on the Groups interim consolidated financial statements.
IAS 1 Presentation of Financial Statements
On January 1, 2024, the Group adopted amendments to IAS 1 Presentation of Financial Statements: Classification of Liabilities as Current or Non-Current. The amendments clarify that the classification of liabilities as current or non-current should be based on rights that are in existence at the end of the reporting period. The amendments also clarify that the classification is unaffected by expectations about whether an entity will exercise its right to defer settlement of a liability and make clear that settlement refers to the transfer to the counterparty of cash, equity instruments, other assets or services. They did not have a material impact on the Groups interim consolidated financial statements.
On January 1, 2024, the Group adopted a further amendment to IAS 1 that modifies the requirements described above on how an entity classifies debt and other financial liabilities as current or non-current in particular circumstances. Accordingly, it clarifies that only covenants with which an entity is required to comply on or before the reporting date affect the classification of a liability as current or non-current. The amendments did not have a material impact on the Groups interim consolidated financial statements.
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Deutsche Bank |
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Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
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New accounting pronouncements
The following accounting pronouncements were not effective as of September 30, 2024, and therefore have not been applied in the first nine months of 2024.
IAS 21 The Effects of Changes in Foreign Exchange Rates
In August 2023, the IASB issued Lack of Exchangeability (Amendments to IAS 21) that contains guidance to specify when a currency is exchangeable and how to determine the exchange rate when it is not. It also requires the disclosure of additional information when a currency is not exchangeable. The amendments are effective for annual periods beginning on or after January 1, 2025, with early adoption permitted. The amendments are not expected to have a material impact on the Groups consolidated financial statements. These amendments have yet to be endorsed by the EU.
IFRS 18 Presentation and Disclosures in Financial Statements
In April 2024, the IASB issued the new standard IFRS 18 Presentation and Disclosures in Financial Statements that replaces IAS 1 Presentation of Financial Statements. The new standard contains new guidance on how to structure the Income Statement as well as disclosure requirements for Management-defined Performance Measures (MPMs). The new standard is effective for annual periods beginning on or after January 1, 2027, with early adoption permitted. The Group is currently assessing the impact of IFRS 18 on the presentation of its consolidated financial statements. The new standard has yet to be endorsed by the EU.
IFRS 19 Subsidiaries without Public Accountability: Disclosures
In May 2024, the IASB issued the new standard IFRS 19 Subsidiaries without Public Accountability: Disclosures. The new standard permits a subsidiary to provide reduced disclosures when applying IFRS Accounting Standards in its financial statements. The new standard is effective for annual periods beginning on or after January 1, 2027, with early adoption permitted. The Group is currently assessing the impact of IFRS 19 on the disclosure requirements of its subsidiaries. The new standard has yet to be endorsed by the EU.
IFRS 9 Financial Instruments and IFRS 7 Financial Instruments: Disclosures
In May 2024, the IASB has issued amendments to Amendments to the Classification and Measurement of Financial Instruments (Amendments to IFRS 9 and IFRS 7) to address matters identified during the post-implementation review of the classification and measurement requirements of IFRS 9 Financial Instruments. On electronic payment systems, the amendments permit to deem a financial liability (or part of it) to be discharged before the settlement date if specified criteria are met. Further, the amendments provide extended guidance on basic lending agreements, assets with non-recourse features and contractually linked instruments. Disclosures have been amended for contractual terms that could change the timing or amount of contractual cash flows. The amendments are effective for annual periods beginning on or after January 1, 2026, with early adoption permitted. The Group is currently assessing the impact of the amendments on classification and measurement of financial instruments as well as on its disclosures. The new standard has yet to be endorsed by the EU.
Annual Improvements to IFRS
In July 2024, the IASB issued amendments to multiple IFRS standards, which resulted from the IASBs annual improvements project. These comprise changes in terminology as well as editorial amendments related to IFRS 1 First-time Adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards, IFRS 7 Financial Instruments: Disclosures and its accompanying Guidance on implementing IFRS 7, IFRS 9 Financial Instruments, IFRS 10 Consolidated Financial Statements and IAS 7 Statement of Cash-Flows. The amendments will be effective for annual periods beginning on or after January 1, 2026, with early adoption permitted. The Group is currently assessing the impact of the amendments on the Groups consolidated financial statements. The amendments have yet to be endorsed by the EU.
50
Deutsche Bank |
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Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
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Business Segments
Changes in the presentation for segments
As previously communicated, commencing from the first quarter of 2024, Investment Bank renamed FIC Sales and Trading to Fixed Income & Currencies (FIC) and introduced additional sub-categories, entitled Fixed Income & Currencies: Financing and Fixed Income & Currencies: Ex Financing to provide additional transparency regarding the revenue composition of FIC. Origination & Advisory revenues continue to be presented with the sub-categories Debt Origination, Equity Origination and Advisory. Additionally, Research revenues are reported together with Other in Research and Other. Prior years comparatives are presented in the current reporting structure.
As previously communicated, commencing from the first quarter of 2024, Private Bank is following a customer-focused approach by classifying the existing customer base into two distinct global client sectors: Personal Banking as well as Wealth Management & Private Banking. This approach reflects the focus to serve clients in a more targeted and effective way across the Private Bank. Wealth Management & Private Banking combines the coverage of private banking, high-net-worth and ultra high-net-worth clients, as well as business clients in selected international businesses (reflecting the Bank for Entrepreneurs strategy). The client sector Personal Banking includes retail and affluent customers as well as commercial banking clients in Italy and Spain (i.e., all small business clients and small sized corporate clients that are not covered as part of the Wealth Management & Private Banking client sector). Prior years comparatives are presented in the current reporting structure.
Within the new Private Bank coverage area Wealth Management & Private Banking, private clients benefit from a wider product range with increased emphasis on investment advice. As a result, demand deposits of Private Banking Germany were reclassified to assets under management, ensuring a consistent treatment within Wealth Management & Private Banking. Prior years comparatives are presented in the current reporting structure.
