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Share Name | Share Symbol | Market | Type |
---|---|---|---|
Freehold Royalties Ltd | TSX:FRU | Toronto | Common Stock |
Price Change | % Change | Share Price | Bid Price | Offer Price | High Price | Low Price | Open Price | Shares Traded | Last Trade | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
-0.11 | -0.78% | 13.93 | 13.92 | 13.96 | 14.02 | 13.92 | 13.97 | 345,052 | 21:00:01 |
President’s MessageFreehold showcased the strength of our unique North American portfolio in 2023, with exposure to a stable production base in Canada, and growing oil weighted volumes in the U.S. Over the last four years we have structurally improved our business through exposure to the top-tier basins across North America, enhancing the sustainability of drilling on our lands and returns to our shareholders. We achieved 100% organic reserves replacement in 2023, demonstrating the strength of our asset base. This evolution has resulted in $163 million in dividends returned to our shareholders, while maintaining conservative debt levels (0.4 times net debt to trailing funds from operations).
2023 and Fourth Quarter Highlights included:
Production volumes for the year averaged 14,714 boe/d, a 4% increase and 6% growth in liquids volumes versus 2022. Freehold continues to build its U.S. portfolio with production averaging 5,102 boe/d in 2023 or 16% higher than the previous year. In the Midland basin in the Permian, we saw volumes grow 25% versus 2022 as our strong suite of payors executed their growth plans. In Canada, production remained flat year-over-year in the absence of a material acquisition, with volumes averaging 9,612 boe/d for the year, highlighting the asset quality of our Canadian portfolio. 2023 also represented a record year of leasing for Freehold, with the Company completing 122 agreements with 41 distinct counterparties, with the majority of the focus in southeast Saskatchewan and the emerging Mannville oil play.
Late in 2023, Freehold announced the acquisition of two royalty assets increasing our exposure in the Midland and Delaware basins for $115 million, which closed in January 2024. These transactions further Freehold’s North American strategy, growing the Company’s Permian production by 30% and overall U.S. corporate volumes by 12%.
Freehold exited the year with long term debt of $123 million or 0.5x long term debt to funds from operations. After completing the above transactions in January 2024, Freehold expects to continue to maintain considerable financial flexibility throughout 2024. Freehold paid record dividends to its shareholders in 2023 and at current commodity price levels we believe the dividend is right sized, with potential to grow through further portfolio investment, accelerated third party development on our royalty lands and/or a fundamental shift in the underlying commodity price environment.
Looking into 2024, we have set a production guidance range of 14,700-15,700 boe/d which implies approximately 3% growth at the midpoint over 2023. We are assuming West Texas Intermediate (WTI) prices average US$75/bbl through the year which is forecast to provide significant revenue, funds from operations and dividend sustainability, allowing the Company to execute its strategy and provide consistent returns for our shareholders.
I would like to thank our employees, shareholders, Board of Directors, and all those who have supported Freehold throughout the year.
David M. Spyker, President and Chief Executive Officer
Dividend AnnouncementThe Board of Directors of Freehold has declared a monthly dividend of $0.09 per share to be paid on April 15, 2024, to shareholders of record on March 28, 2024. The dividend is designated as an eligible dividend for Canadian income tax purposes.
