Fairfax Financial Holdings: Second Quarter Financial Results

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited (TSX: FFH and FFH.U) announces net earnings of $494.3 million ($17.18 net earnings per diluted share after payment of preferred share dividends) in the second quarter of 2019 compared to net earnings of $63.1 million ($1.82 net earnings per diluted share after payment of preferred share dividends) in the second quarter of 2018, primarily reflecting significant net gains on investments.  Book value per basic share at June 30, 2019 was $464.86 compared to $432.46 at December 31, 2018 (an increase of 9.9% adjusted for the $10 per common share dividend paid in the first quarter of 2019).

"Our insurance companies continued to have strong underwriting performance in the second quarter and first half of 2019 with a second quarter consolidated combined ratio of 96.8%, and our operating income was excellent at $330 million. Net gains on investments of $449 million included a gain of $171 million from the deconsolidation of Grivalia Properties upon its merger with Eurobank. We continue to be soundly financed, with no holding company debt maturities until 2021," said Prem Watsa, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer.

The table below shows the sources of the company's net earnings, set out in a format which the company has consistently used as it believes it assists in understanding Fairfax:

	Second quarter						First six months
	2019			2018			2019			2018
	($ millions)
Gross premiums written	4,335.4			4,067.2			9,062.0			7,999.4
Net premiums written	3,354.3			3,175.8			7,295.8			6,415.9
Underwriting profit	101.0			115.8			189.4			224.9
Interest and dividends - insurance and reinsurance	229.0			121.5			387.3			250.0
Operating income	330.0			237.3			576.7			474.9
Run-off (excluding net gains (losses) on investments)	(12.8	)		(20.6	)		(30.8	)		(53.1	)
Non-insurance operations	114.4			102.1			155.7			179.1
Interest expense*	(121.9	)		(86.3	)		(233.5	)		(175.1	)
Corporate overhead and other income / expense	(32.3	)		(74.8	)		83.1			(111.2	)
Net gains (losses) on investments	448.6			(58.2	)		1,172.5			876.0
Pre-tax income	726.0			99.5			1,723.7			1,190.6
Income taxes and non-controlling interests	(231.7	)		(36.4	)		(460.2	)		(443.2	)
Net earnings attributable to shareholders of Fairfax	494.3			63.1			1,263.5			747.4

* Including $14.7 and $31.6 in the second quarter and first six months of 2019, respectively, related to the revised accounting for leases effective January 1, 2019

Highlights for the second quarter of 2019 (with comparisons to the second quarter of 2018 except as otherwise noted) include the following:

• The combined ratio of the insurance and reinsurance operations was 96.8% on a consolidated basis, producing an underwriting profit of $101.0 million, compared to a combined ratio of 96.1% and an underwriting profit of $115.8 million in 2018, primarily reflecting lower net favourable prior year reserve development.

• Net premiums written by the insurance and reinsurance operations increased by 6.2% to $3,372.5 million (6.8% excluding the net premiums written by Advent in the second quarter of 2018 (effective January 1, 2019, Advent was reported in the Run-off reporting segment) and the net premiums written related to the acquisition of the insurance operations of AXA in Ukraine in the first quarter of 2019).

• The insurance and reinsurance operations produced operating income of $330.0 million, compared to operating income of $237.3 million in 2018, reflecting primarily higher interest and dividends.

• Interest and dividends of $221.6 million increased from $177.5 million in 2018, primarily reflecting higher interest income earned on increased holdings of short-dated U.S. treasury bonds and high quality corporate bonds, partially offset by lower interest income earned as a result of a reduction in holdings of U.S. municipal bonds.

• Interest expense of $121.9 million is comprised of $74.5 million incurred on borrowings by the holding company and the insurance and reinsurance companies, $32.7 million incurred on borrowings by the non-insurance companies (which are non-recourse to the holding company) and $14.7 million of accretion on lease liabilities subsequent to the adoption of IFRS 16 on January 1, 2019.

• Corporate overhead and other expense of $32.3 million decreased from $74.8 million in 2018, primarily due to a loss on repurchase of long term debt of $38.0 million in 2018.

• Short-dated U.S. treasury bonds and high quality corporate bonds represented 24.2% of the company's portfolio investments at June 30, 2019 compared to 34.7% at December 31, 2018.