Driver-Based Cost Management allocations methodology change
As previously communicated, in the first quarter of 2023, the bank introduced a Driver-Based Cost Management methodology for the allocation of costs originated in respective Infrastructure functions which aims to provide transparency over the drivers of Infrastructure costs and links costs more closely to service consumption by segments. Beginning in 2023, costs relating to Infrastructure functions were allocated using an actuals to plan approach, with the exception of technology development costs which were charged to the divisions based on actual expenditures, whereas beginning 2024, all Infrastructure costs are charged to divisions based on actual costs and service consumption. Prior years comparatives are presented in the current reporting structure. For the third quarter of 2023, the change in methodology resulted in an increase in noninterest expenses (corresponding decrease in profit before tax) for Corporate Bank of 50 million and for Corporate and Other of 7 million and a corresponding decrease in noninterest expenses (corresponding increase in profit before tax) for Investment Bank of 17 million, for Private Bank of 40 million and for Asset Management of 0 million. For the first nine months of 2023, the change in methodology resulted in an increase in noninterest expenses (corresponding decrease in profit before tax) for Corporate Bank of 107 million and for Corporate and Other of 31 million and a corresponding decrease in noninterest expenses (corresponding increase in profit before tax) for Investment Bank of 59 million, for Private Bank of 79 million and for Asset Management of 0 million. While the update of the 2023 allocations impacted the segmental post-tax returns on average tangible shareholders equity and cost/income ratio, the respective Group metrics are unaffected by the methodology change.
Changes to capital allocation framework
Starting in 2024, Deutsche Bank has changed the allocation of tangible shareholders equity across segments. In addition, the bank now retains capital held against Deutsche Bank Group items in Corporate & Other, which has previously been allocated to the segments. Prior years comparatives are presented in the current reporting structure. While the adjustment of the prior periods allocations impact the segmental RoTE, the respective Group metrics are unaffected by the change.
Changes to Operational Risk RWA allocation framework
Starting in 2024, Deutsche Bank introduced a refined and more granular framework to allocate operational risk RWA to the segments. While the respective segmental RWA metrics are impacted by the change in methodology with a more pronounced impact from the second quarter of 2024 onwards, the Groups operational risk RWA are unaffected by the change.
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Deutsche Bank |
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Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
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Total net revenues
|
Three months ended |
Nine months ended |
||||||
in m. |
Sep 30, 2024 |
Sep 30, 2023 |
Sep 30, 2024 |
Sep 30, 2023 |
||||
Interest and similar income |
12,299 |
11,295 |
37,304 |
31,357 |
||||
Interest expense |
8,575 |
7,237 |
26,130 |
19,225 |
||||
Net interest income |
3,724 |
4,058 |
11,174 |
12,132 |
||||
Commissions and fee income |
2,468 |
2,361 |
7,675 |
7,029 |
||||
Net gains (losses) on financial assets/liabilities at fair value |
3,088 |
874 |
4,983 |
3,052 |
||||
Net gains (losses) on derecognition of financial assets measured at amortized cost |
5 |
(2) |
(2) |
(6) |
||||
Net gains (losses) on financial assets at fair value through |
(3) |
(12) |
37 |
10 |
||||
Net income (loss) from equity method investments |
18 |
(23) |
14 |
(16) |
||||
Other income (loss) |
169 |
525 |
274 |
419 |
||||
Total noninterest income |
5,746 |
3,723 |
12,980 |
10,489 |
||||
Total net revenues |
9,470 |
7,781 |
24,154 |
22,621 |
||||
Earnings per common share
|
Three months ended |
Nine months ended |
||||||
Sep 30, 2024 |
Sep 30, 2023 |
Sep 30, 2024 |
Sep 30, 2023 |
|||||
Earnings per common share:1 |
||||||||
Basic |
1.53 |
0.79 |
1.70 |
1.52 |
||||
Diluted |
1.50 |
0.78 |
1.67 |
1.50 |
||||
Number of shares in million: |
||||||||
Denominator for basic earnings per share weighted-average shares outstanding |
1,980.9 |
2,069.4 |
1,997.4 |
2,071.8 |
||||
Denominator for diluted earnings per share adjusted weighted-average shares after assumed conversions |
2,026.2 |
2,107.8 |
2,040.6 |
2,108.9 |
||||
1Earnings were adjusted by 574 million and 498 million before tax for the coupons paid on Additional Tier 1 Notes in the second quarter of 2024 and 2023, respectively. The coupons paid on Additional Tier 1 Notes are not attributable to Deutsche Bank shareholders and therefore need to be deducted in the calculation in accordance with IAS 33.
52
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
Consolidated statement of comprehensive income
|
Three months ended |
Nine months ended |
||||||
in m. |
Sep 30, 2024 |
Sep 30, 2023 |
Sep 30, 2024 |
Sep 30, 2023 |
||||
Profit (loss) recognized in the income statement |
3,065 |
1,661 |
4,084 |
3,745 |
||||
Other comprehensive income |
||||||||
Items that will not be reclassified to profit or loss |
||||||||
Remeasurement gains (losses) related to defined benefit plans, before tax |
(97) |
(13) |
(33) |
175 |
||||
Net fair value gains (losses) attributable to credit risk related to financial liabilities designated as at fair value through profit or loss, before tax |
(80) |
(21) |
(167) |
(11) |
||||
Total of income tax related to items that will not be reclassified to profit or loss |
74 |
(35) |
35 |
(65) |
||||
Items that are or may be reclassified to profit or loss |
||||||||
Financial assets at fair value through other comprehensive income |
||||||||
Unrealized net gains (losses) arising during the period, before tax |
269 |
(255) |
3 |
(148) |
||||
Realized net (gains) losses arising during the period (reclassified to profit or loss), before tax |
3 |
12 |
(37) |
(10) |
||||
Derivatives hedging variability of cash flows |
||||||||
Unrealized net gains (losses) arising during the period, before tax |
497 |
(246) |
109 |
(318) |
||||
Realized net (gains) losses arising during the period (reclassified to profit or loss), before tax |
82 |
103 |
243 |
294 |
||||
Assets classified as held for sale |
||||||||
Unrealized net gains (losses) arising during the period, before tax |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||||
Realized net (gains) losses arising during the period (reclassified to profit or loss), before tax |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||||
Foreign currency translation |
||||||||
Unrealized net gains (losses) arising during the period, before tax |
(894) |
378 |
(499) |
(404) |
||||
Realized net (gains) losses arising during the period (reclassified to profit or loss), before tax |
0 |
0 |
3 |
(1) |
||||
Equity Method Investments |
||||||||
Net gains (losses) arising during the period |
4 |
(1) |
4 |
(32) |
||||
Total of income tax related to items that are or may be reclassified to profit or loss |
(205) |
174 |
15 |
298 |
||||
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax |
(347) |
95 |
(324) |
(222) |
||||
Total comprehensive income (loss), net of tax |
2,718 |
1,755 |
3,759 |
3,523 |
||||
Attributable to: |
||||||||
Noncontrolling interests |
2 |
51 |
102 |
82 |
||||
Deutsche Bank shareholders and additional equity components |
2,716 |
1,704 |
3,657 |
3,441 |
||||
Impact of ECB Targeted Longer-term Refinancing Operations (TLTRO III)
The current interest rate on all remaining TLTRO III operations is indexed on the average applicable key ECB interest rates from November 23, 2022, onward. As of September 30, 2024, the Group had no outstanding borrowing (September 30, 2023: 15.5 billion) under the TLTRO III-refinancing program. The resulting net interest income (expense) was zero for the three months ended September 30, 2024 (September 30, 2023: (208) million) and (144) million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024 (September 30, 2023: (594) million) under the TLTRO III program.