Operating and Financial Highlights
Three Months Ended | Twelve Months Ended | |||||
December 31 | September 30 | December 31st | ||||
FINANCIAL ($ millions, except as noted) | 2023 | 2023 | 2023 | 2022 | Change | |
West Texas Intermediate (US$/bbl) | 78.32 | 82.26 | (5%) | 77.62 | 94.23 | (18%) |
AECO 7A Monthly Index (Cdn$/Mcf) | 2.70 | 2.42 | 12% | 2.98 | 5.56 | (46%) |
Royalty and other revenue | 80.1 | 84.2 | (5%) | 314.6 | 393.0 | (20%) |
Funds from operations | 62.8 | 65.3 | (4%) | 239.7 | 316.5 | (24%) |
Funds from operations per share, basic & diluted ($) (1)(3) | 0.42 | 0.43 | (2%) | 1.59 | 2.10 | (24%) |
Dividends paid per share ($) (2) | 0.27 | 0.27 | - | 1.08 | 0.94 | 15% |
Dividend payout ratio (%) (3) | 65% | 62% | 5% | 68% | 45% | 51% |
Long-term debt | 123.0 | 141.2 | (13%) | 123.0 | 156.6 | (21%) |
Net debt (5) | 93.7 | 106.6 | (12%) | 93.7 | 127.9 | (27%) |
OPERATING | ||||||
Total production (boe/d) (4) | 14,863 | 14,605 | 2% | 14,714 | 14,101 | 4% |
Canadian production (boe/d)(4) | 9,659 | 9,178 | 5% | 9,612 | 9,706 | (1%) |
U.S. production (boe/d)(4) | 5,204 | 5,427 | (4%) | 5,102 | 4,395 | 16% |
Oil and NGL (%) | 63% | 63% | - | 62% | 62% | - |
Petroleum and natural gas realized price ($/boe) (4) | 57.94 | 61.55 | (6%) | 57.65 | 75.14 | (23%) |
Cash costs ($/boe) (3)(4) | 4.73 | 5.10 | (7%) | 5.71 | 5.19 | 10% |
Netback ($/boe) (3) (4) | 52.59 | 55.63 | (5%) | 51.28 | 69.48 | (26%) |
ROYALTY INTEREST DRILLING (gross / net) | ||||||
Canada | 120/ 3.8 | 116/ 3.9 | 3%/ (3%) | 466/ 16.0 | 503/ 20.1 | (1%)/ (20%) |
U.S. | 142/ 0.7 | 107/ 0.7 | (10%)/ - | 527/ 2.6 | 554/ 2.9 | (5%)/ (10%) |
(1) Weighted average number of shares outstanding during the period, basic(2) Based on the number of shares issued and outstanding at each record date(3) See Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures(4) See Conversion of Natural Gas to Barrels of Oil Equivalent (boe)(5) Net debt is a capital management measure
Fourth Quarter Highlights
2023 Annual Highlights
2023 Drilling and Leasing Activity In total, 993 gross wells were drilled on Freehold’s royalty lands in 2023, a 6% decrease versus 2022.
Approximately 28% of gross wells on Freehold royalty lands targeted prospects in Alberta, 18% in Saskatchewan and 46% in Texas with the balance spread across other regions. Producers continue to remain focused on oil prospects with 95% of wells targeting oil. Of the gross wells drilled in 2023, approximately 37% were drilled on Freehold’s gross overriding royalty (GORR) prospects in Canada, 10% targeted mineral title prospects in Canada and 53% were drilled on Freehold’s U.S. royalty acreage (78% mineral title). The Viking in southwest Saskatchewan, Mississippian in southeast Saskatchewan, Clearwater and Cardium in central Alberta, Eagle Ford in Texas and Permian in Texas, and New Mexico and North Dakota continue to be the areas of focus within Freehold’s portfolio. In total, Freehold estimates approximately $7.7 billion in gross third-party capital was spent on its royalty lands in 2023 up from $6.3 billion in 2022. Spending was comprised of US$5 billion (US$25 million net) on our U.S. assets and $1 billion ($34 million net) on our Canadian royalty assets.
Royalty Interest Drilling
Three Months Ended December 31 | Twelve Months Ended December | |||||||
2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | |||||
Gross | Net (1) | Gross | Net (1) | Gross | Net (1) | Gross | Net (1) | |
Canada | 120 | 3.8 | 137 | 6.2 | 466 | 16.0 | 503 | 20.1 |
United States | 142 | 0.7 | 156 | 0.9 | 527 | 2.6 | 554 | 2.9 |
Total | 262 | 4.5 | 293 | 7.1 | 993 | 18.6 | 1,057 | 23.0 |
(1) Equivalent net wells are aggregate of the numbers obtained by multiplying each gross well by our royalty interest percentage.
