Syndicate Forecasts

RNS Number:4036S
Amlin PLC
24 November 2003


Press Release

For immediate release

24 November 2003



                                   AMLIN PLC


                       THIRD QUARTER SYNDICATE FORECASTS



Amlin plc, the leading Lloyd's insurer, today releases its third quarter
forecasts for the 2001 and 2002 years of account for Syndicate 2001.  It also
comments on current trading as set out below.


Charles Philipps, Chief Executive, commented "I am pleased with the progress we
are making.  Trading conditions remain positive and we have continued to benefit
from low loss incidence in the year to date."


Current trading


Underwriting


Amlin continues to experience good trading conditions with Syndicate 2001
recording gross written premiums (net of brokerage) in the first 9 months of
2003 of #743 million,  18% up on 2002 at the same stage.  Amlin's share of this
is 86.2%.  Rating conditions have remained strong in most lines of business and
Amlin believes that the outlook for 2004 underwriting conditions is good.


The fourth quarter of the year is the main airline renewal season.  Experience
to date in the current renewal season suggests that rates are stabilising at
acceptable levels.


Claims experience continues to be good, illustrated by Syndicate 2001's incurred
claims ratio (gross paid and notified claims as a percent of gross premiums, net
of brokerage):

                                      Gross incurred claims ratio
                         at 9 months          at 21 months          at 33 months
2000 account*                 19.9%                 62.0%                 75.7%
2001 account*                 27.6%                 47.8%                 58.2%
2002 account                  12.7%                 36.2%
2003 account                  12.0%


*  excluding 11 September terrorist losses


Catastrophe loss incidence continues to be low.  The loss experience from the
principal catastrophe losses since June (Hurricane Fabian, Hurricane Isabel and
the California Fires) is well within our business planning expectations.



Forecasts


The third quarter forecasts for the 2001 and 2002 years of account, which are
expressed as a percentage of capacity, are as follows:

Year of account     Capacity       %   Latest forecast    Previous forecast
                         #m      owned      % to %             % to %

            2001       574.5     69.6   (1.5) to 3.5       (1.5) to 3.5
            2002       800.0     72.3   13.5 to 18.5       12.0 to 17.0

The improvement in the 2002 account forecast reflects the continued low loss
incidence described above and a reduction in remaining live exposure on business
written in 2002.  Amlin expects that the forecast will continue to improve if a
normal level of loss development is experienced through the remainder of the
year.


Enquiries:

Charles Philipps, Amlin plc                      tel: [phone]
Richard Hextall, Amlin plc                       tel: [phone]
Peter Rigby, Haggie Financial                    tel: [phone]







                      This information is provided by RNS
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