53
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
Provisions
As of September 30, 2024, the Group recognized 3.0 billion (December 31, 2023: 2.4 billion) in provisions on its balance sheet. The provisions relate to operational risk, civil litigation, regulatory enforcement, restructuring, allowances for credit related off-balance sheet positions and other matters, including bank levies. The provisions as of September 30, 2024 are described below for civil litigation and regulatory matters and included in the Allowance for credit losses disclosures in this Report. Details on the Groups provisions as of December 31, 2023, are disclosed in Deutsche Banks Annual Report 2023 in Note 10 Restructuring, Note 19 Allowance for credit losses, and Note 27 Provisions.
Civil litigation and regulatory enforcement matters
As of September 30, 2024, the Group recognized provisions relating to civil litigation of 1.8 billion (December 31, 2023: 1.1 billion) and provisions relating to regulatory enforcement matters of 0.1 billion (December 31, 2023: 0.1 billion). For some matters, for which the Group believes an outflow of funds is probable, but the Group could not reliably estimate the amount of the potential outflow, no provisions were recognized.
As previously disclosed, the Group is the defendant in several lawsuits by former Deutsche Postbank AG (Postbank) shareholders, regarding the adequacy of the purchase price of shares of Postbank paid by the bank in Deutsche Banks 2010 voluntary takeover offer of Postbank. In a hearing on April 26, 2024, the Higher Regional Court of Cologne assessed the claims of certain former Postbank shareholders that a higher offer price, in connection with Deutsche Banks voluntary takeover offer on October 7, 2010, should have been paid. During the hearing, the court indicated that it may find elements of these claims valid in a later ruling. While Deutsche Bank continues to disagree strongly with this assessment, the courts statements have impacted Deutsche Banks estimation of the probability of a future outflow. As a consequence, Deutsche Bank recognized a provision of approximately 1.3 billion in the second quarter of 2024 to provide for the amount of the claims and cumulative interest. In the third quarter of 2024, Deutsche Bank reached settlement agreements with a large portion of the plaintiffs amounting to 357 million. These settlements resulted in a release of 444 million of the original provision. As of September 30, 2024, a provision of 547 million remains in place for the outstanding plaintiff claims. On October 23, 2024, the Higher Regional Court of Cologne is scheduled to announce a decision in the pending proceedings.
In respect of the RusChem Alliance (RCA) litigation, in a hearing of the Russian court on May 28, 2024, the court fully granted RCAs payment claim and RCA's motion for interim measures by which a corresponding amount in the banks Russian subsidiary was frozen. On June 21, 2024, Deutsche Bank filed its appeal. In the hearing on September 2, 2024, the court of appeal rejected Deutsche Banks appeal and confirmed RCAs claim for payment of approximately 238 million plus interest. At the end of September 2024, Deutsche Bank filed a further appeal in Russia and RCA filed an application for an anti-suit injunction (ASI) order in Russia. In a hearing on October 16, 2024, the Russian court granted the ASI order against Deutsche Bank prohibiting Deutsche Bank from continuing any court proceedings outside of Russia related to this issue or enforcing any judgments or orders granted by a court outside of Russia. The Group continues to recognize a provision in the amount of approximately 260 million and a corresponding reimbursement asset under an indemnification agreement, which is not impacted by the ASI order.
In addition, Deutsche Bank and Palladium Hotels Group (PHG) agreed a full and final settlement on confidential terms of claims by PHG over alleged losses in respect of foreign exchange derivative trades entered into with the bank. The High Court proceedings were dismissed in July 2024.
General and administrative expenses included expenses for civil litigation and regulatory enforcement matters of (0.3) billion for the three months ended September 30, 2024 ( 0.1 billion for the three months ended September 30, 2023) and 1.4 billion for the nine months ended September 30, 2024 ( 0.6 billion for the nine months ended September 30, 2023). The decrease over the prior-year three-month period was mainly attributable to the partial release of the Postbank takeover litigation provision. The increase over the prior-year nine-month period was mainly attributable to the Postbank takeover litigation provision.
54
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
For the matters for which a reliable estimate can be made, but the probability of a future loss or outflow of resources is more than remote but less than probable, the Group currently estimates that as of September 30, 2024, these contingent liabilities are 0.5 billion for civil litigation matters (December 31, 2023: 1.9 billion) and 0.1 billion for regulatory enforcement matters (December 31, 2023: 0.2 billion). The decrease in contingent liabilities for civil litigation matters was primarily driven by the Postbank takeover litigation provision, where the Group recorded a provision in the second quarter of 2024 and cancelled the formerly existing contingent liability, respectively. These figures include matters where the Groups potential liability is joint and several and where the Group expects any such liability to be paid by a third party.
For other significant civil litigation and regulatory enforcement matters where the Group believes the possibility of an outflow of funds is more than remote but less than probable, but the amount is not reliably estimable, such matters are not included in the contingent liability estimates. In addition, where the Group believes the possibility of an outflow of funds is remote on other significant civil litigation and regulatory enforcement matters, the Group has neither recognized a provision nor included the matters in the contingent liability estimates.
For additional details on civil litigation and regulatory enforcement matters or groups of similar matters (some of which consist of a number of proceedings or claims) for which the Group has taken material provisions, or for which there are material contingent liabilities that are more than remote, or for which there is the possibility of material business or reputational risk, see Note 27 Provisions in Deutsche Banks Annual Report 2023 in the section captioned Current Individual Proceedings. The disclosed matters include matters for which the possibility of a loss is more than remote, but for which the Group cannot reliably estimate the possible loss.