CanadaIn Q4-2023, Freehold had 120 gross (3.8 net) locations drilled on its Canadian portfolio compared to 137 gross (6.2 net) locations during Q4-2022. Drilling on our Canadian lands in 2023 totalled 466 gross locations (16.0 net), down 7% and 20% respectively on a gross and net measure when compared to 2022.
Over the quarter, drilling in Canada was led by a portfolio of oil weighted plays including the Cardium (16 gross wells), Viking (16 gross wells) and Clearwater (15 gross wells).
Freehold also benefitted from record leasing throughout our Canadian portfolio in 2023, with the majority of the 122 new leases targeting Mississippian light oil targets in southeast Saskatchewan (51%) and Mannville heavy oil targets in Alberta (28%). Freehold continues to see a revitalization of its southeast Saskatchewan light oil and Mannville heavy oil portfolios, with several well capitalized growth oriented junior producers focusing on these areas. Multilateral drilling has been a focus by operators in the heavy oil areas to improve both well productivity and oil recovery.
U.S.Overall, 142 gross wells were drilled on our U.S. royalty lands in Q4-2023, which compares to 156 gross wells during Q4-2022. Given the composition of our U.S. portfolio (over 60% are investment grade payors), we see sustained development on our U.S. lands with more than 13 years of multi-zone, oil weighted drilling inventory.
In the U.S., operators focused drilling on light oil prospects in the Permian and Eagle Ford with 85% of activity within these basins. In total, 85 gross locations targeting prospects in the Permian and 38 gross locations in the Eagle Ford over the quarter. We also saw activity associated with the Bakken and Haynesville plays.
We continue to highlight the “saw tooth” nature of our U.S. portfolio where volumes are expected to increase significantly when multi-well and/or high net royalty interest production pads are brought onstream. On an annual basis, we expect our U.S. portfolio to provide growth of approximately 3% over the next twelve months, aligned with third-party projections of production growth in the U.S. producing basins, particularly the Permian.
Although Freehold’s U.S. net well additions were lower than in Canada, U.S. wells are significantly more prolific as they generally come on production at approximately ten times that of an average Canadian well in our portfolio.
2024 Guidance
The following table summarizes our key operating assumptions for 2024:
2024 Guidance | ||
Production (boe/d)(1) | 14,700 – 15,700 | |
West Texas Intermediate crude oil (US$/bbl) | $75.00 | |
AECO natural gas (Cdn$/Mcf) | $2.00 | |
Nymex (US$/MMbtu) | $2.50 | |
Exchange rate (Cdn$/US$) | 1.35 |
(1) 2024 production is expected to consist of 9% heavy oil, 43% light and medium oil, 12% NGLs and 36% natural gas
2023 Reserves InformationFreehold’s year-end 2023 reserves were evaluated by independent reserve evaluators Trimble Engineering Associates Ltd. and Ryder Scott and were completed in accordance with the definitions, standards and procedures contained in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook and National Instrument 51-101-Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities. Freehold’s reserve information is included in the Company’s Annual Information Form which is available on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca and Freehold’s website at www.freeholdroyalties.com.
Conference Call DetailsA webcast to discuss financial and operational results for the period ended December 31, 2023, will be held for the investment community on Thursday February 29, 2024, beginning at 7:00 AM MST (9:00 AM EST).
A live audio webcast will be accessible through the link below and on Freehold’s website under “Events & Presentations” on Freehold’s website at www.freeholdroyalties.com.
To participate in the conference call, you are asked to register at the link provided below.
Live Audio Webcast URL: https://edge.media-server.com/mmc/p/qkr6o5bo. A dial-in option is also available and can be accessed by dialing 1-800-952-5114 (toll-free in North America) participant passcode is 5916138#.