• Net investment gains of $448.6 million in 2019 consisted of the following:

	Second quarter of 2019
	($ millions)
	Realizedgains(losses)			Unrealizedgains(losses)			Net gains(losses)
Net gains (losses) on:
Long equity exposures	268.5			5.1			273.6
Short equity exposures	(7.9	)		68.9			61.0
Net equity exposures	260.6			74.0			334.6
Bonds	(278.7	)		440.6			161.9
Other	(25.4	)		(22.5	)		(47.9	)
	(43.5	)		492.1			448.6

	First six months of 2019
	($ millions)
	Realizedgains(losses)			Unrealizedgains(losses)			Net gains(losses)
Net gains (losses) on:
Long equity exposures	428.9			521.5			950.4
Short equity exposures	(7.9	)		134.9			127.0
Net equity exposures	421.0			656.4			1,077.4
Bonds	(274.5	)		423.6			149.1
Other	2.1			(56.1	)		(54.0	)
	148.6			1,023.9			1,172.5

• On June 14, 2019, the company completed an offering of Cdn$500.0 million principal amount of 4.23% unsecured senior notes due June 14, 2029 at an issue price of 99.952 for net proceeds after discount, commissions and expenses of $371.5 million (Cdn$497.3 million).

• On May 31, 2019, the company's equity accounted investee IIFL Holdings Limited spun off two of its subsidiaries in a non-cash distribution to its shareholders and recognized a significant gain, which resulted in the company, primarily through Fairfax India, recording its $116.0 million share of that gain ($45.3 million attributable to shareholders of Fairfax after deferred taxes of $31.2 million and non-controlling interests of $39.5 million) in share of profit of associates.

• On May 17, 2019, Grivalia Properties REIC ("Grivalia Properties") merged into Eurobank Ergasias S.A. (“Eurobank”), as a result of which shareholders of Grivalia Properties, including the company, received 15.8 newly issued Eurobank shares in exchange for each share of Grivalia Properties. Accordingly, the company deconsolidated Grivalia Properties, recognized a non-cash gain of $171.3 million and reduced non-controlling interests by $466.2 million.  The company owned approximately 53% of Grivalia Properties and 18% of Eurobank prior to the merger, and now owns 32.4% of Eurobank. The company continues to account for its investment in Eurobank as a common stock at fair value, primarily due to regulatory restrictions on the relevant activities of Eurobank. Eurobank is a financial services provider in Greece and is listed on the Athens Stock Exchange.

• On April 17, 2019, the company acquired a 100% equity interest in AGT Food & Ingredients Inc. (“AGT”) through AGT's management-led privatization for Cdn$18.00 per common share or purchase consideration of $441.7 million (Cdn$588.6 million), inclusive of the company’s prior holdings in AGT with a fair value of $116.8 million (Cdn$155.7 million). Contemporaneously, AGT management and co-investors acquired a 40.4% equity interest in AGT for $98.4 million (Cdn$131.1 million), and the company received warrants that, if exercised, would increase its equity interest in AGT from 59.6% to approximately 80%. AGT is a supplier of pulses, staple foods and food ingredients.

• Subsequent to June 30, 2019:
  • On July 15, 2019, the company redeemed its remaining Cdn$395.6 million principal amount of 6.40% unsecured senior notes due May 25, 2021 for cash consideration of $329.1 million (Cdn$429.0 million) including accrued interest, and will recognize a loss on repurchase of long term debt of $23.7 million (Cdn$30.7 million) in its consolidated financial reporting in the third quarter of 2019.

• The company held $1,978.0 million of cash, short term investments and marketable securities at the holding company level ($1,978.0 million net of short sale and derivative obligations) at June 30, 2019, compared to $1,557.2 million ($1,550.6 million net of short sale and derivative obligations) at December 31, 2018.

• The company's total debt to total capital ratio, excluding non-insurance operations, increased to 28.3% (27.3% reflecting the July 15, 2019 senior notes redemption) at June 30, 2019 from 25.0% at December 31, 2018, primarily reflecting increased borrowings by the holding company.

• During the second quarter of 2019 the company purchased 43,796 subordinate voting shares for treasury at an aggregate cost of $20.2 million. From the fourth quarter of 2017 up to June 30, 2019, the company has purchased 621,204 subordinate voting shares for cancellation and 596,974 subordinate voting shares for treasury at an aggregate cost of $606.1 million.