55
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
Non-GAAP financial measures
This document and other documents the Group has published or may publish contain non-GAAP financial measures. Non-GAAP financial measures are measures of the Groups historical or future performance, financial position or cash flows that contain adjustments that exclude or include amounts that are included or excluded, as the case may be, from the most directly comparable measure calculated and presented in accordance with IFRS in the Groups financial statements.
Return on equity ratios
The Group reports a post-tax return on average shareholders equity and a post-tax return on average tangible shareholders equity, each of which is a non-GAAP financial measure.
The post-tax returns on average shareholders equity and average tangible shareholders' equity are calculated as profit (loss) attributable to Deutsche Bank shareholders after Additional Tier 1 coupon as a percentage of average shareholders equity and average tangible shareholders' equity, respectively.
Profit (loss) attributable to Deutsche Bank shareholders after Additional Tier 1 coupon for the segments is a non-GAAP financial measure and is defined as profit (loss) excluding post-tax profit (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interests and after Additional Tier 1 coupon, which are allocated to segments based on their allocated average tangible shareholders equity. For the Group, it reflects the reported effective tax rate which was 28% for the third quarter of 2024 and 30% for the prior years comparative period. The tax rate was 32% for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, and 30% for the prior years comparative period. For the segments, the applied tax rate was 28% for the reporting periods in 2024 and all quarters in 2023.
At the Group level, tangible shareholders' equity is shareholders equity as reported in the Consolidated Balance Sheet excluding goodwill and other intangible assets. Tangible shareholders equity for the segments is calculated by deducting goodwill and other intangible assets from shareholders equity as allocated to the segments. Shareholders equity and tangible shareholders equity are presented on an average basis.
The Group believes that a presentation of average tangible shareholders equity makes comparisons to its competitors easier, and refers to this measure in the return on equity ratios presented by the Group. However, average tangible shareholders equity is not a measure provided for in IFRS, and the Groups ratios based on this measure should not be compared to other companies ratios without considering differences in the calculations.
The reconciliation of the aforementioned ratios is set forth in the table below:
|
Three months ended Sep 30, 2024 |
|||||||||||
in m. |
Corporate |
Investment |
Private |
Asset |
Corporate & |
Total |
||||||
Profit (loss) before tax |
539 |
813 |
319 |
168 |
2,393 |
4,231 |
||||||
Profit (loss) |
388 |
586 |
230 |
121 |
1,742 |
3,065 |
||||||
Profit (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interests |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
32 |
||||||
Profit (loss) attributable to DB shareholders and additional equity components |
388 |
586 |
230 |
121 |
1,710 |
3,033 |
||||||
Profit (loss) attributable to additional equity components |
33 |
69 |
42 |
7 |
22 |
172 |
||||||
Profit (loss) attributable to Deutsche Bank shareholders |
355 |
517 |
188 |
113 |
1,688 |
2,861 |
||||||
Average allocated shareholders equity1 |
11,654 |
23,759 |
13,949 |
5,352 |
11,278 |
65,991 |
||||||
Deduct: Average allocated goodwill and other intangible assets1,2 |
766 |
783 |
(24) |
2,955 |
2,271 |
6,752 |
||||||
Average allocated tangible shareholders equity1 |
10,888 |
22,976 |
13,972 |
2,396 |
9,007 |
59,239 |
||||||
Post-tax return on average shareholders equity1 |
12.2 % |
8.7 % |
5.4 % |
8.5 % |
N/M |
17.3 % |
||||||
Post-tax return on average tangible shareholders equity1 |
13.1 % |
9.0 % |
5.4 % |
18.9 % |
N/M |
19.3 % |
||||||
N/M Not meaningful
1 Starting from the first quarter of 2024, the equity allocation framework has been updated. For more information please refer to section Basis of preparation/impact of changes in accounting principles - Business Segments of this report
2Goodwill and other intangible assets related to the share of DWS that is not held by Deutsche Bank are excluded since the first quarter of 2018
56
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
|
Three months ended Sep 30, 2023 |
|||||||||||
in m. |
Corporate |
Investment |
Private |
Asset |
Corporate & |
Total |
||||||
Profit (loss) before tax |
755 |
674 |
387 |
109 |
447 |
2,372 |
||||||
Profit (loss) |
544 |
485 |
279 |
78 |
275 |
1,661 |
||||||
Profit (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interests |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
24 |
||||||
Profit (loss) attributable to DB shareholders and additional equity components |
544 |
485 |
279 |
78 |
251 |
1,637 |
||||||
Profit (loss) attributable to additional equity components |
28 |
60 |
32 |
6 |
20 |
146 |
||||||
Profit (loss) attributable to Deutsche Bank shareholders |
516 |
425 |
246 |
73 |
231 |
1,491 |
||||||
Average allocated shareholders equity1 |
11,542 |
23,979 |
13,382 |
5,178 |
8,826 |
62,908 |
||||||
Deduct: Average allocated goodwill and other intangible assets1,2 |
822 |
746 |
826 |
2,930 |
1,123 |
6,448 |
||||||
Average allocated tangible shareholders equity1 |
10,720 |
23,233 |
12,556 |
2,248 |
7,703 |
56,460 |
||||||
Post-tax return on average shareholders equity1 |
17.9 % |
7.1 % |
7.4 % |
5.6 % |
N/M |
9.5 % |
||||||
Post-tax return on average tangible shareholders equity1 |
19.2 % |
7.3 % |
7.8 % |
12.9 % |
N/M |
10.6 % |
||||||
N/M Not meaningful
Prior years comparatives aligned to presentation in the current year
1Starting from the first quarter of 2024, the equity allocation framework has been updated. For more information please refer to section Basis of preparation/impact of changes in accounting principles - Business Segments of this report
2Goodwill and other intangible assets related to the share of DWS that is not held by Deutsche Bank are excluded since the first quarter of 2018
|
Nine months ended Sep 30, 2024 |
|||||||||||
in m. |
Corporate |
Investment |
Private |
Asset |
Corporate & |
Total |
||||||
Profit (loss) before tax |
1,742 |
2,823 |
1,063 |
449 |