For further information, contactFreehold Royalties Ltd. Matt DonohueInvestor Relations & Capital Marketst. 403.221.0833e. mdonohue@freeholdroyalties.comw. www.freeholdroyalties.com
Select Quarterly Information
2023 | 2022 | |||||||
Financial ($millions, except as noted) | Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 | Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 |
Royalty and other revenue | 80.1 | 84.2 | 73.7 | 76.6 | 98.5 | 98.4 | 108.5 | 87.6 |
Net Income (loss) | 34.3 | 42.3 | 24.3 | 31.1 | 40.7 | 63.2 | 66.9 | 38.4 |
Per share, basic ($) (1) | 0.23 | 0.28 | 0.16 | 0.21 | 0.27 | 0.42 | 0.44 | 0.25 |
Cash flows from operations | 70.9 | 53.7 | 49.9 | 42.6 | 82.7 | 99.9 | 75.4 | 69.3 |
Funds from operations | 62.8 | 65.3 | 53.0 | 58.6 | 80.0 | 80.8 | 83.8 | 71.9 |
Per share, basic ($) (1)(3) | 0.42 | 0.43 | 0.35 | 0.39 | 0.53 | 0.54 | 0.56 | 0.48 |
Acquisitions & related expenditures | 2.1 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 7.2 | 161.7 | 20.7 | 1.3 |
Dividends paid | 40.7 | 40.7 | 40.7 | 40.7 | 40.7 | 37.7 | 36.2 | 27.1 |
Per share ($) (2) | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.18 |
Dividends declared | 40.7 | 40.7 | 40.7 | 40.7 | 40.7 | 39.2 | 36.2 | 30.1 |
Per share ($) (2) | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.26 | 0.24 | 0.20 |
Dividend payout ratio (%) (3) | 65% | 62% | 77% | 69% | 51% | 47% | 43% | 38% |
Long-term debt | 123.0 | 141.2 | 152.0 | 159.1 | 156.6 | 196.9 | 86.0 | 105.0 |
Net debt | 93.7 | 106.6 | 130.8 | 115.8 | 127.9 | 159.9 | 33.1 | 62.6 |
Shares outstanding, period end (000s) | 150.7 | 150.7 | 150.7 | 150.7 | 150.7 | 150.7 | 150.6 | 150.6 |
Average shares outstanding (000s) (1) | 150.7 | 150.7 | 150.7 | 150.7 | 150.7 | 150.6 | 150.6 | 150.6 |
Operating | ||||||||
Light and medium oil (bbl/d) | 6,308 | 6,325 | 6,093 | 6,102 | 6,418 | 5,935 | 5,378 | 5,234 |
Heavy oil (bbl/d) | 1,182 | 1,127 | 1,167 | 1,253 | 1,218 | 1,190 | 1,239 | 1,210 |
NGL (bbl/d) | 1,878 | 1,678 | 1,845 | 1,788 | 1,781 | 1,708 | 1,613 | 1,757 |
Total liquids (bbl/d) | 9,368 | 9,130 | 9,105 | 9,143 | 9,417 | 8,833 | 8,230 | 8,201 |
Natural gas (Mcf/d) | 32,968 | 32,851 | 33,372 | 33,486 | 33,744 | 32,319 | 31,336 | 32,845 |
Total production (boe/d) (4) | 14,863 | 14,605 | 14,667 | 14,724 | 15,041 | 14,219 | 13,453 | 13,676 |
Oil and NGL (%) | 63% | 63% | 62% | 62% | 63% | 62% | 61% | 60% |
Petroleum & natural gas realized price ($/boe) (4) | 57.94 | 61.55 | 54.05 | 56.99 | 69.76 | 74.31 | 87.55 | 69.71 |
Cash costs ($/boe) (3)(4) | 4.73 | 5.10 | 7.19 | 5.82 | 5.17 | 3.62 | 8.38 | 3.70 |
Netback ($/boe) (3)(4) | 52.59 | 55.63 | 46.07 | 50.79 | 63.92 | 69.77 | 78.80 | 66.17 |
Benchmark Prices | ||||||||
West Texas Intermediate crude oil (US$/bbl) | 78.32 | 82.26 | 73.78 | 76.13 | 82.64 | 91.56 | 108.41 | 94.29 |
Exchange rate (Cdn$/US$) | 1.36 | 1.34 | 1.34 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.26 |
Edmonton Light Sweet crude oil (Cdn$/bbl) | 99.69 | 107.89 | 94.97 | 99.03 | 109.83 | 116.85 | 137.79 | 115.67 |
Western Canadian Select crude oil (Cdn$/bbl) | 76.96 | 93.05 | 78.76 | 69.31 | 77.08 | 93.49 | 122.09 | 101.02 |
Nymex natural gas (US$/mcf) | 2.96 | 2.64 | 2.17 | 3.30 | 6.03 | 8.20 | 7.17 | 4.64 |
AECO 7A Monthly Index (Cdn$/Mcf) | 2.70 | 2.42 | 2.40 | 4.34 | 5.58 | 5.50 | 6.27 | 4.58 |
(1) Weighted average number of shares outstanding during the period, basic(2) Based on the number of shares issued and outstanding at each record date(3) See Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures(4) See Conversion of Natural Gas to Barrels of Oil Equivalent (boe)
Forward-Looking Statements
This news release offers our assessment of Freehold’s future plans and operations as of February 28, 2024, and contains forward-looking statements that we believe allow readers to better understand our business and prospects. These forward-looking statements include our expectations for the following:
By their nature, forward-looking statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, some of which are beyond our control, including general economic conditions, inflation and supply chain issues, the impacts of conflicts in the middle-east and eastern Europe on commodity prices and the world economy, industry conditions, volatility of commodity prices, currency fluctuations, imprecision of reserve estimates, royalties, environmental risks, taxation, regulation, changes in tax or other legislation, competition from other industry participants, the failure to complete acquisitions on the timing and terms expected, the failure to satisfy conditions of closing for any acquisitions, the lack of availability of qualified personnel or management, stock market volatility, our inability to come to agreement with third parties on prospective opportunities and the results of any such agreement and our ability to access sufficient capital from internal and external sources. Risks are described in more detail in our Annual Information Form for the year-ended December 31, 2023, available at www.sedarplus.ca.
With respect to forward-looking statements contained in this news release, we have made assumptions regarding, among other things, future commodity prices, future capital expenditure levels, future production levels, future exchange rates, future tax rates, future legislation, the cost of developing and producing our assets, the quality of our counterparties and the plans thereof, our ability and the ability of our lessees to obtain equipment in a timely manner to carry out development activities, our ability to market our oil and gas successfully to current and new customers, the performance of current wells and future wells drilled by our royalty payors, our expectation for the consumption of crude oil and natural gas, our expectation for industry drilling levels, our ability to obtain financing on acceptable terms, shut-in production, production additions from our audit function, our ability to execute on prospective opportunities and our ability to add production and reserves through development and acquisition activities. Additional operating assumptions with respect to the forward-looking statements referred to above are detailed in the body of this news release.
You are cautioned that the assumptions used in the preparation of such information, although considered reasonable at the time of preparation, may prove to be imprecise and, as such, undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements. Our actual results, performance, or achievement could differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, these forward-looking statements. We can give no assurance that any of the events anticipated will transpire or occur, or if any of them do, what benefits we will derive from them. The forward-looking information contained in this document is expressly qualified by this cautionary statement. To the extent any guidance or forward-looking statements herein constitute a financial outlook, they are included herein to provide readers with an understanding of management's plans and assumptions for budgeting purposes and readers are cautioned that the information may not be appropriate for other purposes. Our policy for updating forward-looking statements is to update our key operating assumptions quarterly and, except as required by law, we do not undertake to update any other forward-looking statements.
You are further cautioned that the preparation of financial statements in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS), which are the Canadian generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) for publicly accountable enterprises, requires management to make certain judgments and estimates that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, revenues, and expenses. These estimates may change, having either a positive or negative effect on net income, as further information becomes available and as the economic environment changes.
To the extent any guidance or forward-looking statements herein constitutes a financial outlook, they are included herein to provide readers with an understanding of management's plans and assumptions for budgeting purposes and readers are cautioned that the information may not be appropriate for other purposes. You are further cautioned that the preparation of financial statements in accordance with IFRS requires management to make certain judgments and estimates that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, revenues, and expenses. These estimates may change, having either a positive or negative effect on net income, as further information becomes available and as the economic environment changes.