• At June 30, 2019, common shareholders' equity was $12,496.3 million, or $464.86 per basic share, compared to $11,779.3 million, or $432.46 per basic share, at December 31, 2018. The increase in common shareholders' equity per basic share was primarily due to net earnings.

There were 26.9 million and 27.6 million weighted average common shares effectively outstanding during the second quarters of 2019 and 2018 respectively.  At June 30, 2019 there were 26,881,817 common shares effectively outstanding.

Unaudited consolidated balance sheet, earnings and comprehensive income information, together with segmented premium and combined ratio information, follow and form part of this news release.

In presenting the company’s results in this news release, management has included operating income (loss), combined ratio and book value per basic share measures.  Operating income (loss) is used in the company's segment reporting.  The combined ratio is calculated by the company as the sum of claims losses, loss adjustment expenses, commissions, premium acquisition costs and other underwriting expenses, expressed as a percentage of net premiums earned.  Book value per basic share is calculated by the company as common shareholders' equity divided by the number of common shares effectively outstanding.

As previously announced, Fairfax will hold a conference call to discuss its second quarter 2019 results at 8:30 a.m. Eastern time on Friday, August 2, 2019.  The call, consisting of a presentation by the company followed by a question period, may be accessed at 1 [phone] (Canada or U.S.) or 1 [phone] (International) with the passcode “Fairfax”.  A replay of the call will be available from shortly after the termination of the call until 5:00 p.m. Eastern time on Friday, August 16, 2019.  The replay may be accessed at 1 [phone] (Canada or U.S.) or 1 [phone] (International).

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited is a holding company which, through its subsidiaries, is engaged in property and casualty insurance and reinsurance and the associated investment management.

For further information, contact:

John VarnellVice President, Corporate Development and Chief Financial Officer(416) 367-4941

Certain statements contained herein may constitute forward-looking statements and are made pursuant to the “safe harbour” provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.  Such forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Fairfax to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements.  Such factors include, but are not limited to: a reduction in net earnings if our loss reserves are insufficient; underwriting losses on the risks we insure that are higher or lower than expected; the occurrence of catastrophic events with a frequency or severity exceeding our estimates; changes in market variables, including interest rates, foreign exchange rates, equity prices and credit spreads, which could negatively affect our investment portfolio; the cycles of the insurance market and general economic conditions, which can substantially influence our and our competitors' premium rates and capacity to write new business; insufficient reserves for asbestos, environmental and other latent claims; exposure to credit risk in the event our reinsurers fail to make payments to us under our reinsurance arrangements; exposure to credit risk in the event our insureds, insurance producers or reinsurance intermediaries fail to remit premiums that are owed to us or failure by our insureds to reimburse us for deductibles that are paid by us on their behalf; our inability to maintain our long term debt ratings, the inability of our subsidiaries to maintain financial or claims paying ability ratings and the impact of a downgrade of such ratings on derivative transactions that we or our subsidiaries have entered into; risks associated with implementing our business strategies; the timing of claims payments being sooner or the receipt of reinsurance recoverables being later than anticipated by us; risks associated with any use we may make of derivative instruments; the failure of any hedging methods we may employ to achieve their desired risk management objective; a decrease in the level of demand for insurance or reinsurance products, or increased competition in the insurance industry; the impact of emerging claim and coverage issues or the failure of any of the loss limitation methods we employ; our inability to access cash of our subsidiaries; our inability to obtain required levels of capital on favourable terms, if at all; the loss of key employees; our inability to obtain reinsurance coverage in sufficient amounts, at reasonable prices or on terms that adequately protect us; the passage of legislation subjecting our businesses to additional supervision or regulation, including additional tax regulation, in the United States, Canada or other jurisdictions in which we operate; risks associated with government investigations of, and litigation and negative publicity related to, insurance industry practice or any other conduct; risks associated with political and other developments in foreign jurisdictions in which we operate; risks associated with legal or regulatory proceedings or significant litigation; failures or security breaches of our computer and data processing systems; the influence exercisable by our significant shareholder; adverse fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates; our dependence on independent brokers over whom we exercise little control; an impairment in the carrying value of our goodwill and indefinite-lived intangible assets; our failure to realize deferred income tax assets; technological or other change which adversely impacts demand, or the premiums payable, for the insurance coverages we offer; disruptions of our information technology systems; and assessments and shared market mechanisms which may adversely affect our insurance subsidiaries.  Additional risks and uncertainties are described in our most recently issued Annual Report which is available at www.fairfax.ca and in our Supplemental and Base Shelf Prospectus (under “Risk Factors”) filed with the securities regulatory authorities in Canada, which is available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.  Fairfax disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements unless otherwise required by law.