(83) |
5,994 |
||||||
Profit (loss) |
1,254 |
2,033 |
765 |
324 |
(292) |
4,084 |
||||||
Profit (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interests |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
105 |
105 |
||||||
Profit (loss) attributable to DB shareholders and additional equity components |
1,254 |
2,033 |
765 |
324 |
(398) |
3,978 |
||||||
Profit (loss) attributable to additional equity components |
87 |
186 |
111 |
19 |
66 |
470 |
||||||
Profit (loss) attributable to Deutsche Bank shareholders |
1,167 |
1,847 |
654 |
304 |
(464) |
3,508 |
||||||
Average allocated shareholders equity1 |
11,497 |
23,647 |
13,830 |
5,308 |
11,459 |
65,741 |
||||||
Deduct: Average allocated goodwill and other intangible assets1,2 |
769 |
799 |
139 |
2,956 |
2,042 |
6,706 |
||||||
Average allocated tangible shareholders equity1 |
10,728 |
22,848 |
13,691 |
2,352 |
9,418 |
59,035 |
||||||
Post-tax return on average shareholders equity1 |
13.5 % |
10.4 % |
6.3 % |
7.6 % |
N/M |
7.1 % |
||||||
Post-tax return on average tangible shareholders equity1 |
14.5 % |
10.8 % |
6.4 % |
17.3 % |
N/M |
7.9 % |
||||||
N/M Not meaningful
1Starting from the first quarter of 2024, the equity allocation framework has been updated. For more information please refer to section Basis of preparation/impact of changes in accounting principles - Business Segments of this report
2Goodwill and other intangible assets related to the share of DWS that is not held by Deutsche Bank are excluded since the first quarter of 2018
|
Nine months ended Sep 30, 2023 |
|||||||||||
in m. |
Corporate |
Investment |
Private |
Asset |
Corporate & |
Total |
||||||
Profit (loss) before tax |
2,195 |
2,146 |
875 |
326 |
(163) |
5,380 |
||||||
Profit (loss) |
1,580 |
1,545 |
630 |
235 |
(246) |
3,745 |
||||||
Profit (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interests |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
89 |
89 |
||||||
Profit (loss) attributable to DB shareholders and additional equity components |
1,580 |
1,545 |
630 |
235 |
(335) |
3,656 |
||||||
Profit (loss) attributable to additional equity components |
82 |
171 |
92 |
17 |
61 |
422 |
||||||
Profit (loss) attributable to Deutsche Bank shareholders |
1,499 |
1,374 |
538 |
219 |
(395) |
3,234 |
||||||
Average allocated shareholders equity1 |
11,673 |
23,583 |
13,118 |
5,161 |
9,116 |
62,651 |
||||||
Deduct: Average allocated goodwill and other intangible assets1,2 |
802 |
713 |
838 |
2,951 |
1,082 |
6,386 |
||||||
Average allocated tangible shareholders equity1 |
10,871 |
22,869 |
12,280 |
2,210 |
8,034 |
56,264 |
||||||
Post-tax return on average shareholders equity1 |
17.1 % |
7.8 % |
5.5 % |
5.6 % |
N/M |
6.9 % |
||||||
Post-tax return on average tangible shareholders equity1 |
18.4 % |
8.0 % |
5.8 % |
13.2 % |
N/M |
7.7 % |
||||||
N/M Not meaningful
Prior years comparatives aligned to presentation in the current year
1Starting from the first quarter of 2024, the equity allocation framework has been updated. For more information please refer to section Basis of preparation/impact of changes in accounting principles - Business Segments of this report
2Goodwill and other intangible assets related to the share of DWS that is not held by Deutsche Bank are excluded since the first quarter of 2018
57
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
Post-tax return on average tangible shareholders equity excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision
Post-tax return on average tangible shareholders equity excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision is an adjustment to the aforementioned post-tax return on average tangible shareholders equity, which is a non-GAAP financial measure. Post-tax return on average tangible shareholders equity excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision is calculated by deducting provisions related to the Postbank takeover litigation including the resulting income tax effect from Profit (loss) attributable to Deutsche Bank shareholders. The Group believes that a presentation of Post-tax return on average tangible shareholders equity excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision provides a more meaningful depiction of the costs associated with its operating businesses and of its financial performance.
in m. |
Three months ended Sep 30, 2024 |
Three months ended Sep 30, 2023 |
Nine months ended Sep 30, 2024 |
Nine months ended Sep 30, 2023 |
||||
Profit (loss) attributable to DB shareholders |
2,861 |
1,491 |
3,508 |
3,234 |
||||
Adjustment for Postbank takeover litigation provision |
(432)1 |
0 |
904 |
0 |
||||
Income tax effect from the adjustment for Postbank takeover litigation provision |
71 |
0 |
(140) |
0 |
||||
Profit (loss) attributable to DB shareholders excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision |
2,499 |
1,491 |
4,271 |
3,234 |
||||
Average allocated shareholders equity |
65,991 |
62,908 |
65,741 |
62,651 |
||||
Average tangible shareholders' equity |
59,239 |
56,460 |
59,036 |
56,264 |
||||
Post-tax return on average shareholders' equity excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision |
15.1% |
9.5% |
8.7% |
6.9% |
||||
Post-tax return on average tangible shareholders' equity excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision |
16.9% |
10.6% |
9.6% |
7.7% |
||||
1 432 million adjustment consisting of a provision release of 444 million related to settlements reached net of 12 million accrued interest in the third quarter 2024 on the remaining provision
Revenues excluding specific items
Revenues excluding specific items is a performance indicator that is a non-GAAP financial measure most directly comparable to the IFRS financial measure net revenues. Revenues excluding specific items is calculated by adjusting net revenues under IFRS for specific revenue items which generally fall outside the usual nature or scope of the business and are likely to distort an accurate assessment of the segmental operating performance. Excluded items are Debt Valuation Adjustment (DVA) and material transactions or events that are either one-off in nature or belong to a portfolio of connected transactions or events where the P&L impact is limited to a specific period of time. The Group believes that a presentation of net revenues excluding the impact of these items provides a more meaningful depiction of the revenues associated with the businesses.