Conversion of Natural Gas to Barrels of Oil Equivalent (BOE)
To provide a single unit of production for analytical purposes, natural gas production and reserves volumes are converted mathematically to equivalent barrels of oil (boe). We use the industry-accepted standard conversion of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of oil (6 Mcf = 1 bbl). The 6:1 boe ratio is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip. It does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead and is not based on either energy content or current prices. While the boe ratio is useful for comparative measures and observing trends, it does not accurately reflect individual product values and might be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. As well, given that the value ratio, based on the current price of crude oil to natural gas, is significantly different from the 6:1 energy equivalency ratio, using a 6:1 conversion ratio may be misleading as an indication of value.
Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures
Within this news release, references are made to terms commonly used as key performance indicators in the oil and gas industry. We believe that net revenue, netback, dividend payout ratio, funds from operations per share and cash costs are useful non-GAAP financial measures and ratios for management and investors to analyze operating performance, financial leverage, and liquidity, and we use these terms to facilitate the understanding and comparability of our results of operations. However, these terms do not have any standardized meanings prescribed by GAAP and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other entities. This news release also contains the capital management measure net debt, as defined in note 12 to the December 31, 2023, unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements.
Net revenue, which is calculated as revenues less ad valorem and production taxes (as incurred in the U.S. at the state level, largely Texas, which do not charge corporate income taxes but do assess flat tax rates on commodity revenues in addition to property tax assessments) details the net amount Freehold receives from its royalty payors, largely after state withholdings.
The netback, which is also calculated on a boe basis, as average realized price less production and ad valorem taxes, operating expenses, general and administrative and cash interest charges and share-based payouts, represents the per boe netback amount which allows us to benchmark how changes in commodity pricing, net of production and ad valorem taxes, and our cash-based cost structure compare against prior periods.
Cash costs, which is calculated on a boe basis, is comprised by the recurring cash-based costs, excluding taxes, reported on the statements of operations. For Freehold, cash costs are identified as operating expense, general and administrative expense, cash-based interest, financing and share-based compensation payouts. Cash costs allow Freehold to benchmark how changes in its manageable cash-based cost structure compare against prior periods.
The following table presents the computation of Net Revenue, Cash costs and the Netback:
Three Months Ended December 31 | Three Months Ended September 30 | |||||
$/boe | 2023 | 2022 | Change | 2023 | Change | |
Royalty and other revenue | 58.57 | $71.17 | (18%) | $62.67 | (7%) | |
Production and ad valorem taxes | (1.25) | (2.08) | (40%) | (1.94) | (36%) | |
Net revenue | $57.32 | $69.09 | (17%) | $60.73 | (6%) | |
Less: | ||||||
General and administrative expense | (2.90) | (3.08) | (6%) | (2.29) | 27% | |
Operating expense | (0.18) | (0.18) | - | (0.18) | - | |
Interest and financing cash expense | (1.65) | (1.91) | (14%) | (2.11) | (22%) | |
Cash payout on share-based compensation | - | - | - | (0.52) | nm | |
Cash costs | (4.73) | (5.17) | (9%) | (5.10) | (7%) | |
Netback | $52.59 | $63.92 | (18%) | $55.63 | (5%) |
(nm) not meaningful
Dividend payout ratios are often used for dividend paying companies in the oil and gas industry to identify dividend levels in relation to funds from operations that are also used to finance debt repayments and/or acquisition opportunities. Dividend payout ratio is a supplementary measure and is calculated as dividends paid as a percentage of funds from operations.
Three Months Ended December 31 | Three Months Ended September 30 | ||||||
($000s, except as noted) | 2023 | 2022 | Change | 2023 | Change | ||
Dividends paid | $40,686 | $40,677 | 8% | $40,683 | - | ||
Funds from operations | $62,804 | $79,973 | (19%) | $65,251 | (4%) | ||
Dividend payout ratio (%) | 65% | 51% | 32% | 62% | 5% |
Funds from operations per share, which is calculated as funds from operations divided by the weighted average shares outstanding during the period, provides direction if changes in commodity prices, cash costs, and/or acquisitions were accretive on a per share basis. Funds from operations per share is a supplementary measure.
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