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETSas at June 30, 2019 and December 31, 2018(unaudited - US$ millions)

	June 30,2019				December 31,2018
Assets
Holding company cash and investments (including assets pledged for short sale and derivative obligations – $12.0; December 31, 2018 – $21.5)		1,978.0				1,557.2
Insurance contract receivables		5,956.8				5,110.7
Portfolio investments
Subsidiary cash and short term investments		10,186.1				6,722.0
Bonds (cost $15,824.0; December 31, 2018 – $19,281.8)		16,174.9				19,256.4
Preferred stocks (cost $239.9; December 31, 2018 – $327.2)		229.8				260.1
Common stocks (cost $5,746.5; December 31, 2018 – $5,014.2)		5,487.0				4,431.4
Investments in associates (fair value $3,490.5; December 31, 2018 – $3,279.1)		3,925.5				3,471.9
Derivatives and other invested assets (cost $1,202.4; December 31, 2018 – $971.3)		712.4				563.6
Assets pledged for short sale and derivative obligations (cost $102.0; December 31, 2018 – $164.8)		102.2				164.6
Fairfax India and Fairfax Africa cash, portfolio investments and investments in associates		2,750.0				2,562.9
		39,567.9				37,432.9
Deferred premium acquisition costs		1,278.0				1,127.3
Recoverable from reinsurers (including recoverables on paid losses – $858.0; December 31, 2018 – $651.0)		8,969.0				8,400.9
Deferred income taxes		257.0				497.9
Goodwill and intangible assets		6,217.1				5,676.9
Other assets		6,369.5				4,568.3
Total assets		70,593.3				64,372.1
Liabilities
Accounts payable and accrued liabilities		4,949.8				3,020.0
Short sale and derivative obligations (including at the holding company – nil; December 31, 2018 – $6.6)		154.1				149.5
Insurance contract payables		2,583.0				2,003.1
Insurance contract liabilities		36,969.3				35,353.9
Borrowings – holding company and insurance and reinsurance companies		6,026.1				4,855.2
Borrowings – non-insurance companies		2,067.8				1,625.2
Total liabilities		52,750.1				47,006.9
Equity
Common shareholders’ equity		12,496.3				11,779.3
Preferred stock		1,335.5				1,335.5
Shareholders’ equity attributable to shareholders of Fairfax		13,831.8				13,114.8
Non-controlling interests		4,011.4				4,250.4
Total equity		17,843.2				17,365.2
		70,593.3				64,372.1

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF EARNINGSfor the three and six months ended June 30, 2019 and 2018(unaudited - US$ millions except per share amounts)

		Second quarter								First six months
		2019				2018				2019				2018
Income
Gross premiums written		4,335.4				4,067.2				9,062.0				7,999.4
Net premiums written		3,354.3				3,175.8				7,295.8				6,415.9
Gross premiums earned		3,954.9				3,731.9				8,182.2				7,111.2
Premiums ceded to reinsurers		(795.7		)		(731.9		)		(1,500.4		)		(1,369.5		)
Net premiums earned		3,159.2				3,000.0				6,681.8				5,741.7
Interest and dividends		221.6				177.5				457.5				388.9
Share of profit of associates		143.2				32.7				265.5				63.0
Net gains (losses) on investments		448.6				(58.2		)		1,172.5				876.0
Other revenue		1,468.7				1,058.4				2,496.6				2,067.2
		5,441.3				4,210.4				11,073.9				9,136.8
Expenses
Losses on claims, gross		2,613.9				2,476.0				5,683.2				4,530.5
Losses on claims ceded to reinsurers		(600.8		)		(617.9		)		(1,270.5		)		(992.6		)
Losses on claims, net		2,013.1				1,858.1				4,412.7				3,537.9
Operating expenses		610.5				630.3				1,212.3				1,243.1
Commissions, net		535.2				500.0				1,064.0				967.8
Interest expense		121.9				86.3				233.5				175.1
Other expenses		1,434.6				1,036.2				2,427.7				2,022.3
		4,715.3				4,110.9				9,350.2				7,946.2
Net earnings before income taxes		726.0				99.5				1,723.7				1,190.6
Provision for income taxes		146.5				15.6				329.6				68.7
Net earnings		579.5				83.9				1,394.1				1,121.9
Attributable to:
Shareholders of Fairfax		494.3				63.1				1,263.5				747.4
Non-controlling interests		85.2				20.8				130.6				374.5
		579.5				83.9				1,394.1				1,121.9
Net earnings per share		$	17.94			$	1.88			$	46.01			$	26.23
Net earnings per diluted share		$	17.18			$	1.82			$	44.17			$	25.46
Cash dividends paid per share		$	—			$	—			$	10.00			$	10.00
Shares outstanding (000) (weighted average)		26,899				27,550				26,964				27,639