|
Three months ended Sep 30, 2024 |
|||||||||||
in m. |
Corporate |
Investment |
Private |
Asset |
Corporate & |
Total |
||||||
Net revenues |
1,841 |
2,523 |
2,319 |
660 |
2,126 |
9,470 |
||||||
DVA |
0 |
(16) |
0 |
0 |
(2) |
(18) |
||||||
Revenues excluding specific items |
1,841 |
2,507 |
2,319 |
660 |
2,124 |
9,452 |
||||||
|
Three months ended Sep 30, 2023 |
|||||||||||
in m. |
Corporate |
Investment |
Private |
Asset |
Corporate & |
Total |
||||||
Net revenues |
1,890 |
2,271 |
2,341 |
594 |
685 |
7,781 |
||||||
DVA |
0 |
(5) |
0 |
0 |
(1) |
(6) |
||||||
Revenues excluding specific items |
1,890 |
2,266 |
2,341 |
594 |
684 |
7,775 |
||||||
Prior years comparatives aligned to presentation in the current year
|
Nine months ended Sep 30, 2024 |
|||||||||||
in m. |
Corporate |
Investment |
Private |
Asset |
Corporate & |
Total |
||||||
Net Revenues |
5,642 |
8,168 |
7,027 |
1,940 |
1,377 |
24,154 |
||||||
DVA |
0 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
11 |
||||||
Revenues excluding specific items |
5,642 |
8,177 |
7,027 |
1,940 |
1,379 |
24,165 |
||||||
|
Nine months ended Sep 30, 2023 |
|||||||||||
in m. |
Corporate |
Investment |
Private |
Asset |
Corporate & |
Total |
||||||
Net Revenues |
5,807 |
7,323 |
7,177 |
1,803 |
511 |
22,621 |
||||||
DVA |
0 |
19 |
0 |
0 |
(3) |
16 |
||||||
Revenues excluding specific items |
5,807 |
7,342 |
7,177 |
1,803 |
508 |
22,637 |
||||||
Prior years comparatives aligned to presentation in the current year
58
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
Net interest income in the key banking book segments
Net interest income in the key banking book segments is a non-GAAP financial measure for which the most directly comparable IFRS financial measure is net interest income. Key banking book segments are defined as the Groups business segments for which net interest income from banking book activities represent a material part of the overall revenue. Net interest income in the key banking book segments is calculated as the Groups total net interest income excluding other funding effects (e.g., centrally held funding costs) and impacts driven by accounting asymmetry in the recognition of the Groups trading book and related hedging activities. The Group believes that a presentation of net interest income in the key banking book segments provides a more meaningful depiction of the net interest income associated with the Groups operating businesses.
The following table provides a reconciliation of the Groups net interest income to the net interest income in the key banking book segments.
in m. |
Three months ended Sep 30, 2024 |
Three months ended Sep 30, 2023 |
Nine months ended Sep 30, 2024 |
Nine months ended Sep 30, 2023 |
||||
Group |
||||||||
Net interest income |
3,724 |
4,058 |
11,174 |
12,132 |
||||
Key banking book segments and other funding effects1 |
3,230 |
3,208 |
9,921 |
9,794 |
||||
Key banking book segments |
3,255 |
3,359 |
10,032 |
10,381 |
||||
Other funding effects1 |
(26) |
(151) |
(111) |
(587) |
||||
Accounting asymmetry driven2 |
494 |
850 |
1,253 |
2,339 |
||||
Average interest earning assets3 (in bn) |
1,006 |
971 |
994 |
976 |
||||
Net interest margin4 |
1.5 % |
1.7 % |
1.5 % |
1.7 % |
||||
Key banking book segments |
||||||||
Corporate Bank |
||||||||
Net interest income |
1,179 |
1,212 |
3,757 |
3,858 |
||||
Average interest earning assets3 (in bn) |
127 |
123 |
125 |
126 |
||||
Net interest margin4 |
3.7 % |
3.9 % |
4.0 % |
4.1 % |
||||
Investment Bank Fixed Income and Currencies: Financing |
||||||||
Net interest income |
650 |
636 |
1,976 |
1,940 |
||||
Average interest earning assets3 (in bn) |
96 |
92 |
94 |
93 |
||||
Net interest margin4 |
2.7 % |
2.8 % |
2.8 % |
2.8 % |
||||
Private Bank |
||||||||
Net interest income |
1,426 |
1,511 |
4,299 |
4,584 |
||||
Average interest earning assets3 (in bn) |
260 |
265 |
262 |
266 |
||||
Net interest margin4 |
2.2 % |
2.3 % |
2.2 % |
2.3 % |
||||
Total Key banking book segments |
||||||||
Net interest income |
3,255 |
3,359 |
10,032 |
10,381 |
||||
Average interest earning assets3 (in bn) |
484 |
480 |
482 |
485 |
||||
Net interest margin4 |
2.7 % |
2.8 % |
2.8 % |
2.9 % |
||||
1Other funding effects represents banking book net interest income arising primarily from Treasury funding activities that are not allocated to the key banking book segments but are allocated to other segments or held centrally in Corporate & Other
2Accounting asymmetry in the recognition of the Groups trading book and related hedging activities primarily arises from funding costs associated with trading book positions where the funding cost is reported in net interest income but is offset by revenues on the underlying positions recorded in noninterest income. Conversely, it can also arise from the use of fair valued instruments to hedge key banking book segments positions where the cost or income of the underlying position is recorded as interest income, but the hedge impact is recorded as a noninterest income. These effects from trading book and related hedge activities primarily occur in the Investment Bank (ex FIC Financing), Asset Management and Corporate & Other including Treasury; which are not key banking book segments
3Interest earning assets are financial instruments or investments that generate interest income in the form of interest payments. Interest earnings assets are averaged on a monthly basis and across quarters and for the full year
4For the Group and the segments, net interest income (before provision for credit losses) as a percentage of average total interest earnings assets. Net interest margins per segment are based on their contribution to the Group results
59
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
Adjusted costs/nonoperating costs
Adjusted costs is one of the Groups key performance indicators and is a non-GAAP financial measure for which the most directly comparable IFRS financial measure is noninterest expenses. Adjusted costs is calculated by deducting (i) impairment of goodwill and other intangible assets, (ii) net litigation charges and (iii) restructuring and severance, in total referred to as nonoperating costs, from noninterest expenses under IFRS. The Group believes that a presentation of noninterest expenses excluding the impact of these items provides a more meaningful depiction of the costs associated with its operating businesses.
|
Three months ended Sep 30, 2024 |
|||||||||||
in m. |
Corporate |
Investment |
Private |
Asset |
Corporate & |
Total |
||||||
Noninterest expenses |
1,177 |
1,578 |
1,795 |
441 |
(246) |
4,744 |
||||||
Nonoperating costs: |
||||||||||||
Impairment of goodwill and other intangible assets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||||||
Litigation charges, net |
5 |
3 |
1 |
(0) |
(353) |
(344) |
||||||
Restructuring and severance |
16 |
18 |
10 |
4 |
(6) |
42 |
||||||
Total Nonoperating costs |
21 |
21 |
11 |
4 |
(359) |
(302) |
||||||
Adjusted costs |
1,156 |
1,557 |
1,784 |
437 |
113 |
5,047 |
||||||
|
Three months ended Sep 30, 2023 |
|||||||||||
in m. |
Corporate |
Investment |
Private |
Asset |
Corporate & |
Total |
||||||
Noninterest expenses |
1,124 |
1,539 |
1,780 |
444 |
278 |
5,164 |
||||||
Nonoperating costs: |
||||||||||||
Impairment of goodwill and other intangible assets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||||||
Litigation charges, net |
6 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
92 |
105 |
||||||
Restructuring and severance |
23 |
27 |
35 |
5 |
4 |
94 |
||||||
Total Nonoperating costs |
28 |
29 |
39 |
8 |
96 |
199 |
||||||
Adjusted costs |
1,096 |
1,511 |
1,741 |
436 |
182 |
4,965 |
||||||
Prior years comparatives aligned to presentation in the current year
|
Nine months ended Sep 30, 2024 |
|||||||||||
in m. |
Corporate |
Investment |
Private |
Asset |
Corporate & |
Total |
||||||
Noninterest expenses |
3,576 |
4,889 |
5,391 |
1,350 |
1,545 |
16,751 |
||||||
Nonoperating costs: |
||||||||||||
Impairment of goodwill and other intangible assets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||||||
Litigation charges, net |
89 |
99 |
16 |
15 |
1,157 |
1,376 |
||||||
Restructuring and severance |
49 |
70 |
113 |
12 |
(0) |
243 |
||||||
Total Nonoperating costs |
138 |
169 |
129 |
27 |
1,157 |
1,619 |
||||||
Adjusted costs |
3,437 |
4,721 |
5,262 |
1,323 |
388 |
15,131 |
||||||
|
Nine months ended Sep 30, 2023 |
|||||||||||
in m. |
Corporate |
Investment |
Private |
Asset |
Corporate & |
Total |
||||||
Noninterest expenses |
3,419 |
4,932 |
5,714 |
1,353 |
805 |
16,223 |
||||||
Nonoperating costs: |
||||||||||||
Impairment of goodwill and other intangible assets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||||||
Litigation charges, net |
96 |
93 |
102 |
26 |
249 |
566 |
||||||
Restructuring and severance |
42 |
69 |
223 |
21 |
23 |
377 |
||||||
Total Nonoperating costs |
137 |
162 |
325 |
46 |
272 |
943 |
||||||
Adjusted costs |
3,282 |
4,769 |
5,389 |
1,307 |
533 |
15,280 |
||||||
Prior years comparatives aligned to presentation in the current year
Revenues and costs on a currency adjusted basis
Revenues and costs on a currency-adjusted basis are calculated by translating prior-period revenues or costs that were generated or incurred in non-euro currencies into euros at the foreign exchange rates that prevailed during the current year period. These adjusted figures, and period-to-period percentage changes based thereon, are intended to provide information on the development of underlying business volumes and costs.
60
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
Profit (loss) before tax excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision
Profit (loss) before tax excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision is a non-GAAP financial measure for which the most directly comparable IFRS financial measure is Profit (loss) before tax. Profit (loss) before tax excluding the Postbank takeover litigation provision is calculated by deducting provisions related to the Postbank takeover litigation from Profit (loss) before tax under IFRS. The Group believes that a presentation of Profit (loss) before tax excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision provides a more meaningful depiction of the profitability associated with its operating businesses.
The following table provides a reconciliation of Profit (loss) before tax excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision for the Group:
in m. |
Three months ended Sep 30, 2024 |
Three months ended Sep 30, 2023 |
Nine months ended Sep 30, 2024 |
Nine months ended Sep 30, 2023 |
||||
Profit (loss) before tax |
4,231 |
2,372 |
5,994 |
5,380 |
||||
Adjustment for Postbank takeover litigation provision |
(432)1 |
0 |
904 |
0 |
||||
Profit (loss) before tax excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision |
3,799 |
2,372 |
6,897 |
5,380 |
||||
1 432 million adjustment consisting of a provision release of 444 million related to settlements reached net of 12 million accrued interest in the third quarter 2024 on the remaining provision
Profit (loss) excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision
Profit (loss) excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision is a non-GAAP financial measure for which the most directly comparable IFRS financial measure is Profit (loss). Profit (loss) excluding the Postbank takeover litigation provision is calculated by deducting provisions related to the Postbank takeover litigation including the resulting income tax effect from Profit (loss) under IFRS. The Group believes that a presentation of Profit (loss) excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision provides a more meaningful depiction of the profitability associated with its operating businesses.
The following table provides a reconciliation of Profit (loss) excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision for the Group:
in m. |
Three months ended Sep 30, 2024 |
Three months ended Sep 30, 2023 |
Nine months ended Sep 30, 2024 |
Nine months ended Sep 30, 2023 |
||||
Profit (loss) |
3,065 |
1,661 |
4,084 |
3,745 |
||||
Adjustment for Postbank takeover litigation provision |
(432)1 |
0 |
904 |
0 |
||||
Income tax effect from the adjustment for Postbank takeover litigation provision |
71 |
0 |
(140) |
0 |
||||
Profit (loss) excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision |
2,704 |
1,661 |
4,847 |
3,745 |
||||
1 432 million adjustment consisting of a provision release of 444 million related to settlements reached net of 12 million accrued interest in the third quarter 2024 on the remaining provision
Cost/income ratio excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision
Cost/income ratio excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision is a non-GAAP financial measure for which the most directly comparable IFRS financial measure is the ratio of total noninterest expenses divided by total net revenues, which the Group refer to as cost/income ratio. Cost/income ratio excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision is calculated by deducting provisions related to the Postbank takeover litigation provision from noninterest expenses. The Group believes that a presentation of Cost/income ratio excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision provides a more meaningful depiction of the costs associated with its operating businesses and of its financial performance.