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOMEfor the three and six months ended June 30, 2019 and 2018(unaudited - US$ millions)

		Second quarter						First six months
		2019			2018			2019			2018
Net earnings		579.5			83.9			1,394.1			1,121.9
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of income taxes
Items that may be subsequently reclassified to net earnings
Net unrealized foreign currency translation gains (losses) on foreign operations		55.8			(350.6	)		150.4			(428.5	)
Gains (losses) on hedge of net investment in Canadian subsidiaries		(45.1	)		41.1			(89.1	)		90.8
Gains (losses) on hedge of net investment in European operations		(55.0	)		38.8			(39.8	)		38.8
Share of other comprehensive income (loss) of associates, excluding net gains on defined benefit plans		18.7			(35.7	)		(11.0	)		(12.1	)
		(25.6	)		(306.4	)		10.5			(311.0	)
Items that will not be subsequently reclassified to net earnings
Share of net gains on defined benefit plans of associates		3.2			6.5			18.5			2.0
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of income taxes		(22.4	)		(299.9	)		29.0			(309.0	)
Comprehensive income (loss)		557.1			(216.0	)		1,423.1			812.9
Attributable to:
Shareholders of Fairfax		455.9			(120.7	)		1,269.1			583.4
Non-controlling interests		101.2			(95.3	)		154.0			229.5
		557.1			(216.0	)		1,423.1			812.9

SEGMENTED INFORMATION(unaudited - US$ millions)

Net premiums written, net premiums earned and combined ratios for the insurance and reinsurance operations (excluding Run-off) in the second quarters and first six months ended June 30, 2019 and 2018 were as follows:

Net Premiums Written

	Second quarter						First six months
	2019			2018			2019			2018
Northbridge	382.6			337.7			639.8			576.8
Odyssey Group	856.4			790.0			1,654.9			1,479.7
Crum & Forster	600.3			511.5			1,140.0			996.3
Zenith National	154.0			162.3			427.1			470.7
Brit	391.5			387.0			825.2			795.6
Allied World	656.5			628.5			1,384.2			1,363.5
Fairfax Asia	52.5			46.1			105.3			99.7
Insurance and Reinsurance - Other	278.7			312.8			556.2			633.8
Insurance and reinsurance operations	3,372.5			3,175.9			6,732.7			6,416.1

Net Premiums Earned

	Second quarter						First six months
	2019			2018			2019			2018
Northbridge	297.3			275.1			578.8			543.2
Odyssey Group	791.2			707.5			1,508.5			1,325.5
Crum & Forster	529.4			491.7			1,028.4			959.2
Zenith National	182.7			199.6			363.3			395.7
Brit	416.6			431.3			807.0			779.3
Allied World	626.4			560.8			1,191.2			1,079.2
Fairfax Asia	47.6			46.3			93.1			96.1
Insurance and Reinsurance - Other	254.7			285.7			498.7			559.4
Insurance and reinsurance operations	3,145.9			2,998.0			6,069.0			5,737.6

Combined Ratios

	Second quarter						First six months
	2018			2018			2019			2018
Northbridge	99.1	%		106.2	%		99.4	%		102.7	%
Odyssey Group	96.6	%		91.4	%		95.5	%		91.3	%
Crum & Forster	97.5	%		98.5	%		97.6	%		99.1	%
Zenith National	84.5	%		88.6	%		81.4	%		87.4	%
Brit	96.0	%		96.8	%		96.4	%		97.7	%
Allied World	97.9	%		94.9	%		100.0	%		94.9	%
Fairfax Asia	97.9	%		99.5	%		98.4	%		102.1	%
Insurance and Reinsurance - Other	100.3	%		100.2	%		100.8	%		100.9	%
Insurance and reinsurance operations	96.8	%		96.1	%		96.9	%		96.1	%