in m. |
Three months ended Sep 30, 2024 |
Three months ended Sep 30, 2023 |
Nine months ended Sep 30, 2024 |
Nine months ended Sep 30, 2023 |
||||
Net revenues |
9,470 |
7,781 |
24,154 |
22,621 |
||||
Noninterest expenses |
4,744 |
5,164 |
16,751 |
16,223 |
||||
Cost/Income ratio |
50.1% |
66.4% |
69.3% |
71.7% |
||||
Adjustment for Postbank takeover litigation provision |
(432)1 |
0 |
904 |
0 |
||||
Noninterest expenses excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision |
5,177 |
5,164 |
15,847 |
16,223 |
||||
Cost/Income ratio excluding Postbank takeover litigation provision |
54.7% |
66.4% |
65.6% |
71.7% |
||||
1 432 million adjustment consisting of a provision release of 444 million related to settlements reached net of 12 million accrued interest in the third quarter 2024 on the remaining provision
61
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
Net assets (adjusted)
Net assets (adjusted) are defined as IFRS Total assets adjusted to reflect the recognition of legal netting agreements, offsetting of cash collateral received and paid and offsetting pending settlements balances. The Group believes that a presentation of net assets (adjusted) provides a better comparison to the Groups competitors.
in b. |
Sep 30, 2024 |
Dec 31, 2023 |
||
Total assets |
1,384 |
1,317 |
||
Deduct: Derivatives (incl. hedging derivatives & derivatives reclassified into held for sale) credit line netting |
185 |
196 |
||
Deduct: Derivatives cash collateral received / paid |
50 |
56 |
||
Deduct: Securities Financing Transactions credit line netting |
2 |
2 |
||
Deduct: Pending settlements netting |
60 |
29 |
||
Net assets (adjusted) |
1,086 |
1,034 |
||
Book value and tangible book value per basic share outstanding
Book value per basic share outstanding and tangible book value per basic share outstanding are non-GAAP financial measures that are used and relied upon by investors and industry analysts as capital adequacy metrics. Book value per basic share outstanding represents the Banks total shareholders equity divided by the number of basic shares outstanding at period-end. Tangible book value represents the Banks total shareholders equity less goodwill and other intangible assets. Tangible book value per basic share outstanding is computed by dividing tangible book value by period-end basic shares outstanding.
Tangible book value
in m. |
Sep 30, 2024 |
Dec 31, 2023 |
||
Total shareholders equity (Book value) |
67,278 |
65,999 |
||
Goodwill and other intangible assets1 |
(6,721) |
(6,573) |
||
Tangible shareholders equity (Tangible book value) |
60,558 |
59,426 |
||
1Excludes Goodwill and other intangible assets attributable to partial sale of DWS
Basic shares outstanding
in million |
Sep 30, 2024 |
Dec 31, 2023 |
||
Number of shares issued |
1,994.7 |
2,040.2 |
||
Treasury shares |
(50.8) |
(48.2) |
||
Vested share awards |
37.3 |
46.3 |
||
Basic shares outstanding |
1,981.2 |
2,038.4 |
||
Book value per basic share outstanding in |
33.96 |
32.38 |
||
Tangible book value per basic share outstanding in |
30.57 |
29.15 |
||
62
Deutsche Bank |
||
Earnings Report as of September 30, 2024 |
||
Imprint
Deutsche Bank
Aktiengesellschaft
Taunusanlage 12
60262 Frankfurt am Main
Germany
Telephone: +49 69 910-00
deutsche.bank@db.com
Investor Relations
+49 800 910-8000
db.ir@db.com
AGM Hotline:
+49 6196 8870 704
Publication
Published on October 23, 2024
Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking statements
This report contains forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts; they include statements about our beliefs and expectations and the assumptions underlying them. These statements are based on plans, estimates and projections as they are currently available to the management of Deutsche Bank. Forward-looking statements therefore speak only as of the date they are made, and we undertake no obligation to update publicly any of them in light of new information or future events.
By their very nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. A number of important factors could therefore cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. Such factors include the conditions in the financial markets in Germany, in Europe, in the United States and elsewhere from which we derive a substantial portion of our revenues and in which we hold a substantial portion of our assets, the development of asset prices and market volatility, potential defaults of borrowers or trading counterparties, the implementation of our strategic initiatives, the reliability of our risk management policies, procedures and methods, and other risks referenced in our filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such factors are described in detail in our SEC Form 20-F of March 14, 2024, under the heading Risk Factors.
63
|
|
Exhibit 99.2 |
|
CAPITALIZATION & INDEBTEDNESS |
|
|
|
|
|
THE FOLLOWING TABLE SETS FORTH OUR UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED CAPITALIZATION IN ACCORDANCE WITH IFRS AS ISSUED BY THE IASB |
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 30, 2024 |
|
|
(in m.) |
|
Debt (1) : |
|
|
Long-term debt |
115,890 |
|
Trust preferred securities |
287 |
|
Long-term debt at fair value through profit or loss |
19,889 |
|
Total debt |
136,067 |
|
|
|
|
Shareholders' equity: |
|
|
Common shares (no par value) |
5,106 |
|
Additional paid-in capital |
39,630 |
|
Retained earnings |
25,317 |
|
Common shares in treasury, at cost |
(728) |
|
Equity classified as obligation to purchase common shares |
0 |
|
Accumulated other comprehensive income, net of tax |
|
|
Unrealized net gains (losses) on financial assets at fair value through other comprehensive income, net of tax and other |
(901) |
|
Unrealized net gains (losses) on derivatives hedging variability of cash flows, net of tax |
269 |
|
Unrealized net gains (losses) on assets classified as held for sale, net of tax |
0 |
|
Unrealized net gains (losses) attributable to change in own credit risk of financial liabilities designated at fair value through profit and loss , net of tax |
(98) |
|
Foreign currency translation, net of tax |
(1,314) |
|
Unrealized net gains from equity method investments |
(3) |
|
Total shareholders' equity |
67,278 |
|
Equity component of financial instruments |
10,066 |
|
Noncontrolling interest |
1,554 |
|
Total equity |
78,898 |
|
Total capitalization |
214,964 |
|
_________________ |
|
1 |
40,085 million (29%) of our debt was secured as of September 30, 2024. |
|
|
|
|
Due to rounding, numbers may not add up precisely to the totals provided. |
|
1 Year DB Crude Oil Long ETN du... (PK) Chart |
1 Month DB Crude Oil Long ETN du... (PK) Chart |
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